As U.S. stocks continue to struggle under seemingly unrelenting selling pressure, tech-sector heavyweight EMC Corporation (NYSE: EMC) plunged today into single-digit territory for the first time in more than two years. In fact, EMC earlier fell to $9.35, its lowest price since August 2004. However, today's losses are simply an extension of the stock's long-term trend -- EMC has steadily declined since November 2007 under pressure from its 10-month and 20-month moving averages.
The drop into single digits is troubling for EMC, since the round-number $10 region has provided support for the shares for more than 5 years. The stock hasn't closed a single month below this area since April 2003, and it's only made a few short-lived forays below double-digit territory in the intervening months. In fact, prior to today, the equity's annual low stood at $10.10.
EMC pared its losses by the close and settled today 3% lower at $10.12, but the stock isn't out of the woods yet. The multi-year low tagged earlier could prompt some analysts to reevaluate their bullish stance on this once-strong performer. According to Zacks, EMC has garnered 12 Strong Buys, 4 Buys, and 5 Holds, with absolutely no Sell or Strong Sell ratings to be found. This top-heavy configuration leaves the sliding stock highly vulnerable to downgrades or other bearish notes. Any negative commentary from the pros on Wall Street could force EMC to revisit that rarely explored territory south of $10.
U.S. stock futures were higher Tuesday morning, after stocks on Monday plummeted to lows not seen since in years as the Dow closed below 10,000 for the first time in four years. After Australia's central bank cut interest rates by the largest amount speculation regarding an interest rate cuts from central banks around the world helped alleviate some worries. Meanwhile, oil rebounded to around $90 a barrel Tuesday in Asia after plunging to an 8-month low Monday, and Bank of America issued a profit warning. Alcoa will unofficially kick off earnings season today.
Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) shares are trading 9.6% lower in pre-market action after it said Monday its third-quarter profit slid 68% to 15 cents a shares, below analysts' estimates of 61 cents a share. BAC also announced a dividend cut and raise $10 billion in stock offering. Analysts from Robert W. Baird and Deutsche Bank proceeded to cut their own estimates.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) shares are jumping 18% in pre-market trade after it confirmed plans to spin off its manufacturing operations to a new joint venture, Foundry Co., with an Abu Dhabi investment firm. The other part will be focused on designing microprocessors.
Despite the fact that the markets were lower much of the day, they eventually managed to on the session higher. This was a win considering that profit takers and short sellers weren't able to hammer down the market after such large gains Tuesday. Oil fell again to levels under $119.00.
EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC) shares were down under 1% right before the close today, although they had been down 5% after some rumors that Cisco was interested in the company were put to sleep.
Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT) is continuing to see options speculation build in the stock. Shares were mostly flat today, but options volume was huge again and is up 10% in seven trading sessions.
EMC Corp.'s (NYSE: EMC) once-high flying VMware, Inc. (NYSE: VMW) finally found the wherewithal to replace its CEO, Diane Greene. The company replaced her yesterday with former Microsoft executive Paul Maritz. Microsoft is shaping up to be VMware's main competitor as computing environments in many business circles would like to jump on the virtualized bandwagon instead of dedicated hardware platforms for specific purposes.
Although VMWare was a hot IPO back in August of last year -- touching the $125 mark in October -- the stock started a downward slump right before Christmas and has been on a see-saw ever since. VMW shares are sitting less than four points from all-time lows this morning after a 25% drop Wednesday. In fact, this month has seen a 39% share price slump on the back of an overall 52% drop in 2008. Those numbers are sure to get any CEO in hot water. Although Greene reportedly constantly clashed with EMC management (EMC owns a large majority of VMware), the final axe swing surely came on the back of the share price depression currently underway. EMC management, in other words, bowed to the needs of the market in canning Greene.
Greene has been referenced as inadequate to lead a company into the world of a $2 billion annual business (its projection for 2008). I don't buy it -- she has a Master's Degree in Computer Science from UCal Berkeley along with another advanced degree. At heart, she's a brilliant computer nerd. As the head of a leading software virtualization company, her credentials and investment in VMware sound like a perfect fit. At the end of the day, though, financial performance in the eyes of a public share price is the driving force in executive retainer decisions. Greene helped co-found VMware and is heavily invested in it, but the market is not investing in her any longer. Let's hope Maritz can do a better job.
Nearly two years after Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) bought YouTube for over $1.6 billion, it seems that it is not the cash cow Google had hoped it could become. Getting ad revenue from YouTube, The Wall Street Journal says, is not an easy task. Despite the site's popularity with surfers, it isn't popular with big corporate advertisers. World-wide revenue from YouTube ads is likely to total about $200 million for the full year, less than Google's expectation. Google has been trying to show it is not a one-trick pony, YouTube was critical in that.
According to The New York Post, "A blind trust run by Mayor Bloomberg is willing to pay between $4.5 billion and $5 billion to buy Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER)'s 20 percent stake in Bloomberg LP."
If you missed it Tuesday, VMware (NYSE: VMW) sank over 24%, taking EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC) shares down 11% with it. The drop is attributed to two main issues, "VMware's warning that revenue for the current year will fall short of expectations," and doubt "EMC would spin out the remainder of VMware's shares." But this morning, after the abrupt replacement of co-founder and CEO Diane Greene by former Microsoft Corp. official Paul Maritz, Wall Street still doesn't seem to be fully satisfied.
