The Wall Street Journal reported that probes by the U.S. Justice Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission center on whether American International Group Inc (NYSE: AIG), as well as its financial products division, which has been the source of controversy and profits, intentionally inflated the value of contracts linked to subprime mortgages.
According to a person familiar with the matter, the Financial Times reported that South Korea's LG Electronics may consider a bid for General Electric Company's (NYSE: GE) appliance business.
OTHER PAPERS:
Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) will sell the remaining gas stations it owns to gasoline distributors, according to the Associated Press. However, the distributors will continue to pay to use the Exxon and Mobil brand names.
Xinhua reported that MetLife Inc (NYSE: MET) is seeking permission from Chinese regulators to combine its two ventures in China. The insurer said it believes the move will allow it to compete more effectively in the Chinese market.
Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) shares are falling as crude oil futures are retreating following yesterday's rally as the dollar is regaining some value. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on XOM.
After hitting a one-year low of $77.55 in January, the stock hit a one-year high of $96.12 in May. This morning, XOM opened at $87.91. So far today the stock has hit a low of $87.14 and a high of $88.43. As of 12:40, XOM is trading at $87.73, down 0.88 (-1.0%). The chart for XOM looks bullish but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $95 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 12.4% return in five weeks as long as XOM is below $95 at July expiration. Exxon would have to rise by more than 8% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
XOM hasn't been above $95 for more than a few days in the past year and has shown resistance around $89 recently. This trade could be risky if the price of oil shoot higher, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance XOM might find near $95, where the stock has topped out four times in the past eight months.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in XOM.
With the oil prices moving a lot from one day to the next, many of us are left wondering what could be the best solution when investing into an oil stock: buying it or selling it. As Eric Bolling underlines in TheStreet.com, last week was the first time during the past months when selling was seen as the best option.
The reverse side came on Thursday when the European Central Bank President Jean Claude Trichet warned about possible losses. After announcing that nothing changed for the ECB interest rate policy, Trichet said that the ECB might raise their interest rates which are already hitting high levels.
Last week's oil move proved that even oil prices can be manipulated in their rally. It looks like a few comments added at the right time can dramatically change the course of events. Congressman Bart Stupak's comments that he found nothing illegal going on in the oil price rise were enough to make new longs raise the price $5.49 per barrel for the first time ever.
Standard Oil (1870 - 1911) was the dominant oil company in the world until it was felled by the Sherman Anti-Trust Act of 1890. John D. Rockefeller was a business genius of the first order. He used his control over train routes and refineries to buy up oil wells and block competitors from taking market share.
Thanks to journalist Ida Tarbell, Rockefeller's rough business tactics got plenty of publicity. In 1911, the Supreme Court ruled that Standard Oil had violated the Sherman Anti-Trust Act through its tactics of using low prices to wipe out competitors. The result, as chronicled in one of my favorite books, Ron Chernow's Titan, was a breakup of the company into what is now Chevron (NYSE: CVX), Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP).
The lesson: What didn't kill Standard Oil made its offspring stronger.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the companies could deliver money to shareholders without sacrificing growth.
What happens if the oil companies start actually recognizing their good fortune -- their sustainable good fortune -- and start boosting dividends the way that Tidewater (NYSE: TDW) (Cramer's Take) did last week with its 67% hike.
Throughout this great run with oil and gas, it seems that the companies themselves haven't caught up with the good fortune. They haven't spent that much on drilling relative to profits, and they have chosen to buy a lot of stock back, never bad. But what if they start returning the profits to shareholders in the form of dividends?
Most Americans are giving their tax rebate to Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM). It should hardly be surprising that with oil at around $130 and the prices of most commodities used to make food doubling over the last year, the the money from Uncle Sam will not go for a new PlayStation.
The tax rebate was meant to stimulate the economy. Instead, it may be going to a fairly narrow group of companies including credit card firms and oil behemoths. That was hardly the plan, but, in an odd way, the government's program to get money to the consumer may be fueling inflation, at least in the energy sector.
