Continue reading GlaxoSmithKline Benefits from the Flu During the Fourth Quarter

GlaxoSmithKline Benefits from the Flu During the Fourth Quarter originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 04 Feb 2010 10:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Early this morning, Societe Generale cut GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) to "sell" from "hold." The brokerage blamed the downgrade on the "looming threat" of generics to GSK's respiratory drug Advair. SocGen believes the market is "underestimating" the chances for a generic competitor to Advair in the U.S. by 2011.

Technically, the stock is facing resistance at the $40 level -- a level that has provided a hurdle in the past. Along with this potential resistance is the possibility that the equity may slip back below its 20-month moving average. This trendline has acted as resistance in the past, and now that the shares are positioned north of this trendline, it could act as support. The problem is that this trendline is in a sharp descending pattern.

It isn't all bad news for GSK, the good news is that the equity should find some support from its 10-week moving average. With this trendline providing support, any potential drop from this morning's news could be limited.

Continue reading GlaxoSmithKline downgraded by SocGen

GlaxoSmithKline downgraded by SocGen originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 10 Sep 2009 08:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Closing Bell: When 2009 highs are under-covered (BAC, ETFC, MYL, PFE, QCOM, STAA)

Closing Bell: When 2009 highs are under-covered (BAC, ETFC, MYL, PFE, QCOM, STAA) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 11 Jun 2009 16:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

In a period of economic distress, owning stocks with stable cash flows is a great way to avoid the carnage found in other parts of the market. One sector traditionally known to provide consistent cash flow to investors is the pharmaceutical industry.

Patent protection on drugs provides the industry with the ability to generate revenue unencumbered by competition. Investors generally pay a premium to own a piece of that stream -- no matter what is happening in the economy.

During the last few years, market premium for drug companies has been diminished. As drugs from the major pharmaceutical makers come off patent, revenues and cash flow suffers.

That fact explains why drug companies invest so much money on research and development. When older drugs come off patent they are replaced by a steady stream of new drugs.

What happens when that pipeline goes dry? Obviously, the company is not worth as much.

That has been the situation at Pfizer (NYSE: PFE). During the last five years, we have been hearing about a dwindling drug pipeline with no sign of abating. During that time, patents for working drugs only aged

Continue reading Pfizer 'admits' it's in trouble

Pfizer 'admits' it's in trouble originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 06 Jan 2009 11:25:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Teva's $7.46 billion drug deal originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 18 Jul 2008 09:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Pfizer's path forward: To generics? To biotech? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 13 Jun 2008 13:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

A graph from the May 2008 issue of Harvard Business Review tells a story about the dumbing down of the global economy.

From an article, Rebuilding the R&D Engine in Big Pharma [subscription required] the graph shows the total shareholder returns for various industries in two time periods: from 1985 to 2000 and from 2001 to 2007. Here are three of the leading sectors from 1985 to 2000 (average annual shareholder returns are in parentheses):

• Pharmaceuticals (20.0%)
• Financials (18.8%)
• IT (17.4%)

Between 2001 and 2007, three of the leading sectors were:

• Energy (15.2%)
• Materials (14.3%)
• Financials (7.0%)

Continue reading The dumbing down of the global economy

The dumbing down of the global economy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 02 Jun 2008 17:34:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Chantix, an anti-smoking drug from Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), would seem to be good for people. Smoking causes heart and lung problems and who knows what else. The trouble with the drug is that it seems to cause heart problems, called cardiac arrhythmia, all on its own. That seems counter-productive.

The drug may also make some people crazy, at least to the level of causing suicide and depression in a portion of patients.

The Institute for Safe Medication Practices said, "Based on the data available now, the existing warnings are completely inadequate," according to The Wall Street Journal.

The news points to an ongoing problem in the drug industry. Big Pharma wants to get products to market fast and sell as much as it can. Many of the current drugs that get them revenue are going "off patent" and will be sold by generic drug companies. That kills most of the profits on the treatments.

But, in the race to get the drugs out, it seems that side effects are overlooked and overlooked often.

Profits versus people being sick or dead. Hard decision.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com. and author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 letter.

