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Chasing Value: Time to Sell E*Trade?

E*Trade (ETFC) logoTwo weeks ago I decided to sell my shares of E*Trade (ETFC) after concluding it did not fit my investment criteria. It was one of my successful picks for 2010 and I made money having sold puts establishing a base price of $13.50. It closed Friday February 25 at $15.89.

I might not have chosen to post about this except for news that Ken Griffin's hedge fund Citadel Investment Group plans to sell much of its stake in E*Trade Financial. The largest shareholder selling out is news. Citadel will still hold valuable warrants, giving it the option of taking a very large position again, but for now there seems to be a change of heart for them as well.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Time to Sell E*Trade?

E*TRADE Cuts Loan-Loss Provisions in Half

ETFC logoE*Trade (ETFC - option chain) shares are rising today despite the company announcing Q4 earnings last night and posting a loss of $24.11 million, or 11 cents per share, on revenue of $517.95 million. Analysts had forecast a loss of 4 cents per share on revenue of 321.77 million.

ETFC also said it cut its loan-loss provision to $194 million from $292 million in the year-ago quarter, suggesting that it expects much lower future losses on bad loans. This stock is one that has been hit so hard by bad news that even though the overall earnings news was rough it is on the rise today. ETFC missed estimates and posted a loss after finally having two quarterly profits in a row, this small bit of optimistic news has energized investors. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on ETFC.

Continue reading E*TRADE Cuts Loan-Loss Provisions in Half

Chasing Value: E*Trade Schwab Buyout Rumors

ETFC logoRumor has it -- again -- that dot.bomb era survivor E*Trade (ETFC) may be acquired by none other than Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW) for an initial offer of $24 a share. This chatter moved the stock price marginally Friday up 72 cents to $15.27. Although as of Monday morning the rumors are unsubstantiated, trading in stock options has heated up on the call side.

Bantering about the inevitable acquisition of E*Trade has been an annual pastime on and off for the past 10 years, but they resurfaced again in earnest after the financial crisis creamed most companies and institutions. E*Trade is currently capitalized at $3.37 billion. If the rumors bear fruit, the Schwab offer represents approximately a 60% premium to the current price.

Continue reading Chasing Value: E*Trade Schwab Buyout Rumors

TD Ameritrade: How Does the Stock Look?

TD Ameritrade stockTD Ameritrade (AMTD), a broker whose competitors include Charles Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade (ETFC), closed Wednesday's session higher by 2%. The final quote came in at $14.93. That's not too far from the 52-week low of $14.53. The twelve-month range is a narrow one, as the 52-week high is $21.30.

Is the stock a trade? An investment? Indeed, you may be thinking that it's time to buy. Some things worry me, however. The one-year chart isn't attractive at all. Well, in one sense it is, because a trader/investor would be buying low at this point.

Continue reading TD Ameritrade: How Does the Stock Look?

E*TRADE, Amgen and Others Heating Up in Google Searches

It appears that financial institutions, drug makers and oil companies have caught the attention of traders today -- at least, that's what they're searching for.

If you want to know what stocks traders are interested in right now at this very second, you need look no further than what's hot in Google.

Here's what's hot today.

Continue reading E*TRADE, Amgen and Others Heating Up in Google Searches

Great, Germans Halt Naked Short Selling

The financial stocks and the overall market continued to get pounded by news out of Europe. This time it was Germany halting naked short selling. Chancellor Merkel's coalition wants to stop traders from buying credit insurance on government bonds they don't own ("naked swaps").

While there has been little support for this measure outside of Germany by governments or financial institutions, I think it is long over due. Many are crying foul, stating that it will increase interest rates, dry up liquidity, and prevent institutions from hedging their risks. I'm not so sure these would be bad things. I can think of good reasons to ban naked swaps.

I do not take this stance without due consideration because I have significant stakes in the financial sector, including positions in Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Citigroup, Inc. (C), E-Trade Financial Corporation (ETFC), General Electric Company (GE), Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) and Wells Fargo & Company (WFC).

Continue reading Great, Germans Halt Naked Short Selling

E-Trade Still Speculative After Q1

E-Trade earningsE*Trade (ETFC), an online broker whose colleagues include Charles Schwab (SCHW) and TD Ameritrade (AMTD), is a low-priced stock. It closed on Wednesday at $1.82, representing a rise of 2.8%; the move was backed by strong volume. The company reported first-quarter earnings yesterday after the bell. What should we make of the results?

