Continue reading Dow Chemical's profit drops 97% but tops expectations

Dow Chemical's profit drops 97% but tops expectations originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 30 Apr 2009 08:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Dow Chemical (DOW) to sell Morton Salt for $1.675 billion

Dow Chemical (DOW) to sell Morton Salt for $1.675 billion originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Apr 2009 12:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Today's technical outlook: Market building the case for capitulation

Today's technical outlook: Market building the case for capitulation originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 03 Feb 2009 09:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Since July 11, the price of oil has fallen 25% from $147 to $110. This has been terrible news for holders of energy stocks -- which have nosedived. But for people who need to fill up their tanks, prices at the pump remain relatively elevated -- having fallen about 10% (I remember paying $4.11 at the peak and now pay $3.69 a gallon).

Meanwhile, the New York Times reports that companies using oil in their products are keeping their prices high despite the oil price drop. These companies seem to be acting in unison to raise prices -- suggesting there is not enough competition in their markets.

Which companies are raising prices still? Those who believe they can get away with it as they try to recoup the lost profit resulting from the recent increase in the price of oil -- which is an important raw material in their products..

• Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) increased prices to retailers up 7% to 10% "for items made with ingredients derived from oil to 'recover costs already incurred,'" according to a Times interview with its spokesman.
• Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) raised prices by 50% for the oil-based raw materials that go into diapers and polystyrene. It "does not want to give up those increases until the company recovers its old profit margins since '[its] prices continue to lag [its] cost increases,''" according to a Times interview with its spokesman.
• Goodyear Tire and Rubber (NYSE: GT) has raised tire prices by 15% and is "still making synthetic rubber tires from oil-based feed stocks bought at relatively high prices more than three months ago [and it] 'could not consider canceling the price increase until it knew whether oil prices were going to stay down,'" according to a Times interview with its spokesman.

Continue reading With oil down 25%, why do gas and other prices stay so high?

With oil down 25%, why do gas and other prices stay so high? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 03 Sep 2008 08:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

DuPont (NYSE: DD), a competitor of Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW), reported earnings for the second quarter today, and as Melly Alazraki stated in her Before the Bell article, agriculture helped drive results and earnings. Expectations were not just met, they were beaten by four pennies. The call was for $1.07 in earnings per share by analysts, and DuPont delivered, on an adjusted basis (excluding $0.07 related to a litigation benefit and a better tax rate), $1.11 per share. Last year at this time, DuPont reported $1.04 per share for the bottom line, giving the company about a 7% growth rate.

Shares are up as of this writing by a little under 2%. Not a bad increase considering DuPont is a stodgy Dow Jones component. But it's not exactly an exciting price rally, and it basically reflects my feelings for the earnings results. They were decent enough, but they weren't so overpoweringly good that I'd want to initiate a position in DuPont. And that's saying something, because the business is cheap on a forward-looking basis and from a dividend-yield point of view, in my opinion. DuPont thinks it can do somewhere between $3.45 and $3.55 per share for the fiscal year. With shares trading around $45, that gives the stock a decent valuation.

Yet, DuPont used cash for operations in its first six months, and capital expenditures have increased. Will the economy be kind to DuPont in the coming months? That's the wild card these days, the dreaded economy. Yes, DuPont may have done all right this quarter, but I don't need to buy it. I can look elsewhere for more compelling ideas.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

DuPont did okay, but it's not on my list originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 22 Jul 2008 15:37:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Dow Chemical shakes things up

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Dow Chemical shakes things up originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 10 Jul 2008 08:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) announced it will acquire Rohm and Haas (NYSE: ROH) for $78 per share.

DOW July option implied volatility is at 34; August at 41; above its 26-week of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

ROH July and August option implied volatility of 38 was above its 26-week of 30 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Option Update: Dow Chemical volatility elevated into purchase of ROH originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 10 Jul 2008 07:58:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Paul Krugman's New York Times op-ed tries to defend his Princeton colleague, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke. Krugman suggests that inflation is not a problem because he can't find any long-term labor contracts with 11% annual pay increases as in 1981's United Mine Workers contract.

