GeneralDynamics posts

Feed

Guru Strategy: Don't look to high yield stocks for high returns

Stocks are up this year but not everyone is profiting. One reason is that many investors, stung by the market collapse, have been looking for safety by investing in dividend paying stocks. But Richard Moroney, editor of Dow Theory Forecasts, says that investing for yield is a flawed strategy.

Moroney, a chartered financial analyst, points out that while the S&P 1500 Index is up about 16% so far this year, investors in high-yielding stocks (with yields of 4% or more) have a year-to-date return of just 4%. And he says that stocks that do not pay dividends are up an average of 29%.

We spoke with Richard Moroney to find out why this is the case -- and what income investors should do.

Continue reading Guru Strategy: Don't look to high yield stocks for high returns

Investing with the stars: Top stocks from top managers

"Golf has Tiger Woods, novelists have Tom Clancy, and the investment community has stars such as Bruce Berkowitz, Bill Nygren, Charlie Dreifus, and Mario Gabelli," states Paul Tracy.

In his The Street Authority Market Advisor, he suggests, "These money managers are at the pinnacle of their craft." Here, he takes a look at these "celebrities" and some of their current top stock holdings.

"These money managers have all amassed prodigious gains over the years for their shareholders. Over the past few months, these gurus have come out with ringing endorsements for certain stocks. This isn't empty talk -- they are putting their money where their mouth is.

Continue reading Investing with the stars: Top stocks from top managers

Investing in Everyone: Defense, Food, Power, Clinton, Obama, and McCain

Grains & OilseedsI have not decided who I am voting for yet. Or maybe it would be more accurate to say I have decided on multiple occasions only to become undecided again. While some will see me as fickle, or worse, others may be in the same boat.

I am also continuing to think about what difference any of the candidates can make on the economy, and based on these musings, where to invest. My current belief is that none of them will have a profound impact on our economy.

There are no financial wizards among them. Here is the shocker though: I like all three candidates, or at least can find some good in each of them. Each of them is a fighter, and I believe each one of them brings certain skill sets to the job. There are also things about each candidate that are inescapably negative. Clinton has so much baggage, Zsa Zsa Gabor would be jealous. Obama does not have the experience and he has a degree of arrogance (right sweetie); McCain is an old stick-in-the-mud who, as a long-time senator, has spent more hours with lobbyists than almost anybody, though he is pretending otherwise.

Where does this leave me from an investment perspective? My first choice, for stability with moderate growth and dividends, remains the defense sector. I wrote Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year a while back and I still think that it is the most secure. Here's why:

A) None of the candidates will want to appear soft on defense when we are at war, and all three have made threatening remarks in some country's direction to make sure the electorate knows that.

B) The War in Afghanistan and Iraq rages on, and even the most optimist view is that a draw-down will take years.

C) Even if all war ceased immediately, the upgrading and replenishment of the hardware will cost billions of dollars and most of the defense contractors have that in their backlogs now. Chasing Value: General Dynamics & Raytheon -- The defense does not rest

Continue reading Investing in Everyone: Defense, Food, Power, Clinton, Obama, and McCain

Chasing Value: General Dynamics & Raytheon: The defense does not rest

General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) logoWhen it comes to defense spending over the last nine years, there has not been any rest. As I have reported on numerous occasions, the defense sector has beaten the market indices year after year. This year is no exception and two of my recommendations remain ahead of the market and are reporting new contracts every day.

Today, theThe Arizona Republic reports [registration required] that General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) is to receive billions in contracts for its C4 Systems as part of the Army's extensive modernization plan. The company is building a communications network for the Army and is the lead contractor with Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) for a wireless network that will deliver mobile connectivity to soldiers on the field.

General Dynamics is up about $10 (12.5%) in the last year and offers a 1.5% dividend yield. Its current P/E is 16.5 and its P/S is 1.33 with a 15% ROIC. It opened today at $90.58.

Continue reading Chasing Value: General Dynamics & Raytheon: The defense does not rest

Deal Rumor: Will General Dynamics buy Harris Corp.?

Radio World reported that Harris Corp. (NYSE: HRS) might sell itself. I just spoke with an analyst who said that there's a rumor that the suitor might be military contractor General Dynamics (NYSE: GD).

