This post was written by Minyanville contributor Lance Lewis

The consensus seems to be blowing off the G20 as a nonevent for the dollar, but then again the consensus didn't anticipate the Fed announcing that it would begin to monetize Treasury debt a couple weeks ago either. And it was that Fed decision that brought us to where we are today.

The impossible has happened. The Chicago Cubs won the National League pennant?

No, ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet is now in accommodation mode.

Trichet, a legendary inflation hawk, presided over the European Central Bank as it cut its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 2% Thursday.

It was fourth consecutive monthly interest rate cut for the ECB and it matches the record low interest rate reached during the 2003-2005 period. However, Trichet, at the ECB's regular post-meeting news conference, indicated monetary policy makers will avoid a cut in interest rates at its next meeting in February, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.

Economist David H. Wang said there's a bright side and a downside to the ECB's most-recent action, and he isn't so sure the bank is done cutting rates, even with a prospective February pause.

In most locales around the world, the New Year is a cause for a celebration.

But how about a new year celebration combined with the birthday party? Talk about a celebration.

When the new year dawns, Europeans will be doing just that - - at least Europeans in the euro zone: that's because the euro currency turns age 10 on January 1, 2009.

Euro has strengthened Europe

When launched January 1, 1999, 11 nations comprised the euro zone: Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain. Later, Cyprus, Greece, Malta, and Slovenia joined, and Slovakia will become a member on January 1, 2009 to bring euro zone membership to 16.

Further, while some critics still denounce the euro as 'paving the way for end of Europe's broad social safety net' the euro currency has basically achieved its goals, with enormous benefits for Europe's citizens and visitors, so says economist Peter Dawson. The euro traded at $1.3890 Wednesday morning.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says we're in a relentlessly terrible market.

Slew of bad news to wake up to. Freeport (NYSE: FCX) (Cramer's Take) eliminates its dividend to conserve cash as copper has had an unmitigated decline. Impairments coming; ugly, but somewhat predictable given the stunning stock drop. Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) (Cramer's Take) overnight becomes Nokia (NYSE: NOK) (Cramer's Take) or maybe even Garmin (NASDAQ: GRMN), (Cramer's Take) as the commoditization of tech continues apace. We can sell everything cell-phone-related off that. Tech down again.

Too bad, because it wrecks the rally from yesterday and confirms -- endlessly -- how bad this market is.

It's also too bad because China was up big last night, which I believe will put in a bottom to the mineral and steel market components someday. Pricing will get tight eventually as U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) (Cramer's Take) and Freeport are taking out a huge amount of capacity. They have to; the pricing falls are that devastating. There will be plenty of companies in these industries that simply won't survive because of the pricing.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the paltry half-point cut means we're headed lower once again.

Wrong!

The European Central Bank needed to move in lock step with the Bank of England. It left us hanging with a half-point cut.

That means we're sunk again.

The near-term tug of war just got uglier. Without the ECB cutting as much as the BOE, we have no reason to buy.

Period.

Last night, in a meeting with a bunch of hedge fund managers, there was uniform agreement that the market has to be bought with huge rate cuts, that you need to ignore the near-term Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) (Cramer's Take) (to use the generic version of crummy earnings) and go with the Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) (Cramer's Take) offering that will make it so lending will come again and demand be spurred.

Two major central banks took drastic monetary policy action Thursday to further stimulate their economies. The Bank of England unexpectedly cut it benchmark interest rate by a gargantuan 150 basis points to 3%. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank cuts its key rate, the refinance rate, by 50 basis points to 3.25%.

"There has been a very marked deterioration in the outlook for economic activity at home and abroad," the Bank of England said in a statement.

Economist Richard Felson had expected a 75-basis-point cut by the BOE. "We know that several business surveys in the U.K. are pointing to a pronounced contraction, with consumer spending showing little life. I think those facts, and the tighter credit markets, prompted the decision," Felson said. "Few expected as large a cut, but it was the correct move, and there's likely to be additional rate cuts ahead."

The BOE has now cut interest rates by 200 basis points since October 8.

The ECB also took bold action to stimulate growth, with a 50-basis point cut. Felson said continental Europe is likely to experience the effects of the downturns in consumer and business demand later, but the fact that the hawkish-leaning ECB "is in full accommodation mode" is a sign of the scope of the economic slowdown.

Is the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency coming to an end?

It could be, if present trends driven by corrective measures taken to stem the global financial crisis continue, in the view of one monetary official.

European Central Bank council member Ewald Nowotny believes a 'tri-polar' global reserve currency system is developing among Asia, Europe and the United States.