According to MarketWatch, things seem to be improving. A loss of 2 cents per share compared very favorably to the loss of 41 cents per share booked in the year-ago period. As for estimates, the analysts were thinking that a loss of 3 cents per share was in the offing.

Continue reading E-Trade Still Speculative After Q1

TD Ameritrade's Q1 Worthy of a Trade?

TD Ameritrade Holding Corporation (AMTD) didn't experience a spectacular start to its new fiscal year. The broker, which competes with Charles Schwab (SCHW) and E*Trade Financial Corporation (ETFC), was hampered by a decline in trading activities.

According to the press release, revenues increased a modest 2% from the year-ago period. On a sequential basis, the top line actually contracted. Net income decreased 26% to 23 cents per share. Earnings.com indicates an expectation of 26 cents per share. Margins and profitability metrics unfortunately were down across the board.

Continue reading TD Ameritrade's Q1 Worthy of a Trade?

Chasing Value: 10 Stock Picks for 2010

To arrive at this years ten picks I scoured business journals and editorials, online and off. I also ran through a series of stock screens repeatedly over the last few months filtering for five primary value metrics identifying stocks worthy of further consideration.

The 5 data points were price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), dividend yield and return-on-equity (ROE). I did look at other things but these were the subject of my initial focus.

Continue reading Chasing Value: 10 Stock Picks for 2010

Top Picks for 2010: National CineMedia (NCMI)

This post is part of a special report, Top Picks for 2010, the 27th annual survey in which TheStockAdvisors.com asks the nation's leading advisors for their single favorite stock for the new year. See all 80 stocks listed here.

"Moviegoers represent a captive audience that can't change the channel or block a pop-up ad," observes value investor Nathan Slaughter.

In his Half-Priced Stocks, he suggests, "We expect more companies than ever before to spend ad dollars on theater ads, leading to a banner year for National CineMedia (NCMI)."

Continue reading Top Picks for 2010: National CineMedia (NCMI)

Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 9 + Apple

Is it time to take a bite out of Apple, Inc (AAPL) or leave it on the vine? After reviewing the current list by examining the stock yields and price-to-cash flow (P/CF) we will take a look at Apple for 2010.

Yesterday I dropped two stocks, but the list is still too long. In the coming weeks there will be more cuts and if I find anything of more value perhaps there will be something new.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 9 + Apple

Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 3

In this installment of our search for the ten picks for 2010, I will risk my reputation (and money) as I head in a more speculative direction. In Part 1 of this series, I discussed breaking up my potential picks into three categories: "Contender", "On the Fence", and "Out of the Running", until the 10 stocks have been identified.

The following lists the first ten stocks I discussed and the current standing after Part 2 of this series, plus four new stocks reviewed today.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 3

Earnings highlights: Aetna, Allergan, E*Trade, Goodyear, RadioShack, SAP, Visa ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Aetna, Allergan, E*Trade, Goodyear, RadioShack, SAP, Visa ...

E*Trade loses less than expected in third quarter -- is this a victory?

E*Trade (NASDAQ: ETFC) is a well-known brand in the broker space. It competes vigorously with the other giants, TD Ameritrade (NASDAQ: AMTD) and Charles Schwab (NASDAQ: SCHW). To be honest, if I were looking for investment ideas in this sector, I would probably begin my search with the latter two. It's difficult to put E*Trade on the list. The company got in trouble during the financial crisis because it was exposed to the mortgage industry. It has now become, in my opinion, a speculative play on a return to glory.

The latest earnings report shows what I'm talking about. For the third quarter, E*Trade lost, on a GAAP basis, 66 cents per share from continuing operations, wider than the year-ago loss of 60 cents per share from continuing operations. After adjusting for an item related to debt extinguishment, the current red ink is equal to 5 cents per share.

Continue reading E*Trade loses less than expected in third quarter -- is this a victory?

Closing Bell: stocks mixed on overseas news, minimal domestic headlines (AAPL, BIDU, GOOG, ETFC, MSFT, RIMM)

Today was one of those strange days where stocks were gapping up on overseas market strength, but little domestic news. There were no economic numbers today, and the group in focus today was all the technology news.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 8,539.73 -15.87 (-0.19%)
S&P 500 921.23 +2.86 (0.31%)
Nasdaq 1,827.47 +19.75 (1.09%)

Top Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: stocks mixed on overseas news, minimal domestic headlines (AAPL, BIDU, GOOG, ETFC, MSFT, RIMM)

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 05:50 AM

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