Continue reading Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD)

Closing Bell: The grinch comes early (INTC, HOTT, MVIS, ETFC, SHLD) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 19 Nov 2009 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The recent store changes have not worked, and neither will the financial engineering. This company is on its way down, and a visit to a local store showed me why.

Sears used to be the General Motors (NYSE: GM) of retailers -- an apt analogy when both were all-American giants, and just as apt today as both struggle. Sears had completely lost its way when vulture investor, Eddie Lampert, bought the company in late 2004 and combined it with Kmart. Wall Street analysts went nuts, pushing the stock price to $192 a share.

Today, Wall Street has lowered that price to near $40.

Continue reading Sears: The GM of retailers

Sears: The GM of retailers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 08 Dec 2008 15:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears (NASDAQ: SHLD) is scheduled to report earnings for the third quarter on Tuesday, December 2. The expectation is for a loss of $0.49 per share. I think it's therefore safe to say that the retailer won't be turning a profit.

Sears has been one awful retail story as of late. Actually, just about every retailer has been awful as of late. It's no surprise, of course, considering the economy. But Sears has been experiencing challenges even beyond what can be explained by the economy. The company has been missing estimates, same-store sales haven't been great, and if you take the time to talk to people about Sears, or if you follow the comments of pundits, you'll sometimes note a tone of repulsion when it comes to the big chain.

I haven't been a fan of the shopping experience at Sears either, and it's been a very, very long time since I've stepped into a Kmart. In fact, there isn't a Kmart close to me. Eddie Lampert's enormous task of helping to turn this ship around is not one I envy. Of course, many retailers make the mistake of only focusing on merchandising in the stores and figuring out what should be in the weekly circulars. Don't get me wrong, that's important stuff. But Sears needs to engage a branding campaign to make people feel good about its stores, to feel confident about the shopping environment. When you look at TV ads by Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT), you can't help but marvel at the branding acumen of those retailers. Sears needs to get creative, too.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Sears surprise in Q3?

Earnings preview: Will Sears surprise in Q3? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Nov 2008 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

As we begin the trek to grandmother's house, it's worth reflecting on what we have to be thankful for. The answer? When it comes to money, most of us have a lot less than we did a year ago. But for those of you who have your health and your families to comfort you, it will cost much less to buy the gasoline to visit than it would have in July. And as you're driving to visit those families -- consider how much less you lost in the last year than the world's 10 biggest losers.

According to the web site, The Business Sheet, those unfortunate people suffered a mind-boggling $176 billion in lost stock market value in the last 12 months. It turns out that 52% of the losses were suffered by three executives based in India. Here they are:

• Anil Ambani - $32.5 billion. Ambani heads Reliance Communications that invested $500 million in Dreamworks earlier this year.
• Lakshmi Mittal - $30.5 billion. Mittal heads ArcelorMittal which has suffered from a decline in the price of steel.
• Mukesh Ambani -$28.2 billion is Anil's brother and controls Reliance Industries, a petrochemical manufacturer.

• Sheldon Adelson -$30 billion. I did consulting work for Adelson about 22 years ago and he is quite a character. His Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) casino is suffering from the economic slowdown and he's had some trouble with debt.
• Warren Buffett -$13.6 billion. As I posted, Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) has had some problems this year.

Continue reading The world's 10 biggest losers

The world's 10 biggest losers originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 26 Nov 2008 17:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears (SHLD) sees another dismal quarter; Lampert sinking fast originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 29 Aug 2008 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Eddie Lampert buys into KB Home (KBH), Centex (CTX) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 12 Jun 2008 14:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) really blew its earnings numbers. According to Briefing.com, Sears' Q1 adjusted earnings missed by 68 cents. Nope, no beating by the proverbial penny here, folks. Sears was expected to report an adjusted profit closer to 15 cents per share; instead, not the 53 cent loss booked by the retailer. Man, that's bad. Wall Street also expected a better top-line performance. But Sears couldn't come through on that count, either. Net sales for the quarter declined almost 6% to a little more than $11 billion.

