Fortress posts
FeedPosted Nov 22nd 2008 11:40AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, PepsiCo (PEP), Walt Disney (DIS), Target Corp. (TGT), Corning Inc (GLW), Gap Inc (GPS), Intuit Inc (INTU), Limited Brands (LTD), salesforce.com inc (CRM)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Target, Heinz, Barnes & Noble, Pepsi, Disney and others
Posted Oct 27th 2008 10:13AM by Laurie Pasternack (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, PepsiCo (PEP), U.S. Steel (X), Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
- Fortress (NYSE: FIG) was upgraded at Citigroup to Hold from Sell.
- Prudential (NYSE: PUK) was lifted to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
- Keefe Bruyette upgraded Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) to Outperform from Market Perform and added shares to their Best Ideas List on valuation as they see an attractive risk/reward at current levels.
- UBS upgraded ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML) to Buy from Neutral on valuation as they believe the company remains a market leader.
- Oppenheimer raised Seattle Genetics (NASDAQ: SGEN) to Outperform from Perform on valuation following the recent weakness as they expect positive clinical news flow beginning in December.
Analyst downgrades:
- UBS downgraded U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) to Sell from Buy and lowered its target to $30 from $60 citing deteriorating U.S. conditions and concerns about the company's high fixed costs in a falling steel price environment.
- Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) was downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
- China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) was lowered to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
Continue reading Analyst calls: PEP, FIG, PUK, BEN, ASML, X, RDS.A, CHU, SVR ...
Posted Jul 30th 2008 9:09AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Market matters, , Blackstone Group L.P (BX), Housing, Cramer on BloggingStocks
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says as long as there are other buyers of the paper, look for other similar deals. Merrill's (NYSE:
MER) (
Cramer's Take) deal with Lone Star gives the first real stab of the private market value of this paper, 22 cents on the dollar. But when you add in the financing you can argue that it is about half that.
Why so low? Because even after a year and a half of stress, we still can't publicly value this stuff.
Remember the deal with Lone Star is a private one, where the investors have to wait five years for the paper to mature. We don't really know what a CDO is worth, you just know what they may have paid.
This is despite the fact that for years now, this stuff has existed, no one has come out and said "this CDO has a lot of Florida, so it is bad," or "this piece of paper has a 90% default rate," or "this debt is hindered by bad HELOC."
Without that info, we can't price it. Lone Star knows more than most, but basically had to put up very little. In this deal, Merrill said "here, we will pay you to take these off our hands."
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Merrill starts process of CDO dumping
Posted Mar 29th 2008 3:40PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Walgreen Co (WAG), Penney (J.C.) (JCP), Adobe Systems (ADBE), Tiffany and Co (TIF), ConAgra Foods (CAG), Darden Restaurants (DRI), KB HOME (KBH), Lennar Corp'A' (LEN), Oracle Corp (ORCL), CKE Restaurants (CKR)
Posted Nov 17th 2007 4:40PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Private equity, Blackstone Group L.P (BX)
Last Wednesday, the mega hedge fund Och-Ziff went public. But investors were jittery and the stock has already dropped 12.5% since its debut.
Well, it may drop even more -- that is, according to a piece in Barron's [a paid service]. In fact, the author, Andrew Bary, calls the company's investment performance an example of "mediocrity."
The current market value of Och-Ziff is about $10.8 billion, which means it is trading at about 18 times earnings. So, on its face, this seems reasonable, right?
Well, you need to make some adjustments. First of all, there is the favorable tax treatment (which may undergo some changes in Congress).
Next, Och-Ziff relies primarily on hefty fees for its investment performance. But, what if the firm has a down year? It could be a big hit to the bottom line.
Continue reading Barron's slams hedge fund Och-Ziff
Posted Sep 29th 2007 11:40AM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Other issues, Competitive strategy
Alternative investment asset manager Fortress Investment Group's (NYSE: FIG) decision to shutter its subprime mortgage division, Nationstar Mortgage, generated only a mild reaction from traders and analysts alike. Nationstar, a leading U.S. subprime lender, has sustained substantial losses due to rising defaults and foreclosures.