Krugman gets himself into a weak position and he does not disclose his fealty to Bernanke whom he evidently does not believe can defend himself. It seems absurd to pretend that inflation is not a problem. Food prices have tripled and oil prices have doubled as Bernanke cut the Fed funds rate from 5.25% to 2%. Last week Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) announced a 20% price increase as did Eastman Kodak (NYSE: EK) in response to rising oil and other commodity prices. Huntsman Chemical (NYSE: HUN) announced a 25% price increase. And consumers -- who account for 70% of GDP growth -- expect inflation to rise at a rate of 7.7%.

Continue reading Krugman's lame defense of Bernanke's pro-inflation policy

Krugman's lame defense of Bernanke's pro-inflation policy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 02 Jun 2008 09:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Dow increases prices by up to 20% -- good or bad? Depends... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 28 May 2008 18:22:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) shares are trading higher after the company announced it will raise product prices by up to 20% almost immediately. The company cited higher energy and raw-material costs for the price hikes, and used the announcement to criticize the government for failing to develop a logical energy policy. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on DOW.

After hitting a one-year high of $47.96 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $33.01 in January. DOW opened this morning at $40.77. So far today the stock has hit a low of $40.25 and a high of $40.79. As of 12:40, DOW is trading at $40.70, up $0.47 (1.2%). The chart for DOW looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $35 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just 7 weeks as long as DOW is above $35 at July expiration. Dow would have to fall by more than 13% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Continue reading Dow Chemical (DOW) hikes prices

Dow Chemical (DOW) hikes prices originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 28 May 2008 14:23:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

With stocks beaten up, those courageous investors looking for cheap stocks should take a look at Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW). With the recent announcement of its 50/50 joint venture with Kuwait's Petrochemical Industries Company (PIC), to form a market-leading, global petrochemicals company, Dow stands to become the world's leading petrochemical company. Look for growth in China to help propel earnings over the next decade.

"We're creating a petrochemicals company that will be a global leader from its first day of operation, an $11 billion company that is well positioned to grow profitably across the industry cycle," said Andrew N. Liveris, Dow chairman and CEO. "For Dow, this marks an important milestone in our transformational strategy: growing our Basics businesses through joint ventures; reducing our capital intensity; and, freeing up cash to invest in our portfolio of Performance and Market Facing businesses."

The stock is off 20% from its high, and it's now sporting a juicy yield of 4.5%. That's not all; the stock has a P/E of about 10.60 and more importantly, a PEG of just 0.86. So what you have is a company with nice growth, paying a handsome dividend, that has gotten pounded down. Dow Chemical looks like a winner for investors over the next few years.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer has no position long or short in any stock mentioned as of 1/8/08.

Searching for value: Look at Dow Chemical originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 08 Jan 2008 10:58:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Associated Press is reporting that Dow Chemical Company (NYSE: DOW) will sell a 50% interest in five of its global businesses to a Kuwaiti company, Petrochemical Industries Co, for about $9.5 billion to form a new petrochemicals joint venture.

The joint venture will be based in the U.S. and will employ more than 5,000 people worldwide, mostly current Dow employees and will be 50% owned by Dow and PIC.

This will put cash in play that can be used for a wide range of activities. Dow may choose to slash long-term debt, which this tidy sum would eliminate almost entirely. It also may choose to expand other ventures that have a promise of higher returns or diversify into businesses that are less dependent on oil as feedstock and thereby increase potential growth while reducing volatility.

Continue reading Dow Chemical in $9.5 billion venture with Kuwaiti company

Dow Chemical in $9.5 billion venture with Kuwaiti company originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 13 Dec 2007 11:11:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Dow Chemical Company (NYSE: DOW) was trading at $45.50 in pre-open trading, above its close of $41.75.

