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Congress does the right thing: Cuts F-22 fighter program

Amid a budget process in which every dollar counts, and while Congress determines the most suitable revenue options for universal health care, legislators have weeded-out one wasteful government program: the F-22 fighter jet program.

The Senate voted 58-40 Tuesday to block expansion of the expensive and controversial new jet, CNN reported, and in the process $1.75 billion will be saved.

Continue reading Congress does the right thing: Cuts F-22 fighter program

Democrats win, and owners of defense stocks begin to tremble

That rumbling you heard this morning was the mad, frantic shuffling of papers and budget proposals inside the offices of defense contractors around the Washington Beltway, as they prepare to justify their appropriations amid a political shift in the nation's capital.

The Democrats, led by U.S. President-elect Barack Obama, are taking over the town. And while the security needs of the post-September 11 era and two wars mean major U.S. defense spending cuts are unlikely, changes in priorities and the demands of the financial crisis could create "a dramatically different defense spending landscape" for defense contractors like Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC)," says economist Peter Dawson.

More support for troops on ground?

"What we may see from President-elect Obama is a shift toward increased U.S. Army troop strength and the basic armor and weapon systems that support them, to take stress off our forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, and to improve results in the wars, and less emphasis on costly, high-tech weapon systems," Dawson said. "If that's the case, an Obama Administration could seek to delay production of the Navy's DDG-1000 Zumwalt class destroyer, additional purchases of the new F-22 fighter jets, and other programs."

The DDG-1000 destroyer is jointly built by Northrop Grumman and General Dynamics (NYSE: GD). The F-22 is built by Lockheed Martin. Northrop's shares rose 44 cents to $48.50, Lockheed's gained 62 cents to $86.53, and General Dynamics fell $1.30 to $62.47 in mid-day Wednesday trading.

Continue reading Democrats win, and owners of defense stocks begin to tremble

Time may be on Boeing's side after Pentagon delays tanker contest

In business, as in international relations, there are battles you fight and battles you don't fight.

It looks like Boeing's decision earlier this year to protest the U.S. Department of Defense's award of an aerial refueling tanker contract constituted a savvy corporate tactic. Government auditors first ordered a rerun of the competition, and then today U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates delayed the $35 billion award contest, saying there isn't enough time to complete the contest fairly, by the end of the Bush Administration, the Pentagon announced.

"Over the past seven years the process has become enormously complex and emotional -- in no small part because of mistakes and missteps along the way by the Department of Defense," Secretary Gates said in a statement. "It is my judgment that in the time remaining to us, we can no longer complete a competition that would be viewed as fair and objective in this highly charged environment."

Gates added that the 'cooling off' period will allow the next administration to objectively review the military requirements and craft a new acquisition strategy for the refueling tanker.

Continue reading Time may be on Boeing's side after Pentagon delays tanker contest

Rockwell Collins (COL) flying high

Rockwell Collins Incorporated (NYSE: COL) provides flight deck avionics, aircraft electronics, and aviation simulation equipment for commercial, government and regional aircraft. The company is currently flying high. Recently released 3Q earnings indicate net income increased 19% to $174 million. EPS gained 24% to $1.07, beating Wall Street estimates by $0.05. 3Q sales increased 7% to $1.2 billion, which translated into a $12 million increase in operating cash flow to $310 million.

While many economic sectors are facing a great deal of uncertainty, Rockwell Collins has locked in a number of government and commercial contracts that will translate into steady revenue growth well into the future. Defense spending increases annually and Rockwell Collins was recently awarded contracts by BOC to equip 47 new Airbus A320s, as well as another contract from Bombardier to supply avionics for its C series commercial aircraft.

Both the Commercial Systems and the Government Systems segments increased sales 7-8%. The company spent $81 million to buy back 1.4 million shares, with another quarter billion authorized for share repurchases. In view of all the contracts in the pipeline, the company has revised and improved its FY2008 guidance. FY2008 total sales are forecast at $4.75 billion, with FY EPS in the $4.05-$4.10 range. The stock is currently trading under $47, near its 52- week low of $44.53.

Boeing says tanker program at risk if it loses appeal of USAF decision

Boeing may abandon plans to sell its aerial refueling tanker internationally if it loses its protest of a U.S. Air Force decision to buy $40 billion worth of tankers from a competitor, The Wall Street Journal reported Wednesday [subscription].

Boeing's Mark McGraw, the executive in charge of the program, told The Journal that Boeing had counted on the Pentagon to provide enough volume to make an international tanker business viable.

