Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ:
AMGN) reported Friday after market close positive initial results from its tests of denosumab, a drug designed to increase bone density in breast cancer patients. AMGN stock is down this morning, however, as analysts await larger trials of the drug as the company has come under fire due to safety, reimbursement and label concerns about its anemia drug franchise. There are some indications of a higher rate of infections with AMGN's drug, but due to the relatively small sample size it would be tough to draw conclusions. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on AMGN.
After hitting a one-year high of $76.95 in January, the stock hit a one-year low of $48.25 last week, which it has broken this morning. This morning, AMGN opened at $48.02. So far today the stock has hit a low of $47.67 and a high of $48.13. As of 11:30, AMGN is trading at $47.92, down $0.48 (-1.0%). The chart for AMGN looks bearish and steady, while
S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April
bear-call credit spread above the $60 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in four months as long as AMGN is below $60 at April expiration. Amgen would have to rise by more than 25% before we would start to lose money.