But wait, there's more bad news. Same-store sales at Sears took a turn for the worse, diving almost 10%! Comps at Kmart decreased 7%! The gross margin went down! Want more, or is that enough? The Sears story is not a good one. What's going on here? Well, the release does say something about a bad economy, but that isn't a worthwhile excuse. Sears simply needs to apply itself and get traffic into its stores. Use some thinking-outside-of-the-box marketing campaigns to reignite the brand's fire.

Continue reading Sears Holdings and its huge miss = stay away!

Sears Holdings and its huge miss = stay away! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 30 May 2008 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

• DJIA 12,642.47 (+48.20)
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• Top 10 Analyst Calls (ALU, CHS, LONG, IFX, JNPR, MAR, MFA, NSC, SNDA, VVUS)

Continue reading Closing Bell: stocks run on GDP, retail, and lower oil

Closing Bell: stocks run on GDP, retail, and lower oil originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 29 May 2008 16:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears' ex-CEO to receive million-dollar compensation package through 2010 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Mar 2008 15:04:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The last cash balance that Sears announced was lower than most analysts expected. If the company needs to spend money to improve its stores or increase inventory in products it thinks will sell well, it could draw down the cash level even further.

For Lampert, the bad news keeps getting worse. Sears stock has staged a mini-rally over the last two weeks, moving from below $85 to $103. News about cash problems could push the shares back down.

Lampert made the classic error of thinking that with Sears and K-Mart 1+1=3. In reality, he took two weak companies and saved some money in a merger. The problem was that the companies got even weaker.

Who says that hedge fund managers don't make good corporate chiefs?

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

A cash-flow problem at Sears (SHLD)? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 08 Feb 2008 09:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Aylwin B. Lewis will step down as CEO of Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD), paying for the sins of his boss, hedge-fund billionaire Eddie Lampert. Lampert put together the Sears chain with K-Mart and found that one plus one equals zero when the brands are so poor that people would rather shop at Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT).

Shares in Sears are down from a 52-week high of $195 to under $100. They will probably fall much further. Lampert has said he will make operating units more free to handle decisions at the brand level. He brought in new management to run the company's e-commerce unit.

In a statement quoted at MarketWatch, Lampert said ,"We are entering a new phase in Sears' evolution as a multi-channel retailer, as reflected by the new operational structure we recently announced, and the board has determined that now is the right time to put in place new leadership to take the company forward."

In other words, "we have no idea what we are doing, so we will try a new horse."

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Sears brooms CEO, Lampert washes hands originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 28 Jan 2008 06:17:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Is it better to invest in a company whose CEO is a star or a company that breeds generations of outstanding CEOs? If you think a star CEO is better, I have two stocks to consider -- but also one to avoid. And if you think a CEO breeding ground is better, one stock comes to mind.

Today, I appeared on CNBC's Squawk Box this morning with Yale's Jeff Sonnenfeld to give my picks for the three best and worst CEOs of 2007. Here are the three best CEOs along with the name of the company, the stock price performance over the last year, and my reasons:

• Steve Jobs of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) +144%. Successful iPhone introduction with a million units sold in its first 74 days (some estimate Apple will announce it's sold five million in mid-January) plus outstanding performance of Apple retail stores -- they account for 20% of Apple revenue and those revenues have grown 42% in the last year while the stores earn $4,000 per square foot -- much more than competitors. At a Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) of 1.8 it remains to be seen whether Apple can grow enough to justify its P/E of 50.
• Warren Buffett of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK.A) +28%. Berkshire's stock had a great year -- it has not done as well since 1998 when it rose 52%. Berkshire's return on equity is up from 11% in 2006 to almost 16% as of September. Berkshire is a safe haven stock and Buffett continues to find places to invest his $47 billion in cash. One caution -- Barron's thinks that Berkshire stock is 10% overvalued.
• Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) +6%. Only firm to make money while peers lost billions -- its short position of the ABX index--which represents a basket of credit default swaps on mortgage-backed securities- yielded $4 billion in profit -- offsetting a $2 billion loss in its $10 billion CDO portfolios. I was impressed by the way Blankfein carried Goldman's culture of encouraging intellectual debate between lower-level traders and top executives to arrive at the best decisions. Goldman trades at a P/E of 8.6 and its earnings are expected to grow 4% next year. But that forecast is a real toss up so if you buy the stock, take a long term view.

