Falling knife posts

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Don't be the cutting board for Tuesday Morning!

Tuesday Morning Corporation (NASDAQ: TUES) is a closeout retailer of home items in the United States. With the stock down nearly 70% year-to-date, I'd bet that value investors are starting to do their due diligence on this company. I, too, have done my due diligence and I've come to a conclusion rather quickly: stay away, at least for the time being.

There's an old saying on Wall Street: don't try and catch a falling knife. This simply means don't try to buy a stock making new lows before it begins showing some strength. I've tried to catch a falling knife before in The Bon-Ton Stores, Inc. (NASDAQ: BONT) here and it ended up humbling me, to say the least. I think that Tuesday Morning is a falling knife and you, the investor, should avoid being the cutting board into which this knife stabs.

Tuesday Morning revised its outlook yesterday and it wasn't pretty. Before this cut, analysts and management were expecting roughly 85 cents per share in earnings for the year; however, management brought its expectations down to about 60 cents per share on greatly-reduced sales estimations.

Continue reading Don't be the cutting board for Tuesday Morning!

Time to catch the falling knife in Bon-Ton Stores?

Trying to catch falling knives is a tough and dangerous game. The floor is falling every day in the stock and many times, investors allow their egos to prevent them from making the right decision. But even though that's the case, I sometimes still choose to make the move if I believe it's clear that fear has taken over in the emotions of investors and the stock is clearly undervalued. As the often-quoted Warren Buffett saying goes, "Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful." Often the best types of investments are those made against the crowd, or contrarian.

One such stock is Bon-Ton Stores (NASDAQ: BONT). Plagued by lower outlooks and falling sales figures, the stock has been getting killed recently.

However, I think the stock is a very interesting buy at these levels for a couple reasons. It looks cheap, insiders are buying, and it has an interesting pool of owners, among other things.

Continue reading Time to catch the falling knife in Bon-Ton Stores?

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 03:48 AM

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