In February, Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) and partner European Aeronautic, Defence & Space (EADS), parent of Airbus, beat out Boeing, the Air Force's only supplier of the aircraft for half a century; the Air Force recently announced that it continues to support that decision. Boeing protested the award to the Government Accountability Office, which must make its recommendation to the Pentagon by Thursday.

Boeing's (NYSE: BA) shares were virtually unchanged on the news in Wednesday mid-day trading, gaining eight cents to $74.43. Northrop Grumman rose $1.03 to $72.09 and EADS fell 46 euro cents to 13.57 euros on the Paris Exchange.

Continue reading Boeing says tanker program at risk if it loses appeal of USAF decision

Chasing Value: Raytheon is both a defense AND tech stock

RaytheonThis morning Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) is reporting in more detail the role it played in last week's interception of a satellite 153 miles over the Pacific Ocean. Raytheon is one of my stock picks for the year and I have been arguing for a long time that the defense sector is one of the 'bulletproof places' to be in a shaky economy. I have also been arguing that RTN is a tech stock of the highest order.

Raytheon makes missile guidance systems among other things. Can you get more high-tech than that? Yes, you can. Why Raytheon itself also designed and built the Sea-Based X-band radar that tracked the satellite prior to the missile engagement and performed the hit assessment afterward. The radar performs the critical functions of cuing, tracking and discriminating a target.

If you want great management, you will find that RTN's is top notch too. If you are looking for a huge moat, think about this: most of the software you use in your personal or business life is pretty well entrenched, but which would you have more angst about changing, your spreadsheet software or your software for missiles? Bingo! I'm sure you got that one right.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Raytheon is both a defense AND tech stock

Big Screen TV or Health Care Insurance?

Health care is a very serious matter, and polling indicates that Americans consider it of the utmost importance, rating it right after the economy in general, and above the Iraq war and homeland security.

It is strange to me then that 'television,' while not showing up in national polls, ranks higher then health care as a priority when it comes to household spending. If you believe the numbers in the news, 99% of households own televisions but only 84% have health insurance in any form.

Certainly cost and availability are the screaming issues of the day. However, value judgments also play a roll and I believe that whatever solutions are proposed, individual choice and responsibility should remain of paramount importance and that maintaining competition in the market place remain a principal goal.

Continue reading Big Screen TV or Health Care Insurance?

Defense stocks should be on your radar screen

President Bush recently submitted a $3.1 trillion dollar budget to congress with the biggest proposed increases in defense spending, and homeland security. The Pentagon would get a $35 billion increase to $515 billion for core programs, about 7% with war costs additional (but how much is additional?) This further supports my investment posture for this year and next that the defense sector is the place to be as I posted earlier today and many times over the past few months -- the BIG BUYS.

Some of our big defense contractors, all of which should benefit to some degree include: Boeing (NYSE: BA), General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC), Raytheon Company (NYSE: RTN), and United Technologies (NYSE: UTX). I am not suggesting that you jump into these stocks immediately, but you should add them to your watch list. Perhaps, for some investors dollar cost averaging into them over six months would make sense. Each has a varying degree of exposure to defense spending. For example, United Technologies is the parent of Sikorsky helicopters which makes the Black Hawk. Lockheed Martin and Boeing make fighter jets. Raytheon makes defense electronics and missile while General Dynamics and Northrop Grumman supply warships to the US Navy. Northrop also makes aerial vehicles that are being used in the Iraq War.

Continue reading Defense stocks should be on your radar screen

Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year

US Apache gunship helicopter In searching out investments for 2008 -- what is likely to be a precarious stock market -- I have been touting the defense industry for the last two months as one of the stories for next year in terms of growth and safety. A press release today noted: "The benchmark SPADE Defense Index (AMEX: DXS) currently has a year-to-date gain of 21.5%, nearly 20% better than the widely followed S&P500 broad-market index."

Certainly this might have been expected in the aftermath of the September 11 tragedy, and given that the U.S remains at war in Iraq and Afghanistan. But this is just one aspect of the industry. Some companies like Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) are doing equally well in the private sector selling new planes and replacement parts for aging fleets.

Raytheon Co (NYSE: RTN) is heavily involved not just with airport security, but develops radar and monitoring systems for airport safety. This is of growing concern as the skies become more congested and airports more impacted.

United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) makes military helicopters that are also used for civilian fleets and fire fighting. UTX also is a world leader in the private sector owning Otis Elevator, Carrier Air Conditioning and more.

Continue reading Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year

Iraq, Inc.: How much will it cost us if we never leave?

