Continue reading Wall Street to Iowa Caucuses: You ain't got a clue

Wall Street to Iowa Caucuses: You ain't got a clue originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 04 Jan 2008 10:52:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

What if politics was like the stock market and you could buy politicians you like and sell the ones you didn't without envelopes of sequentially numbered small money orders in the same Chinese handwriting or cold cash hidden in the freezer?

For those rich enough -- they can buy a politician or two. The rest of us probably could rent a couple minutes of time with a big campaign contribution, and get lots of promises from a politician. Knowing the integrity of politicians and the value of political promises I am not sure how good of an investment politicians turn out to be.

Maybe you are one of the people smart enough to pick up a couple of bucks around the office at election time with bets on who is going to win. I have to admit I lost the last political bet I made. Good thing it was only a buck. What if there was a stock market where you could buy and sell shares in the candidates? The candidates would move up and down every day and those of us who are financial analysts could quantify the likelihood of people winning based on how bets are placed.

Now I am not into horse racing, poker or sports betting; but I do have to check up on the political bets every once in a while. With real money on the line there is a big incentive to be right. If you do not like the odds you can jump into the market and take the other side of the action. So what do the bookies think is going to happen in the coming election? Well it appears that Clinton is the favorite for the Democratic nominee with 67.8% and the Republican Rudy Giuliani leads the GOP with 35%.

Continue reading Is President Hillary 43% likely? You can bet on it!

Is President Hillary 43% likely? You can bet on it! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 19 Sep 2007 18:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• Wachovia downgraded shares of WebEx Communications Inc (NASDAQ: WEBX) to Market Perform from Outperform to reflect the company's pending acquisition by Cisco Systems (CSCO).
• Bank of America cut Avaya Inc (NYSE: AV) to Neutral from Buy with a $13 target after taking in account the company's acquisition of Ubiquity Software Corp Plc. The firm believes sales may miss consensus for the next few quarters, while gross operating margins could disappoint.
• CIBC downgraded Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ: TSCO) to Sector Performer from Sector Outperformer. The firm sees some moderate upside for shares of TSCO but says it will be incrementally more difficult to achieve without a major fundamental driver in the near-term.
• WestLB AG downgraded shares of Nokia (NYSE: NOK) to Reduce from Hold.
• Mattel Inc (NYSE: MAT) was cut to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital on valuation.

• First Albany downgraded Cerner Corp (NASDAQ: CERN) to Neutral from Buy.
• Keefe Bruyette downgraded A.G. Edwards, Inc (NYSE: AGE) to Market Perform from Outperform on valuation.
• Rodman & Renshaw downgraded shares of Genentech, Inc (NYSE: DNA) to Market Perform from Outperform citing a slowdown in near-term growth and valuation that reflects most of its future growth.
• BMO Capital cut both Anadarko Petroleum Corp (NYSE: APC) and Cabot Oil & Gas Corp (NYSE: COG) to Underperform from Market Perform.

Analyst downgrades 4-12-07: AV, DNA, NOK and MAT downgraded today originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 12 Apr 2007 11:21:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

MOST NOTEWORTHY:

• RBC downgraded Apartment Investment & Management Co (NYSE: AIV) to Underperform from Sector Perform based on valuation and concerns regarding the company's transaction focus.

• Weyerhaeuser Co (NYSE: WY) was downgraded at BMO to Underperform from Market Perform based on valuation.

• Morgan Stanley downgraded Edwards Lifesciences (NYSE: EW) to Underweight from Equal-Weight based on increased competition and aggressive Street estimates for the downgrade.

• William Blair downgraded TiVo Inc (NASDAQ: TIVO) to Market Perform from Outperform citing slowing customer growth, competition, rising subscriber acquisition costs and valuation.

• Canccord cut Hollis-Eden Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: HEPH) to Hold from Buy following the cancellation of the ARS contract.

• Morgan Stanley downgraded Cymer, Inc (NASDAQ: CYMI) to Underweight from Equal-Weight.

• Baird cut Genesco Inc (NYSE: GCO) to Neutral from Outperform following lowered guidance.

• Merriman cut Distributed Energy Systems Corp (NASDAQ: DESC) to Neutral from Buy following the company's lower-than-expected Q4 revenues.

Analyst downgrades 3-08-07: TiVo finds competiton growing originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 08 Mar 2007 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.