f posts
FeedPosted Nov 18th 2009 4:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive strategy, Ford Motor (F), Market matters, FedEx Corp (FDX), United Parcel'B' (UPS), Options, Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value, Stocks to Buy, E*TRADE (ETFC), EZCORP (EZPW)

Fourteen stocks have been reviewed so far with eight of them potential contenders for 2010. These include some picks from 2009, some old dependables and a few more on the speculative side.
During the year I have written on occasion about selling put options (naked puts) because the premiums offered were very generous and from my perspective assumed market collapse. This was reflected in my July post
Serious Money: The world's dumbest marketToday I am considering four naked puts and two more stocks. The options are all based on stocks now in review.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Ten stocks for 2010 -- Part 4
Posted Nov 18th 2009 9:00AM by Paul Foster (RSS feed)
Filed under: Ford Motor (F), Options
Barnes & Noble (BKS) closed at $22.50. BKS is expected to report Q2 EPS on November 24. Ron Burkle, the private equity investor, doubled his stake in Barnes & Noble to 17% from 8%. BKS is expected to give its outlook of its digital book reader, Nook, during EPS conference call. December option implied volatility is at 54, January is at 51; versus its 26-week average of 48, according to Track Data, suggesting larger near term price movement.
Ford (F) closed at $8.98. Ford December option implied volatility is at 42, January is at 43; below its 26-week average of 63, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Posted Nov 2nd 2009 2:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Rants and raves, Ford Motor (F), CIT Group (CIT), Kellogg Co (K), Serious Money, Headline news, DJIA, Federal Reserve, Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND)

What a week it was and it is starting off with more of the same! The day before Halloween the market gets spooked. The Dow drops 200 one day, rises 200 the next, and falls 250 to close the week. Yes, financial pundits could point to meaningful stories about the dollars rise, consumer spending sagging, the recession ending and so forth to explain market reactions but there is more to it than that.
Even among the 15 positions discussed in
Where should granny put $50,000? only the
Vanguard Total Bond Market exchange-traded fund (NYSE:
BND) and the
Kellogg Co (NYSE:
K) were up last Friday. Good thing I advised "granny" to put half her funds in the ETF.
Continue reading Serious Money: Jumpy stock market but Special 'K' doing fine
Posted Oct 1st 2009 4:00PM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Ford Motor (F), S and P 500, DJIA, NASDAQ
The markets opened lower this morning and have continued to slide all day, mostly due to poor reports on manufacturing and unemployment. Still, for the third quarter both the DJIA and the S&P 500 indexes gained about 15%. Now, it appears that faith in an economic recovery is wobbling, primarily as a result of expected growth in unemployment and continuing low consumer spending. The federal stimulus program has pumped about $86 billion into the economy so far, but that hasn't been enough to shake loose tight-fisted lenders or cash-conserving consumers.
Here are the numbers::
Dow 9,509.28 -203.00 (-2.09%)
S&P 500 1,029.84 -27.24 (-2.58%)
Nasdaq 2,057.48 -64.94 (-3.06%)
Continue reading Just about everything weighs on markets today (F, PAG, ETP, ASTI, CHTP)
Posted Sep 27th 2009 10:30AM by Ted Allrich (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Ford Motor (F), International Business Machines (IBM), Citigroup Inc. (C), Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC), Comfort Zone Investing
We're wrapping up the third quarter soon. Earnings will be out in October for most companies, certainly the largest names. They should look very good ... when compared to the third quarter of last year. And the fourth quarter will most likely look even better when comparisons are made.
There's the rub. The percentage increase in earnings will be strong for most companies as many of them wrote down assets, especially in the financials, last year at this time. Mortgages that weren't paying, loans that were way past due, they were losses. Every kind of asset a bank or thrift owned was under scrutiny. Many financials bit the bullet and wrote off large numbers, to get the bad news out of the way. Others nibbled at it, stretching out the pain over several quarters. By now many of those write offs have been taken, and those kinds of losses will be lighter, making earnings much better.
Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Earnings will look great but ...
Posted Sep 23rd 2009 4:00PM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: After the bell, Ford Motor (F), CIT Group (CIT), AMR Corp (AMR), S and P 500, DJIA, NASDAQ
The market was remarkably bored about most of what the Fed had to say about the results of the FOMC. A close reading of the minutes shows nothing new. The economy is very modestly better. The turn for the better will be slow and painful. Housing may be getting a tiny bit better. Rates will stay near zero. The only statement which may not have been expected by almost everyone is that the agency will continue buying mortgage-backed and federal debt into the first quarter of next year.
The lack of enthusiasm showed as the major indices traded fairly flat. Today's unofficial numbers:
Dow 9,749.31 -80.56 (-0.82%)
S&P 500 1,060.90 -10.76 (-1.00%)
Nasdaq 2,131.42 -14.88 (-0.69%)
Continue reading Closing bell: no one cares about the Fed
Posted Sep 23rd 2009 11:40AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Forecasts, Management, Ford Motor (F), India, Options
Alan Mulally, president and CEO of Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), said Wednesday that he expects U.S. auto sales to rise during the next two years. Vehicle sales in 2009 are expected to range between 10.5 million and 11 million units, and Mulally predicts that number will increase to 12.5 million in 2010 and 14.5 million in 2011.
"It has started to pick up right now because we have had the stimulus packages," said Mulally, speaking before reporters in India. "So, it will be up a little now, then will go down. But overall in the long term, the sales will grow with the GDP number." The CEO added that Ford expects to be profitable by 2011.
Continue reading Ford Motor forecasts rebound in U.S. auto sales
Posted Sep 17th 2009 9:00AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Ford Motor (F), Home Depot (HD), Market matters, AutoNation Inc (AN), Black and Decker (BDK), Fortune Brands (FO), KB HOME (KBH), Lennar Corp'A' (LEN), Toll Brothers (TOL), Cramer on BloggingStocks
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says don't heed the pundits -- allow yourself to believe things are improving. Skeptical, or impossible? That's how I am posing the dilemma of the "pull through" argument whether it involves
Ford (NYSE:
F) (
Cramer's Take) and "Cash for Clunkers" or
Hovnanian (NYSE:
HOV) (
Cramer's Take),
Lennar (NYSE:
LEN) (
Cramer's Take),
Toll (NYSE:
TOL) (
Cramer's Take),
KB Home (NYSE:
KBH) and
Pulte (NYSE:
PHM) (
Cramer's Take) and the $8,000 tax credit.
Right now any time there is a stimulus program of any sort, the pundits/media/money managers all decide the most important single issue isn't what it will do to the numbers, or whether it will work at all, but what will it do to the "pull through." How much of future sales will it "steal"?
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Missing the big picture
Posted Sep 1st 2009 9:00AM by Brian White (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Ford Motor (F)
Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:
F) continues to sell a ton of the Fusion mid-size sedans, as the passenger car set a sales record for itself for the fifth consecutive month in August. In addition, the average selling prices have been increasing. In the playing field with the
Toyota Motor Corp. (NYSE:
TM) Camry and
Honda Motor Co. (NYSE:
HMC) Accord, it's impressive to see the Fusion doing so well.
The Fusion is all-new for the 2010 model year, so it could continue selling well into the latter half of 2009 when the new model arrives on dealer floors. Anything Ford can do to continue breaking into one of the largest segments of the U.S. auto market, though, would be a huge plus for the automaker.
Continue reading Ford's Fusion sees record sales for fifth consecutive month
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