FDO posts
Posted Jul 6th 2009 8:50AM by Paul Foster
Filed under: PepsiCo (PEP), Family Dollar Stores (FDO), Options
Family Dollar (NYSE: FDO) is scheduled to report Q3 EPS on July 8. FDO closed at $27.95. FDO July 27.5 straddle is priced at $2.30, August 27.5 straddle is priced at $3.50. FDO July option implied volatility is at 54, August is at 43; verses its 26-week average of 48; according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement after EPS.
Pepsi Bottling (NYSE: PBG) closed at $33.80. PBG is scheduled to report Q2 EPS on July 8. PBG rejected PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) offer of the equivalent of $29.50 per share for two-thirds of PBG stock it doesn't already own in PBG on May 4. PBG July option implied volatility is at 32; August is at 34; below its 26-week average of 42, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Posted Jul 5th 2009 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Alcoa Inc (AA), Chevron Corp (CVX), Family Dollar Stores (FDO), Economic data
The second half of the calendar year has begun, and earnings return to the spotlight this week. As usual, Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) is among the first of the S&P 500 to report quarterly results. For the second quarter in which Alcoa agreed to sell its wire harness and electrical distribution business and its fastening systems business expanded into Morocco, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect the New York-based aluminum producer to report swinging to a net loss of $0.34 per share from a profit of $0.66 per share in the year-ago period. Second quarter revenue is expected to have fallen 48.3% to $3.9 billion. The full-year forecast is currently for a loss of $1.04 per share and revenue of $16.7 billion (-38.0%). Alcoa has missed expectations in the past three quarters, by as much as 17 cents per share. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 10.0%, which is better than the sector average. Alcoa slashed its dividend earlier this year, and the First Call consensus recommendation remains to hold AA. However, TheStreet.com recommends it as an against-the-grain pick. At $9.86, shares are down 12.4% since the beginning of the year, and recently have been bumping up against the 200-day moving average.
Continue reading The week in preview: Focus returns to earnings: Alcoa, Chevron, Family Dollar
Posted Apr 11th 2009 11:40AM by Trey Thoelcke
Filed under: Earnings reports, Brinker Intl (EAT), Alcoa Inc (AA), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), Family Dollar Stores (FDO), Research in Motion (RIMM), Morgan Stanley (MS), Wells Fargo (WFC)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Family Dollar, Bed Bath & Beyond, Alcoa, Wells Fargo and more
Posted Mar 9th 2009 5:00PM by Steven Mallas
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Wal-Mart (WMT), Family Dollar Stores (FDO), Kohl's Corp (KSS), Urban Outfitters (URBN)

It is tough to be a retailer in this climate. It's especially tough to be a retailer like J. Crew Group, Inc. (NYSE: JCG). After all, if you're a Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) or a Family Dollar Stores (NYSE: FDO), at least you can entice consumers with your low prices, and at least you stock things that people need. Not so with J. Crew. It's a fashion retailer that you don't have to visit during the recession. Apparently, many people indeed haven't been visiting lately. That's why shareholders will most likely be nervous when fourth-quarter numbers are issued after the bell on Tuesday, March 10.
According to this source, J. Crew should report an earnings loss of $0.27 per share. How ugly! This compares to a profit of $0.41 per share in the year-ago period. I expect to hear the same stuff that we've been hearing from retailers such as Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN) and Kohl's (NYSE: KSS): things are tough, the rest of the year is going to be a huge challenge, we're doing everything we can to navigate the business through the treacherous times, etc. Such rhetoric probably won't be comforting to shareholders, especially considering that J. Crew's stock isn't too far from a 52-week low.
Continue reading Earnings preview: Shareholders are bracing for J. Crew's Q4 report
Posted Feb 27th 2009 11:25AM by Eric Buscemi
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Jefferies upgraded Ansys (NASDAQ: ANSS) shares to Buy from Hold following the company's reduced guidance as it now believes estimates are much more achievable. Despite the upgrade, the firm lowered its target price to $25 from $29.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded shares of Signet Jewelers (NYSE: SIG) to Buy from Hold on expectations the company will benefit from a capacity reduction in U.S. jewelry retailing.