A U.S. soldier from Bravo Company, 1st Battalion, 38 Regiment Infantry, patrols in West Baquba on Dec. 10.My fellow Americans...hmm, that's overused....and I am not running for anything. HEY PEOPLE... too rude... To my fellow investors, read carefully: WE ARE NEVER LEAVING IRAQ! There, I said it, it's done.

Don't you wish some of our elected officials could tell it to us straight? We are not going to pull out of Iraq this year, next year, in 10 years or perhaps 100 years. Not unless we are chased out (although some locals are trying). It is true that we may reduce our forces over the next four or five years to a third of what we have there now, but we are not leaving. Since we are not leaving, I would like to see the business plan. Everyone has wanted to see the administration's strategic plan for some time, but a business plan will do.

The United States military never left Korea, Japan, Germany, Italy, and has advisors on every continent, just about every place we have ever gone. The only time we've left is when we were kicked out. The Iraqis will not be kicking us out. They need us to prevent an escalation of the civil war. They need our help rebuilding their infrastructure, (which we bombed), and we want to do that!

Continue reading Iraq, Inc.: How much will it cost us if we never leave?

Remember when Boeing was a laughingstock?

Boeing (NYSE: BA) DreamlinerRemember four, five years ago when everything that could go wrong did go wrong for Boeing (NYSE: BA)? The company not only lost market share to Airbus SAS but ousted its CEO, Phil Condit, and his successor, Harry Stonecipher, for among other things having affairs with subordinates. Former CFO Michael Sears was sent to prison for his role in one of many Pentagon scandals involving the company.

Under Chief Executive James McNerney, who joined the plane maker from 3M Co. (NYSE: MMM) in 2005, Boeing has managed to put its problems behind it. The company reported net income of $1.11 billion, or $1.44 a share on revenue of $16.5 billion, beating Wall Street expectations. Boeing also raised earnings, revenue and cash flow guidance for the year. It trimmed back its forecasts for 2008, but that's to be expected given the delays in the 787 Dreamliner and the slowdown in the defense business.

Shares of the Chicago-based company are up about 6% this year, underperforming peers Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) and Raytheon (NYSE: RTN) mainly because of worries about the Dreamliner. This reaction is overblown. First of all, the fact that new, sophisticated aircraft has been delayed is hardly surprising. If the delays continue however, that's more serious. For now, Boeing's customers haven't lost faith, placing 710 firm orders.

If the Dreamliner stays on track and the company gets its fair share of defense spending, the shares may head higher.

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My Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio

Let me introduce my Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio, a compilation of red, white and blue stocks for investors to consider as they celebrate our nation's independence.

Regardless of your views on the Iraq war, there's no denying that defense stocks including Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), Northrop Grumman Co. (NYSE: NOC), Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) and General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) are reasonably valued. This is especially noteworthy considering that defense spending will need to be maintained at pretty high levels for years to come in order to replace equipment that's been worn out from combat. President Bush is proposing to spend a record $439 billion in fiscal 2007 on defense and another $42.7 billion on homeland security.

Lockheed, the maker of the F-16, seems especially cheap, trading at a forward multiple of 14.6. Its shares have only gained 4.6% this year even though the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter results and raised earnings guidance. Missile and defense electronics company Raytheon, up less than 3%, is in the same situation.

Investors often overlook the huge businesses that Lockheed and Raytheon have in areas outside of defense, including computer systems and air-traffic control. The managements of both companies also have vastly improved over the past few years. Northrop and General Dynamics have always been pretty well run.

Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA), notably the second-largest defense contractor, also looks worth snapping up. Its stock is up less than 3% this year, which is surprising considering how well it's rebounded against European rival Airbus. The company trades at a forward multiple of 17.7.

Continue reading My Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio

More from the 2006 DOD prime contractor's report

I'm fascinated with the list of 2006's 100 top prime contractors released by the Department of Defense. Earlier, I blogged about the top 10, none of which took me by surprise. As I browsed the rest of the list, though, I found a number of companies I hadn't considered as defense contractors. I noted particularly how dependent our military is on petroleum to carry out its mission.

