For years, it's been evident that smaller airlines have had an operating advantage, particularly when they use less expensive airports. They've been able to post better numbers as a result, and in the current travel slump, they've outperformed the larger carriers. Well, they've also picked up a considerable amount of market share.

According to a report by USA Today, low cost carriers now have 30% of the market in the United States. Price-sensitive consumers are turning to cheaper alternatives, even if it means (for fliers with elite status) giving up the perks they've earned through years of customer loyalty.

Continue reading Low cost carriers own 30% of domestic airline biz, growing fast

Low cost carriers own 30% of domestic airline biz, growing fast originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 10 Nov 2009 16:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Business travelers still aren't coming back to the good seats, despite airlines' best efforts. FareCompare.com reports that many business class tickets to Europe are going to be 33% to 66% cheaper this fall relative to last year. Companies are being careful with their cash - which means stacking people in coach rather than giving them a little leg room on overseas flights. With back-of-the-plane tickets going for a quarter of the price (or less) than their business class equivalents, this isn't exactly shocking.

On Wednesday, Delta's (NYSE: DAL) cheapest NYC-to-London's cheapest roundtrip coach fare was $716 (for an October 23 departure and October 30 return), according to a report in USA Today. To take the same trip in business class, you were looking at a hefty $4,634. So, even though prices are down year-over-year, it doesn't mean that business travelers are being allowed to enjoy the opportunity.

Continue reading Cheaper business class not helping airlines

Cheaper business class not helping airlines originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 09 Oct 2009 14:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA), US Airways (NYSE: LCC) and American Airlines (NYSE: AMR), according to an influential analyst, have run out of options. Jamie Baker of JPMorgan said in a July 20, 2009 report that these companies couldn't do anything to prevent a cash crisis. They only savior available to them would have to be an outside investor. To call the position grim would be optimistic. Unfortunately, it couldn't have come at a worse time.

As Baker was walking the bear into the airline industry, United was starting to celebrate its change in direction. The carrier has improved its on-time rate, according to a USA Today report, and its operations are coming around. Despite the fact that the airline industry has been brutalized by the global recession, the airline has made some progress. Through August, the company's share price doubled, and its ascent has continued in September. So, the company is locked in an ongoing struggle to manage its identity, cope with its past and shape how the world sees it today.

The operational "makeover" has resulted in a reduction of its fleet from 601 jets in 2000 to 386 as of the summer of 2009. In terms of passenger traffic, it's in the #4 spot in the United States - trailing Delta (NYSE: DAL), Southwest (NYSE: LUV) and American. With Q2 revenues off 25.2% year-over-year, however, drastic measures are still necessary.

Continue reading United's battle over its identity

United's battle over its identity originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 17 Sep 2009 17:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I take my absolute return approach to a deeper level by periodically buying and selling positions during the year. In late February, I suggested that investors cover the short position of Delta Airlines (NYSE: DAL) at $6.35 per share.

In my last update of the stocks on this list, I suggested that I would still be a seller of Delta. Shares of Delta did indeed lose value over the last three months. This move coincided with a blast in oil prices. Airlines are already struggling with a weak economy and excess capacity. Rising jet fuel prices make matters worse.

Continue reading Stock to avoid #1 -- Delta Airlines (DAL)

Stock to avoid #1 -- Delta Airlines (DAL) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 18 Jul 2009 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

With such uncertainty, following an absolute return strategy continues to offer investors the biggest bang for their buck. There is no sense in guessing where the market will be down the road.

Instead, buy cheap stocks and sell stocks that are expensive. Then blend the two approaches together in one portfolio and chances are you'll make money.

Even with a huge rally in stocks, the S&P 500 ended the second quarter with a year-to-date gain of 1.78%. That is a vast improvement compared to the 11% loss at the end of the first quarter, but it's a minimal return for taking risk in the stock market.

Investors need to do better -- and they can.

Continue reading Take a pass on these ten stocks

Take a pass on these ten stocks originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 18 Jul 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) just got the relief it needs to compete. Despite resistance from the Department of Justice (which can only recommend), the Department of Transportation has granted the airline immunity from antitrust laws. This clears the way for Continental to work with United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAUA) -- and other carriers -- on international routes. Now, the airline can join Star Alliance, which already has antitrust immunity.

At the same time, DOT approved a joint venture among Continental, United, Lufthansa (OTC: DLAKY) and Air Canada. This new relationship would involve trans-Atlantic routes.