- Thomas Weisel upgraded Omnicare (NYSE: OCR) to Overweight from Market Weight citing improving fundamentals and misunderstandings regarding Obama's healthcare proposal.
- Verizon (VZ) was lifted to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
- The Inventure Group (NYSE: SNAK) was raised to Buy from Hold at Roth Capital.
- Chico's FAS (NYSE: CHS) was upgraded at Friedman Billings to Outperform from Market Perform.
Analyst downgrades:
- Stephens downgraded Wilbros Group (NYSE: WG) to Equal Weight from Overweight to reflect a lack of visibility into earnings and deterioration in the company's end markets. The firm lowered its target price to $9.
- Jefferies downgraded Limelight Networks (NASDAQ: LLNW) to Hold from Buy as it believes the company can not sustain profits or cash flow this year given its capex requirements. The firm lowered its target price to $3 from $4.
- Barclays cut SLM Corp (NYSE: SLM) to Equal Weight from Overweight following President Obama's proposal to eliminate Federal Family Education Loan Program.
- Synta Pharma (NASDAQ: SNTA) was lowered to Hold from Buy at Roth Capital and to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital.
- U.S. Cellular (NYSE: USM) was downgraded at Baird to Underperform from Neutral.
- Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman.
Analyst initiations:
- ThinkEquity expects Emulex (NYSE: ELX) to generate positive FCF in 2010 and views valuation as attractive. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $7 target.
- Lazard Capital initiated Constant Contact (NASDAQ: CTCT) with a Buy rating and $19 target. The firm believes the company is well positioned in the Software as a Service category of E-mail Marketing.
- Morgan Stanley assumed Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) with an Overweight rating and $45 target and Family Dollar (NYSE: FDO) with an Equal Weight rating.
- Regal Entertainment (NYSE: RGC) was started at Barclays with an Overweight rating and $14 target.
Posted Jan 10th 2009 4:10PM by Trey Thoelcke
Filed under: Earnings reports, Wal-Mart (WMT), Intel (INTC), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), Chevron Corp (CVX), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Family Dollar Stores (FDO)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
For more earnings highlights, see Time Warner, Satyam, Google, KB Home, Mosaic and others
Upcoming earnings releases include Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA), Infosys (NASDAQ: INFY), Linear Technologies (NASDAQ: LLTC) , Xilinx (NASDAQ: XLNX), Genentech (NYSE: DNA), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), Marshall & Ilsley (NYSE: MI), Sealy (NYSE: ZZ), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI).
Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.
Posted Jan 9th 2009 6:30PM by Melly Alazraki
Filed under: Pfizer (PFE), General Motors (GM), Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Alcoa Inc (AA), Bank of America (BAC), Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Family Dollar Stores (FDO), duPont(E.I.)deNemours (DD), United Parcel'B' (UPS), Stocks to Buy, Stocks to Sell

This week, the short-term rally of the last few days of the holiday season was over. While many hope the economy would start rebounding toward the end of the year, more voices are now heard saying the recession will be longer and deeper than estimates. The only thing that could help is a proper stimulus plan.
Indeed, President-elect Obama's transition team and his chosen staff have already been working on a plan, trying to push legislators to act swiftly. As investors received news of one dismal economic report after another -- from retail sales, auto sales, housing, manufacturing and employment -- the corporate side also continued to show considerable weakness with earnings warnings coming nearly daily.
The real question is whether the stimulus plan and the Federal Reserve actions, alongside similar moves taken around the world, could give the boost the economy so desperately needs. It seems several BloggingStocks contributors believe this might be the case as they looked at long-term investment ideas. Here are some of their picks from the past week:
Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ:
BWLD) actually saw an increase in value of 62.3% during the quarter. It has a
strong capital position and is nearly debt free. It has actually seen a third-quarter same-store sales growth of 8.3%. There has been some pressure on the stock following an earnings miss due to growth, creating an opportunity for astute investors, says Jamie Dlugosch.
Continue reading Stock picks and pans for troubled times: BWLD, BMY, UPS, FDO, MOS, DVN...
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