In the past, I've written about how hiring a pro to manage your money is unlikely to lead to superior returns, even if he or she has stellar Ivy League credentials. Nevertheless, investors may be able to learn some things from the new manager of Harvard University's $30 billion endowment. The New York Times recently interviewed Mohamed El-Erian, who took over the post last year. Here are some of the ideas that I culled from reading about his strategies:
* Be aggressive and willing to go against popular sentiment. In mid-January, only months after taking over, El-Erian made a large bet that the global financial markets were over-valued. It's a decision that's paid off so far, but it took some courage: he was the new man on the job, and he wasn't afraid to stick his neck out and make a bold call.
* While his predecessor, Jack Meyer, was unwilling to make bets on the direction of the market, El-Erian believes that he can do so with success. While this view in contradicted by many market pundits, El-Erian has confidence in his abilities, and is giving it a shot and, so far succeeding.
* El-Erian described his father's, a law professor, insistence that "we be exposed every day to a range of international newspapers that covered the entire political spectrum because it was a constant reminder that there are many ways to think about the same issue." Looking at issues from different perspectives, and seeing things differently from others, is an important part of successful investing. In fact, it's the only way to find strong stocks.
Michael Steinhardt, one of the most successful investors in recent times, called this variant perception: "a well-founded view that is meaningfully different from the market consensus . . . In those instances where there was no variant perception . . . I generally had no interest and would discourage investing."
The main thing to remember is this: to have an edge in investing, you need to see or understand something that others don't.