Continue reading Chasing Value: Insurance Mess, Ebix to the Rescue

Chasing Value: Insurance Mess, Ebix to the Rescue originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 25 Mar 2010 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Over 32 years, the portfolio in The Oberweis Report has returned an average gain of 21.2% a year vs. 7.9% for the S&P 500. Here, money manager and newsletter advisor Jim Oberweis, Jr. looks at Suntech Power Holdings Ltd. (NYSE: STP).

"Long-term results notwithstanding, 2008 has been humbling, to say the least. No other year in our history has been as challenging.

"But in our experience, the most favorable buying opportunities tend to fall after a period in which the market has not performed well.

"Although year-by-year results can be volatile, disciplined investors who remain fully invested in a portfolio of high-growth equities selected using our methodology have historically achieved an exceptional average rate of return over long periods of time.

"Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd is one of the leading solar energy companies in the world as measured by production output of photovoltaic, or PV, cells, with leading positions in key solar markets such as Germany and Spain.

Continue reading Suntech (STP) Solar shines for small cap expert

Suntech (STP) Solar shines for small cap expert originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 20 Oct 2008 12:27:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The company had been on a run of exceeding Street expectations by quite a bit. The shares were hit very hard on Thursday coming down from $74 to $47, exacerbated by a 360-point decline in the Dow.

The numbers that Crocs reported were actually quite impressive as revenue were up 130% over last year's 3rd quarter and earnings were up 144% for the same period. The gross margins expanded from 58% to 60.4%, while the ever-important operating margin actually hit above 30%. Young growth companies are not supposed to hit operating margins of 30%. It is virtually unheard of.

The other important piece of news was the company raising its 2008 guidance for earnings in the $2.65-2.70 range. With 2007 looking to be at $1.96, the growth for 2008 would be 35-40%. The stock market reaction was a tremendous overreaction, and the shares are now selling at quite a discount to its growth rate and operating margin level.

Typically, the market is comfortable assigning one P/E point to one point of growth or one point of operating margin. With the growth rate and the operating margins north of 30%, Crocs could support a 30 PE of its 2008 earnings expectations or $81 per share. Assigning a premium over the 30 PE would lift the shares even higher.

Continue reading Did Crocs croak?

Did Crocs croak? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 05 Nov 2007 13:16:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 2

Volatile Markets: Checking our stock picks - Week 2 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 31 Aug 2007 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Yesterday Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) hit an all time high -- up six-fold -- a bit under three years after its $85 IPO. The proximate cause of the latest rise is a deal with salesforce.com, Inc. (NYSE: CRM). The deal could create more opportunities for Google to connect with salesforce's 32,300 customers -- each of whom is a potential advertiser who has not previously tried running online marketing campaigns through Google's automated system

I've posted bullishly on Google for a while -- most recently on Memorial Day. That's when Steve Mandel, head of $8 billion hedge fund Lone Pine Capital, said he believes that Google's growth potential is not fully understood by investors because its core market of paid search is still in "its early innings."

Google is getting more expensive but I suspect not overvalued. I don't know Mandel's earnings forecasts for the company; however last week it traded at $497.91 a moderate PEG of 1.38 -- reflecting a P/E of 43.3 on 24 analysts' consensus 2008 earnings growth of 31.4% to $17.45. That PEG is higher now -- 1.49 reflecting a higher P/E of 46.5 on a slightly lower 24 analysts' consensus 2008 earnings growth of 31.21% to $17.43.

I think Google could hit $1,000 because of the growth potential in the company's 84 different businesses which do not yet generate revenues and revenues from future partnerships like the one with salesforce.

Do you think it's time to buy or sell Google?

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned in this post.

Google hits all time high, but it could hit $1,000 originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 06 Jun 2007 10:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) reported a great quarter and once again shattered analysts best guess estimates across the board. The stock market is jubilant this morning on that and other favorable earnings reports recently as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, DJIA, is up over 100 points, threatening 13,000.

Google was up yesterday in after market trading and is currently (11:30 a.m. EST) trading at $488, up 3.5% from yesterday's close.

In my post yesterday, Serious Money: You asked about Intuitive Surgical?, I blogged of my own venture into a dramatic growth stock and even went as far as to outline why Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ: ISRG) was the superior investment compared to Google.

While Google has taken the market by storm and grabbed all the attention, ISRG is currently trading up 10.3% to $133.66 on an equally astounding earnings report, beating estimates by 9 cents per share. Both companies are charging into the future with great promise, leading their respective sectors and leaving all estimates behind in the dust. GOOG and ISRG look unstoppable at the moment, but investors should be careful with all this euphoria.

If you are not familiar with ISRG, perhaps you should take a look.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the vice president for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. Check out his other posts for BloggingStocks here.

Google rocks the market & Intuitive tops that! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 20 Apr 2007 12:10:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Anglo American plc (ADR) (NASDAQ: AAUK) is really a United Kingdom based company with no American history, although a long history it has. We are continuing our search for value stocks as we very methodically place new money in the market. Our first purchase was an old favorite: Washington Mutual, Inc. (NYSE:WM). We recently acquired it at $40 per share after following it down from $47. Yesterday, Georges Yared posted Washington Mutual: A ridiculously cheap pick in sub-prime panic and we agree with him totally....take a look at the depressed price, the 5.3% yield and more.

We like the Anglo American company and the stock for numerous reasons. It came to our attention initially because it has a 1.17 price-to-sales ratio (P/S), a price-to-book ratio of 1.29 (P/B), and a yield over 2%. To go along with those metrics it has been growing at 15% to 20% over the last few years as the world demand for gold and platinum has increased. You can check out the fundamentals at AOL Money & Finance as a starting point for your own research if you are interested.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Anglo American - Inflation hedge & more

Chasing Value: Anglo American - Inflation hedge & more originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 20 Mar 2007 18:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

When looking for growth, Richard Moroney, editor of Dow Theory Forecast, notes that he avoids speculative and expensive "hypergrowth" stories and prefers to focus on steady growers with reasonable valuations and the ability to exceed expectations."

Among his current favorite growth ideas is Nike Inc. (NYSE:NKE). He explains, "The company hopes to increase its annual sales to $23 billion by fiscal 2011 ending May, up from $15 billion in fiscal 2006, as part of a five-year growth strategy announced in February."

He notes that the firm's plans include expanding its retail presence with the addition of 100 new company stores worldwide over the next three years, half in the U.S.

In addition, the company is expected to divide the Nike brand into six categories -- soccer, basketball, running, men's training, women's fitness, and sports culture -- to better target consumers. Moroney says, "Management expects to reach its sales growth target without the help of new acquisitions."

Continue reading Just do it: Run with Nike

Just do it: Run with Nike originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 19 Mar 2007 18:47:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Google, Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) is up about 20% in the last six weeks, closing Wednesday at $467.50, which is wonderful for the faithful believers who seem to be in the majority. It has gone beyond any projection I could support having passed my top side 12-month value target of $440.00 after only four months. Seems it has gotten ahead of itself again by my reckoning, so I will have to let this one go.

All the excitement created by Google's very positive earnings report followed by numerous upgrades including James Cramer projecting a 12-month target of $560.00 per share still seems too volatile. This is not the next big thing, it is THE CURRENT THING.

While this GOOG euphoria has captured the imaginations and headlines, it is not the only success story. My last stock buy has also gone up just as much without all the fanfare over the same six week period.

Continue reading GOOG is OK but HNP could be better!

GOOG is OK but HNP could be better! originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 02 Nov 2006 10:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.