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US mortgage rates rise sharply

Did you hear? Mortgage rates are surging. That should be no surprise. All we had to do was look at the sharp sell off in US treasuries and you know that mortgage rates would follow suit. The 30 year fixed rate mortgage rate jumped to 5.29%, up from 4.91% just a week ago. On April 2nd the rate was 4.78%.

Just to give you an example in real dollar terms, let's take a $200,000 30 year fixed mortgage at 5.29%. Your monthly payment would be $1109.37 and your 30 payments would be $399,372.25. At 4.91% your monthly payment would be 1062.67 and your 30 payments would be $382,560. So in real dollar terms your cost has risen $16,812.00. In addition lenders are charging 0.7% in fees and points, unchanged from the previous week.

Continue reading US mortgage rates rise sharply

Freddie Mac's earnings fall as delinquencies increase

Late Tuesday, Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) reported that its quarterly net loss checked in at $9.9 billion thanks to rising delinquencies. The company also blamed the results on continued impairments on its holdings of mortgage-backed securities. On a per share basis, FRE's quarterly loss increased to $3.14 a share, compared to $151 million a year ago, or 66 cents a share. The mortgage lender's total revenue dropped to $771 million from $1.41 billion a year ago.

FRE put aside $8.8 billion in provisions in order to cover credit losses for the first quarter, up from $7 billion in the final quarter of 2008. FRE attributed this to the increase in the number and rate of delinquent mortgages, coupled with increasing foreclosure-related losses.

Continue reading Freddie Mac's earnings fall as delinquencies increase

Doomsday Scenario: 80% home default spike in CA, Freddie Mac CFO suicide

Back to the trenchant trenches. More bad housing news came out of California. The loan default rate spiked 80% in the first quarter, according to DataQuick. This is a precursor to a HUGE spike in foreclosures (defaults are the first step down this road) and a strong indicator that the real estate market in California still has another leg down. Even wealthy spots like Santa Clara and Contra Costa counties are showing mid-double digit increases in default notifications.

Continue reading Doomsday Scenario: 80% home default spike in CA, Freddie Mac CFO suicide

Closing Bell: Directionless market, but directed stocks (BA, CAL, COF, FRE, WFC, OSTK)

Despite the market being up the last hour, today's stock market made six changes between being up and down. Oil inventories continued their building to record or near-record levels. It was very light on the economic calendar today so traders had to use the cumulative earnings as the directional report. Even very weak global recovery targets from the IMF were ignored.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 7,886.41 -83.15 (-1.04%)
S&P 500 843.56 -6.52 (-0.77%)
Nasdaq 1,645.85 +2.00 (0.12%)

Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: Directionless market, but directed stocks (BA, CAL, COF, FRE, WFC, OSTK)

Freddie Mac CFO found dead in apparent suicide

It's times like this that all of the vitriol spewed at heads of companies seems a bit overdone. Reportedly, Freddie Mac's (NYSE: FRE) acting Chief Financial Officer, David Kellermann, has been found dead in an apparent suicide.

According to reports, Kellermann's wife found his body and alerted the authorities early this morning. While the police have yet to confirm suicide, most outlets covering the report are saying it was. And while Bloomberg is reporting the death was "unintended," it's been reported that Kellermann's wife told police it was a suicide.

Continue reading Freddie Mac CFO found dead in apparent suicide

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac planning massive retention bonuses

According to a report today in The Wall Street Journal [subscription required], Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) -- those twin titans of mortgage mayhem -- are planning to dish out $210 million worth of retention bonuses over the next 18 months. James Lockhart, director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, explained that $51 million in payouts were distributed in late 2008, with the rest of the bonuses to be disbursed through 2009 and into early 2010.

The news is already raising politicians' ire, since Fannie and Freddie are staying afloat only through the grace of government bailouts. The two lenders reported combined losses of roughly $108 billion in 2008, says the Journal, yet 80% of Freddie's employees and 61% of Fannie's payroll will score retention bonuses based on this bleak operating performance.

Continue reading Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac planning massive retention bonuses

Fannie Mae next in line to hand out questionable bonuses

Who is ready for a second round of bonus outrage (dare I call it a "bonus" round)? This time it is Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) that has awarded retention bonuses to four of its top executives -- let's see how mad everyone gets about this one.

The mortgage company told the SEC in a recent filing that it is going to award bonuses between $470,000 to $611,000 to four of its top executives. As is the nature of a bonus, this payment is on top of the executives' already-hefty base pay.

Continue reading Fannie Mae next in line to hand out questionable bonuses

Federal Reserve buys bonds

There is an old saying: "never fight the Fed." If you had been short this bond market, you probably could be wiped out in one afternoon. When the Federal Reserve made its announcement a short time ago that they were buying long term securities the futures on the long bond jumped 4.25 basis points, or more that $4000.00 on just one contract. If you were long say 10 contracts you would be sitting on a $40,000 profit this afternoon.

Continue reading Federal Reserve buys bonds

Portfolio Killer #4: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac

I lump these zombies -- our first zombies -- together because everyone else does.

You and I are now the proud owner of these lifeless monsters, which have hundreds of billions of dollars in obligations on mortgages of declining quality.

What's more, for political reasons, their future will not be resolved for several years.

