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Options Update: CBOE Volatility Index Down 5.8% to 19.04

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is recently down 1.16 to 19.05, below its 10-day moving average of 22.74, and above its 50-day moving average 18.81.

GameStop Corp. (GME) April 21 and 22 calls are active on call option implied volatility of 42, compared to its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data. Active call volume suggests traders positioning for larger price movement in Q4 results that are expected to be released on March 24.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Week in Preview: Housing Data and Late Season Earnings (ORCL, DFS, TIF)

earnings expectationsQuarterly reports from Oracle (ORCL), Discover (DFS) and Tiffany (TIF) will highlight news on the earnings front this week.

Elsewhere on the economic calendar, the focus will be on housing, with existing home sales data due from the National Association of Realtors on Monday, new home sales numbers from the Census Bureau on Wednesday and data on housing starts released on Thursday.

Also watch for durable goods orders in February and the final GDP for the fourth quarter.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Housing Data and Late Season Earnings (ORCL, DFS, TIF)

Analyst Calls: ANF, CAM, CLX, EXPE, GME, MU, NAV, NOK, WMT ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.
  • Trinity Industries (TRN) to buy from hold at BB&T.
  • Cameron (CAM) to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
  • Expedia (EXPE) to positive from neutral at Susquehanna.
  • Micron (MU) to buy from hold at Lazard Capital.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ANF, CAM, CLX, EXPE, GME, MU, NAV, NOK, WMT ...

Chasing Value: GameStop's Demise Not Imminent, Just Inevitable

It was September 29 when I last wrote about GameStop (GME) in Chasing Value: Are GameStop's Days Numbered? At that time I strongly believed "The demise of GameStop is not imminent -- but it's inevitable." My opinion of this outlet for new and used video games has indeed changed since that time.

I now believe even more fervently that GameStop the gamer is a goner. If you own it, you are playing a game of chicken to see if you make a few bucks with GME as it bounces up and down before it sinks. A word of caution is in order: timing the market as a strategy is a losing proposition the majority of the time.

Continue reading Chasing Value: GameStop's Demise Not Imminent, Just Inevitable

GameStop: Buy or Sell After Latest Report?

GameStop Corp. (GME) is down about 3.8% at the time of this writing. That places the quote at $20.20. Volume is pretty heavy. The 52-week low for the stock is $17.12; the 52-week high is $26.05. Looks like the market isn't exactly sure what to do with this company as the shares are at a comfortable distance between the two extremes.

Earlier today, the video-game chain reported earnings for the third quarter. According to the press release, net income, on an adjusted basis, came in at 38 cents per share. That was one penny above the estimate. Total company same-store sales increased 1.1%.

Continue reading GameStop: Buy or Sell After Latest Report?

Analyst Calls: AMD, BLK, CSX, DKS, GME, HGSI, HON, KEY, NSC, STP, ZION ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Goldman upgraded CSX (CSX) to neutral from sell.
  • General Cable (BGC) was upgraded to buy from hold at KeyBanc.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Chart Industries (GTLS) and Dresser Rand (DRC) to overweight from equal weight.
  • Blackrock (BLK) was upgraded to outperform from neutral at Macquarie.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Zions Bancorp (ZION) to neutral from underperform and GameStop (GME) to outperform from neutral.
  • Honeywell (HON) was upgraded to outperform from sector perform at RBC Capital.
  • Panera Bread (PNRA) was upgraded to buy from neutral at SunTrust.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AMD, BLK, CSX, DKS, GME, HGSI, HON, KEY, NSC, STP, ZION ...

Time to Check In on THQ

THQ Inc. (THQI) reported earnings for the fiscal second quarter last week. How does the stock look after the numbers?

Well, to begin with, we're dealing with an equity that is priced in the single digits. At the time of this writing, shares were exchanging hands for $4.14. The 52-week low is $3.33 while the 52-week high is $8.29. As can be seen from the chart, the stock has basically collapsed since peaking back in April. If you look at the corporate press release detailing the Q2 data, you may understand what all the bearishness is about. On a non-GAAP basis, the loss per share widened to 60 cents compared to a loss of 37 cents in the year-ago period. Also, the top line experienced a decline.

Continue reading Time to Check In on THQ

GameStop Down Today -- Buy or Sell?

GameStop (GME) has its issues. The video-game business isn't as unambiguously hot as it was before, and the future of physical media is in doubt as we continue to move deeper into the digital age. But there are reports out today that might be more troubling than those topics.

Inarguably, the big element of this retailer's business model is its used-game strategy. Players love to visit their local GameStop locations to trade in console software or to buy software that someone else gave back (sometimes they may even do both). But what if the company were suddenly to be disallowed from engaging the practice? Would that ruin the prospects for shareholder value?

Continue reading GameStop Down Today -- Buy or Sell?

Chasing Value: Are GameStop's Days Numbered?

GameStop (GME) logoBookstores disappearing, music stores almost gone, video stores all but done -- and GameStop Corp. (GME) is next. Yes, it's days are numbered, we just don't know what that number is yet.

