Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) continues to win consumers and tons of market share with its various iProducts (iPhone, iPod, etc.) along with the ecosystems that come with these products (iTunes, App Store, etc.). Can the company keep it up? There are newer competitors who are offering huge catalogs of music downloads that work with any brand of music player (including the iPod and iPhone), but that hasn't stopped Apple from rolling over competing services in the past.DigitalMusic posts
FeedApple's iTunes will still dominate digital music, even with enhanced competition
Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) continues to win consumers and tons of market share with its various iProducts (iPhone, iPod, etc.) along with the ecosystems that come with these products (iTunes, App Store, etc.). Can the company keep it up? There are newer competitors who are offering huge catalogs of music downloads that work with any brand of music player (including the iPod and iPhone), but that hasn't stopped Apple from rolling over competing services in the past.Continue reading Apple's iTunes will still dominate digital music, even with enhanced competition
Hey, Warner Music Group beats expectations - but who cares?
Warner Music Group (NYSE: WMG) released its Q4 earnings on Tuesday. Did the numbers have all the makings of a hit? To start off, revenues declined over 1%. That's not hit material, to be certain. Here's something that might get your toes tapping, however: income from continuing operations came in at $0.04 per share, a pretty musical achievement considering that analysts thought that a loss of $0.02 per share would be recorded. And I have to note that the company did pretty good on the free-cash-flow front (I also noted this in a previous piece).
But here's the deal with Warner Music Group: like the music industry in general, it's still trying to adjust to the digital age. Buying music recorded on physical media just isn't where it's at these days, thanks to Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and others. The music industry would really love to get more money for their content, but because of the popularity of the low-pricing scheme at iTunes and other download sites, I don't think that's going to happen anytime soon. Indeed, when I purchase songs at Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), I really appreciate that $0.99 price point, and I probably would loathe paying $1.29, $1.39, etc., per tune.
In the end, even with the earnings beat, I'm not sure I could seriously consider Warner Music Group as a great investment idea. Forget that the company's release schedule is reportedly being affected by the recession and that this may shift potential earnings excitement to the latter part of the year -- you've got to remember that this is a low-priced stock in a difficult market environment. As of Tuesday's close, Warner Music Group was trading for less than $3 per share. The stock has been very weak lately, a falling knife, in fact. Best not to attempt a catch of this particular blade.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Wal-Mart to be exclusive distributor for AC/DC album
AC/DC made its name as one of the pioneers of hard rock and heavy metal, but the band's latest gig has a decidedly corporate ring to it: the band's new album, Black Ice, will be available exclusively (subscription required) at Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT)It's the band's first album of new material in eight years, and will be debut on October 20th at the "everyday low price" of $11.88. AC/DC's music has never been available on iTunes.
Classic rock bands including The Eagles and Journey have made albums to be sold exclusively at Wal-Mart and, while it doesn't exactly have iTunes quaking it in its boots, it is one gimmick that's keeping CD's relevant for at least a little while longer.
Artistically, it's more than a little bit pathetic to see bands that used to be so cutting-edge hocking their wares through an exclusive arrangement with the world's largest retailer.
It's a good thing The Beatles broke up so its rabid fans wouldn't have to endure stuff like this.
Napster misses expectations in Q1, should be avoided by investors
Napster (NASDAQ: NAPS), a digital-music-download entity that competes with Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO), cued up its Q1 numbers on Monday after the bell. The top line decreased 6% to $30.3 million. The bottom line showed a net loss of 10 cents per diluted share, same as last year's results. In fact, the company lost a dime per share in the previous quarter. Must be something special about that number. Anyway, according to Briefing.com, Napster missed Wall Street estimates by one penny.
Gross margin for the quarter was flat at 27% when comparing to year-over-year data, but it did represent an increase over the 26% gross margin from the previous quarter. That's got to count for something, right? No, it doesn't. Neither does the press release's promotion of the new MP3 initiative. I could care less. Napster is an equity trading at a very low price, it's racking up losses, and it'll never become a serious threat to Apple and the iPod/iTunes empire. A good investment this is not.
The stock was down 10% in yesterday's after-hours session. I'm not sure where it will close in the regular session today, but Napster isn't where I want to be. There are better ideas out there, Apple certainly being one of them. I know that the stock snapshot shows it has been strong in the last month or so, but I'm not inclined to read too much into that in this particular case. For me, it's about stock price (too low) and brand equity (not powerful enough). Apple and iTunes sing a much better song than Napster, in my opinion...
[Editor's note: At 8:12 a.m. NAPS shares traded 2.7% higher]
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
MasterCard joins with Universal to offer free music downloads
Cardholders who also make a purchase by August 31 will be "entered into a sweepstakes with a grand prize of having a meet and greet with Jon Bon Jovi, Eric Clapton or Kenny Chesney." MasterCard executive Amy Fuller told Billboard with the new campaign, the company has "created unparalleled music experiences with three of the world's most popular artists, providing consumers with an intimate perspective on these icons that few fans will ever have." But those fans will have to win the sweepstakes.
