Defense spending posts
FeedPosted Feb 28th 2011 9:40AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Rants and Raves, Competitive Strategy, Market Matters, Boeing Co (BA), Chasing Value™, Headline News

In considering
my 2011 picks I took a look at Boeing Co (
BA), interested by the story. There are many ways for this company's future to play out in a very positive scenario.
The airline industry has been rejuvenated as of late -- and that is good news for aircraft manufacturers. The Republicans won the house majority and that usually improves the fortunes of defense contractors.
The 787 Dreamliner, now three years and counting behind schedule, is in test flight mode. The plane portrayed as a dream to travelers and airline companies has turned into a nightmare of sorts, or at least the dream has changed. Boeing is dreaming of the day they start manufacturing and selling and profiting from all their labor.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Looked at Boeing, Then Looked Away
Posted Dec 14th 2009 1:20PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Economic Data, Politics
In the 1960s, President Lyndon Johnson's economic/social policy, the Great Society, came up against a counterforce and competing claim few in public policy circles at that time had expected: Lyndon Johnson himself.
Johnson, in a decision that would alter U.S. society and the cultural landscape, chose to escalate U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War, and vastly increased government defense spending. The spending, when combined with spending for the Great Society, posed the question: "Could the U.S. economy tolerate increased government spending for defense and for social programs without an increase in inflation?" This is known in economics circles as the "guns and butter" question.
Continue reading Guns and butter: Can the U.S. have both at the same time?
Posted Nov 5th 2008 1:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Boeing Co (BA), Lockheed Martin (LMT), General Dynamics Corp (GD), Northrop Grumman (NOC)

That rumbling you heard this morning was the mad, frantic shuffling of papers and budget proposals inside the offices of defense contractors around the Washington Beltway, as they prepare to justify their appropriations amid
a political shift in the nation's capital. The Democrats, led by U.S. President-elect Barack Obama, are taking over the town. And while the security needs of the post-September 11 era and two wars mean major U.S. defense spending cuts are unlikely, changes in priorities and the demands of the financial crisis could create "a dramatically different defense spending landscape" for defense contractors like
Lockheed Martin (NYSE:
LMT) and
Northrop Grumman (NYSE:
NOC)," says economist Peter Dawson.
More support for troops on ground?"What we may see from President-elect Obama is a shift toward increased U.S. Army troop strength and the basic armor and weapon systems that support them, to take stress off our forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, and to improve results in the wars, and less emphasis on costly, high-tech weapon systems," Dawson said. "If that's the case, an Obama Administration could seek to delay production of the Navy's DDG-1000 Zumwalt class destroyer, additional purchases of the new F-22 fighter jets, and other programs."
The DDG-1000 destroyer is jointly built by Northrop Grumman and
General Dynamics (NYSE:
GD). The F-22 is built by Lockheed Martin. Northrop's shares rose 44 cents to $48.50, Lockheed's gained 62 cents to $86.53, and General Dynamics fell $1.30 to $62.47 in mid-day Wednesday trading.
Continue reading Democrats win, and owners of defense stocks begin to tremble
Posted Sep 10th 2008 6:00PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Boeing Co (BA), Northrop Grumman (NOC)
In business, as in international relations, there are battles you fight and battles you don't fight.
It looks like Boeing's decision earlier this year to protest the U.S. Department of Defense's award of an aerial refueling tanker contract constituted a savvy corporate tactic. Government auditors first ordered a rerun of the competition, and then today U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates delayed the $35 billion award contest, saying there isn't enough time to complete the contest fairly, by the end of the Bush Administration,
the Pentagon announced.
"Over the past seven years the process has become enormously complex and emotional -- in no small part because of mistakes and missteps along the way by the Department of Defense," Secretary Gates said
in a statement. "It is my judgment that in the time remaining to us, we can no longer complete a competition that would be viewed as fair and objective in this highly charged environment."
Gates added that the 'cooling off' period will allow the next administration to objectively review the military requirements and craft a new acquisition strategy for the refueling tanker.
Continue reading Time may be on Boeing's side after Pentagon delays tanker contest
Posted Jul 18th 2008 2:47PM by Victoria Erhart (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Good news
Rockwell Collins Incorporated (NYSE:
COL) provides flight deck avionics, aircraft electronics, and aviation simulation equipment for commercial, government and regional aircraft. The company is currently flying high. Recently released
3Q earnings indicate net income increased 19% to $174 million. EPS gained 24% to $1.07, beating Wall Street estimates by $0.05. 3Q sales increased 7% to $1.2 billion, which translated into a $12 million increase in operating cash flow to $310 million.
