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Uncle Sam has a $4.8 trillion dollar interest payment!

Here's a shocker! Over the next decade the U.S. government is expected to rack up $9 trillion in debt. More than half that amount, $4.8 trillion, will be in interest payments.

To further emphasize the depth of the problem, in 2015 interest due will be $533 billion, equal to 1/3 of the federal income taxes!

Right now, the Treasury is in a sweet spot with regards to interest payments. With interest rates at near zero, we are able to finance trillions of dollars of debt with practically no interest payments. That scenario is about to change. The change could be rather quick. If the economy heats up, interest rates will rise and so too will interest payments. Because the debt is so large, only a small rise in interest payments could increase the interest burden by a large amount.

Continue reading Uncle Sam has a $4.8 trillion dollar interest payment!

Is market rising on Obama presidency?

Many observers refer to the market as a forecasting mechanism. If so, today's 213 point rise could be a signal that investors anticipate an Obama win. I don't think today's reported 3.3% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the second quarter can explain the rise. Rather I think the market could be happy with the idea of taking a break from the failed tax cut and spend policies of the last eight years -- which have led to a record $490 billion federal deficit, a $9.8 trillion national debt, and the loss of $8 trillion in housing-related value.

Bloomberg News reports that GDP grew 3.3% thanks to a rise in exports to Europe -- still GDP growth was anticipated to hit 2.7% so today's figure -- which could be revised after the November election -- looked more favorable. Nevertheless, Bloomberg does not expect the so-called expansion to continue since the European economy is weakening and consumers burdened with falling home values -- the average home is down 16% -- and a tough job market -- will lead cut back their spending, which accounts for 70% of GDP growth. Bloomberg writes that "the number of Americans collecting unemployment benefits reached a five-year high last week."


Continue reading Is market rising on Obama presidency?

Fund roads & bridges NOT mad money stimulus

It is alarming to me that the same people who screw up the economy (or stand by watching) are the ones that are now promoting the remedies. They have proven without a shadow of a doubt that this is not their strong suit. The proposed economic stimulus package has bi-partisan support and calls for an estimated $156 billion of tax rebates ranging from $500 to $1,000 (+ $300 for each child) that might show up in May.

If we are going to add on to our already humungous joke of national debt, than I want to invest this capital in something that will bring a higher return on invested capital (ROIC) than the paltry one time mad money. That expenditure should be for national infrastructure projects like roadways, bridges, tunnels, and waterways.

We have all heard about the poor condition of our national infrastructure and the hundreds of billions of dollars of repair work and replacement that is desperately needed.

This alternative would bring visible results that every single person in the country would benefit from and improved linkages always stimulate economic growth. Road improvements even reduce fuel consumption by shortening routes and reducing friction both strategically and physically.

Continue reading Fund roads & bridges NOT mad money stimulus

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-151.6110,312.79
NASDAQ-35.482,140.57
S&P 500-17.951,092.68

Last updated: November 27, 2009: 10:28 AM

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