Gallery: 2007's Best and Worst CEOs

Continue reading 2007's three best and worst CEOs

2007's three best and worst CEOs originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 31 Dec 2007 10:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

I'd like just to posit the idea that while Lampert might have failed as a CEO of Sears, the retail store, turning around the old-school retailer hasn't really been his main priority. He's trying to follow in Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) shoes by using a cash flow business as the crux of an investment empire. So investors should begin to judge Lampert's firm as a holding company, not just on Sears' results.

Continue reading Is Eddie Lampert of Sears really the worst CEO of the year?

Is Eddie Lampert of Sears really the worst CEO of the year? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 06 Dec 2007 11:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Recently 24/7 Wall St. ran a list of CEOs who may need to go back to business school. The performance of their companies has been so poor that they need a period of re-education, some tutoring in the basics.

The 24/7 list included the heads of AMD (NYSE: AMD), Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX), McClatchy (NYSE: MNI), Level 3 (NASDAQ: LVLT), Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO), Countrywide Financial (NYSE: CFC), and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS). None of them have done shareholders any favors even if stock price is the only measurement.

But, it is time to add a few more names to the list.

Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX): These shares are now off to $22.49, near a 52-week low. The shares have a period high of $37.14. James Donald has the CEO job at Starbucks, but the founder Howard Schultz is still around. Wall Street could certainly argue that the company has made a lot of mistakes starting with overbuilding stores in the US. Another is that the new menus in the stores seem to be have been decided by random. If the company cannot improve same-store sales soon, the stock will go lower. This seems basic, but SBUX has not given shareholders any plan for addressing it.

Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI): It is hard to have blown the lead that Blockbuster had in movie distribution. But it did. CEO James Keyes does not seem to have any logical vision about how to solve the company's problem, which is that digital distribution has passed it by. He argues that customers will go to kiosks at Blockbuster stores to download movies. Instead of doing it at home on the internet? Or getting the DVD in the mail? Not much of a plan.

Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD): The name on the CEO's door at Sears is Aylwin Lewis. But Eddie Lampert is the chief. The marriage of K-Mart and Sears has been a disaster. Same-store sales at both companies run below the industry average. It would be very hard to argue that the merchandising programs at the retail outlets is compelling enough to bring in new customers. Lampert exhibited poor judgment in sending out a letter that was picked up by the press. His defense of the company was that it had reduced debt and bought back shares. That will help a lot when his stores are empty.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

CEOs who need to go back to business school originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 04 Dec 2007 13:47:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears Holdings Q2 earnings preview originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 28 Nov 2007 15:05:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Specialty retailer Restoration Hardware (NASDAQ: RSTO) was supposed to be sold to private equity firm Catterton Partners for $6.70 a share. But, so much for the "done deal," the "sure thing." Late yesterday, Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) bought 13.9% of the smaller company's shares.

According to CNN Money, "Sears said it may make a tender offer for all of Restoration Hardware's shares or raise its stake by buying additional shares on the open market." RSTO shares rose to $7.46 after hours.

But with Sears in such deep trouble of its own, why is it fooling around with buying a small retailer with a $250 million market cap, $800 million in sales, and shaky profitability?

Why, indeed? Shareholders in Sears would have a right to be upset. Head man Eddie Lampert would have people believe that his retail giant, which combines Sears and K-Mart, is the picture of efficiency and smart merchandising. Why then, are its shares at a 52-week low of just above $114 a share?

Sears can't waste its time buying little companies. It has too many big problems of its own.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Sears moves in on Restoration Hardware originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 20 Nov 2007 08:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The chances of Lampert signing on for this action? Slim to none. Spending tons of money for a far-off and uncertain payback are not part of his hedge fund manager DNA.

Continue reading Can Eddie Lampert turn Sears around?

Can Eddie Lampert turn Sears around? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 19 Nov 2007 18:48:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears' (SHLD) Lampert pressured by activist investor William Ackman originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 05 Oct 2007 10:16:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Why is Sears (SHLD) repurchasing stock -- now? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 15 Aug 2007 14:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Sears has another crapsman spring originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 10 Jul 2007 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.