Harris is based in Melbourne, Fla., and has a market capitalization of $7.3 billion. Perhaps Harris thinks its growth potential in the defense industry is "less attractive" than anytime since Sept. 11, 2001. Harris has 16,000 employees and reported $5.1 billion in revenues and net income of $410 million over the last 12 months, ending March 28, 2008.

General Dynamics may be able to cut costs and increase revenues by combining the two firms. And Harris stock is clearly rising -- it's up 2.8%. Could it be due to this rumor? Please comment if you know more.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.

Chasing Value: Cool trade -- Alum.Co. of China for General Dynamics

Aluminum Pipes & TubesLast year, my best Chasing Value recommendation was Aluminum Corp of China ADS (NYSE: ACH), which sailed from $22 per share to a 52-week high of $90.95. I will take credit for finding a winner, but I cannot in all honesty say that I thought it would more than quadruple -- that part was luck. (The original story was Chasing Value: Aluminum Corporation of China ADS, which I still think is worth a read today.)

If you acquired what is often referred to as Chalco (China Alum. Co.) anywhere near the time I recommended it and still own it you are probably still very content with only perhaps a 90% gain as the stock has come down some, closing last Friday May 9 at $40.98

Another of my recommendations was General Dynamics Corp (NYSE: GD), which closed Friday at $90.92. This one is only up a few percentage points from my starting point of $88 per share, but you will note, curiously, that it is only 3 cents off ACH's high. Given the market's bad year, a gain when the market is losing is a bigger plus than the casual observer would perceive. The defense sector has provided the anticipated market defense as I discussed.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Cool trade -- Alum.Co. of China for General Dynamics

Newspaper wrap-up: General Dynamics may win MoD contract

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • According to senior industry sources, the Financial Times reported that the Ministry of Defense could ask General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE: GD) to provide the vehicle design for a new generation of armored vehicles for the army. It is unclear whether General Dynamics, in competition with Nexter and Artec, will be awarded the contract or will be named the preferred bidder.
  • Following the collapse in March of The Bear Stearns Companies Inc (NYSE: BSC), the Financial Times also reported that the SEC will soon require Wall Street banks to publicly disclose more details about liquidity and capital positions. Cox also urged lawmakers to pass legislation that would allow the SEC, or another regulator, the "explicit mandate to supervise" investment banks.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • According to the New York Times, Citigroup Incorporated (NYSE: C) will move senior investment banker Alberto Verme to Dubai by the end of the month in the hopes of establishing a stronger foothold in the region, a crucial area for global banks.
  • The New York Times also reported that several large oil companies, including BP Plc (NYSE: BP), ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) and Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX), agreed to pay nearly $423M in cash in order to settle a lawsuit that alleged water contamination from methyl tertiary butyl ether, a gasoline additive. Under the terms of the deal, the oil giants also agreed to pay 70% of the future cleanup costs for the next 30 years. Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) and several other companies named in the suit did not agree to the deal.

Defense stocks should be on your radar screen

President Bush recently submitted a $3.1 trillion dollar budget to congress with the biggest proposed increases in defense spending, and homeland security. The Pentagon would get a $35 billion increase to $515 billion for core programs, about 7% with war costs additional (but how much is additional?) This further supports my investment posture for this year and next that the defense sector is the place to be as I posted earlier today and many times over the past few months -- the BIG BUYS.

Some of our big defense contractors, all of which should benefit to some degree include: Boeing (NYSE: BA), General Dynamics (NYSE: GD), Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC), Raytheon Company (NYSE: RTN), and United Technologies (NYSE: UTX). I am not suggesting that you jump into these stocks immediately, but you should add them to your watch list. Perhaps, for some investors dollar cost averaging into them over six months would make sense. Each has a varying degree of exposure to defense spending. For example, United Technologies is the parent of Sikorsky helicopters which makes the Black Hawk. Lockheed Martin and Boeing make fighter jets. Raytheon makes defense electronics and missile while General Dynamics and Northrop Grumman supply warships to the US Navy. Northrop also makes aerial vehicles that are being used in the Iraq War.

