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What the Final Harry Potter Film Means to Time Warner

Time Warner (TWX) logoWarner Brothers, Time Warner's (TWX) movie entertainment arm, is going to launch part 2 of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows in 3D during 2011. We take this opportunity to estimate the value of such movies from Time Warner's perspective. Time Warner competes with Viacom (VIA), News Corp. (NWS), CBS (CBS) and Disney (DIS) in the media and entertainment business.

Our price estimate for Time Warner's stock stands at $35.51, in line with market price.

Continue reading What the Final Harry Potter Film Means to Time Warner

Thoughts on IMAX

What a day for IMAX (IMAX), huh? Actually, make that a couple days. At the time of this writing, shares of the 3D-theater entity were up 5.7% to $31.70. Volume was very significant (and there still were over two hours to go until the end of the trading day). On Thursday, the stock closed with an incredible gain. What's going on?

Well, I'm assuming a deal in China, as mentioned over at TheFly, helped to catalyze the bullish reaction by the market. In addition, our Analyst Calls piece highlights an upgrade that was sent the company's way. Are you ready to get on the IMAX bandwagon?

Continue reading Thoughts on IMAX

Disney's 'Mars Needs Moms' Bombs on Opening Weekend

Mars Needs MomsThe title of Walt Disney's (DIS) latest film release is Mars Needs Moms. I don't know whether the Martian planet needs moms or not, but the Mouse certainly could have used a few more of them to bring their kids to theaters this past weekend.

Box Office Mojo says that the motion-capture-fueled Moms made $6.9 million at domestic screens during its debut outing. That's $6.9 million over three days. But wait, there's more: that's $6.9 million over three days for a movie produced by Robert Zemeckis. What the heck happened?

Continue reading Disney's 'Mars Needs Moms' Bombs on Opening Weekend

Raising Estimates on CBS on Better Ad Environment

CBS (CBS) competes with other media conglomerates like Disney (DIS), News Corp. (NWSA), Time Warner (TWX) and Viacom (VIA) in the media and entertainment business.

The company recently released its fourth quarter 2010 earnings. Based on observed improvements in margins across all categories, an improving advertising environment and continued growth in the local broadcasting segment, we have updated our price estimate for CBS stock to $26.34. Our price estimate for CBS stands at 18% premium to the market price.

Continue reading Raising Estimates on CBS on Better Ad Environment

It's Disney vs. Time Warner at the Multiplex

According to Box Office Mojo's early estimates for the four-day holiday weekend, Time Warner Inc.'s (TWX) thriller Unknown has taken the number-one position with a domestic haul of $25.6 million. The next two movies on the chart came close to that figure, but the more interesting thing about them is that they come courtesy of The Walt Disney Company (DIS).

In second place is Gnomeo and Juliet with $24.8 million. Pretty cool, actually. I didn't think the cartoon would necessarily hold up as well as it has in the second weekend.

Continue reading It's Disney vs. Time Warner at the Multiplex

CBS Tops Estimate in Q4: Buy the Stock?

CBS Corporation (CBS) issued its fourth-quarter report after the bell today. The results should make shareholders happy. Adjusted net income rose an incredible 77% to 46 cents per share, according to the press release. That number went beyond the estimate by two pennies as indicated by TheFly.

Considering how the stock has fared over the past twelve months, one would have expected a good earnings report. The 52-week low for the shares is $12.26 while the 52-week high is $22.25. The chart communicates a company backed by some solid momentum.

Continue reading CBS Tops Estimate in Q4: Buy the Stock?

Analyst Calls: AVY, CSUN, DIS, INTU, KBH, KEY, LEN, NVTL, UBS, USNA ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Disney (DIS) to buy from hold at Wunderlich.
  • Pike Electric (PIKE) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
  • Kindred Healthcare (KND) to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
  • UBS (UBS) to hold from sell at Canaccord.
  • Avery Dennison (AVY) and Take-Two (TTWO) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • Mercer (MERC) to outperform from market perform at Raymond James.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AVY, CSUN, DIS, INTU, KBH, KEY, LEN, NVTL, UBS, USNA ...

Disney Beats Q1 Estimates, Stock Rises -- Is It Overvalued?

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) released results for its fiscal first quarter after the bell today. As a shareholder, I was very eager to see the data since the stock recently broke through the tough resistance level of $40. Would the recent rise in the stock be justified by the profit growth?

You know, that just may be the case. According to the corporate press release, on an adjusted basis, net income jumped 45% to 68 cents per share. Even better, the call was for 56 cents per share. That's a significant beat. As for the top line, it expanded by a healthy 10%.