Continue reading DOT overrides Justice, Continental Airlines wins antitrust relief

DOT overrides Justice, Continental Airlines wins antitrust relief originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 13 Jul 2009 14:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded Adtran (NASDAQ: ADTN) to Buy from Hold on expectations the company will benefit from the broadband Stimulus funds.
• Morgan Stanley upgraded Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) to Overweight from Equal Weight based on relative valuation and views the company as a "survivor." Additionally, the analyst lowered 2009 industry estimates but believes it is the last cut for the year and is incrementally more positive on the sector.
• Morgan Stanley also upgraded EXFO Electro-Optical (NASDAQ: EXFO) to Overweight from Market Weight based on valuation.
• Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Ascent Solar (NASDAQ: ASTI) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan.
• Mechel Steel (NYSE: MTL) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADTN, CAL, EXFO, JCI, LUV, VAR, CSCO, KMT, EZCH

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADTN, CAL, EXFO, JCI, LUV, VAR, CSCO, KMT, EZCH originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Jul 2009 09:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Airlines are still having a problem with the economy. Consumers aren't traveling as much, businesses are cutting back on sending executives across country. Indeed, I'm sure the summer months are going to see a lot of vacation plans being eliminated as people decide to stay closer to home.

Continue reading AMR beats in Q1, shares see a bid

AMR beats in Q1, shares see a bid originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 15 Apr 2009 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst upgrades:

• Calyon upgraded major network carriers based on falling oil prices and capacity cuts. The analyst is positive over the next 12 months but cautious short-term given the uncertain economy, and volatile markets and oil prices. AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR) and Delta Air (NYSE: DAL) were upgraded to Add from Neutral and UAL Corp (NASDAQ: UAUA) was raised to Neutral from Reduce.
• Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY) was upgraded at Citigroup to Buy from Hold.
• Boardwalk Pipeline (NYSE: BWP) was raised to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
• Cowen lifted Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) to Outperform from Neutral.
• JP Morgan upgraded Choice Hotels (NYSE: CHH) to Neutral from Underweight following the better-than-expected Q3 report.
• Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Integra LifeSciences (NASDAQ: IART) to Outperform from Perform on valuation, the company's minimal exposure to economic conditions, and expectations for margin improvement and a rebound in organic growth.

• Sherwin-Williams (NYSE: SHW) and AerCap Holdings (NYSE: AER) were downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
• UBS downgraded Embarq (NYSE: EQ) to Neutral from Buy following the CenturyTel (NYSE: CTL) merger announcement.

Continue reading Analyst calls: AMR, DAL, UAUA, RYAAY, BIIB, SHW, EQ, INTU, NYT, GOOG, YHOO ...

Analyst calls: AMR, DAL, UAUA, RYAAY, BIIB, SHW, EQ, INTU, NYT, GOOG, YHOO ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 28 Oct 2008 10:25:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"If there's one sector that stands to benefit handsomely from a further slide in oil or, at least, a moderation in crude's rally: the airlines," explains energy sector expert Elliott Gue.

In The Energy Strategist, he says, "Airlines may make a terrible long-term investment but can be an outstanding short-term trade." Here he looks at Delta Air Lines (NYSE: DAL) and, for the even more speculatively-inclined, US Airways (NYSE: LCC).

"Some investors will rightfully cringe from any mention of this sector; after all, the airlines have consistently lost money throughout their post-deregulation history.

"Most of the majors have declared bankruptcy on multiple occasions since that time. However, we've traded the airlines on a few occasions; we took some triple-digit percentage gains in the airlines back in 2005.

"The airlines' leverage to oil prices is well known. Expectations are so low, in fact, that several major air carriers actually managed to beat consensus expectations in the second quarter.

"And although sentiment is already at rock-bottom, there's a real basis for cautious optimism. First, if I'm right about oil, fuel costs won't rise appreciably in the third quarter. This huge headwind is dissipating.

Continue reading Speculative flyers: Delta (DAL) and US Airways (LCC)

Speculative flyers: Delta (DAL) and US Airways (LCC) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 05 Aug 2008 11:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Corporate advertisers are not flocking to YouTube despite the fact that the video sharing site attracts one billion views a day, upsetting Google Inc's (NASDAQ: GOOG) expectations for a strong revenue stream, according to the Wall Street Journal. Total ad revenue for Google this year will be about $200M from the site, where the company is counting on growth beyond its text ads from Web searches.
• A day after Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) said it would be interested in reopening talks to acquire some of all of Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) if Carl Icahn's proxy battle succeeds, the Wall Street Journal reported that Yahoo! CEO Jerry Yang accused Microsoft of "trying to destabilize" the company "without a real desire to complete a deal".

