Analyst Upgrades

• Exxon Mobil (XOM), Netflix (NFLX), Noble Corp. (NE), Pioneer Natural (PXD) and Noble Energy (NBL) to buy from neutral at Goldman.
• Cenovus Energy (CVE) to conviction buy from neutral and Atwood Oceanics (ATW) to neutral from sell at Goldman as well.
• Southern Company (SO) to buy from hold at Citigroup.
• Chevron (CVX) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• Ryder (R), Entergy (ETR) and Seaspan (SSW) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
• Gerdau (GGB), Crown Castle (CCI) and American Tower (AMT) to buy from neutral at UBS.
• Aon (AON) and Willis Group (WSH) to buy from neutral at Janney Capital.
• Ryland Group (RYL) to buy from neutral at Ticonderoga.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AON, CVX, HBI, MUR, NBL, NFLX, NVDA, SO, XOM ...

Analyst Calls: AON, CVX, HBI, MUR, NBL, NFLX, NVDA, SO, XOM ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 Mar 2011 13:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Dividend Aristrocrats: Four Income Favorites

Dividend Aristrocrats: Four Income Favorites originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 04 Mar 2011 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"Nowhere is the supply and demand balance as tight as it is with oil; with the somewhat stronger economy here and abroad, the oil gap is closing again," says Jim Powell.

The editor of Global Changes & Opportunities explains, "I think the best way to benefit from rising oil prices is to buy Exxon Mobil (XOM), the world's largest, and one of its most reliable, energy investments.

"I think the price will reach the psychologically important $100 mark by this summer, and maybe a lot sooner.

Continue reading ExxonMobil (XOM): The Best Way to Play Oil

ExxonMobil (XOM): The Best Way to Play Oil originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 14 Jan 2011 13:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) is expected to report Q4 earnings in late January. February put option implied volatility is at 18, April is at 19, below its 26-week average of 22, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

S&P Retail Index SPDR (XRT) January put option implied volatility is at 22, February is at 23, compared to its 26-week average of 26, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing near-term price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Exxon Mobil Volatility Low; Shares Rallied as Oil Trends Higher originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 04 Jan 2011 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

This series started with five major defense contractors and six major oil companies that are worthy considerations to help your portfolio survive a global crisis (see Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety). After the first review, one stock was eliminated from consideration: Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR). The reason is in the first story.

Today we continue our analysis by examining price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash-flow (P/CF), and dividend yield. Each stock is ranked by sector and metric from best to worst. In the end we hope to narrow down our choices for candidates that might be added to Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begins.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2

Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 15 Dec 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Leave it to our representatives in Washington to make a compromise that ignores most of their previously stated beliefs -- of only a few days ago. This just reinforces again the old joke "How do you know when a politician is lying?..."

Monday the Obama administration and congressional Republicans came to an agreement to extend both unemployment benefits by 13 months, and the Bush-era tax cuts for all by two years. What happened to the Republican and Democratic noise about fiscal responsibility and reducing the debt?

A few days ago Republicans were not going to vote for an extension of the unemployment funding if there was not an associated revenue offset to pay for it. That's gone, so the deficit is going up. The Democrats claimed they would not back an extension of the tax cuts for people that earned over $200,000 for individuals and $250,000 for joint returns claiming this would add $900 billion toward debt reduction. That's gone so the deficit is going up.

Continue reading Serious Money: Washington Compromise Stinks, but Here Are Some Stocks to Look At

Serious Money: Washington Compromise Stinks, but Here Are Some Stocks to Look At originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 07 Dec 2010 16:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Early Tuesday morning, oil giant BP (BP) is scheduled to release its third-quarter 2010 financial results, the same quarter in which the disastrous Gulf oil spill was finally capped. So what are the analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expecting?

During the three months that ended in September, London-based BP also announced post-Gulf spill changes and plans to reinstate its dividend. Its earnings for that period are forecast to come to $1.51 per share, which is about the same as in the year-ago period. But revenue is expected to be 6.8% higher year over year to $72.5 billion.

Continue reading BP Earnings Preview

BP Earnings Preview originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 01 Nov 2010 14:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Well, maybe not the very last word ever, but for now this is it. The poll results on eight key questions are in. Although such a small sampling is not conclusive, it may be broadly indicative of investor sentiment.

Apple Inc. (AAPL) is among the most admired, talked about and intriguing companies in the investment world. This story is the fifth in a series that started off pondering Apple's cash stash and what good it was, and leading up to this polling review.

Continue reading Chasing Value: The Last Word on Apple

Chasing Value: The Last Word on Apple originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 28 Oct 2010 12:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Questions About Apple?

Chasing Value: Questions About Apple? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 27 Oct 2010 13:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The earnings crunch continues this week, and analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are anticipating lots of strong quarterly reports.