ThinkPanmure reiterated its "buy" rating on Taleo (NASDAQ:TLEO) ahead of the company's analyst meeting, according to the AP.
Goldman Sachs upgraded International Paper (NYSE:IP) from "buy" to "neutral", according toBriefing.com. The news service also writes that Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) from $185 to $210.
EMC Corp (NYSE:EMC) was cut to "neutral" at Bernstein, according to 24/7 Wall St.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Acergy, Casey's General and Corinthian Colleges were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Citigroup downgraded shares of Acergy (NASDAQ: ACGY) to Sell from Hold as they see risk to the company's backlog and believes the recent share rally is not supported by business operations.
Casey's General (NASDAQ: CASY) was downgraded at Friedman Billings to Underperform from Market Perform citing headwinds that include weak gas comps.
Banc of America downgraded shares of Corinthian Colleges (NASDAQ: COCO) to Neutral from Buy as they believe the post-legislation lending overhang will limit further share upside until COCO can show its students can access federal funds with minimal disruption.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Bernstein cut EMC Corp (NYSE: EMC) to Market Perform from Outperform.
EMC (NYSE:EMC) Cut To Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein, according to24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reports that Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) Raised to Overweight at Lehman.
Thomas Weisel initiates Walgreen (NYSE:WAG) as "overweight" according to Briefing.com. Friedman Billings has taken Symantec (NASDAQ:SYMC) off its "best picks" list.
The markets got some extra relief today as weekly jobless claims only rose by 6,000 to 371,000. The Philly Fed also showed that manufacturing contracted slower than expected as output fell by 0.7% in April. Below are the unofficial closing prices for major index levels:
China Architectural Engineering, Inc. (AMEX: RCH) enjoyed another massive day as its stock rose another 23% to $10.17 late in the day based on construction, architecture, and engineering needs that will be necessary in China after that earthquake.
EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC) said its first-quarter profit dipped 14% on acquisition-related charges, but it posted a 17% revenue gain to $3.47 billion that beat Wall Street forecasts. Excluding items, EMC's profit was $477.3 million, or 23 cents per share. Also, VMware (NYSE: VMW) reported a 5% profit rise on faster-than-forecast sales growth. The company is mostly held by EMC. EMC shares are up about 5.5% in premarket trading. VMW shares are up 13.75% in premarket trading.
Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM), spun off last month by Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) reported first-quarter earnings this morning, posting a 29% increase in profit to $1.87 billion, or 89 cents a share as new varieties of Marlboro cigarettes such as clove flavored ones as well as acquisitions spurred sales in Indonesia, Pakistan and Mexico. The weak dollar also helped boost the bottom line. Revenue climbed 18% to $15.6 billion. The results beat the 78 cents analysts were looking for. Altria reports quarterly results Thursday. While Altria now does all its business in the U.S. where smoking has been on the decline, cigarette companies tend to do well in a weak economy.
Last night we heard that eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) is suing Craigslist for unfairly trying to dilute eBay's 28% stake in it by more than 10%. Craiglist today is firing back, saying the online auctioneer's actions are unethical and smelling of a hostile takeover.
Tech companies suffered in the big internet explosion in 2000. Part of the problem was that many of them did not have adequate cash reserves to make it through the storm. They are concerned that the 2008 recession will be deja vu all over again.
According toThe Wall Street Journal, "As of late last month, the technology sector -- which already had been heavy on cash in the past few years -- held nearly $232 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up more than 6% from nearly $218 billion a year earlier, according to Standard & Poor's."
The move is mindless and completely unnecessary. Ebay (NASDAQ: EBAY) now has $3.6 billion and EMC (NYSE: EMC) has $4.5 billion according to the S&P numbers. The idea of building assets on the balance sheet makes no sense because both companies make money and have forecast to make money for the rest of the year. EMC had operating income of over $1.7 billion last year.
Wall Street does not like to see "unused" cash sitting around making 2.5% interest. Companies that do not have announced M&A programs, big share buy-backs, or special dividends are going to be punished for balance sheets that are too good.
And they should be.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Blockbuster (NYSE:BBI) was cut to "neutral" at JPMorgan according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reports that EMC Corp. (NYSE:EMC) was cut to "hold" from "buy" at Citigroup.
Citigroup downgraded Emulux (NYSE:ELX) from "buy" to "sell" according toBriefing.com. The newswire also reports that Bear Stearns downgraded Affymetrix (NASDAQ:AFFX) to "underperform" from "out perform"
MOST NOTEWORTHY: EMC Corp, Emulex, VCG Holding and Conexant were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Citigroup downgraded shares of EMC Corp (NYSE: EMC) to hold from buy and Emulex (NYSE: ELX) to sell from buy and lowered its targets to $17 from $22 and to $12 from $20, respectively, to reflect their more cautious stance on the storage space after channel checks indicated a broadly softening demand environment, most notably for 'higher ticket' items.
Merriman downgraded shares of VCG Holding (NASDAQ:VCGH) to neutral from buy following the Q4 miss, as they believe acquisitions could slow in the near-term. They prefer to move to the sidelines until the company's outlook improves.
Oppenheimer downgraded Conexant (NASDAQ: CNXT) to perform from outperform as they believe the CEO departure could interrupt the company's turnaround.