The more the consumer spends on gas, the more likely it is that gas prices will stay high.
If you'd said a hundred years ago that the offspring of John D. Rockefeller would lead the charge for improved corporate governance, social responsibility, and an end to energy dependence and global warming, a lot of people would have laughed. But Neva Rockefeller Goodwin and Peter O'Neill, descendants of John D. Rockefeller, are pushing for change at Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM).
Three resolutions supported by the family have no chance of passing, according to the New York Times. One asks Exxon Mobil to study the impact of global warming on poor countries and another asks it to reduce its emissions. A third would encourage it to spend more money on research into renewable energy sources.
The resolution most likely to pass seeks to separate the role of chairman and CEO, stripping imperial executive Rex Tillerson of a chunk of his power. (To get an idea of how he runs the company from a corporate governance perspective, check out Robert Monks' book Corpocracy. )The Economistdescribes Exxon's annual meeting as "a vigorous exercise in doing the minimum required by the law." The Rockefeller's and others are looking to change that.
Operationally, the change would probably have no impact on the company's strategy or value. But in the long run, good corporate governance and stewardship of shareholder assets can be key contributors to total return.
BBC news reported Saturday that militants in Nigeria have again sabotaged oil transfer infrastructure belonging to Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS A). This is the fifth incident of such attacks in recent weeks. The BBC report states: "Several previous ones have been blamed on supporters of the militant leader Henry Okah, who is currently awaiting trial on treason charges."
A Shell Oil spokesperson is quoted as stating that multiple oil delivery lines are affected and that some amount of oil has spilled into the environment. The company is undertaking oil containment measures and production volume has been reduced. Reuters News Service reported: "...the rebel Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) ... has already knocked 164,000 barrels a day off Shell's production in Nigeria with a pipeline bombing last month."
According to Reuters, local security forces are reporting that not just oil delivery lines have been affected. They claim that three oil wells and other equipment were also subjected to damage. Additionally, this news of sabotage comes on the heels of an eight day Nigerian labor strike against Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM). That strike ended this past Thursday and had temporarily cut that company's Nigerian oil production in half. And of course, with oil supply problems and concerns, oil prices have increased.
In the latest chapter of "Politicians must have something to say about everything," Hillary Clinton wants you to know that she doesn't like the fact that Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) traded down after after reporting $11 billion in quarterly earnings.
Senator Clinton -- whom I would vote for by the way -- said that "There is something seriously wrong with our economy when Exxon's record $11 billion in quarterly profits are seen as a disappointment by Wall Street."
Then, in a twist that reminded me of watching a poorly coordinated fellow slam an ice cream cone into his forehead, Clinton added that this was further proof that the gas tax should be suspended.
Has Senator Clinton seen the number of SUVs on the road? And has she noticed that 60% of people are obese? I promise you they didn't get that way by walking everywhere to save money on gas. Given the state of the federal budget -- and the increasing concern about the impact of fossil fuels on the environment -- we shouldn't be doing anything to encourage increased use of fuel.
A separate issue that may of interest to investors: some analysts have suggested that Exxon is actually understating its profits -- and boosting capital investments -- in an effort to appease politicians. If that's the case, the stock may be cheaper than it appears at first glance.
As was reported in AP online, "Members of the Rockefeller family are pressuring Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) to focus more on renewable energy. The family members, who say they are the oil giant's longest continuous shareholders, say Exxon is too focused on short-term gains from sky-high oil prices. They also argue splitting the roles of chairman and CEO will help the company be more flexible in the future."
Last time I checked, companies had a responsibility to provide value for shareholders, and no one has done it better than the oil giant. It has been producing record earnings quarter after quarter, and that is exactly what it is supposed to do. Corporations are not supposed to be politically correct organizations that throw money around at the latest fad. Maybe Exxon doesn't believe that there is a global warming problem? Or maybe it wants to see a lot more scientific evidence of the problem before committing billions and billions of dollars to research. If I were a shareholder, I would want management to take the exact approach that it has been taking. The fact that it is the most profitable company in the world means something. It should be commended for providing shareholder value.
