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Analyst downgrades: Mortgage finance sector, APPB, FTEK, BHP, AAUK and RTP

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The mortgage finance sector, Applebee's, Fuel-Tech, BHP Billiton, Anglo American and Rio Tinto were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Lehman downgraded the mortgage finance sector to Negative from Neutral citing the potential of over $100B in losses for the group in the coming years. Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight; IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB) and Countrywide Financial Corporation (NYSE: CFC) were downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight.
  • Applebee's International (NASDAQ: APPB) was downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Wachovia, as the firm sees potential downside risk if the company's acquisition of IHOP Corp (NYSE: IHP) does not go through, following mixed reviews from Proxy firms.
  • Merriman downgraded shares of Fuel-Tech (NASDAQ: FTEK) to Sell from Neutral after channel checks indicated the competitive landscape is much more challenging than commonly perceived for the FUEL CHEM product line. Merriman sees significant risk to shares at current levels.
  • Citigroup downgraded shares of BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP), Anglo American (NASDAQ: AAUK) and Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Hold from Buy on valuation following the recent rally.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

Analyst initiations: Clean energy sector, MOGN, AAPL and KOSN

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The U.S. clean energy sector, MGI Pharma, Apple and Kosan Biosciences were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Morgan Stanley initiated the U.S. clean energy sector with an Attractive view. The analyst assumed coverage of First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR), Fuel Tech (NASDAQ: FTEK) and SunPower Corporation (NASDAQ: SPWR) with Overweight ratings and EnerNOC, Inc (NASDAQ: ENOC) with an Underweight rating.
  • Banc of America started shares of MGI Pharma (NASDAQ: MOGN) with a Buy rating and $45 target, as they expect sales growth in 2008 to be driven by Aquavan, which they view as an underappreciated asset, and potential survival data for Dacogen.
  • Soleil believes Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) could nearly double its PC market share to between 5.5% and 6% over the next five years. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $200 target.
  • Roth Capital initiated Kosan Biosciences (NASDAQ: KOSN) with a Buy rating and $10 target, as they are positive on the company's Hsp90 program and expect an NDA filing as early as 2009 in the relapsed-refractory settings.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Top 25 Stocks for the NEXT 25 Years: three new names

I wrote the series the Top 25 stocks for the NEXT 25 years back in May and June of this year. Since the series finished we had three companies go the way of acquisition: Opsware (NASDAQ: OPSW), Color Kinetics (NASDAQ: CLRK) and Kyphon (NASDAQ: KYPH). All three have been or are about to close on their respective deals and will vanish from our list of 25. The good news is the premiums were outstanding and any investor who bought these stocks after reading the initial write ups is walking away with over 50% profits in a few short months!

But onward and upward: Drum roll please.....the three new stocks that I feel could be in the top 25 stocks for the NEXT 25 Years include: eHealth, Inc. (NASDAQ: EHTH), Bankrate (NASDAQ: RATE) and Fuel Tech (NASDAQ:FTEK).

eHealth is a $570 million market capitalization company headquartered in Mountain View, California. The company operates a multi-web site platform that offers its customers more than 7,000 health insurance and related products. The company is licensed in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Through its ehealth.com and ehealthinsurance.com web sites, customers can price out regular medical, dental and vision insurance. The company also provides options for student-health care insurance as well. My estimates for calendar 2007 is for revenues of $87 million and earnings per share of $.49. For 2008 I envision revenues of $115 million and earnings per share of $.68. As health care insurance is fast becoming a major political as well as economic issue, eHealth may be the winner in finding the best policies at the best price for consumers and small-to-medium size businesses.

Continue reading Top 25 Stocks for the NEXT 25 Years: three new names

Analyst upgrades: PALM, FTEK, WY and JW.A

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Palm (PALM), Fuel Tech (FTEK), Weyerhaeuser (WY), and John Wiley & Sons (JW.A) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • Palm Inc (NASDAQ: PALM) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform by Morgan Keegan, who expects PALM's recapitalization to bring more financial discipline, better growth from new products, and views the valuation as compelling.
  • FuelTech Inc (NASDAQ: FTEK) was upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at ThinkEquity, which believes the company technologies are well-positioned as the U.S. Clean Air Act takes effect.
  • Bank of America upgraded Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY) to Buy from Neutral, citing valuation and their prediction that the company's restructuring will create value for shareholders.
  • John Wiley & Sons Inc (NYSE: JW.A) was upgraded to Buy from Hold by Stifel Nicolaus & Co, which views the company as a consistent performer with emerging catalysts and reasonable valuation.
OTHER UPGRADES:

Fuel Tech (FTEK): Clean coal, carbon credit, and 'Chindia'

From his ChangeWave Investing newsletter and regular appearances on Fox TV's Bulls & Bears, Toby Smith is one of the most widely followed newsletter advisors. AS growth investors, he seeks stocks poised to benefit from enduring trends, which he calls "Changewaves".