True shareholder value: zero

Michael Shulman is a contributor to OptionsZone.com.


Freddie Mac wants another $30 billion from government

Son says to his father: "Dad, can I have $20.00 to go to the movies?" Dad says: "I just gave you $20.00 a few days ago, what happened to that money?" Son says: "I spent it and I'm broke again."

Just change the names to Freddie and the US Treasury. Freddie is broke again. and wants another $30 billion from the US Treasury."Look I only lost $23 billion this time." From what has occurred in the past ,this is a sure bet.

Continue reading Freddie Mac wants another $30 billion from government

Freddie Mac CEO calls it quits after a few months

When Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) were taken over by the government in September, both were given new CEOs to replace the clowns who got them into the mess.

Now Freddie Mac's CEO is heading for the exits. In a press release, the company said that CEO David Moffett would resign as CEO and as a member of the board no later than March 13. From the press release:

Moffett indicated that he wants to return to a role in the financial services sector. In his letter of resignation, he said, "I have enjoyed my time as CEO of Freddie Mac and I wish all the great employees the very best in the days to come."


Continue reading Freddie Mac CEO calls it quits after a few months

What will nationalization mean?

This port was written by Minyanville contributor Minyan Peter.

I think the Government will try at all costs to create the impression that only a limited number of banks are going to be nationalized. To achieve this, Secretary Geithner has requested that the top 15-20 banks in the country undergo a stress test, where regulators will review banks' capital positions under a variety of economic scenarios. And, based on these reviews, those banks that fail will be given convertible preferred stock to boost their capital levels to some yet to be determined level.


Continue reading What will nationalization mean?

Wonder where your money went last year? John Paulson took it

In 2008, the average stock on the S&P 500 lost 38.5%. John Paulson, no relation to the former Treasury Secretary who is famous for making billions shorting sub prime mortgages in 2007, made almost exactly the same percentage increase as the S&P 500 lost. So in some sense, if you're wondering what happened to your money, ask John. He's got it.

Exactly how well did Paulson do and how did he do it? Paulson Advantage Plus, his largest fund with $7 billion in assets, returned 37.6% net of fees for 2008 -- this means that his pre-fee returns probably topped 40%. Paulson again bet right about the collapse of financial institutions. In early 2008, Paulson shorted Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) -- betting that they'd become insolvent or need to raise additional capital that would dilute shareholders.

Continue reading Wonder where your money went last year? John Paulson took it

Picking the right bond fund to stash your cache and grow it safely

In these times of economic uncertainty many investors are taking a closer look at bonds and bond funds. But if individual investors are looking for a safe place to grow their savings, they should select funds carefully.

As the New York Times observed in a December 26 piece, Older Investors Should Examine the Risks in Bonds, "Because conditions may worsen before they improve, older investors should check that their bond investments are indeed what they thought they were--and that they fit their tolerance for risk." The article quoted Financial Counselors bond manager Gary Cloud: "We are in a 2 to 3 percent world, and if they want to earn more than that they need to proceed cautiously."

A WSJ January 4 piece In Search of Wall Street Bargains, carried Morningstar analyst Lawrence Jones' assessment of 2008 as an "absolutely brutal year" for most bond investors and observed: "Bond prices tumbled as investors anxious about the economic slowdown dumped corporate bonds and other obligations that carry the risk of default." Meanwhile, Treasury securities and the funds composed of them "delivered strong returns as investors bid up the prices of these safe havens."

Also on January 4, a Chicago Tribune piece, Bonds may be a shield, but they're still risky, echoed this theme. Noting that Steve Savage, editor of No-Load Fund Analyst, has advised individual investors to consider corporate bond funds and even high-yield bond funds, the Tribune warned, "Whenever yields are high, there is a good chance that financially stressed companies won't be able to repay their debts. In other words, bonds would default and investors would lose money."

Continue reading Picking the right bond fund to stash your cache and grow it safely

The devil in the details: Fed doesn't disclose repurchase facts

Last Friday the Fed announced a $200 billion dollar program for buying toxic assets from banks to help them stay afloat. Yesterday the New York Federal Reserve Bank started a new $500 billion dollar program for buying toxic securities from Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) and Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM)

Since Friday the yield on 30 year agency mortgage securities dropped from 208 basis points over Treasuries down to 190 basis points. This has had the effect of lowering mortgage rates. The rate on a 30 year fixed mortgage has dropped to 5.3% from 6% last November.

The Fed is using four firms to conduct these transactions. They are: BlackRock (NYSE: BLK), Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS), Pimco and Wellington Management.

As was stated previously, the Fed has not disclosed the details of any of these repurchase programs. They are saying that they will be doing this "as the need arises."

A dramatic effect of this new Fed action is the sharp drop in US Treasuries, which today are down another 217 basis points on the 30 year March futures contract. Since last Wednesday the March 30 year bond futures contract has dropped from 141 down to 133 for a drop of about 800 basis points or $8,000.

I guess we can assume from all of this that Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and the banks are in much deeper trouble than the Fed led us to believe last November. The Fed is not calling these bailouts any longer. They are just going ahead with these massive programs, programs that, by and large, investors and the public are not aware of.

What are your thoughts on these programs?

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Last updated: July 09, 2009: 07:33 PM

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