In fact, Bloomberg has an article that says that ocean cooling will stop global warming. Moreover, the article indeed mentions that the authors tried to spin the article because of Exxon. "We thought a lot about the way to present this because we don't want it to be turned around in the wrong way," Keenlyside said. "I hope it doesn't become a message of Exxon Mobil and other skeptics."
Sounds to me that they are right to be skeptical.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 5/1/08
While getting grilled by opportunistic lawmakers on Capitol Hill, about soaring gas prices and how senior executives are able to live with themselves knowing they are making such large profits, J.S. Simon, CEO of Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), let the cat out of the bag. Responding to questions from Rep. Edward Markey as to why Exxon hasn't invested in alternative energy, the AP reported the following exchange:
"Why is Exxon Mobil resisting the renewable revolution," asked Markey.
Simon said his company, which earned $40 billion last year, had provided $100 million on research into climate change at Stanford University, but that current alternative energy technologies "just do not have an appreciable impact" in addressing "the challenge we're trying to meet."
Executives from the top three American oil companies -- Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM), Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) -- will be present at today's hearing, as well as executives from BP (NYSE: BP) and Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A). While the executives are predictably going to blame the current high gasoline prices on surging oil, it will still be interesting to see just how hard lawmakers hit the executives.
For the executives, it can't be a good feeling to be walking into today's hearing. The hearing is being called "Drilling for Answers: Oil Company Profits, Runaway Prices and the Pursuit of Alternatives." The hearings will be chaired by Rep. Ed Markey of Massachusetts, who in the past has been a vocal critic of the oil industry.
While the difference between the two companies remains slim, Exxon Mobil can now claim its position at the top thanks to a market cap of an amazing $455.8 billion, compared to PetroChina's market cap of "only" $453.1 billion. Since going public last November, shares of PetroChina have been in free fall, giving back 58% of its value.
The fall from grace for PetroChina is being linked to record high oil prices which put a squeeze on profit margins for the eight year old Chinese company. It has been a tough year for all Chinese stocks, which on average have dropped 25% so far in 2008. The recent run up in oil prices has also led to a slight drop in Exxon Mobil stock, but only a 3% pullback since the time of PetroChina's listing in November.
Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) shares are trading higher this morning, helped by crude oil futures that are rising again after falling from recent highs. XOM is also receiving support from investors expecting the Federal Reserve to once again cut interest rates at its meeting today. Investors hope a big enough cut will finally spur the economy back into gear, which would in turn increase demand for oil. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on XOM.
After hitting a one-year low of $70.11 last March, the stock hit a one-year high of $95.27 in October. XOM opened this morning at $86.61. So far today the stock has hit a low of $86.12 and a high of $87.90. As of 12:00, XOM is trading at $87.23, up $1.44 (1.7%). The chart for XOM looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock its highest 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April bull-put credit spread below the $75 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just one month as long as XOM is above $75 at April expiration. Exxon would have to fall by more than 14% before we would start to lose money.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: WuXi Pharma, ExxonMobil and LifePoint Hospitals were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Jefferies upgraded shares of WuXi Pharma (NYSE: WX) to Buy from Hold as they believe the risk/reward is much improved following the recent weakness. They think the company's 2008 guidance is achievable.
Credit Suisse raised ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) to Outperform from Neutral as they believe the rise in crude oil means analyst estimates are too low.
Goldman sees upside to hospital stocks given low valuations and expectations. The firm upgraded LifePoint Hospitals (NASDAQ: LPNT) to Buy from Neutral and named it a top pick along with previous top pick Cardinal Health (NYSE: CAH).
OTHER UPGRADES:
Goldman added NDS Group (NASDAQ: NNDS) to their Conviction Buy List and upgraded shares to Buy from Neutral.
Morgan Stanley raised Boeing (NYSE: BA) to Overweight from Equal Weight.