Nationstar said any approved mortgage applications in its pipeline would be honored. Nationstar will also continue to service the $10 billion in subprime loans in its portfolio.
Wall Street took Fortress's subprime decision in stride: Wall Street appreciates all the candor and data it can get regarding the status of subprime loans and operations, and Fortress's announcement will help analysts compose a more-complete report on Fortress, one reason the Street did not punish FIG's shares this week. On Friday, FIG's shares closed down 26 cents to $21.32.
Moreover, Wall Street's clamor for "the more data, the better" regarding the subprime sector is not without justification. Late payments and defaults on subprime mortgages are already four times the historical U.S. average, and many analysts expect that percentage to rise in the quarters ahead: about $350 billion in subprime home loans will shift to higher interest rates, with initial rate increases boosting costs by 30% or more, according to research by Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS).
Nationstar, formerly Centex Home Equity, was bought in 2006 by Fortress, a manager of private-equity and hedge funds, for about $554 million. It had been owned by Dallas-based Centex (NYSE: CTX), the fourth-biggest U.S. homebuilder.
Posted Sep 14th 2007 4:32PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Private equity, Citigroup Inc. (C), ,

Since its IPO in March, the shares of private equity firm
Fortress
Investment Group LLC (NYSE:
FIG) have plunged from $33 to $18
But, the team is trying to reverse things. In fact, this week Fortress
filed an IPO for one of its portfolio holdings: Seacastle.
Basically, the company is one of the largest lessors of intermodal equipment (such as chassis, containers, and containerships). It's an important business because it allows for multiple transportation modes like ships, rail, and trucks.
In fact, according to a report from Clarkson Research, the containerized market should grow at about 10% per year (through 2008). Key drivers include: lower trade barriers, the growth of manufacturing in areas like China and India, and strong global economic activity.
Because of the long-term lease arrangements, the cash flows are fairly predictable. Last year, revenues were about $138.4 million and net income was $3.6 million.
The underwriters include
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:
C),
Bear Stearns Cos.(NYSE:
BSC),
Deutsche Bank AG (NYSE:
DB), and
Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE:
MER). The proposed ticker is "SC."
You can find the
prospectus at the SEC website. Also, if you want to check out more IPO filings, click
here.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook
and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements
.
Posted Aug 25th 2007 3:40PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Private equity, Blackstone Group L.P (BX)
David Rubenstein, who is the co-founder of private equity firm The Carlyle Group, has been buying and selling companies since 1987. Now his firm has 30 offices around the globe, as well as $71 billion under management.
Interestingly enough, back in the 1970s, he served in a variety of political seats -- such as the Deputy Assistant to the President for Domestic Policy (under the Carter Administration). He has also practiced law for several prestigious law firms.
So what are his thoughts on the recent turmoil in the private equity world? Well, he gave an interview for the Wall Street Journal [a paid publication]. Basically, his opinions are in-line with those of other top dealmakers, such as from the Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX) and Fortress (NYSE: FIG). That is, we won't see mega deals (because financing has vaporized).
Also, sellers will need to get more realistic on valuations, which is never easy. In fact, many just may rather wait to do deals. In other words, private equity firms will need to work much harder to get strong returns -- and it will require more patience (Rubenstein thinks this could take a couple years).
By the way, Rubenstein has a new book that will hit the shelves soon: Beyond Wall Street: The Rise of Private Equity and the Future of Investing
. It should be a good read.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook
and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements
.
Posted Aug 24th 2007 2:55PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Home Depot (HD), Private equity, Blackstone Group L.P (BX)

It's been a lonely place at
BloggingBuyouts lately. There's been a few deals – but no mega deals. And, of course, there's lots of buzz about troubled deals, such as
Home Depot's (NYSE:
HD) attempted sale of its wholesale business.
