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Enerplus Resources Fund: Making Canadian bacon

I always like a nice big dividend to protect against the downside and really boost the upside, and an almost 10% yield is one reason why I like Enerplus Resources Fund (USA) (NYSE: ERF). This is a Canadian oil and natural gas company with a steady rate of growth and a fine dividend, and it's one to grab if you can get it for the right price.

Beyond the substantial dividend, I also like ERF's size and strategy -- I think the company is well placed to keep delivering the growth and the profits of the past few years. It has a wide range of reserves, which means it can avoid costly acquisitions; this range also will give the company some steady revenue as it undertakes its current efforts to expand drilling in oil sands, a competitive but potentially lucrative source of oil.

Despite these strengths, there are a few risks. For one thing, the price of oil and gas could decline -- though that
seems unlikely these days. But there's also a very good chance that Canadian legislation will mean that trusts like ERF are taxed starting in 2011. If this goes through, it will of course cut into ERF's profits. The big question is when this will start affecting share prices; it's hard to know, but I imagine it won't be until after 2009. There's also the fact that the stock price has been pretty volatile, perhaps in part because investors pick it up to get the dividend and dump it shortly thereafter. But this up and down cycle only presents opportunity for a savvy investor who can jump in when it's low.

Type of Stock: A Canadian oil company with solid reserves and an excellent dividend.

Price Target: ERF is currently trading around $47, or the midpoint of its 52-week range. I think it's a good buy if you wait for a pullback below $45.

Hilary Kramer is a financial editor and money coach for AOL and an authority on investing. Visit her at www.hilarykramer.com.

Enerplus Resources Fund: 'Essentially meeting expectations'

Upon occasion, earnings reports are studies in how to put lipstick on a pig. So it is refreshing, albeit confusing, to read that Enerplus Resources Fund (NYSE: ERF) senior management believes the company is "essentially meeting our expectations." By all means, don't gush. It takes a fair amount of due diligence to turn up information on this thinly covered Canadian oil and gas exploration and drilling company. Those analysts that do track the stock recommend holding if you already own, but don't sell because you never know, yet certainly don't buy.

Thus far, the only attractive feature I have found with this stock is that it pays a monthly, rather than quarterly, dividend. Other than that, the numbers are not in its favor. Net income was down somewhat, while operating costs were up slightly to Canadian $8.53 BOE (barrel of oil equivalent), as was long-term debt. Gas production was up slightly but crude oil production was down and the number of wells drilled also declined, so crude oil production is likely to stay in decline for the next few quarters. The company spent $240 million on acquisitions in both the US and the Canadian oil sands in Alberta province. The company paid Canadian $61 million for natural gas fields in Wyoming and Canadian $182.5 million for oil sands in Alberta. Capital spending is stable but high at Canadian $415 million. Like most oil and gas exploration companies, Enerplus Resources Fund is hit with increasing higher costs to acquire assets and much higher costs to get oil and gas out of the ground. Additionally, recent Canadian legislation to control greenhouse gas emissions will add over Canadian $1 per produced barrel of oil equivalent, further eating into profits. One factor in its favor is that Enerplus currently controls 443 million BOE in potential reserve, with an additional 57 million BOE in probable reserves. The Alberta oil sands have the potential to produce 60,000 BOE per day for 10 years, or about $3 billion in future development, but at what price economically and environmentally?

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Last updated: November 12, 2009: 07:06 AM

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