I have been pondering this for a while, off and on, and did a very limited survey of two teenage boys -- mine -- asking them their thoughts about GameStop. The 17-year-old was playing a game on his Apple (AAPL) MacBook Pro at the time. He said he downloads free games or buys them, but all from the Web. He knew he could buy used games inexpensively at GameStop but had never done so and thought this business activity would fade.

The 14-year-old was also on his Mac, using FaceBook and YouTube. He said he had been to GameStop with friends in the past but never bought anything. Both boys use their cell phones to play games in the car.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Are GameStop's Days Numbered?

GameStop (GME): A Peter Lynch-Style Buy

GameStop logoGameStop (GME), which has jumped in price after announcing a stock buyback, is a new recommendation from John Reese, whose portfolio holds are based on screens developed to reflect the investment strategies of some of the stock's markets most successful investors.

The editor of Validea explains, "This recommendation is based on the P/E/ Growth Investor strategy of Peter Lynch.

"GameStop is a retailer of video game products and personal computer (PC) entertainment software. The company sells new and used video game hardware, video game software and accessories, as well as PC entertainment software, and related accessories and other merchandise.

Continue reading GameStop (GME): A Peter Lynch-Style Buy

GameStop Earnings Disappoint Investors

GameStop (GME) got destroyed during yesterday's trading session. Sure, some of the sell-off was undoubtedly linked to the overall bearishness of the markets, but I think Wall Street was nevertheless unhappy with the stock itself. Players just didn't appreciate the second-quarter results.

When you fail to beat the analysts, institutions can be tough. According to the Associated Press, the video-game chain made 26 cents per share. This figure was one penny less than expectations. A penny may not sound like much, but the company's shares closed down over 8% to $19.06 on Thursday; volume was heavy.

Continue reading GameStop Earnings Disappoint Investors

Activision Blizzard Up Ahead of StarCraft II Release

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) has had a rocky ride over the last year. The following chart illustrates the sideways motion of the video-game superstar's stock. The 52-week range has been a narrow one: the low is $9.93, and the high is $13. Lately, the shares have received a new burst of energy after falling to the $10 level in May. At the time of this writing (it's a little over one hour until the market closes up shop), a quote of $12.02 went by on my screen.

A catalyst currently exists for the publisher. StarCraft II: Wings of Liberty is set to be released on Tuesday. This is the highly-anticipated game from the Blizzard portion of the company. And when I say highly-anticipated, I mean it.

Continue reading Activision Blizzard Up Ahead of StarCraft II Release

Best Buy to Start Dealing in Used Games

Best Buy BBY logoI remember 15 years ago, I rarely felt more satisfied than when I sold an unwanted CD for a decent price (still looking for someone to take that Spin Doctors album off my hands). It was also a rush to score a CD that was new (and cheap) to me, even if it had been dismissed by its former owner. That business may have suffered a precipitous fall, the trade of used goods continues to thrive among the gaming community.

Gamestop (GME) makes much of its business (27% in the last quarter, to be exact) in the used trade, and it makes good business sense. Once a consumer buys a title from, say, Electronic Arts (ERTS), the publisher has made its money. The profit from used discs goes to the seller and the middle man (which happens to be Gamestop). While used games comprised just 27% of Gamestop sales last quarter, they made up 48% of the company's gross profit.

Continue reading Best Buy to Start Dealing in Used Games

Earnings Highlights: Dell, Gap, GM, Home Depot, HP, Sears, Target, Walmart ...

Below are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks. Click through to the original posts for more details.

  • Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF) shares sold off after it posted a narrower Q1 net loss, but same-store sales rose.
  • Applied Materials Inc. (AMAT) swung from a year-ago loss to a Q2 profit that was better than expected.
  • Deere & Co. (DE) reported better-than-expected Q2 earnings and improved sales, and raised its full-year outlook.
  • Dell Inc. (DELL) posted better-than-expected Q1 earnings, but the gross margin was disappointing, and shares fell.
  • GameStop Corp. (GME) higher Q1 earnings beat consensus estimates but same-store sales declined.
  • Gap Inc. (GPS) said its higher Q1 earnings beat expectations while revenue fell in line with estimates.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Dell, Gap, GM, Home Depot, HP, Sears, Target, Walmart ...

Are You Brave Enough to Buy GameStop Stock?

Oh, GameStop (GME) is one tough stock for me to look at, let me tell you. Earlier in the year, I took a lousy loss on it, only to see the shares rebound. After the rebound, they started to go down again. And now, with international issues destroying the markets, there's added confusion following the release of the company's first-quarter report.

The chart, as they say, says it all. Over the last twelve months, the stock has confounded the traders (well, maybe I should just speak for myself and say it's confounded me). There's been no solid direction to the shares as players attempt to figure out exactly where the business model is going. Can it withstand the threat of games-by-download? Can it compete with the casual titles people play on mobile platforms? And what about Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY), Target Corporation (TGT), and Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT)? They want their share of the industry, too. As an example, Wal-Mart wants to engage used entertainment software.

Continue reading Are You Brave Enough to Buy GameStop Stock?

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IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 08:41 AM

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