Pfizer (PFE): Another drug may harm its users originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 22 May 2008 09:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

At their investor day, Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (ADR) (NASDAQ: TEVA), the world's largest generic drug maker, said that they expect to double revenues over the next 4 years. Teva predicts that they will grow faster than the generic market. While that is interesting in its own right, their view on the generic market in general is astounding.

"By 2012, Teva expects to have 30% of the U.S. market for generic prescriptions, up from about 20% now. Over 75% of U.S. prescriptions will be filled by a generic by 2012," the company said.

Wow! Three out of every four prescriptions will be filled by a generic in just four years from now. That's huge. If that is indeed the case Big-pharma needs to look out. Where are their profits going to come from? Even the big Bio-tech players are squirming over the possibility of bio-generics.

Continue reading Teva sees strong generic growth

Teva sees strong generic growth originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 21 Feb 2008 17:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (NASDAQ: TEVA), the world's largest generic drug maker, yesterday announced a change in top management. George S. Barrett, Chief Executive Officer, Teva North America, Corporate Executive VP, Global Pharmaceutical Markets has resigned from the Company. William S. Marth, currently President and Chief Executive Officer of Teva USA, will replace Mr. Barrett and assume the additional role of Chief Executive Officer of Teva North America effective immediately.

Marth is no newcomer to the Israeli TEVA. He has been a key player in the launch of new drugs in recent years. He knows the organization well, and I expect business to continue as is. With a really strong pipeline for '08 and '09, yesterday's 5% drop on the news, presents an attractive entry point for investors who want to catch the generic wave and invest in the 'best of breed' company.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has a position and owns stock in TEVA and is long the stock. He has no positions in any other stock mentioned as of 1/11/08.

Management changes at TEVA: No big deal originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 11 Jan 2008 10:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Salix (NASDAQ: SLXP) has announced it will launch a generic version of its Colazal (treatment for ulcerative colitis) with Watson Pharma (NYSE: WPI). Mylan (NYSE: MYL), Apotex, and Roxane have received FDA clearance to market their own generic versions of SLXP's Colazal.

SLXP is recently down $1.01 to $8.00 in pre-open trading. Wachovia says, "Valuation range: $9 to $10."

SLXP January option implied volatility of 104 is above its 26-week average of 72 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risk.

Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Options update 12-31-07: Salix volatility jumps on generic Colazal plans originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 31 Dec 2007 08:55:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Teva Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: TEVA) raised its guidance for '07 after Teva launched a generic version of Wyeth (NYSE: WYE) Protonix over the weekend, to the apparent surprise of Wyeth management. It's clear that Teva must have started shipping the drug, and that's why it is raising guidance. Goldman Sachs analyst Randall Stanicky reaffirmed a "Buy" rating on Teva, saying the launch was unsurprising and the company has likely already shipped a decent amount of the generic drug to pharmacies.

This is just the latest in a long line of setbacks for big pharma, as generics continue to scoop up market share of drugs that come off patent. Teva, as the world's leading generic company, continues to grow and has a great pipeline for '08, and as a result the stock should continue climbing as well.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Writer has a position in TEVA and is long the stock. Writer has no position in any other stock mentioned as of 12/24/07.

Teva launches generic of Wyeth's Protonix, raises guidance originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 26 Dec 2007 08:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Novartis plans 2,500 more job cuts in reaction to generic drug war

Novartis plans 2,500 more job cuts in reaction to generic drug war originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 13 Dec 2007 14:56:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Savient Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: SVNT), surged yesterday on analyst comments regarding their promising new treatment for Gout. Savient is a biopharmaceutical company. It engages in the development, manufacture, and marketing of pharmaceutical products that target unmet medical needs.

Savient makes Oxandrin, which treats involuntary weight loss caused by trauma, surgery, or diseases such as HIV. The company reported a 3rd quarter loss due to increased generic competition for the drug. This is just another in a long line of Pharmaceutical companies to lose market share to the generics. Nonetheless, Citi Investment Research analyst Andrew Swanson started coverage of the drug maker with a "Buy/Speculative" rating and $21 price target. Which is 50% higher than yesterday's closing price.