• The Atlanta Journal Constitution reported that Comair, a subsidiary of Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL), is set to cut 300 pilots and 220 flight attendants from its staff. The paper said the layoffs will go into effect in September when Comair cuts its flight schedule as part of Delta's capacity cuts and will affect crew members based at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport and New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport.

• Iran successfully test-launched a long-range version of its Shahab-3 missile, according to Iranian news service Al-Alam. The missile can reach U.S. military bases in the Persian Gulf and Israel.

Newspaper wrap-up: Google has a difficult time getting ad revenue from YouTube originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 09 Jul 2008 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• According to people familiar with the matter, the Wall Street Journal reported that home-furnishings retailer Linens 'n Things, acquired by Apollo Management in 2006 and caught by a shrinking housing market and increasing debt load, is expected to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy-court protection by Tuesday.

• The Detroit News reported that Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) pilots have agreed to a contract revision that clears the way for Delta and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) to announce a merger next week, according to sources close the matter.
• The United Auto Workers union notified General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM) of its deadline to strike three factories in Michigan if the two are unable to agree on local labor pacts, the Detroit News reported.
• The Business Standard reported that Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE: TM) is planning to invest Rs 1,400 crore in Toyota Kirloskar Motor, its India subsidiary to set up its second plant in the country.

Newspaper wrap-up: Delta pilots agree to changes, clears way for merger originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 11 Apr 2008 09:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Troubled savings and loan giant Washington Mutual Incorporated (NYSE: WM) will receive a $5B investment from private equity firm TPG and other investors, the Wall Street Journal reported. For now, this eliminates the possibility that it will be acquired by another financial institution such as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM).
• The Wall Street Journal also reported that music downloading copyright infringement lawsuits against Baidu.com Inc (NASDAQ: BIDU) and Sohu.com Inc (NASDAQ: SOHU) may be heard by a Chinese court.
• People close to the situation said that Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) have revived merger talks. It is speculated, the Financial Times reported, that weak demand and high fuel costs are urging the airliners back to the table to work out a merger arrangement.

• Evergreen Solar Inc (NASDAQ: ESLR) is expected to announce today that it will double the size of its manufacturing facility in Massachusetts and add about 350 new jobs as part of its ongoing expansion, according to the Boston Globe.

• Bloomberg reported that The Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) has been the only major investment bank that has refused to reduce its leverage. In fact, Goldman's adjusted leverage ratio of assets rose to 18.6 at the end of February, from 17.5 at the end of November.

Newspaper wrap-up: TPG, others, to invest $5B Washington Mutual originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 07 Apr 2008 07:53:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Following the collapse of The Bear Stearns Companies Inc (NYSE: BSC), the industry is rampant with rumors wondering about the financial well being of scores of other institutions, according to a Wall Street Journal report called "The Credit Crisis Hits Wall Street". True or not, its giving fits to the companies, regulators, and investors.
• Skyrocketing fuel prices and a weakened economy are taking their toll on the airline industry, reported the Wall Street Journal. Additionally, the proposed Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) merger with Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) has lost its momentum as airline pilots cannot agree on a structured seniority system.

• According to people close to the situation, the New York Times reported that before the end of the month, Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) is planning to lay off another 2,000 investment bankers and traders.
• The Detroit News reported that Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) appears to have fallen short of its goals in the latest, and possibly last, round of company-wide buyouts for hourly workers.

Newspaper wrap-up: More layoffs coming to Citigroup? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 20 Mar 2008 07:55:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• To help stabilize the housing market, the Wall Street Journal reported that the Bush Administration is planning to help create fresh funding for mortgages. The plan, which still requires final approval, is said to ease an excess-capital requirement for government sponsored organizations Federal National Mortgage Association (NYSE: FNM), or Fannie Mae, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (NYSE: FRE), or Freddie Mac, and the Federal Housing Administration.
• The Wall Street Journal also reported that a merger between Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) and Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) may be derailed after Delta pilots notified executives they remain unable to reach an agreement with Northwest pilots on how to integrate pilot ranks should the two combine.
• The Financial Times reported that BAE Systems Plc (OTC: BAESY) won a $715M order to supply nearly 1,500 mine-resistant vehicles from the U.S. government.

