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Discover Financial looks for some credit from investors

It's been about a year since Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS) became a public company. Unfortunately, the stock performance has been miserable -- going from $31 to $13.57.

Yet, the company keeps making money. In the latest quarter, Discover posted net income of $234 million, or $0.48 per share, which compares to $209.2 million, or $0.44 per share in the same period a year ago. The company got a boost from its unloading of its Goldfish card division (a UK credit card company).

No doubt, Discover must deal with the slowing U.S. economy. But, the good news is that the company has been relatively conservative with its credit standards and has long-time customers (which helps provide more stability). However, there is still a rise in delinquencies and charge-offs. For example, overdue loans (for the past 30 days) has gone from 2.71% to 3.54% over the past year.

Now, Discover does have key asset advantage; that is, it operates its own processing network. This is certainly a solid business as people increasing use credit cards and other electronic payments. In fact, Discover recently purchased Diner's Club International, which also has its own processing network.

Unfortunately, Wall Street isn't interested. The belief is that -- as the economy remains sluggish -- there is likely to be a drag on the growth of Discover.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Discover dines on M&A

For the past couple days, I was at the Card Forum & Expo in Miami. There was a lot of buzz about debit cards, alternative payments – such as BillMeLater.com and Revolution Money – as well as mobile applications.

But there was also lots of talk about the recent buyout deal -- Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS) agreed to purchase the Diners Club International network from Citigroup (NYSE: C). The price tag came to $165 million.

Actually, Diners Club is a pioneer, having created the first major platform for charge cards (back in 1950).

No doubt, it was mainly for the affluent, and in the world of credit cards, Diners looks more like a niche player. So why the interest from Discover?

Basically, it's a way to move more aggressively into global markets as cards from Diners are accepted in more than 185 countries.

According to Discover, the deal is expected to add $10 million to $15 million in annual pre-tax profits – which is certainly good news. So, in yesterday's trading, Discover's stock price was up 5.5% to $18.09.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates DealProfiles.com.

Citigroup (C) rises on Diner's Club sale

C logoCitigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) shares are rising after a few news items regarding the company. First, C named Mark Rufeh as chief administrative officer and head of productivity for the institutional clients group. Rufeh is known as a cost-cutter, and the company hopes he can restore efficiency and discipline. Discover (NYSE: DFS) also agreed to buy Diner's Club from Citi. Lastly, most banks are getting a boost from the news that Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) may get as much as a $5 billion investment. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on C.

After hitting a one-year high of $55.55 in May, the stock hit a one-year low of $17.99 in March. C opened this morning at $24.85. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.61 and a high of $25.19. As of 12:45, C is trading at $25.11, up $1.03 (4.2%). The chart for C looks neutral but improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a June bull-put credit spread below the $17.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just two and a half months as long as C is above $17.50 at June expiration. Citi would have to fall by more than 30% before we would start to lose money.

C hasn't been below $17.50 at all in the past year and has shown support around $21.50 recently. This trade could be risky if the US economy turns out not to have hit bottom yet, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find around $20, where it found support twice in the past month.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in C or DFS. He does control a bullish hedged play on WM that could be doing better.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+30.6910,464.40
NASDAQ+6.872,176.05
S&P 500+4.981,110.63

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 09:22 AM

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