"What I see is a system where we have more centers of gravity," Nowotny said Monday in an interview with Austrian state broadcaster ORF-TV, Bloomberg News reported Monday. "I see for the future a tri-polar development, and I don't think that there will be fixed exchange rates between these poles."

The dollar has served as the world's reserve currency for more than 30 years. A reserve currency is one which financial institutions -- and nations, for that matter -- seek to own during times of financial crisis, stress, or uncertainty. The reserve currency attracts investors in a phenomenon called a 'flight to safety.'

The euro, the currency of the euro zone, this decade has challenged the dollar's reserve currency status, following its introduction into global financial markets in 1999. (Physical euro banknotes and coins began to circulate on January 1, 2002.) A series of U.S. fiscal policy and trade policy errors, among other factors, has caused the dollar to weaken against the euro from about 82 cents per euro in 2001 to the present $1.3317 per euro.

Economist Allen Sinai, founder of Decision Economics, Friday underscored a dimension of the financial crisis that appears to be getting short-shrift: namely, that U.S. home foreclosures continue to erode the asset base of the U.S. financial system.

Efforts by the Fed, ECB and other major central banks to keep credit markets supplied with dollars, as well as bank recapitalization efforts, are critical to ending the financial crisis, but they won't achieve their goal if more is not done to get at the root cause of the crisis: mortgage foreclosures, economists generally agree.

As Sinai and BloggingStocks' Peter Cohan have noted, home foreclosures are the source of the bad bond problem -- at once both turning selected mortgage backed securities to notes barely worth the paper they're printed on and also weakening banks' balance sheets.

FHA, others must move 'at full-speed on refinances'

Further, economist Richard Felson said it's time for federal officials, in the Federal Housing Authority, Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM), and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to "move at full-speed and get as many at-risk mortgages refinanced at lower, fixed rates."

The manager of world's largest bond fund is taking a positive stance regarding market confidence following U.S. and European efforts to stabilize the global financial system.

PIMCO chief investment officer Bill Gross said Friday finance minister and central bank action worldwide should soon loosen-up credit and bond markets.

"We're talking weeks here," Gross said in an interview with Bloomberg News.

Gross' Total Return Fund has yielded 4.4% annually over the past five years, besting 99% of its peers in the government / corporate bond category, as of October 16, according to data compiled by Bloomberg News. California-based PIMCO has $840 billion under management.

Gross: more rate cuts needed

Gross has also called on the U.S. Federal Reserve to lower its benchmark interest rate to 1% from the current 1.5%, arguing that asset deflation has taken hold and that the threat of headline inflation is gone, Reuters reported.

The world major economies are using a combination of fiscal and monetary policy actions to end a liquidity crisis that threatens to severely damage economies worldwide by constraining commercial operations.

Short-term interest rates continue their downward trek, albeit at a snail's pace.

Overnight interest rates for dollars fell again early Thursday, after central banks provided $254 billion in emergency cash, Bloomberg News reported.

The London interbank overnight rate, or LIBOR, fell 20 basis points to 1.94%, Bloomberg News reported Thursday. The London three-month rate decreased 5 basis points to 4.50%.

Short-term rates, including overnight rates, are key sources of cash for corporations and other large institutions, which use the cash to pay suppliers, make payroll, roll over debt etc. Hence, very high overnight and short-term rates will discourage corporations from conducting business, restricting commerce and slowing the economy, economists say.

Trend indicates liquidity is improving, gradually

Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks Thursday the Bank of England's delay in its closure of emergency borrowing and the European Central Bank's acceptance of lower-rated securities as collateral and its lending of unlimited amounts of euros over the next six months has broadened the credit landscape.

The credit market thaw continues.

Interest rates for three-month loans in dollars fell again early Wednesday, after three major central banks offered lenders unlimited dollars for the first time.

The London three-month rate for dollars decreased 9 basis points to 4.55%, Bloomberg News reported Wednesday. Meanwhile, a comparable euro rate dipped 5 basis points to 5.18% and the London interbank overnight rate, or LIBOR, fell 4 basis points to 2.14%.

The European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Swiss National Bank all offered lenders unlimited dollars for the first time, Bloomberg News reported.

Short-term rates, including overnight rates, are key sources of cash for corporations and other large institutions, which use the cash to pay suppliers, make payroll, roll over debt etc. Hence, very high overnight and short-term rates will discourage corporations from conducting business, restricting commerce and slowing the economy, economists say.

Coordinated dollar offering helps

Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks Wednesday the coordinated dollar offering, combined with Tuesday's $250 billion U.S. bank recapitalization by the U.S. Treasury, should keep short-term interest rates heading in the right direction: lower.

Gosh. Golly. Gee Whiz.