MasterCard's campaign to offer free downloads is like numerous other programs that are linked with music companies, but it offers to take the digital market to a larger consumer base. Lowered prices (eventually) for the campaign mean that Universal Music Group will continue to hold on to the lead in music sales, if only because the music company is the only one on board with MasterCard. Consumers that might not have ever downloaded a track may be enticed to try out the campaign and the sweepstakes. This type of growth is what the music industry will need if digital sales are ever going to replace physical sales successfully and completely.
Rock Band 2 coming this fall
Rock Band 2 will be released at a time when a number of other music-related games, and according to MTV Games the game will feature "new and 'improved' drum and guitar controllers, a larger soundtrack, and new online modes and customization options." Additionally, all previous controllers and downloaded songs will also be compatible with the new game, so players will not lose those features or be required to buy new input devices. The game will initially only be available on Microsoft Corporation's (NASDAQ: MSFT) Xbox 360 platform but will expand to other systems by the end of the year.
Rock Band and Guitar Hero alike have revolutionized many listeners' interface with the music they love, simply because it expands the "play-ability" of many users who may not have ever picked up or tried to play actual instruments. Those listeners aren't lazy by any means, but these two game franchises expand the experience of playing music in a way that has never been possible before.
The Shins experimenting with release and distribution business models
Unlike other major bands that leave record labels because of displeasure with the industry or the management of the company, The Shins are not unhappy with how Sub Pop has marketed the band's records. The band's last album, Wincing the Night Away, debuted at number two on the Billboard 200 and has sold more than 538,000 copies to date. The band's hopes for the new deal include ownership of the album masters and an infrastructure to successfully market the new record and cover costs.
A separate digital deal is also reportedly being considered, but what this change for The Shins indicates is that while they are a successful band and have sold a lot of records, they are not so established that they cannot mandate what they expect from the industry. So many of the bands and artists to leave labels in the past year have done so because they were solidly established in numerous markets and with many fans, but also because they were displeased with the industry. There's nothing wrong with The Shins or this tactic, it's just nice to know that huge bands and longtime artists aren't the only sources looking for the best alternatives to the problems in the music industry.
Digital sales still too slow for music industry growth
The chairman and CEO of the IFPI, John Kennedy, also revealed that "digital sales are growing healthily but, crucially, not fast enough to arrest the overall decline of the market." The report also noted "physical and digital piracy cost the U.S." arm of the music industry $5.3 billion, with digital piracy counting for 70 percent. Kennedy indicated that 39% of U.S. teenagers used file-sharing networks to illegally download music, with over 30 billion illegal downloads taking place around the globe. The IFPI has been at the front of a movement to "engage the support of Internet service providers" in order to curb users from illegally downloading via threats from ISPs.
Despite digital sales slow growth as physical sales continue to plummet, the advances made in accessibility and quality of music in 2007 should prove beneficial for the industry. With labels and music companies dropping anti-piracy technology in the face of continued illegal downloads, there remains apparent trust and hope in consumers. A 34% increase in one year may seem small, but if digital marketing can continue to improve in that fashion then the music industry may not have too much to lament.
Warner Music (WMG) reports larger-than-expected quarterly loss
The world's third largest music company, Warner Music Group Corp. (NYSE: WMG), reported this morning a wider second quarter loss and suspended a quarterly dividend to strengthen its balance sheet. Warner Music posted a quarterly loss of $37 million, dragged down by higher costs and lower compact disc sales. Analysts had expected a loss of 12 cents per share, and were disappointed to see the company report a loss of 25 cents per share.
Warner's quarterly revenue rose only 2% to $800 million compared with $784 million a year ago. The company attributed the revenue decline to its recorded-music segment whose sales climbed only 0.6% due to consumers' preferences for digital music. However, the drop in revenue could have been even worse if the recording company hadn't benefited from the weak dollar, Warner stated. Analysts expected revenue of $780 million, according to Thomson Reuters.
Continue reading Warner Music (WMG) reports larger-than-expected quarterly loss
Apple passes Wal-Mart as world's largest music seller
The days of music distribution have changed. They're not changing, they've already changed. Nothing indicates this more easily than a leaked report from research brain trust NPD Group that indicates Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has surpassed longtime #1 music retailer Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) as the world's largest music seller.Here's the kicker -- Apple does not sell a single physical piece of music. It's all digital. The company's iTunes digital music store sells music, videos, television shows and movies to all those bazillions of iPod users around the world. Now, it just took out the world's largest retailer in terms of selling the most music. This even though Wal-Mart sells more CDs than anyone in addition to its very sizable music download service as well.
Apple passed Best Buy Inc. (NYSE: BBY) as the second-largest music retailer just recently, and now it's on top. All by using the mighty download as its vehicle of choice to get content to its customers. Is the music industry a different world than it was just five years ago? I'd say more like a different universe. Movies and television shows -- you could be next. In fact, the transition may already be far, far underway.