To help isolate these trends, he turns to his ChangeWave Alliance, a group of thousands of business leaders in a wide range of fields who respond to ongoing surveys regarding developing industry trends.

Three such trends, which he considers among his favorite macroeconomic ChangeWaves are Clean Energy, Carbon Credits, and Chindia (China-India) Infrastructure. And one of his latest stock recommendations -- Fuel Tech (NASDAQ: FTEK) -- plays into all three of these waves.

Continue reading Fuel Tech (FTEK): Clean coal, carbon credit, and 'Chindia'

Analyst downgrades 7-26-07: ATE, MER, PFCB and TSM

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Advantest (ATE), RightNow Technologies (RNOW), Mattson Technology (MTSN), Akamai Technologies (AKAM) and P.F. Chang's (PFCB) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Matrix downgraded Advantest (NYSE: ATE) to Strong Sell from Hold; the firm doesn't expect Advantest's profits to improve in the near-term after chip makers indicated they plan to cut capital spending.
  • RightNow Technologies (NASDAQ: RNOW) was cut to Sector Perform from Outperform at Pacific Crest to reflect the company's poor execution.
  • Mattson Technology (NASDAQ: MTSN) was downgraded to Sell from Buy at American Technology; The firm said Q2 results were strong but bookings and gross margin outlook were weaker due to memory spending weakness.
  • Credit Suisse downgraded P.F. Chang's (NASDAQ: PFCB) to Market Weight from Overweight at Thomas Wiesel to reflect below plan new store performance for the third consecutive year at Pei Wei...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Merriman downgraded Fuel Tech (NASDAQ: FTEK) to Neutral from Buy.
  • Bear Stearns cut Hess Corp (NYSE: HES) to Peer Perform from Outperform.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst downgrades 6-22-07: ANF, BGFV, COGN, TLB and SBUX

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Select theater stocks, Equity Inns (ENN), Talbots (TLB) and Starbucks (SBUX) filled today's noteworthy downgrade segment:
  • Banc of America said summer blockbusters have fallen off faster than they expected and there are fewer mid-tier films to support growth:
  • Equity Inns (NYSE: ENN) was cut to Sell from Hold at AG Edwards after the Whitehall acquisition. JMP Securities and Friedman Billings cut shares to Market Perform from Outperform and KeyBanc downgraded Equity Inns to Hold from Buy.
  • Matrix USA downgraded Talbots (NYSE: TLB) to Sell from Hold based on the eroding return of capital because of the company using capital to acquire and open new stores. Friedman Billings downgraded shares of
  • Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) to Market Perform from Outperform and removed the company from their FBR Top Picks list on expectations that 2H07 same-store sales will no longer improve, removing a catalyst...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Banc of America downgraded Cognos (NASDAQ: COGN) to Neutral from Buy.
  • Roth downgraded Fuel Tech Inc (NASDAQ: FTEK) to Hold from Buy.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst initiations 6-12-07: ADM, GNBT, MAR and PAY

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Marriott International (MAR), VeriFone Holdings, Inc (PAY), Generex Biotechnology Corp (GNBT), Quality Systems, Inc (QSII) and Owens Corning (OC) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Friedman Billings views Marriott International's (NYSE: MAR) relatively low-risk, capital efficient fee income model as an attractive investment opportunity and started shares with an Outperform rating.
  • Wedbush believes VeriFone Holdings (NYSE: PAY) is on the highest quality names in the space given the company's superior growth, high margins and consistent execution and started shares with a Strong Buy rating.
  • Rodman believes Generex Biotech's (NASDAQ: GNBT) oral insulin, Oral-lyn could be a significant player in the non-injectable insulin market and initiated shares with an Outperform rating.
  • Morgan Keegan started Owens Corning (NYSE: OC) with a Market Perform rating citing the slowdown in the North American housing market.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • William Blair started Cepheid (NASDAQ: CPHD) with an Outperform rating.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 12:23 AM

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