• The Chinese government has locked out Australian mining giants BHP Billiton Limited (NYSE: BHP) and Rio Tinto Plc (NYSE: RTP) from selling iron ore into its daily spot market, the Sydney Morning Herald reported. Mining sources said that the decision may have already cost Australia up to $300M in export profits.

Newspaper wrap-up: Bush plans more funds for mortgages originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 18 Mar 2008 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• A memo sent by Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) to the company's employees regarding Delta's merger talks with Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) stated that that no "potential transaction meets all [of Delta's] principles." The memo, the Wall Street Journal reported, is seen as a sign that merger talks between Delta and Northwest have stalled.
• A group of 14 hospitals and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, a Wall Street trade group, asked the SEC to buy back the debt they had issued, the Wall Street Journal also reported.
• German lender HSH Nordbank has filed a lawsuit against UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) for allegedly maneuvering to saddle the German bank with troubled securities. HSH Nordbank contends that UBS sold it $500M in complex investments, which a UBS hedge fund later used as a receptacle for troubled subprime-mortgage securities, according to the Wall Street Journal.

• According to FAO Newsroom, world fertilizer production is expected to outstrip demand over the next five years and will support higher levels of food and biofuel production.

Newspaper wrap-up: Talks between Delta and Northwest hit an impasse originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 27 Feb 2008 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• The Wall Street Journal reported that KKR Financial Holdings LLC (NYSE: KFN), a unit of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts, revived concerns of a credit crunch after it asked for a restructuring of billions of dollars in short-term debt.

• According to sources, the Chicago Tribune reported that Deutsche Lufthansa AG (OTC: DLAKY) could look to take an equity stake in a merger between Continental Airlines Inc (NYSE: CAL) and UAL Corporation's (NASDAQ: UAUA) United Airlines.
• The Associated Press reported that the pilots' unions of Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) are unable to agree on how seniority for the companies' pilots would work under a combined carrier. The impasse puts the deal in "serious jeopardy," inside sources reported.

• Electronics retailer Sharper Image Corporation (NASDAQ: SHRP) has filed for bankruptcy, citing declining sales and profitability, Bloomberg reported.

Newspaper wrap-up: Lufthansa could take stake in Continental, United combination originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 20 Feb 2008 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continental (NYSE: CAL) closed at $28.70 Thursday.

CAL and United Airlines (NYSE: UAUA) are in advanced negotiations and could complete a combination quickly if Delta (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) strike a deal, says Dow Jones.

WTI Crude oil is recently up .12% to $95.57 according to Bloomberg.

CAL March option implied volatility of 71 is above its 26-week average of 58 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Option update: Continental volatility at 71 on renewed reports of deal talk with UAUA originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 15 Feb 2008 09:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Within two weeks a merger between Delta Air Lines Inc (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest Airlines Corporation (NYSE: NWA) is expected to be announced. Not far behind may be one between UAL Corporation's (NASDAQ: UAUA) United Airlines and Continental Airlines Inc (NYSE: CAL), the Wall Street Journal reported.

• Bloomberg reported that Berkshire Hathaway Inc (NYSE: BRK.A) Chairman Warren Buffett forecast that the dollar's value is likely to decline if policies remain unchanged and said he believes a credit crunch is not under way.
• Tech Crunch reported that either Google Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG) or News Corp's (NYSE: NWS.A) MySpace is likely to announces a social space acquisition in the near-future. According to industry sources, the acquisition could be in the $1B-$1.5B range and may involve Bebo.

Newspaper wrap-up: Airline mergers may soon fly originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 07 Feb 2008 08:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

At some point last year did you find yourself stuck in a noisy, overcrowded airport terminal for hours on end waiting for your flight to take off? If so, you were by no means alone. According to the Transportation Department, last year was the second worst year in history for delayed domestic flights.

Splitting my time between America and Europe, I find myself on a lot of airplanes during the year, and luckily I only had one sizable delay on my domestic connections. While I found it rather irritating at the time, looking back on it I feel lucky that it happened only once. That is far better than the national average, which showed that 26% of all domestic flights were delayed during the year.

Granted, national averages have only been recorded going back to 1995, but last year ranked as the second worst year on record, with 2000 coming in slightly worse with 27.4% of flights seeing delays.

What reasons are we given for the excessive flight delays?

Continue reading Delays for airline passengers neared record levels last year

Delays for airline passengers neared record levels last year originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 06 Feb 2008 18:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.