Continue reading Defense stocks should be on your radar screen

Chasing Value: General Dynamics (GD) revisited

General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) logoIn recent months I have been recommending that investors take a look at the defense sector as a safe haven during this erratic stock market -- erratic and down. My most recent post on the subject was Chasing Value: Raytheon (RTN) up on earnings & 2008 outlook. The defense sector has beaten the S&P 500 index for eight years running and this year may mark the ninth straight.

In a previous post I trumpeted General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE: GD) and still believe in the stock. The price-to-sales is a modest 1.33. The P/E of 16 and dividend are average, but it has a healthy ROE near 20%. If you believe the forward looking P/E it is only 14. GD makes the Gulfstream aircraft for the wealthy jet-setter and the Abrams tank for the military. How many of those will need parts or replacement in the coming years?

When I was evaluating my 2008 picks I looked at most of the large defense contractors and included RTN over GD. If you look at the chart below and the original story Chasing Value: General Dynamics (GD) looking long and flying high!, you will find I was looking at General Dynamics around $90 a share. We bought in at $88 so you know I like it even more in the area of $83 where it is trading now.

Continue reading Chasing Value: General Dynamics (GD) revisited

Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year

US Apache gunship helicopter In searching out investments for 2008 -- what is likely to be a precarious stock market -- I have been touting the defense industry for the last two months as one of the stories for next year in terms of growth and safety. A press release today noted: "The benchmark SPADE Defense Index (AMEX: DXS) currently has a year-to-date gain of 21.5%, nearly 20% better than the widely followed S&P500 broad-market index."

Certainly this might have been expected in the aftermath of the September 11 tragedy, and given that the U.S remains at war in Iraq and Afghanistan. But this is just one aspect of the industry. Some companies like Boeing Co (NYSE: BA) are doing equally well in the private sector selling new planes and replacement parts for aging fleets.

Raytheon Co (NYSE: RTN) is heavily involved not just with airport security, but develops radar and monitoring systems for airport safety. This is of growing concern as the skies become more congested and airports more impacted.

United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) makes military helicopters that are also used for civilian fleets and fire fighting. UTX also is a world leader in the private sector owning Otis Elevator, Carrier Air Conditioning and more.

Continue reading Defense sector rolls over S&P 500 for 8th straight year

Lockheed Martin, defense stocks on a roll

LMT logoLockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT) shares are trading higher today after competitors Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) and General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) both posted positive earnings reports today, in the wake of LMT's positive release yesterday. Additionally, Lockheed announced today that the company was awarded a $52.5 million contract to provide next generation convoy trainers to the US Marines. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on LMT.

Lockheed stock has shot up over the past three months, hitting a one-year high of $113.74 earlier this month. LMT opened this morning at $106.16. So far today the stock has hit a low of $106.15 and a high of $108.90. As of 11:05, LMT is trading at $108.70, up $1.73 (1.6%). The chart for LMT looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a January bull-put credit spread below the $90 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just 3 months as long as LMT is above $90 at January expiration. Lockheed would have to fall by more than 17% before we would start to lose money.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin, defense stocks on a roll

Remember when Boeing was a laughingstock?

Boeing (NYSE: BA) DreamlinerRemember four, five years ago when everything that could go wrong did go wrong for Boeing (NYSE: BA)? The company not only lost market share to Airbus SAS but ousted its CEO, Phil Condit, and his successor, Harry Stonecipher, for among other things having affairs with subordinates. Former CFO Michael Sears was sent to prison for his role in one of many Pentagon scandals involving the company.

Under Chief Executive James McNerney, who joined the plane maker from 3M Co. (NYSE: MMM) in 2005, Boeing has managed to put its problems behind it. The company reported net income of $1.11 billion, or $1.44 a share on revenue of $16.5 billion, beating Wall Street expectations. Boeing also raised earnings, revenue and cash flow guidance for the year. It trimmed back its forecasts for 2008, but that's to be expected given the delays in the 787 Dreamliner and the slowdown in the defense business.

Shares of the Chicago-based company are up about 6% this year, underperforming peers Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), General Dynamics (NYSE: GD) and Raytheon (NYSE: RTN) mainly because of worries about the Dreamliner. This reaction is overblown. First of all, the fact that new, sophisticated aircraft has been delayed is hardly surprising. If the delays continue however, that's more serious. For now, Boeing's customers haven't lost faith, placing 710 firm orders.