While many economic sectors are facing a great deal of uncertainty, Rockwell Collins has locked in a number of government and commercial contracts that will translate into steady revenue growth well into the future. Defense spending increases annually and Rockwell Collins was recently awarded contracts by BOC to equip 47 new Airbus A320s, as well as another contract from Bombardier to supply avionics for its C series commercial aircraft.
Both the Commercial Systems and the Government Systems segments increased sales 7-8%. The company spent $81 million to buy back 1.4 million shares, with another quarter billion authorized for share repurchases. In view of all the contracts in the pipeline, the company has revised and improved its FY2008 guidance. FY2008 total sales are forecast at $4.75 billion, with FY EPS in the $4.05-$4.10 range. The stock is currently trading under $47, near its 52- week low of $44.53.
Posted Jun 18th 2008 2:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Boeing Co (BA), Politics, Northrop Grumman (NOC)

Boeing may abandon plans to sell its aerial refueling tanker internationally if it loses its protest of a U.S. Air Force decision to buy $40 billion worth of tankers from a competitor,
The Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday [subscription].
Boeing's Mark McGraw, the executive in charge of the program, told
The Journal that Boeing had counted on the Pentagon to provide enough volume to make an international tanker business viable.
In February,
Northrop Grumman (NYSE:
NOC) and partner European Aeronautic, Defence & Space (EADS), parent of Airbus, beat out Boeing, the Air Force's only supplier of the aircraft for half a century;
the Air Force recently announced that it continues to support that decision. Boeing protested the award to the Government Accountability Office, which must make its recommendation to the Pentagon by Thursday.
Boeing's (NYSE: BA) shares were virtually unchanged on the news in Wednesday mid-day trading, gaining eight cents to $74.43. Northrop Grumman rose $1.03 to $72.09 and EADS fell 46 euro cents to 13.57 euros on the Paris Exchange.
Continue reading Boeing says tanker program at risk if it loses appeal of USAF decision
Posted Feb 25th 2008 3:03PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Press Releases, Products and Services, Stocks to Buy, Technology, Raytheon Company (RTN)
This morning Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) is reporting in more detail the role it played in last week's interception of a satellite 153 miles over the Pacific Ocean. Raytheon is one of my stock picks for the year and I have been arguing for a long time that the defense sector is one of the 'bulletproof places' to be in a shaky economy. I have also been arguing that RTN is a tech stock of the highest order.
Raytheon makes missile guidance systems among other things. Can you get more high-tech than that? Yes, you can. Why Raytheon itself also designed and built the Sea-Based X-band radar that tracked the satellite prior to the missile engagement and performed the hit assessment afterward. The radar performs the critical functions of cuing, tracking and discriminating a target.
If you want great management, you will find that RTN's is top notch too. If you are looking for a huge moat, think about this: most of the software you use in your personal or business life is pretty well entrenched, but which would you have more angst about changing, your spreadsheet software or your software for missiles? Bingo! I'm sure you got that one right.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Raytheon is both a defense AND tech stock
Posted Feb 8th 2008 4:32PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Products and Services, Management, Television, Rants and Raves, Personal Finance, Politics, Presidential Elections
Health care is a very serious matter, and polling indicates that Americans consider it of the utmost importance, rating it right after the economy in general, and above the Iraq war and homeland security.
It is strange to me then that 'television,' while not showing up in national polls, ranks higher then health care as a priority when it comes to household spending. If you believe the numbers in the news, 99% of households own televisions but only 84% have health insurance in any form.
Certainly cost and availability are the screaming issues of the day. However, value judgments also play a roll and I believe that whatever solutions are proposed, individual choice and responsibility should remain of paramount importance and that maintaining competition in the market place remain a principal goal.
Continue reading Big Screen TV or Health Care Insurance?
