"The ongoing renaissance of Eastern Europe is generating tremendous economic activity, boosting profits for companies across the continent," says Nick Lanyi in High Yield International.
He explains, "As Europe's largest economy, Germany is well positioned to continue benefiting from this growth." And within Germany, his current top pick is Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT), which offers a dividend yield of 6.7%.
"German stocks are currently available at historically low valuations. The country's DAX Index is trading at only about 12 times 2008 earnings estimates, with an average dividend yield of 3.4%.
"One of the world's largest telecommunications companies, Deutsche Telekom is much more than the descendant of Germany's monopoly local phone utility. It generates more than half its revenue from outside Germany -- from diversified operations across Europe and in the U.S.
"Outside of Germany, DT garners more growth from its wireless operations in Eastern Europe, the U.K. and the U.S. Most of these operate under the well-known T-Mobile brand. Overall, worldwide wireless activities account for about 55% of the company's revenue.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the exchange rate plus massive undervaluations make the great brands prime targets.
There's always been a groupthink in Europe about currencies. The companies that want to buy American companies have, at times, seemed to care more about the currency, or at least not buying a company in a country whose currency is in decline, than they care about the actual target.
That's what it looks like now that a large German company and now a large Italian company have decided to start splurging. It is no coincidence that Deutsche Tel (NYSE: DT) (Cramer's Take) and Finmeccanica are exploring Sprint (NYSE: S) (Cramer's Take) and DRS (NYSE: DRS) (Cramer's Take). These companies are selling for something like 40% off for those bearing euros, and neither potential acquirer has debt problems or subprime issues, so the deals don't have big borrowing problems.
That's what I am thinking about when I see the better-than-expected figures today from Unilever (NYSE: UL) (Cramer's Take) and the other day from Nestle. These companies are part of that same groupthink. They are looking, no doubt, at a Heinz (NYSE: HNZ) (Cramer's Take) and thinking, "Wait, that's about a $10 billion company that's a global leader."
Maybe it was tightening bank standards, maybe it was strong business orders for the services sector. Or, maybe it was a big hike in oil prices back to the $120 mark. Stocks took it on the chin today. Below are the unofficial closes for the major US index readings:
Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) traded much lower, bringing Wall Street down after Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) withdrew its $43.7 billion bid to acquire Yahoo Saturday. Shares fell 15% to $24.37.
Shares of Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) are rising on a Wall Street Journal (subscription required) report that Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT) is poised to make a bid for the wireless telecommunication company. If the report is accurate, Sprint's long suffering shareholders should do as the Steve Miller Band song suggests "take the money and run" because the deal may not happen.
For Sprint, though, this may be its only hope. Sprint shares have slumped almost 40% this year as the Overland Park Kansas-based company tried in vain to gain marketshare against larger rivals including Verizon and AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T). The commercials starring the company's affable CEO Daniel Hesse haven't helped much either. Remember when Hesse was named CEO last December, board member Irvine O. Hockaday Jr. remarked that Hesse "has the board's full support to take decisive actions necessary to improve our performance."
But as Bloomberg News points out, analysts argue that integrating the Deutsche Telekom and Sprint Nextel networks wouldn't be easy. Moreover, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security may not look kindly on a foreign company taking over a U.S. telecom provider for national security reasons, the news service notes.
Even so, the arguments for the merger are so compelling that it might be worth the risk.
S closed at $7.89 Friday. S is scheduled to report Q1 EPS on May 12.
S option volume was heavy on May 2, with 42,682 contracts trading. S May option implied volatility went out at 84 on May 2, June at 61. S average option implied volatility over the last 26-weeks is 62 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
The Wall Street Journal also reported that executives at Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) met with Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) executives earlier this week to discuss Microsoft's takeover offer for the company, marking a breakthrough in communication between the two companies.
HSBC Holdings Plc (NYSE: HBC) wants to expand its operations in sub-Saharan Africa, the Financial Times reported, as the region becomes increasingly significant for the bank's Asian and Indian clients.
OTHER PAPERS:
Due to its plunging stock price and the expected departure of millions of subscribers this year, sources are speculating about the fate of Sprint Nextel Corporation (NYSE: S). While analysts believe a company such as Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT) may look to buy Sprint, the Associated Press reported that neither Sprint nor its potential suitors are commenting.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Northrop Grumman, Groupe Danone and MercadoLibre were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) to Outperform from Perform after the Pentagon selected the company over Boeing (NYSE: BA) for the newly designated KC-45A Aerial Refueling Tanker with a potential value of $35B.
Citigroup upgraded shares of Groupe Danone (OTC: GDNNY) to Buy from Hold on valuation, as they believe the sell-off on commodity cost concerns is overdone.
MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, as they believe MELI's long-term thesis is more compelling now vs. six months ago and notes favorable reaction to Mercado Pago v2.0.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Pfizer, Dell, Quest Diagnostics, and Societe Generale were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Lehman upgraded Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) to Equal Weight from Underweight on valuation.
Friedman Billings raised Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) to Outperform from Market Perform, citing expectations for improved margins next quarter, and valuation.
Quest Diagnostics (NYSE: DGX) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral by Credit Suisse, which cited valuation.