That was the reaction Monday of traders and economists to the European Union's coordinated decision to invest a staggering $2.4 trillion in interbank loan guarantees and bank recapitalizations, ft.com reported, to end the global financial crisis.

(Of course, 'gosh, golly' etc. were not exactly the reactions of traders and economists -- this is a family-appropriate financial blog -- but you get the point.)

Europe's decision sparked a global rally in stocks. The Dow closed up 936.42 points -- the largest one-day point gain in its history -- to 9,387.61.

Europe takes the lead

At minimum, Europe is saying that its economic stake in the current global financial system is so large that it's willing to err on the side of over-committing public funds, economist Peter Dawson said.

"Europe's response is very large, unexpected, and it could prove to be the pivotal move in this crisis," Dawson said. "Europe appears to be saying, 'well the United States is doing what it can do, given its political constraints' now let's do what our political culture allows. Basically, Europe is saying 'the storm of fear starts to lose its strength here.' "

The measures were both sweeping and unprecedented in size and scope, Dawson said. Germany said it offered about $680 billion in loan guarantees and will invest $108 billion in its banking system, ft.com reported. France said it would provide up to $435 billion in loan guarantees and invest as much as $52 billion. The United Kingdom has committed about $70 billion for investment in key banks, along with a guarantee for banks deposits and interbank lending. The Netherlands, Spain, and other nations announced similar plans.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is leading an unprecedented effort by major central banks to push dollars into the global financial system, the Fed announced Monday, backstopping government fiscal policies to restore confidence,

The European Central Bank, Bank of England, and the Swiss Central Bank, will offer unlimited dollar fund auctions with maturities of seven days, 28 days, and 84 days at a fixed interest rate. The Bank of Japan may offer similar measures, the Fed said.

The Fed added that "central banks will continue to work together and are prepared to take whatever measures are necessary to provide sufficient liquidity in short-term funding markets."

Dollar falls on increased currency supply

The dollar fell early Monday against the world's other major currencies on the news, as traders adjusted positions to the increased supply of dollars. The dollar fell one half cent to $1.3615 versus the euro, 1.5 cents to $1.7286 versus the British pound and one-third yen to 100.37 versus Japan's yen.

Economist Richard Felson told BloggingStocks Monday the major central banks' effort is clear: keep financial markets adequately supplied with dollars amid a world that's hoarding dollars.

"It's one of the paradoxes of this current global financial crisis that despite the fact that the crisis originated in the United States, banks and financial institutions around the world are hoarding dollars. The reason is the dollar is still the world's reserve currency and investors are engaging in a flight to safety. The consequence has been a credit crunch," Felson said. "The central banks' policy should help alleviate that crunch by ensuring that there's adequate dollar liquidity. It's the correct move."

The resources of the central bank of the world's second strongest economy have now been marshaled to address the global financial crisis.

The European Central Bank, led by President Jean-Claude Trichet has shifted policy - - a remarkable, historic change - - and is now working in coordination with its companion major central banks - - the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and the Bank of China - - and others, to end a credit crisis that threatens to cripple international business and seriously damage economies, worldwide.

A legendary inflation hawk,Trichet, whose ECB lowered its key, short-term interest rate by 50 basis points in conjunction with the other major central banks on Wednesday, declined to rule out further steps to solve the crisis, including additional interest rate cuts, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.

ECB: banks offered unlimited cash at 3.75%

Further, and equally significant, Trichet offered banks unlimited cash at 3.75% to help them cope with tight credit markets, Reuters reported Thursday. Previously, the ECB had offered funds to the highest bidders, a tactic that pushed average rates as high as 4.99% - - almost 75 basis points above the official rate.

In addition, the ECB cut in half the premium it charges for overnight emergency loans and increased the interest rate it pays on deposits, Reuters reported Thursday.

In an unprecedented, emergency, coordinated move, the Fed and other major central banks cut interest rates Wednesday, in an attempt to prevent the global financial crisis from spreading further and damaging economies.

The Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Canada, Sveriges Riksbank, and the Swiss National Bank each lowered their benchmark rates by 50 basis points. The Bank of Japan was not involved in this round of rate cuts, but said it fully supported the action.

Separately, China's central bank also lowered its one-year lending rate by 0.27 percentage points.

"`The recent intensification of the financial crisis has augmented the downside risks to growth and thus has diminished further the upside risks to price stability,'' the banks said in joint statement. "Some easing of global monetary conditions is therefore warranted."

The action brought the Fed's benchmark rate to 1.5%; the ECB's main rate is now 3.75%; Canada's declined to 2.5%; the U.K.'s rate fell to 4.5%; Sweden's rate declined to 4.25%. China's rate fell to 6.93%.