Posted Feb 7th 2008 4:19PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Other Issues, Rants and Raves, Competitive Strategy, China, Middle East, Scandals, Boeing Co (BA), Lockheed Martin (LMT), United Technologies (UTX), Politics, Stocks to Buy, General Dynamics Corp (GD), Northrop Grumman (NOC), Raytheon Company (RTN)

President
Bush recently submitted a $3.1 trillion dollar budget to congress with the biggest proposed increases in defense spending, and homeland security. The Pentagon would get a $35 billion increase to $515 billion for core programs, about 7% with war costs additional (but how much is additional?) This further supports my investment posture for this year and next that
the defense sector is the place to be as I posted earlier today and many times over the past few months --
the BIG BUYS.Some of our big defense contractors, all of which should benefit to some degree include:
Boeing (NYSE:
BA),
General Dynamics (NYSE:
GD),
Lockheed Martin (NYSE:
LMT),
Northrop Grumman (NYSE:
NOC),
Raytheon Company (NYSE:
RTN), and
United Technologies (NYSE:
UTX). I am not suggesting that you jump into these stocks immediately, but you should add them to your watch list. Perhaps, for some investors dollar cost averaging into them over six months would make sense. Each has a varying degree of exposure to defense spending. For example, United Technologies is the parent of Sikorsky helicopters which makes the Black Hawk. Lockheed Martin and Boeing make fighter jets. Raytheon makes defense electronics and missile while General Dynamics and Northrop Grumman supply warships to the US Navy. Northrop also makes aerial vehicles that are being used in the Iraq War.
Continue reading Defense stocks should be on your radar screen
Posted Dec 19th 2007 3:05PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Market Matters, Boeing Co (BA), United Technologies (UTX), S and P 500, Stocks to Buy, General Dynamics Corp (GD), Raytheon Company (RTN)
In searching out investments for 2008 -- what is likely to be a precarious stock market -- I have been touting the defense industry for the last two months as one of the stories for next year in terms of growth and safety. A press release today noted: "The benchmark SPADE Defense Index (AMEX: DXS) currently has a year-to-date gain of 21.5%, nearly 20% better than the widely followed S&P500 broad-market index."
Certainly this might have been expected in the aftermath of the September 11 tragedy, and given that the U.S remains at war in Iraq and Afghanistan. But this is just one aspect of the industry. Some companies like Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) are doing equally well in the private sector selling new planes and replacement parts for aging fleets.
Raytheon Co (NYSE: RTN) is heavily involved not just with airport security, but develops radar and monitoring systems for airport safety. This is of growing concern as the skies become more congested and airports more impacted.
United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) makes military helicopters that are also used for civilian fleets and fire fighting. UTX also is a world leader in the private sector owning Otis Elevator, Carrier Air Conditioning and more.
Continue reading Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year
Posted Dec 12th 2007 4:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Other Issues, Rants and Raves, Competitive Strategy, Middle East, Halliburton (HAL), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), Politics, Oil
My fellow Americans...hmm, that's overused....and I am not running for anything. HEY PEOPLE... too rude... To my fellow investors, read carefully: WE ARE NEVER LEAVING IRAQ! There, I said it, it's done.
Don't you wish some of our elected officials could tell it to us straight? We are not going to pull out of Iraq this year, next year, in 10 years or perhaps 100 years. Not unless we are chased out (although some locals are trying). It is true that we may reduce our forces over the next four or five years to a third of what we have there now, but we are not leaving. Since we are not leaving, I would like to see the business plan. Everyone has wanted to see the administration's strategic plan for some time, but a business plan will do.
The United States military never left Korea, Japan, Germany, Italy, and has advisors on every continent, just about every place we have ever gone. The only time we've left is when we were kicked out. The Iraqis will not be kicking us out. They need us to prevent an escalation of the civil war. They need our help rebuilding their infrastructure, (which we bombed), and we want to do that!
Continue reading Iraq, Inc.: How much will it cost us if we never leave?
Posted Oct 24th 2007 12:20PM by Jonathan Berr (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, From the Boards, Boeing Co (BA), Lockheed Martin (LMT)

Remember four, five years ago when everything that
could go wrong did go wrong for
Boeing (NYSE:
BA)? The company not only lost market share to Airbus SAS but ousted its CEO, Phil Condit, and his successor, Harry Stonecipher, for among other things having affairs with subordinates.
Former CFO Michael Sears was sent to prison for his role in one of many Pentagon scandals involving the company.