Continue reading Disney Beats Q1 Estimates, Stock Rises -- Is It Overvalued?

Who Will Win the Super Bowl Ad Game This Year?

BudweiserTeams have been preparing their game plans and it's time to see which of the 60 teams will win. No, not the Packers or Steelers -- Go Pack! -- but PepsiCo (PEP), Anheuser-Busch (BUD), General Motors (GM) and all the other companies competing for the best spots in one of TV's most expensive marketing moments, costing an estimated $3 million dollars per 30 second spot.

For those not into football, the ads in the Super Bowl game can be more amusing than the game itself as advertising teams compete for attention, show their best efforts and even get rated by numerous online sites. Last year, Doritos (owned by PepsiCo), and E-Trade (ETFC) did well, and Anheuser-Busch seems to always have a Clydesdale horse in the running.

Continue reading Who Will Win the Super Bowl Ad Game This Year?

Time Warner Set to Report Q4 Earnings

Time Warner Inc. (TWX) will be reporting fourth-quarter numbers on Wednesday, February 2. How is the stock looking ahead of the release?

The main point about the shares to me is that they are in a tight range. The 52-week low is $26.74 while the 52-week high is $34.07. The chart is an up-and-down affair as you might expect. While there definitely have been multiple opportunities at making money with this idea, I wonder how many investors tend to think of it as a great long-term vehicle. I know I don't. Time Warner, to me, is one I would trade instead of own at this point.

Continue reading Time Warner Set to Report Q4 Earnings

Keynote Systems Goes Mobile

Keynote logoWhile investors have been dumping mobile and cloud stocks lately, the fact is that these sectors still have promising long-term prospects. Just look at Keynote Systems (KEYN), which provides monitoring technologies. On its latest earnings report, the stock spiked 25% to $18.75.

In the quarter, revenues increased 20% to $24.8 million and adjusted earnings were $0.32 per share. The consensus forecast was for only $0.17.

Continue reading Keynote Systems Goes Mobile

Viacom Hits New 52-Week High

Viacom logoViacom's B shares (VIA.B) hit a new 52-week high of $43 on Friday during the intraday session (it eventually closed at $42.28). This is a stock I watch fairly regularly, and it's looking like it wants to make a run to even higher heights.

The equity has done well since hitting a 52-week low of $27.89 nearly a year ago. The twelve-month chart shows the stock's escape from a sideways-trading pattern. You can't help but call the media company attractive from a technical viewpoint.

I also find the business to be interesting from a valuation perspective. Even with the appreciation in price, the shares are arguably not too expensive.

Continue reading Viacom Hits New 52-Week High

Will Disney Finally Break $40?

Disney Mickey MouseLast week, Disney (DIS) hit $40 per share. It's something I've been waiting a long time to see. I know many investors, as well as traders, have done well, depending on when they purchased the stock. I myself started a position back in 1998. As far as I'm concerned, the company didn't do what I thought it would over the past decade-plus.

I'm hoping all that's about to change. Now that the Mouse has returned to the $40 area, perhaps it's a sign that $50, $60, maybe even $70 aren't the impossible prices I once thought they were. No, I'm not suggesting we'll see $70 in 12 months, or even in 24 months; I won't even suggest $60. But $50? Hey, let's just say when I look at the chart, I'm encouraged that new resistance levels may be taken out.

Continue reading Will Disney Finally Break $40?

IMAX: Interesting Trading Day

IMAX (IMAX) finished 2010 with a wild trading day. With a little over two-and-a-half hours to go before the market bell, I had noticed that the stock was up an incredible 15.6% to $31.05. On heavy volume. Yes, heavy volume, on the last day of the year.

What was the reason? There was some speculation about a buyout. StreetInisder.com had reported that Sony (SNE) was possibly interested in buying the business. Disney (DIS) was also mentioned as a potential acquirer.

Continue reading IMAX: Interesting Trading Day

GE's 'Little Fockers' Beats Viacom's 'True Grit'

Little Fockers, the comedy sequel starring Ben Stiller and Robert DeNiro, distributed by General Electric's (GE) Universal Pictures, came in first this past weekend. According to early estimates over at Box Office Mojo, the film made $34 million for the Friday-through-Sunday frame (it opened last Wednesday, so its total is now approaching $50 million).

That easily beat the other new movie in the marketplace, Viacom's (VIA.B) True Grit. This one stars Jeff Bridges and was directed by Joel and Ethan Coen. Grit was second with roughly $25 million. It also opened last Wednesday; it has so far captured over $36 million.

Continue reading GE's 'Little Fockers' Beats Viacom's 'True Grit'

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 06:45 PM

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