Catastrophe modelers, insurers and reinsurers are still sorting out the damage from Windstorm Xynthia in Europe and the earthquake in Chile. Taking only the highest of high-end estimates, the damage from these two catastrophes could exceed $12 billion, resulting in fairly steep property-catastrophe losses long before hurricane season begins. With three more major property reinsurance renewals remaining for the year -- at April 1, June 1 (Florida) and July 1 -- there is plenty of time for the impact of these events to be absorbed into reinsurance pricing.
FSR posts
FeedAssessing the Tab for Q1 Catastrophes
Analyst upgrades: ALU, OPXT and AXL
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Alcatel-Lucent, Opnext and American Axle were today's noteworthy upgrades:- Goldman upgraded shares of Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) to Neutral from Sell to reflect the recovery of U.S. corporate bond yields which they believe is positive for the company's long-term pension liability. Goldman also thinks analyst estimates may have bottomed.
- Thomas Weisel raised Opnext (NASDAQ:OPXT) to Overweight from Market Weight after their research indicated an acceleration in optical communications component industry revenue growth.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded American Axle (NYSE:AXL) to Buy from Hold to reflect the cost savings from the UAW contract.
- MFA Mortgage (NYSE:MFA) was upgraded at Keefe Bruyette to Outperform from Market Perform.
- Citigroup upgraded Flagstone Reinsurance (NYSE:FSR) to Buy from Hold.
- Merrill raised Crane Co (NYSE:CR) to Buy from Neutral.
Holiday earnings reports: Constellation Energy, Natco, Trico Marine and others
Even though tomorrow is a holiday in the U.S., there are a handful of companies planning to report quarterly earnings nonetheless. Perhaps some may be trying to keep a low profile; others may simply not be concerned with the American holiday schedule. Regardless, here's a quick peek at some of those companies, with the consensus earnings per share estimate of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial compared to the previous quarter and year-ago quarter, the share price at the close on Friday (with charts behind the links), and consensus recommedations.
- Constellation Energy Partners (NYSE: CEP). Est. EPS: .48; Prev. Q.: .31; Yr-ago: .51; Shares: $19.63; Rec.: Strong buy.
- Flagstone Reinsurance Holdings (NYSE: FSR). Est. EPS: .66; Prev. Q.: .68; Shares: $13.19; Rec.: Hold.
- Natco Group Inc. (NYSE: NTG). Est. EPS: .69; Prev. Q.: .63; Yr-ago: .57; Shares: $44.46; Rec.: Buy.
- PharMerica Corp. (NYSE: PMC). Est. EPS: .08; Prev. Q.: .06; Shares: $13.86; Rec.: Hold.
- Stewart Information Services Corp. (NYSE: STC). Est. EPS: -.04; Prev. Q.: -.79; Yr-ago: .59; Shares: $32.49; Rec.: Hold.
- Trico Marine Services Inc. (NASDAQ: TRMA). Est. EPS: .77; Prev. Q.: .87; Yr-ago: 1.07; Shares: $31.92; Rec.: Buy.
UPDATED: Constellation reported .13 EPS; Flagstone reported .60 EPS; Natco reported .66 EPS; PharMerica reported .09 EPS; Stewart reported -1.74 EPS; and Trico Marine reported 2.08 EPS.
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