Under Chief Executive James McNerney, who joined the plane maker from
3M Co. (NYSE:
MMM) in 2005, Boeing has managed to put its problems behind it. The company reported net income of $1.11 billion, or $1.44 a share on revenue of $16.5 billion, beating Wall Street expectations. Boeing also raised earnings, revenue and cash flow guidance for the year. It trimmed back its forecasts for 2008, but that's to be expected given the delays in the 787 Dreamliner and the slowdown in the defense business.
Shares of the Chicago-based company
are up about 6% this year, underperforming peers
Lockheed Martin (NYSE:
LMT),
General Dynamics (NYSE:
GD) and
Raytheon (NYSE:
RTN) mainly because of worries about the Dreamliner. This reaction is overblown. First of all, the fact that new, sophisticated aircraft has been delayed is hardly surprising. If the delays continue however, that's more serious. For now, Boeing's customers haven't lost faith, placing 710 firm orders.
If the Dreamliner stays on track and the company gets its fair share of defense spending, the shares may head higher.
Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coveragePosted Jul 4th 2007 7:15AM by Jonathan Berr (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Management, Industry, Competitive Strategy, Home Depot (HD), Caterpillar (CAT), Boeing Co (BA), Lowe's Cos (LOW), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Deere and Co (DE), Bargain Stocks, Politics, Commodities, Oil, Agriculture
Let me introduce my Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio, a compilation of red, white and blue stocks for investors to consider as they celebrate our nation's independence.
Regardless of your views on the Iraq war, there's no denying that defense stocks including Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), Northrop Grumman Co. (NYSE: NOC), Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) and General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) are reasonably valued. This is especially noteworthy considering that defense spending will need to be maintained at pretty high levels for years to come in order to replace equipment that's been worn out from combat. President Bush is proposing to spend a record $439 billion in fiscal 2007 on defense and another $42.7 billion on homeland security.
Lockheed, the maker of the F-16, seems especially cheap, trading at a forward multiple of 14.6. Its shares have only gained 4.6% this year even though the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter results and raised earnings guidance. Missile and defense electronics company Raytheon, up less than 3%, is in the same situation.
Investors often overlook the huge businesses that Lockheed and Raytheon have in areas outside of defense, including computer systems and air-traffic control. The managements of both companies also have vastly improved over the past few years. Northrop and General Dynamics have always been pretty well run.
Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA), notably the second-largest defense contractor, also looks worth snapping up. Its stock is up less than 3% this year, which is surprising considering how well it's rebounded against European rival Airbus. The company trades at a forward multiple of 17.7.
Continue reading My Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio
Posted Mar 11th 2007 9:40AM by Tom Barlow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Other Issues, Dell (DELL), PepsiCo (PEP), Exxon Mobil (XOM), FedEx Corp (FDX), Procter and Gamble (PG), BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Tyson Foods'A' (TSN),
I'm fascinated with the list of 2006's 100 top prime contractors released by the Department of Defense. Earlier, I blogged about the top 10, none of which took me by surprise. As I browsed the rest of the list, though, I found a number of companies I hadn't considered as defense contractors. I noted particularly how dependent our military is on petroleum to carry out its mission.
- #26 FedEx Corp. (NYSE:FDX) -- $1.3 billion
- #29 BP PLC (NYSE:BP) -- $1.2 billion
- #30 Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) -- $1.1 billion
- #31 N.V. Koninklijke Nederlandsche (Shell) -- $1.1 million
- #34 Kuwait Petroleum -- $1 billion
- #39 Korea Agriculture Cooperative -- $760 million
- #49 Massachusetts Institute of Technology -- $640 million
- #50 Dell Inc. (NASDAQ:DELL) -- $636 million
- #52 Cardinal Health Inc. (NYSE:CAH) -- $635 million
- #58 Government of Canada (EH) -- $542 million
- #60 Johns Hopkins University -- $525 million
- #61 Battelle Memorial Institute -- $519 million
- #66 Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. -- $494 million
- #70 The Bahrain Petroleum Company -- $478 million
- #80 Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE:PG) -- $362 million (including $13 million to Millstone Coffee and $5.6 million to Sunny Delight)
- #91 Tyson Foods Inc. (NYSE:TSN) -- $335 million
- #98 Pepsico Inc. (NYSE:PEP) -- $287 million
- #99 Unicor/Federal Prisons Industries Inc. (DJNT) -- $283 million
I highly recommend checking out the full list. Consider how changes in our war status might effect the prices of your stocks.
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