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Private equity's bigwigs zero-in on deals

When getting the pulse on the credit markets, the private equity firms have a good sense of things. Credit is the lifeblood of the business. And, of course, the credit freeze has essentially stopped private equity activity.

But, according to some veteran private equity dealmakers, it does look like things are stabilizing. For example, the Blackstone Group LP's (NYSE: BX) CEO, Stephen Schwarzman, is optimistic that the environment is improving. The main reason: the massive government interventions.

And, this week we also got KKR's chief, Henry Kravis, to chime in. However, his sentiments are somewhat qualified. After all, he thinks that the real economy is in a fragile state and that investor confidence is still a big problem. What's more, he believes that it will take awhile for growth to comeback.

In the meantime, Kravis predicts a surge in consolidation in the financial services industry. Interestingly enough, some of the leaders in this trend could be operators like Blackstone and KKR, which don't have leveraged balance sheets.

Emphasizing this point is another private equity bigwig, the Carlyle Group's David Rubenstein. According to him, there's a huge opportunity for private equity firms to provide capital to the ailing financial services industry. In fact, the Federal government has recently relaxed some of the investment rules for such deals, which should make returns even more lucrative and give dealmakers more incentive to get transactions done.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Streetsmart Guide to Short Selling: Techniques the Pros Use to Profit in Any Market He is also the founder of BizEquity, a valuation website

Carlyle's Rubenstein sees private equity revival

About a year ago, the rage in private equity was the so-called megabuyout. It seemed like no company was immune. There was even talk of $100 billion dollar deals.

Of course, the credit crunch ended the megabuyout. In fact, it ended most of the activity for private equity folks.

Yet, according to the co-founder of the Carlyle Group, David Rubenstein, things are perking up [subscription required]. His firm – like other veterans, such as The Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) – understands market cycles. After all, these players have dealt with variety of credit crunches, such as in 1991-1992, 1998 and 2001-2002.

So, Rubenstein predicts we'll see a pick-up in deals over the next few months. Although, the deals are likely to range from $2 billion to $4 billion -- with less debt. And expect more foreign deals.

Funny enough, Rubenstein seems to be leading the charge with its recently announced a $2.54 billion deal for a majority stake in Booz Allen Hamilton.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

CNBC: Carlyle's Rubenstein talks up private equity

This week, the cofounder of the Carlyle Group, David Rubenstein, paid $21.3 million for a copy of the Magna Carta. In an offbeat way, is this a sign of optimism for the private equity space?

Well, today Rubenstein gave an interview with CNBC. Basically, he thinks there are some compelling investment opportunities – especially in energy, healthcare, and financial services. What's more, he's bullish on emerging markets. He's not only excited about China but even Africa and the Middle East. For example, in Africa, Rubenstein thinks there are opportunities for mining/minerals, financial services, and telecom.

Although, things may be remain somewhat slow in terms of deal activity, at least in the US, Rubenstein thinks sellers may be in denial on valuations. Also, to get deals done, private equity funds will probably need to pony up more equity. But, with the huge amounts of capital in these funds, that shouldn't be hard to do.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates DealProfiles.com.

Carlyle Group's David Rubenstein buys Magna Carta

It's been fairly slow for private equity dealmakers lately. So what to do? How about spend $21.3 million for the Magna Carta?

Well, that's what Carlyle's co-founder, David Rubenstein, did yesterday at Sotheby's.

Actually, Rubenstein is a political junkie. Rubenstein served as deputy domestic policy advisor in President Carter's White House. His political savvy has been a nice complement to his dealmaking.

Of course, the Magna Carta is an amazing document, which helped to spark revolutions, such as free speech and even capitalism.

The good news is that Rubenstein isn't going to have the document as an ornament for his office. Instead, he plans to lend it to the National Archives.

The prior owner was the outspoken billionaire, Ross Perot, who purchased the document in 1983 for a mere $1.5 million.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates DealProfiles.com.

Carlyle: Who needs an IPO when you have investors from Abu Dhabi?

At the Private Equity Analyst Conference in New York yesterday, the co-founder of the Carlyle Group, David Rubenstein, has continued to be oblique on the question of going public. Hey, in light of the Blackstone (NYSE: BX) debacle, I can understand why.

Well, according to the Wall Street Journal [a paid service], Carlyle is taking another approach (at least for now). That is, the firm has snagged a $1.35 billion private investment from Mubadala Development Company, which is part of Abu Dhabi. Essentially, this places a hefty $20 billion valuation on Carlyle.

It's an important move. Carlyle wants to have a permanent source of capital, which can help with minority investment opportunities and even buying up other private equity firms.

Plus, in order to keep up the growth momentum, Carlyle needs to expand into new markets, such as the Middle East.

The investment points out something else: Abu Dhabi is quite bullish on the global financial markets. Besides its Carlyle investment, the government (which controls the United Arab Emirates) is also taking a large position in the Nasdaq as well as the London Stock Exchange.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates DealProfiles.com.

Carlyle's Rubenstein: Private equity losing luster

Not that long ago, KKR's Henry Kravis said that private equity had moved into the "golden age."

Well, things have lost some sparkle lately.

First of all, it's getting tougher to raise money in the debt markets. What's more, with the surging stock markets, the valuations are making it difficult to get better returns. Oh, and of course, Capitol Hill is thinking of imposing some taxes on private equity partners.

Hey, just look at the lackluster performance of the shares of the Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX).

So this week, the founding partner at Carlyle, David Rubenstein, gave his opinion on things (this is according to a story in Reuters). Basically, he thinks the golden age of private equity has ended -- and it will get tougher for private equity firms to generate standout returns.

He's not predicting a crash though. After all, there are many investors that want to increase their exposure to private equity. Besides, he thinks top private equity firms will continue to generate better returns than the traditional markets.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

Peter Cohan: Debating private equity taxation with The Wall Street Journal
Peter Cohan: Private equity lays a bigger golden egg on Wall Street
Tom Taulli: Private equity cookie monster gets fatter

Carlyle Chief: Private equity has issues

The Super Return conference in Frankfurt is the main event for private equity. David Rubenstein, the founder and managing director of the Carlyle Group certainly gave an interesting speech.

He started the firm in 1987 and has been a part of a variety of major deals. He is also a lawyer and has a deep political background, which seems to be a valuable skill set nowadays for private equity operators. For example, he served as President Carter's Deputy Assistant on domestic policy.

Well, according to his presentation at Super Return, he thinks private equity is not overheated. That is, do not expect a crash since private equity firms primarily focus on companies that produce real revenues and cash flows.

That's the good news.

However, everything will not be rosy. After all, tons of capital has flooded into private equity. Thus, he thinks returns will inevitably soften. So 30%+ gains will not become a habit.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.

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Last updated: November 25, 2009: 12:40 PM

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