The company's biggest growth prospect is Puricase which treats gout, a painful inflammation of the joints caused by having too much uric acid built up in the blood. Swanson notes that gout is a large and untapped market, as three million patients await their first new therapy in more than 30 years. At $15,000 per year, even making modest market share assumptions, Swanson's peak sales forecast for Puricase is $600 million.

With such a promising drug in the pipeline this looks like an interesting play. Savient's entire market-cap is $767 million, so this could be a huge opportunity for investors. But as the case with all potential blockbuster drug in trial, if the trial fails, look out below! In a note to clients, Swanson estimates the chance of positive data at 80%, but warned that if the trial fails, Savient shares could fall to as little as $3. Yikes.

Clearly this isn't for the faint of heart, but if you can stomach the potential downside, the upside potential will be well worth the risk.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Writer has no position in any stock mentioned as of 11/29/07.

Savient Pharmaceuticals: Hopes ride on gout originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 29 Nov 2007 18:57:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Teva already produces Copaxone for the treatment of MS, but has twice tried unsuccessfully in the past to produce an oral drug. This time it is teaming up with the Swedish drug company Active Biotech to trial the oral drug.

If successful, along with Copaxone, Teva will be the clear leader in the fight to treat MS. For the sake of all who suffer from MS, let's hope the third time is a charm, and Teva has success with the oral drug.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Author holds a position in TEVA.

Teva tries again with oral MS drug originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 07 Nov 2007 14:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

TEVA Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ: TEVA), the world's biggest generic drugmaker, reported that third-quarter net income fell to $525 million, or 64 cents a share, from $606 million, or 74 cents, in the year-earlier period. Sales reached $2.37 billion from $2.29 billion. Consensus estimates of 63 cents of profit on sales of $2.41 billion was expected. While TEVA was a bit light on the revenue line, it beat by a penny on EPS, in large part due to stronger than expected margins.

With a very strong pipeline, and expanding margins, TEVA continues to be the leading large pharma play out there. The stock is trading down today for two reasons. Up more than 50% year to date, the stock was priced for a blowout earnings report, which we didn't get. More importantly, CFO Dan Suesskind announced his retirement. In the company for over 30 years, he is the face of the company to investors, and his departure leaves many nervous. Hi replacement, current Checkpoint (NASDAQ: CHKP) CFO, Eyal Desheh, is no slouch. He knows TEVA well, having worked there for six years and as CFO of a NASDAQ 100 high-tech company, he is well-known on the Street.

For those looking for a long-term pharma play, consider buying TEVA on any weakness.

Disclosure: Author holds both TEVA and CHKP as of 10/30/07.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com.

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage

TEVA CFO's departure overshadows strong margins originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 30 Oct 2007 14:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Have you heard about Kroger's discount drugs? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 28 Oct 2007 16:56:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

GlaxoSmithKline profit plunges on drug fears and competition originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 24 Oct 2007 11:12:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Pfizer

Pfizer profit plunges 77% on generics competition, Exubera disaster originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 18 Oct 2007 09:42:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It must not be much fun to compete with Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) in the prescription drugs business. The world's largest retailer keeps dropping prices.

Today, Wal-Mart said it would extend its $4 generic drug program to include a number of additional treatments for "problems including glaucoma, attention deficit disorder, fungal infections and acne," according to MarketWatch. For other items like birth control pills, it will charge $9 against a national average of $30.

Wal-Mart says that the program will save consumers $600 million over the next year, with some of the savings being tremendous. While antifungal Lamisil cost an average of $337.26 one month ago, its generic equivalent, terbinafine, sells at Wal-Mart for $4 for a commonly dispensed quantity of up to a 30-day supply, the company said.

The low-cost drugs raise the question of whether Wal-Mart makes money on them at all. It may use the price points to drive traffic to its stores. If so, companies like CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS) would watch their stock prices take a beating.

The generic prices also raise the issue of unfair competition. If Wal-Mart does offer the drugs at below cost, is it building an antitrust case for other companies?

The new pricing may be good for consumers, but that doesn't mean the government won't look into it.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Wal-Mart (WMT) to offer more $4 generic drugs originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 27 Sep 2007 10:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.