Lehman upgraded shares of Societe Generale (OTC: SCGLY) to Overweight from Underweight to reflect a potential takeover by BNP Paribas and limited downside.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Bayer (OTC: BAYRY) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight by Lehman.
Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) was upgraded to Hold from Sell by Citigroup.
Public Storage (NYSE: PSA) was raised to Buy from Hold by Deutsche Bank.
UBS raised Entergy (NYSE: ETR) to Buy from Neutral.
In what may be a sign of interest from large media companies looking to delve into the "content delivery space," the Wall Street Journal reported that EdgeCast Networks is set to announce it has raised up to $6M from Steamboat Ventures, The Walt Disney Company's (NYSE: DIS) venture-capital arm.
Barron's "The Trader" section says they'd stay away from Federal National Mortgage Association (NYSE: FNM), even though the Bush administration's subprime-mortgage freeze program caused the stock to rebound some. Barron's speculates that Fannie should take an earnings hit in the range of $6.4B to $14B.
According to the Financial Times Deutschland, Deutsche Telekom AG's (NYSE: DT) T-Mobile is selling less than 700 of Apple Inc's (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhones a day; this compares to the 10,000 iPhones the unit sold on a daily basis during Christmas.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Dick's Sporting, Ericsson and Deutsche Telekom were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Citigroup upgraded shares of Dick's Sporting (NYSE: DKS) to Buy from Hold based on valuation, margin expansion and increased visibility.
Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) was raised to Buy from Hold at WestLB on valuation following yesterday's sell-off. The firm feels investors need to look beyond 2008.
Lehman upgraded shares of Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) to Equal Weight from Underweight as they believe earnings momentum will be seen in the near-term.
A ruling in Vodafone Group Plc's (NYSE: VOD) favor may cause Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) to rethink its business model for the iPhone device. The injunction against Deutsche Telekom AG (NYSE: DT)'s T-Mobile unit may force Apple to "unlock" its iPhones, the UK Times reported.
Struggling airline UAL Corporation (NASDAQ: UAUA), along with its unit United Airlines, is struggling, but finding a carrier willing to merge may be a problem, BusinessWeek speculated.
Apple's PR machine does not know how to do anything small, so it is expected that the company will say that it will "hand a UK sale deal to Spanish Telefonica's O2 UK unit, a German deal to Deutsche Telekom's (NYSE:DT) T-Mobile and a French deal to France Telecom's (NYSE: FTE) Orange."
With the iPhone's price already dropped, sales in Europe can be expected to be strong.
The product, however, has at least two problems as it moves overseas. One is that the phone is currently a 2.5G product while Europe cellular users are, in many cases, already on 3G networks. Apple would need a short time table to get a next-generation product to market.
The other issue with the iPhone is that technology pirates have figured out how to "unlock" the device so that it can work on more than one cellular network. It is too early to say whether this will affect the exclusivity that Apple is seeking from network partners, but it at least raises the question of how easy it will be to force consumers to stay with one provider.
Speculation intensified that the Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates shortly, and moreover, some are suggesting that it already has cut them stealthily, reported the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).
The CEO of Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) , René Obermann, called for the European mobile phone networks to be consolidated, reported the Independent.
Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) is believed to be negotiating the purchase of a European pension plan worth about GBP200M, reported the U.K. Times.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said the economy and markets are "resilient," and can absorb any losses from the recent market instability, and has not raised the possibility of policy changes to deal with the markets' problems, reported the New York Times.
The New York Timeswrites that amid all the Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone frenzy, the news of the launch of a "game changing" cellular product by T-Mobile may have been lost.
T-Mobile, the US cellular arm of Deutsche Telekom (NYSE:DT), currently runs in fourth place for cell subscribers in the US. Verizon Wireless, AT&T (NYSE: T) Wireless, and Sprint (NYSE: S) are ahead of it.
T-Mobile's new phones allow customers to make regular calls on the cell network, but have a WiFi feature set up to make free internet calls within WiFi hot spots. Even when on the internet consumers "still get call hold, caller ID, three-way calling and all the other features."
It is a classic case of whether form beats function. The iPhone has a tremendous set of features, but only works on the AT&T Wireless 2.5 G network, a step down from 3G-enabled handsets. The T-Mobile product offers the potential of huge savings.
T-Mobile may be taking a risk by offering a phone where its customers can make some of their calls for free, but that is what you do when you are in fourth place.
According to the Wall Street Journal, citing a person close to the deal, Deutsche Telekom (NYSE: DT) will acquire the Orange Netherlands unit of France Telecom for about EUR1.3B, and simultaneously sell Ya.com for EUR320M to them.
The Financial Times reported that three separate research teams showed the embryonic stem cells can be created by reprogramming some of the genes in adult mice skin cells, without creating an embryo. The news will be well-received by opponents of embryonic stem cell research, but scientists said it is too early to tell if the technique can be used with human cells.
OTHER PAPERS:
The Herald Sun reported that a new $237B Chinese state-owned investment fund may be interested in acquiring natural resources company BHP Billiton Limited (NYSE: BHP), according to Bell Potter research chief Peter Quinton.
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