While the earnings crunch for this quarter is all but over, there is still plenty of action in the earnings arena this coming week. For instance, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting America's Car Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) and Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB) to be among this week's top earnings gainers.
Bentonville, Ark.-based America's Car Mart is expected to post net income of 38 cents per share (up 52.6% from the same period a year ago) on revenue of $73.8 million (up 25.8%). The used car dealer chain has tended in recent quarters toward positive surprises -- by 21 cents per share, or 73.5%, in the previous quarter. The long-term EPS growth forecast is 15%, about the same as the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation of analysts is to buy CRMT.
Campell is tentatively scheduled to report this week, and the world's biggest soup maker is expected to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.5%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past three quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.5%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.
Restaurant operator Bob Evans Farms Inc. (NASDAQ: BOBE) and apparel designer and retailer Guess Inc. (NYSE: GES) both reported earnings growth on Tuesday that beat analysts' expectations.
Bob Evans said its fiscal fourth-quarter profit rose 5% from the year-ago period to $16.1 million, or 52 cents per share. Revenue rose 4% to $436.4 million. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial had estimated earnings of 41 cents per share on sales of $441.5 million.
The company said results were boosted by increases in both its restaurant and food products segments. Same-store sales at Bob Evans brand restaurants rose 1.7%. And the quarter included a pretax gain of $700,000 from the sale of real estate assets.
For the year, Bob Evans reported income of $64.9 million, or $1.95 per share, compared with $60.5 million, or $1.66 per share, in the prior year. Revenue rose 5% to $1.74 billion.
Shares rose 85 cents, or 3%, to close at $29.09. Shares are up 8.3% year to date.
Here's a peek at what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting from companies scheduled to report quarterly results in the first week of June, 2008.
The following companies are expected to post earnings growth, compared to the same period in the previous year:
Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) up 136.6% (from a loss) to $1.12 per share, on $499.1 million in revenue
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Leap Wireless (LEAP), Cergaon Networks (CRNT), Cinemark (CNK), Regal Entertainment (RGC) and Ocean Power Tech (OPTT) were today's noteworthy initiations:
Leap Wireless International Inc. (NASDAQ: LEAP) was initiated with an Outperform rating and $103 target at Pacific Crest, as the firm believes the company's long-term opportunity with new-market expansion is underappreciated.
Pacific Crest also initiated shares of Ceragon Networks Ltd. (NASDAQ: CRNT) with an Outperform rating and $12 target, as the firm believes accelerating wireless data growth is driving backhaul demand.
Cinemark Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CNK) was initiated with an Overweight rating at Morgan Stanley, a Buy rating and $21 target at Banc of America and a Buy rating at Merrill Lynch; Banc of America believes the current box office strength could drive upside to estimates.
Morgan Stanley also initiated shares of Regal Entertainment Group (NYSE: RGC) with an Equal Weight rating.
Ocean Power Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: OPTT) was initiated with a Buy rating and $24 target at Banc of America and a Neutral rating at First Albany.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Telanetix Inc. (NASDAQ: TNXI) was initiated with a Buy rating and $8.50 target at Kaufman Bros, as the firm believes the company's market opportunity is significant and thinks it could be an interesting acquisition target if the telepresence market development accelerates.
Banc of America initiated shares of OceanFreight Inc. (NASDAQ: OCNF) with a Buy rating and $23 target.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Microsoft (MSFT), Dell (DELL), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) and certain broker/dealers were some of today's notable initiations:
Soleil initiated Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) with a Buy rating and $33 target, expecting a strong upgrade cycle near-term and anticipates expanding addressable markets and its global footprint in the long-term.
Dell Inc (NASDAQ: DELL) was initiated with an Above Average rating and $27 objective at Caris. The firm expects Dell to have 2-3 potentially "sloppy" quarters and believes investors will give it a "pass," as the company's current valuation reflects a majority of the near-term risk.
Caris also started Hewlett-Packard Co (NYSE: HPQ) with an Above Average rating along with a $44 objective.
Lehman Brothers started coverage on the U.S. ethanol sector with a Neutral rating. The firm initiated Aventine Renewable Energy Holdings, Inc (NYSE: AVR) with an Overweight rating and $23 target.
Wedbush started Guess?, Inc (NYSE: GES) with a Buy rating and $49 target.
Earlier in the week we blogged about Wal-Mart's Same-Store Sales miss, saying this was not enough information to signal the awful holiday shopping season the market predicted from the indicator. With more information now available, we thought we would review:
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE:WMT) confirmed its preliminary SSS estimate of -0.1%, which at least did not drop further. Competitors Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) and Costco Wholsesale Corp. (NASDAQ:COST) also announced their SSS numbers, with Target outperforming slightly [+5.9% vs. +5.7%] and Costco underperforming slightly [+5% vs. +5.7%]
High-end retail looked good, with both Federated Department Stores Inc. (NYSE:FD) [+8.4% vs. +4.8%] and Saks Inc. (NYSE:SKS) [+7.2% vs. +6.8%] outperforming
Clothing retailers were mixed, with Guess Inc. (NYSE:GES) [+12.1% vs. +5.6%], Pacific Sunwear of California Inc. (NASDAQ:PSUN) [-3.8% vs. -4.6%] and Hot Topic Inc. (NASDAQ:HOTT) [-4.3% vs. -6.8%] beating consensus estimates, while Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE:ANF) [-3% vs. +3%], Bebe Stores Inc. (NASDAQ:BEBE) [+5.8% vs. +7.9%] and perennial underperformer Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS) [-8% vs. -5.4%] fell short of their estimates
Speaking of perennial underperformers, Pier 1 Imports Inc. (NYSE:PIR) [-15.3% vs. -13.6%] and Sharper Image Corp. (NASDAQ:SHRP) [-27% vs. -18%] continued embarrassing their investors.
This adds up to a mixed bag for retailers, with the sector as a whole seeing a good deal of weakness today. This Fly maintains that it is still too early to predict doom and gloom for the whole season, however. The true telling sign for the holiday shopping season will be in consumer electronics, as CIBC World Markets channel checks predict that consumer electronics "won the day" on Black Friday.
Cramer tonight on MAD MONEY discussed Guess? Inc. (GES) as one of the best high end retailer plays. He said he let it get away once and won't let that happen again. It hit a high of $54+ last week, up 109% from last year. He said nine analysts cover it and they aren't bullish enough.
The stock traded up 1% to $54.58 after Cramer mentioned this, and that is actually a year-high. GES trades at $2.46 Billion market cap and a 32.5 P/E. Cramer didn't mention that this used to feel stuck under $10 forever.
Cramer thinks they can double their store count in North America, and it has growth. He also noted that its upscale store Marciano is getting out there too. He said it has tough comparables coming up soon, and he knows that.
He suggested buying half now and half later in case it pulls back.
JOn Ogg is a partner in 24/7 Wall St. LLC; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.
While the earnings crunch for this quarter is all but over, there is still plenty of action in the earnings arena this coming week. For instance, analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting America's Car Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) and Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB) to be among this week's top earnings gainers.
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