The Grammy Awards as Revolution: a 50-year musical cycle
It's breaking the mold that has me thinking about the record industry because it is on the verge of a major shift and reorganization. Searching for some insight into the awards, I came across this piece about the awards and the "revolution" that is occurring now in comparison to the "revolution" that was just starting in the music industry 50 years ago. What this piece illustrates expertly is how quickly the record industry has declined. It is hard to believe that once there was optimism in the industry for technology and technological growth. It's also hard to believe that album sales only peaked 8 years ago.
Technology seems to have become quite the problem for the record industry, as they find themselves fighting against the internet community and consumers that illegally download music. But, illegal downloaders are not the only consumers that have caused the decline of the record industry; it is also those listeners that legally download music from digital store's like Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iTunes, or Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN)'s new MP3 store. In addition, the technology that was highly regarded in 1958, the LP (or its counterpart, the CD) has also contributed to the decline.
Continue reading The Grammy Awards as Revolution: a 50-year musical cycle
Illegal music downloading outpacing legal by 20-to-1
The IFPI also said that "digital downloads have grown in five years to account for 15 % of the world's music sales, with more than 500 legally licensed music sites selling around 6 million tracks of music." The industry's fight against piracy has received massive support in France, where the government of President Nicholas Sarkozy has proposed to have Internet service providers there "automatically disconnect customers involved in piracy." Japan leads digital downloads, both illegal and legal, with sales and piracy mostly working through consumers' phones.
Although this devastating report indicates that the record industry is still in a dire situation, the developments in legal downloading throughout the last few months in 2007 and the first month of 2008 seem to set a more optimistic tone. Whether the disabling of anti-piracy technology from all music labels will allow growth this year, is obviously yet to be seen, but the benefits of the music available now would seem to outpace the availability of media available illegally. The problem of paying for products still remains for those consumers, but the quality of new MP3 tracks is finally at an acceptable level for those that look for the difference.
Sony-Ericsson: One more too many music stores
Sony-Ericsson, the fourth-largest handset company, has announced it will open its own music store for consumers who buy its handsets. According to MarketWatch, the service "will be available in 30 countries worldwide by the end of 2008, starting from May. It will offer more than 5 million music tracks."
With Nokia (NYSE: NOK) and Apple (NYSE: AAPL) already in the same business, it is hard to see how the new Sony-Ericsson initiative will find customers. A number of cellular carriers have services of their own, which means that they compete with their own handset suppliers. Companies outside of the cellular business have also created music download stores for portable devices. The most notable new player in that market is Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN).
The multitude of download services is not likely to make those getting in late much money. And having so many services in the market will confuse the consumer.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
With Sony BMG deal, Amazon will offer unlocked MP3s from all major labels
Previously, Sony had announced a new promotion of album cards, which would allow listeners to download DRM-free MP3s, but it was limited to only about three dozen albums. The new agreement brings the entire catalog to Amazon.
The major point here is that Amazon's store now offers tracks that are playable on virtually any platform or device, from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)'s Zune and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iPod to various off-brand players. In a press release given to Ellen Livshin of OutCast Communications, Amazon.com Vice President for Digital Music Bill Carr revealed this very fact: "Our Amazon MP3 customers will be able to choose from a full selection of DRM-free music downloads from all four major labels and over 33,000 independents that they can play on virtually any music-capable device." U.S. Sales head for Sony Thomas Hesse echoed these sentiments and added that the label is "excited to be working with Amazon as they continue to build new markets for digital music."
I've remarked before that the Amazon.com MP3 store would increase competition and drive the digital market forward, and with this announcement it seems that many predictions about the online music realm are being realized, albeit much earlier than expected. Many had pointed to mid-year as the time when DRM technology would disappear completely, but as we can now see, that timeline will be January, at least for one store.
The move is also a potentially devastating blow to Apple's iTunes Store, which had headed up the move away from DRM but has not great success, managing to score only the EMI catalog early last summer. Whatever the case may be, the Amazon.com move will increase the competition and hopefully begin the revitalization process the music industry needs. All they have to do is promote it and get consumers interested.
Napster plans for user-friendly MP3s
Napster (NASDAQ: NAPS) -- the mother of all file-sharing services that in 10 years' time has found itself one among many digital-music services struggling for its very survival -- is hoping its new move will attract more users. Today, Napster CEO Chris Gorog said the company is shifting to MP3 downloads free of digital-rights-management software [subscription required], or DRM. The move is expected to occur sometime in the second quarter, but Napster has yet to finalize the arrangements with some of the four major music companies - Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE), Warner Music Group, EMI Group and Vivendi SA's Universal Music Group. The final three on this list recently began selling MP3s on the download service available through Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN). Sony has yet to report plans to sell its tracks as MP3s, but is reportedly expected to come forward soon.