For example, year-over-year earnings growth from big oil Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), ExxonMobil (XOM) and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) are expected to be in double digits. The same is true of many other energy and mining concerns reporting this week: Allegheny Technologies (ATI), Alliant Energy (LNT), Arch Coal (ACI), Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF), CMS Energy (CMS), CONSOL Energy (CNX), DPL (DPL), Hess Corp. (HES), Minerals Technologies (MTX), Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), PPL Corp. (PPL), Southwestern Energy (SWN), Total (TOT), Whiting Petroleum (WLL), Williams Companies (WMB) and Wisconsin Energy (WEC).

Continue reading Week in Preview: The Earnings Crunch Rolls On (MSFT, COP, V)

Week in Preview: The Earnings Crunch Rolls On (MSFT, COP, V) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 24 Oct 2010 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Each day that passed in the third quarter added about $22 million to the Apple Inc. (AAPL) cash stash. Ironically we are 22 days into the fourth quarter. That means Apple has added in the neighborhood of $484 million more to what is an ever increasing percentage of the company.

The company's capitalization stands $282 billion.The cash is a drag on earnings. At the end of Q3 it equaled almost 18% of the value of the company. Considering it is the second largest company behind Exxon Mobil (XOM), for now, the bigger it gets, the more it resembles an anchor and not a safety net.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Apple $50 Billion + $484 Million

Chasing Value: Apple $50 Billion + $484 Million originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 22 Oct 2010 16:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Stocks to sell that spring to mind right now are probably not in the energy sector. Crude oil prices are up 16% in six weeks. Dividend investors continue to seek out low-risk, high-yield stock picks. So you would think that the major crude oil and energy stocks are good buys right?

Wrong. The fact of the matter is that as we enter another earnings season, the numbers just aren't there for many crude oil blue chips. Even with oil prices improving right now, the ship has sailed on Q3 and those profits are all over but the counting. And as many investors will see soon, those profits may not be as healthy as many crude oil stocks would like.

Continue reading Three Crude Oil Blue Chips to Sell

Three Crude Oil Blue Chips to Sell originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 08 Oct 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It is unbelievable! Then again, maybe it's not. 24/7 Wall St. is reporting that a German company is planning to install vending machines in the U.S. that sell gold.

It was only yesterday that I cautioned investors about the overexuberance in the gold market and now that is being raised to a new level. This not only exemplifies my concerns for new investors into the precious metal, but also is strong evidence that retail investors and water-cooler chatter have pushed their way into the market. Gold being sold in vending machines by gold promoters is specifically taking advantage of the foolish retail crowd.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Fool's Gold in Vending Machines

Chasing Value: Fool's Gold in Vending Machines originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 28 Sep 2010 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Chasing Value: EZCORP Is Easy Buy, Beating APPL, ISRG and XOM

Chasing Value: EZCORP Is Easy Buy, Beating APPL, ISRG and XOM originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 16 Aug 2010 09:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Until recently, my largest positions were in financial stocks Citigroup (C), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Bank of America (BAC). As a contrarian investor, I do buy on fear and sell on greed as "my pal Warren" has advised for many years. This has worked out to be very profitable over the past 18 months. However, in the past 30 days the financial stocks have dropped to second place in favor of oil and gas stocks.

I think the economic recovery is moving at a snail's pace, lowering anticipated demand for oil while gas was already depressed based on the same factors and the addition of numerous new large supplies. Add to this the mess in the Gulf of Mexico and the public's already negative sentiment about oil companies and you have the makings of depressed pricing in the sector.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil

Chasing Value: Buffett Must Be Buying Oil originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 02 Aug 2010 11:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Blue Chip Buys: The Timely Ten

Blue Chip Buys: The Timely Ten originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 14 Jul 2010 13:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

When you are in a hole, stop digging -- no expression better exemplifies the situation in Venezuela caused by Hugo Chavez and his government. Obviously, this is not something they understand, as the current administration keeps digging the Venezuelan economy into a deeper hole, intensified by its attempt to nationalize rigs owned by a U.S.-based company.

On Wednesday, Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez issued a statement that Petroleos de Venezuela SA, the state oil company, was going to nationalize 11 oil rigs owned by Helmerich & Payne, a Tulsa, Oklahoma-based drilling company.

Continue reading Hugo Chavez Government to Nationalize U.S. Company Rigs

Hugo Chavez Government to Nationalize U.S. Company Rigs originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 25 Jun 2010 10:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Exxon Hoping to Rise on Natural Gas

Exxon Hoping to Rise on Natural Gas originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 24 Jun 2010 15:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Serious Money: Tax Savings, Lateral Moves

Serious Money: Tax Savings, Lateral Moves originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Jun 2010 14:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 6 -- Conclusions

Serious Money: Buying the Super Caps, Part 6 -- Conclusions originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 25 May 2010 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.