Unfortunately, according to a recent
piece in Reuters, it looks like the loneliness will continue for the rest of the year -- if not through a good part of 2008.
Basically, there is about $330 billion in debt to get placed – which is not easy when the financial system is in the midst of a credit crunch. In fact, on conference calls from firms like
Blackstone (NYSE:
BX) and
Fortress (NYSE:
FIG), the message is that dealmaking is in the freezer.
If anything, private equity firms are probably going to do smaller deals – or buy up discounted debt or other securities.
Of course, this is very bad news for the investment banks, which have been addicted to fees generated from LBO deals.
Although, I think these firms will try focus on other things, such as IPOs (which have lucrative fees) and also try to drum up M&A deals among strategic parties. But, there are limits here too.
In other words, I think Wall Street is going to be down-and-out for awhile.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.Posted Jul 15th 2007 11:10AM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Private equity, , Blackstone Group L.P (BX)
Everything's big in Texas. Look at the state's Teacher Retirement System (TRS). In all, it has about $112 billion in assets.
Interestingly enough, the pension fund wants to devote about a third of its assets to alternatives, such as hedge funds and private equity funds. This is according to a story in the Wall Street Journal [a paid service].
Yes, when you take a look a the SEC filings of the Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX), Fortress (NYSE: FIG), and KKR, you will see that alternative investment can post strong returns.
Despite this, the TRS strategy is certainly gutsy. Keep in mind that alternative investments can be fairly illiquid. What if it gets tougher to do IPOs or get sound exits on these investments?
Or, what if there is a meltdown, as seen with the subprime hedge funds at Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC)?
Even the pros can make big blunders. And it could be bad news for pensioners.
On the other hand, TRS's move is certainly good news for the private equity world. Simply put, there's likely to be many more assets under management -- and that means lots of juicy fees.
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.
Posted Jun 27th 2007 10:55AM by Kevin Shult (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the bell, Comcast Cl'A' (CMCSA), Analyst initiations
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Genesit Energy LP (GEL), EnerNoc (ENOC) and Comcast (CMCSA) were today's noteworthy initiations:
- Genesis Energy (AMEX: GEL) was initiated with a Buy rating and $40 target at Stanford, as the firm believes the company's affiliation with Denbury Resources and pending acquisition of petroleum products, terminals, and transportation businesses from the Davison family will drive rapid growth.
- EnerNoc Inc (NASDAQ: ENOC) was initiated with a Hold rating and $42 target at Jefferies, due to valuation. EnerNoc was also initiated at Morgan Stanley with an Equal Weight rating and $40 target.
- Stifel expects Comcast (OTC: CMCSA) to benefit from higher penetration levels of DVR and HDTV set-top boxes over the next several years and initiated shares with a Buy rating and $34 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
- Select asset managers were initiated at Credit Suisse:
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).Posted Feb 9th 2007 2:30PM by Tom Taulli (RSS feed)
Filed under: Private equity

Somehow, the thinking is that buying shares in Fortress (NYSE:FIG) is just like investing in a hedge fund or a private equity fund.
Well, this is not the case. Instead, you are participating in the fees generated by the portfolio managers of Fortress.
Now, these fees can be quite lucrative -- taking 20% to 25% of the profits on the portfolios. But, then again, if the Fortress investment pros slip, it could mean a big drop in the fee income.
And there's another issue to consider: Investors in hedge funds and private equity funds may be trying to find ways to lower these fees.
Bloomberg.com has a piece on this very fact, including the very interesting point that the chief investment officer of the California Public Employees Retirement System (which has $225 billion in assets) thinks the fee structure is out-of-whack.
His reasoning: If a hedge fund or private equity fund generates risk-adjusted returns close to the S&P 500, then why pay the premium?
Actually, in 2006, you probably would have done better putting your money in these index funds (which, of course, have minimal fees).
Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including the Complete M&A Handbook and the EDGAR-Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements.
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