  • #26 FedEx Corp. (NYSE:FDX) -- $1.3 billion
  • #29 BP PLC (NYSE:BP) -- $1.2 billion
  • #30 Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) -- $1.1 billion
  • #31 N.V. Koninklijke Nederlandsche (Shell) -- $1.1 million
  • #34 Kuwait Petroleum -- $1 billion
  • #39 Korea Agriculture Cooperative -- $760 million
  • #49 Massachusetts Institute of Technology -- $640 million
  • #50 Dell Inc. (NASDAQ:DELL) -- $636 million
  • #52 Cardinal Health Inc. (NYSE:CAH) -- $635 million
  • #58 Government of Canada (EH) -- $542 million
  • #60 Johns Hopkins University -- $525 million
  • #61 Battelle Memorial Institute -- $519 million
  • #66 Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. -- $494 million
  • #70 The Bahrain Petroleum Company -- $478 million
  • #80 Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE:PG) -- $362 million (including $13 million to Millstone Coffee and $5.6 million to Sunny Delight)
  • #91 Tyson Foods Inc. (NYSE:TSN) -- $335 million
  • #98 Pepsico Inc. (NYSE:PEP) -- $287 million
  • #99 Unicor/Federal Prisons Industries Inc. (DJNT) -- $283 million

I highly recommend checking out the full list. Consider how changes in our war status might effect the prices of your stocks.

Live Blogging Boeing

Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA) reported its best quarter in a long time. Net income was $989 million, or $1.29 per share, compared with $460 million, or 58 cents per share, a year earlier. Excluding some items, profit was $1.16. On that basis, it was expected to earn 97 cents per share, according to Reuters. Sales gained 17 percent to $26.5 billion.

Boeing beat Airbus in commerical orders, delivers and backlogs for the first time since 2001, according to Bloomberg News. The company boosted its 2007 guidance to $4.55 to $4.75 and forecasted it would earn between $5.55 to $5.75 in 2008. Revenue is expected to be $64.5 billion to $65 billion this year and $71 billion to $72 billion.

10:29-- Boeing deserves kudos for interesting hold music.

10:32 -- Disclosures. CEO and CFO are both named James. What are the odds?

CEO Jim McNerney-

WE made great progress in 2006 which has given us solid . THis was an important year for boeing. We executed on our plans and signfiicanyly improved financial performance. By focus both on growth and produ, we were able to deliever double-digit earnings inreases. WE also devlieved a record year in many important measu, baclklog., "Our cash flow went from strong to stronger." 7-7.5 bln. Our record company backlog reached 250 bln at the end of 2006. 1,044 net airplane orders. IDS captured the secure border initiative adn combat search and rescue plus helicotpers. 747 highest order total in 16 years/.

787-We expect to deliver teh 787 on time. MAy 2008. OVer the course of the year in 2006, we acived important milestones in 787. WE made strides in ou technology develop,enmt. KEy milestones: filight cetification, Flying of 787 engines on test beds. arrival of major assemblies. 787 rollout in July. First flight targeted at the end of August. We continue our process of robust contnigency planning.. All of the inestment we have made to date and forsee making are within the guidance. Updates will be given twice a quarter. We are pleased nonetheless with the progress we are making on teh 787 and with teh airplane's performance.

10:40 --cash deployment. WE made progress on Poseidan and internatoinal tankers. I see more growth coming from this area. Our commerical and government services are growing organicially at very attractive rates. We think the services area will continue to attract very attractive

We see more "potential", for better dividends and more share buybacks.

WE are truly raising the bar here at Boeing. We are committed to deliver financial results that match the quality of our people and technology.

Continue reading Live Blogging Boeing

Boeing takes off, but is a bumpy ride ahead?

Remember several years ago when Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA) could do no right? It was losing ground to Airbus, losing military contracts to rivals and in one corporate mishap after another. Times sure have changed.

Boeing is expected to report a strong fourth quarter on Jan. 31. Analysts expect the company to report profit of 97 cents versus 58 cents a year earlier. The company stampeded past analysts' forecast in the third quarter. The stock is up more than 10 percent in the last six months.

Last year was a great year for Boeing. The Chicago-based company got 1,044 firm orders for commercial aircraft, which likely helped it top Airbus for the first time since 2000. This performance, which was helped by demand for the 787 Dreamliner, stunned analysts, who had expected sales to SLOW DOWN, according to Reuters.

The Dreamliner is a key product for Boeing. In fact, concerns raised by an analyst about possible delays and cost overruns related to the aircraft recently sent Boeing's stock tumbling. Boeing's shares recovered after Wall Street analysts said they thought the development of the aircraft was proceeding on schedule. Deliveries are scheduled to begin next year.

The military side of the business also is humming along. In November, A Boeing-lead team beat Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:LMT) for a major helicopter contract with the U.S. Air Force

How long the good times will last isn't clear. Douglas McIntyre argues that Airbus may be down, but it's far from out.

Also check out some other earnings reports that we're following, and let us know your thoughts on earnings expectations.

Symbol Lookup
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DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 26, 2009: 08:21 AM

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