If the Dreamliner stays on track and the company gets its fair share of defense spending, the shares may head higher.

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage

New market leaders: Six-pack of blue chips

"New leadership often emerging during corrections," says Richard Moroney in Dow Theory Forecasts, who highlights 6 relative strength blue chips.

The advisor explains, "Stocks have retreated sharply and broadly, reflecting concerns that turmoil in the corporate-junk-bond and mortgage-debt markets will spill over to the broader economy – and perhaps halt the boom in takeovers."

Near-term volatility seems likely, he suggests, and a pullback to 12,700 to 13,350 on the Dow Industrials would be consistent with a secondary correction in an ongoing bull market. While holding some cash on the sidelines seems prudent, he advises, his recommended cash position remains at 5% to 10%.

Looking to find the stocks that will qualify as "new leadership" for after this correction, he notes, "A stock's ability to outperform during such pullbacks is a bullish indicator."

Continue reading New market leaders: Six-pack of blue chips

My Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio

Let me introduce my Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio, a compilation of red, white and blue stocks for investors to consider as they celebrate our nation's independence.

Regardless of your views on the Iraq war, there's no denying that defense stocks including Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), Northrop Grumman Co. (NYSE: NOC), Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) and General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE: GD) are reasonably valued. This is especially noteworthy considering that defense spending will need to be maintained at pretty high levels for years to come in order to replace equipment that's been worn out from combat. President Bush is proposing to spend a record $439 billion in fiscal 2007 on defense and another $42.7 billion on homeland security.

Lockheed, the maker of the F-16, seems especially cheap, trading at a forward multiple of 14.6. Its shares have only gained 4.6% this year even though the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter results and raised earnings guidance. Missile and defense electronics company Raytheon, up less than 3%, is in the same situation.

Investors often overlook the huge businesses that Lockheed and Raytheon have in areas outside of defense, including computer systems and air-traffic control. The managements of both companies also have vastly improved over the past few years. Northrop and General Dynamics have always been pretty well run.

Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA), notably the second-largest defense contractor, also looks worth snapping up. Its stock is up less than 3% this year, which is surprising considering how well it's rebounded against European rival Airbus. The company trades at a forward multiple of 17.7.

Continue reading My Yankee Doodle Dandy portfolio

The week in Defense and Aerospace

Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA): Rival Airbus booked its first firm order for the A350 XWB. Finnair converted an order for nine of the old A350s to the new version and added two more. The first planes are booked for delivery beginning in 2014.

Continental Airlines ordered five 787-9 Dreamliners from Boeing this week, bringing its total order from the 787 line to 25 planes. Delivery of their first 787-9s is scheduled for 2009.

L-3 Communications Holdings (NYSE:LLL): L-3 Communications received a $43 million, five-year contract from the U.S. Army to develop software technology for networked warfare.

Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC): A $600 million combined project of Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman Corp. to build a dozen fast-response cutters was canceled last week. The project, on hold for the last year, was beset with cost overruns and had come under sharp criticism from Sen. John Kerry. The Coast Guard plans to re-bid the project.

Continue reading The week in Defense and Aerospace

Next Page >

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 04:50 AM

Hot Stocks

General Electric

18.875-0.255(-1.33)

Alcoa

10.29-0.35(-3.29)

Apple Inc

493.42+0.25(+0.05)

Google Inc 'A'

605.91-5.55(-0.91)

Bank of America

8.07-0.11(-1.34)

Wal-Mart Stores

61.90-0.06(-0.10)

Exxon Mobil Corp

83.80-1.08(-1.27)

Ford

12.44-0.25(-1.97)

Citigroup

32.925-0.735(-2.18)

IBM

192.42-0.71(-0.37)

Yahoo

16.14+0.14(+0.88)

Starbucks

48.82-0.38(-0.77)

Microsoft

30.495-0.275(-0.89)

Home Depot

45.33+0.06(+0.13)

DailyFinance Headlines

AOL Business News

BioHealth Investor Headlines

Sponsored Links

My Portfolios

Track your stocks here!

Find out why more people track their portfolios on AOL Money & Finance then anywhere else.

BloggingStocks Partners

More from AOL Money & Finance

Page Loaded in 1329040220477 ms.