DOW and Petrochemical Industries Company of the State of Kuwait announced plans to form a 50/50 joint venture that will be a market leading global petrochemicals company. DOW overall option implied volatility of 29 is near its 26-week average of 28 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price risk.

Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options update: Dow Chemical volatility flat into 50/50 venture with Kuwait Petroleum Corp. originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 13 Dec 2007 10:58:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Reacting to $90-plus a barrel oil prices, airlines, many of whom are beginning to see profits again, are passing along increases to passengers. Led by AMR Corporation's (NYSE: AMR) American Airlines, the largest carrier, increases per ticket are being increased about $20, according to the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).
• The UAW may not face stiff opposition among its rank and file member for a new four year labor contact with Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), as local leaders in Detroit approved a tentative four year deal, reported the Wall Street Journal.

• The New York Post reported that two fired Dow Chemical Company (NYSE: DOW) executives shopped the company to investors, according to industry consultants' affidavits filed by the company to support its claims that the execs breached their corporate duties.
• The Telegraph reported that CIBC World Markets' financial services analyst Meredith Whitney has called for Chuck Prince's successors to break up Citigroup (NYSE: C).
• Several private equity firms are competing to buy the 32% stake in Sony Corporation's (NYSE: SNE) Sony Entertainment Television currently held by Indian investors, reported the Economic Times.

Newspaper wrap-up: Analyst calls for Citigroup break up originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 06 Nov 2007 09:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This year has been a stock picker's market extraordinaire! This month's review provides ample evidence of this, as you'll note that Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), which I included for fun because of its popularity, beat all else as a portfolio of one. The average of my seven picks came in second, beating James Cramer's average based on his nine picks. Both Cramer and I beat each of the three indices I am tracking, and therefore beat the average as well, with the largest and most stable, the Standard & Poor's 500 coming in last.

Of course, this could easily change given recent market volatility. A sharp downturn in the market could reverse our fortunes. A lot can happen in the remaining two months -- I take nothing for granted.

While Google shined brightly this year, Cramer and I have each made one pick that shined brighter. Cramer's best, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) has gone into orbit this year on the wings of the iPhone, iPod, and growing Mac sales. Benefiting from rising oil prices, shortages in China and the Chinese government allowing a 10% price hike, my PetroChina ADR (NYSE: PTR) has rocketed, becoming the second-largest capitalized company in the world. PTR has done this even in the shadow of Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) selling its shares and Warren Buffett questioning the huge appreciation of the Chinese stock market and stocks overall.

Continue reading Chasing down 007 picks: AAPL +135%, PTR +85%, GOOG +53%, & VLO +36%

Chasing down 007 picks: AAPL +135%, PTR +85%, GOOG +53%, & VLO +36% originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 02 Nov 2007 14:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Dow Chemical (DOW) higher on Dow Corning Q3 earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 26 Oct 2007 11:52:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW), a diversified chemical company, is recently up $1.42 to $46.17 after Bloomberg confirmed DOW canceled an analyst meeting. DOW has been the frequent subject of private-equity takeover chatter and the cancellation is refueling the conjecture. DOW call option volume of 27,544 contracts compares to put volume of 5,011 contracts. DOW November option implied volatility of 36 is above a level of 28 from twenty minutes ago, according to Track Data, indicating traders positioning themselves for a higher share price.

W.R. Grace (NYSE: GRA), supplier of specialty chemicals & industrial applications, is recently up $1.12 to $30.06 on unconfirmed LBO chatter. GRA call option volume of 9,562 contracts compares to put volume of 724 contracts. GRA October 30 straddle is at $2.00. GRA November option implied volatility of 61 is above its 26-week average of 51, according to Track Data, suggesting traders are positioning themselves for a higher share price.

Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update 10-12-07: DOW, GRA calls active on M&A chatter originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 12 Oct 2007 16:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• EMC Corporation (NYSE: EMC) was initiated with a Buy rating and $24 target at Banc of America as they believe the company's core business is undervalued and should benefit from penetration of new market segments. Deutsche Bank views shares of the stock as fully valued at current levels, starting shares off with a Hold rating and $20 target. Jefferies believes the divergence in valuation of core EMC and majority-held VMWare Inc (NYSE: VMW) creates an attractive entry point. The firm started EMC shares with a Buy rating and $25 target.
  
• CIBC finds shares of Blue Nile (NASDAQ: NILE) fairly valued and sees challenges as competition increases. The firm started shares with a Sector Performer rating.
  
• CIBC also initiated shares of Getty Images Inc (NYSE: GYI) with a Sector Performer rating, as the firm believes the company's earnings visibility is limited while the business model is in transition.
  
• Coverage of Sonus Networks Inc (NASDAQ: SONS) was resumed with an Overweight rating and $8 target at Thomas Weisel. Their checks indicate the company is experiencing increased order activity in 2H07, and they expect an improved Q3 followed by a very strong Q4.

• Credit Suisse Group (NYSE: CS) was initiated with an Overweight rating at Morgan Stanley.
  
• Oppenheimer initiated Consolidated Communications Holdings Inc (NASDAQ: CNSL) with a Buy rating and $24 target.
  
• UBS initiated the U.S. homebuilding sector with a Pessimistic outlook.
  
• UBS initiated shares of Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) with a Neutral rating and $37 target.
  
• Bear started shares of The Dow Chemical Company (NYSE: DOW) with a Peer Perform rating.
  

Analyst initiations: EMC, NILE, GYI and SONS originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 25 Sep 2007 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

No surprise the volatile James Cramer of TheStreet.com carries the burden of having made the best and worst picks for the year among those I've been tracking monthly. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), the best performer among all the stocks and indices in this review, has saved his rear throughout the year. In general, it has been a good year for energy and tech stocks. It has been a poor year for the financial sector, and as of August, for most of the Wall Street investment firms.

August had some gut wrenching moments but finished on a positive note. Still, the Dow Jones Industrial Average's 14,000 level has not been seen since the financial sector gave the bears something to grouse about. The housing market and subprime loans continue to worry the market, but no help is expected in the form of rate cut from the Federal Reserve.

Crude oil prices have been up slightly, but down at the pump even through the busy Labor Day weekend and even with continued turmoil in Iraq. All the speculation about a Dow 15,000...16,000...17,000 has come and gone and I have not read about such silliness lately.

Continue reading Chasing down 007 picks: GOOG tops, Cramer scrapes by indices

Chasing down 007 picks: GOOG tops, Cramer scrapes by indices originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 04 Sep 2007 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Bear Stearns Companies Inc (NYSE: BSC), already forced to shut two hedge funds that bet heavily on the risky subprime-mortgage market, is now facing big losses in a third fund that has roughly $900 million in mortgage investments, according to people familiar with the matter, reported the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).
• Three months after announcing that it may sell itself to Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), Crescent Real Estate Equities Company (NYSE: CEI) is expected to move ahead with the $2.9B sale for its exit from the public market, reported the Wall Street Journal.

• According to people familiar with the matter, Dow Chemical Company (NYSE: DOW), the largest chemicals group in the U.S., is considering making a counter-bid for ICI, which has a GBP7.8B bid from Akzo Nobel (NASDAQ: AKZOY), reported the Telegraph.
• The Telegraph reported that British Airways (OTC: BAIRY) has agreed to pay a fine of GBP121.5M to the U.K.'s Office of Fair Trading and will also pay a fine to the U.S. Department of Justice because of its involvement in an alleged price-fixing scandal.

• Home Depot Inc (NYSE: HD) has fired four purchasing managers for their involvement in a purchasing scandal involving millions of dollars in kickbacks regarding the display of flooring products, reported CBS News.

Newspaper wrap-up 8-1-07: More bad news at Home Depot originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 01 Aug 2007 09:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.