Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS - option chain) shares are rising today after the company reported its first-quarter profit rose 44.3% to $41.6 million, or 44 cents per share, beating analysts' forecasts of 37 cents per share. Last year in the first quarter, HANS earned 29 cents per share. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on HANS.
HANS opened this morning at $41.38. So far today the stock has hit a low of $39.42 and a high of $41.88. As of 11:40, HANS is trading at $41.17, up $3.11 (8.17%). The chart for HANS looks bullish.
Hansen Natural posts
FeedHansen Natural (HANS) Q1 earnings grow despite economy
Continue reading Hansen Natural (HANS) Q1 earnings grow despite economy
Does Jones Soda have any pop left?
Since trading close to $25 per share in early 2007, shares of the former Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS) heir-apparent Jones Soda (NASDAQ: JSDA) have tanked. They closed on Friday at a stunning 75 cents per share, down more than 27% on the day.
On October 6th, the company reduced its workforce by 38% to 68 employees, adding that termination and severance expenses were not expected to be material. CEO Stephen Jones said that "Given the financial crisis we're in, you have to preserve cash. Cutting back people is a horrible thing to go through, but you do it as a result of strategy. And my strategy is to focus on the core of what Jones Soda is."
Jones (whose surname is a coincidence) told Fortune Small Business about an ambitious plan to focus on core strengths, reduce sales to discounters, and bring the company back from the brink. Maybe that will work but, either way, the stock looks interesting at its current price. With a market cap of about $20 million, Jones Soda had tangible shareholder's equity of about $27 million at the end of the second quarter -- including nearly $20 million in cash and short-term investments.
A six-pack of beverage bets: Coke, Pepsi and Vina Concha Y Toro make the list
Beverage stocks are often considered "defensive" in nature. After all, no matter what troubles beset the economy, people continue to eat and drink.
Granted, a recessionary environment might impact purveyors of expensive champagnes. But our focus here is on everyday canned sodas and moderately-priced beer and wine.
Of course, no report on beverages would be complete without the two giants of the field -- Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO) and PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP).
Chuck Carlson, editor of The DRIP Investor looks at Pepsi and suggests, "Investors should take advantage of the current price lull to do buying in these shares."
... Read the full article on PepsiCo
Meanwhile, Stephen Leeb, editor of The Complete Investor, looks at Coke and is attracted by both its expanding market opportunities and expanding dividend.
... Read the full article on Coca-Cola
Bottling these drinks is also big business and PepsiAmericas (NYSE: PAS) -- the world's second-largest bottler of PepsiCo beverages -- is a recent feature from quantitative analyst Vahan Janjigan, editor of The Forbes Growth Investor.
... Read the full article on PepsiAmericas
Energy drink maker Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS) has caught the eye of Bill Martin. The editor of BullMarket.com finds the stock attractive because the company has recently attracted some hedge fund investors.
... Read the full article on Hansen Natural
In The Forbes International Investment Report, editor John Christy interviews Lou Gerken of Gerken Capital Associates who sees potential in FEMSA (NYSE: FMX), which produces distributes Coca-Cola, Dos Equis, Tecate Beer in Mexico.
... Read the full article on FEMSA
And Nilus Mattive in his Dividend Superstars newsletter, looks to Chilean wine maker, Vina Concha y Toro (NYSE: VCO) as a play for both growth and income investors.
... Read the full article on Vina Concha y Toro
This report is prepared by Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com which offers a daily overview of the favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Hansen Natural (HANS) lifts on energy drink earnings
Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS - option chain) shares are soaring higher today after the company reported yesterday evening its second quarter profit jumped to 31 percent to $50.2 million on sales of its Monster energy drink. Despite missing estimates by a penny, the growth numbers and decreasing operational expenses are encouraging investors. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on HANS.HANS opened this morning at $21.43. So far today the stock has hit a low of $20.67 and a high of $23.42. As of 12:55, HANS is trading at $23.42, up 1.77 (8.2%). The chart for HANS looks bearish and steady.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bull-put credit spread below the $17.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns.
For this particular trade, we will make a 13.6% return in just six weeks as long as HANS is above $17.50 at September expiration. Hansen would have to fall by more than 25% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
HANS hasn't been below $20 at all in the past year and has shown support around $21.50 recently.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in HANS.
Hansen Natural (HANS) shares plunging -- now what?
True, Hansen Natural reported Wednesday a lower-than-expected first-quarter profit due to lower profit margins, but the results weren't that bad. For the quarter, the company's net sales rose to $212.2 million and it earned $28.8 million, or 29 cents a share. Analysts, however, expected 35 cents on revenue of $221, according to Thomson Reuters. The thing is, that compared to last year, profit climbed 43% and revenue jumped 28%. It seems that the Monster Energy brand drinks had a lot do with Hansen's revenue growth, especially the new Java Monster dairy-based coffee drink.
The problem? Already in the fourth quarter investors were concerned about decreasing margins, and this quarter as well Hansen said its profit was hurt by higher costs, including a 34% boost in costs of sales and a 15% rise in operating expenses. Talk about margin squeeze.
Continue reading Hansen Natural (HANS) shares plunging -- now what?
Option update: Hansen Natural volatility flat as stock down 9%
Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS) is recently trading down $3.65 to $40.50 in pre-open trading.
HANS reported Q4 EPS of 45 cents versus consensus estimates of 38 cents. Q4 net income was up 103% from last year.
Goldman Sachs says: "the stock fell after-hours based on the margin disappointment and because headline sales growth slowed from 61% in 4Q to 33% in Jan/Feb."
HANS overall option implied volatility of 64 is near its 26-week average of 62 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Option update 1-31-08: Hansen Natural volatility elevated on maturity and macro uncertainty
Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS) was trading up $1.29 to $38.50 in pre-open trading.
UBS Warburg believes Coke (NYSE: KO) has been looking into a potential acquisition of HANS.
Stifel says: "We reiterate our Buy rating on HANS after shares declined yesterday following a note from an independent research firm."
HANS February option implied volatility of 74 is above its 26-week average of 60 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Hansen: A 'natural' breakout?
A specialist in "breakout" candidates, Leo Fasciocco sees upside potential in Hansen Natural (NASDAQ: HANS), a maker of sodas, juices and teas.
In his Ticker Tape Digest, the technical advisor says, "The company is showing tremendous profit growth. And at current prices, he says, the shares are attractive for value and growth investors.
The company, he notes, has expanded its drink line to include a wide variety of energy drinks, such as the popular Monster brand. Its other products are fruit juice, smoothies, lemonade, iced tea, and spring water -- most of which are sold under the Hansen's brand name.
He points out that the company is also branching out with soy drinks and juices aimed at toddlers.
Technically, he explains, the stock's daily chart of HANS shows a breakout; its momentum indicator is very bullish and getting stronger. The analys adds, "The accumulation - distribution line is making new peaks. That shows the price advance is being supported by good buying."
Analyst upgrades 3-30-07: Caterpillar, Broadcom, US Steel upgraded today
MOST NOTEWORTHY: US Steel Corp (X), Nvidia Corp (NVDA), Hansen Natural Corp (HANS), Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc (TTWO) were some of today's noteworthy upgrades: - UBS upgraded US Steel Corp (NYSE: X) to Neutral from Reduce to reflect the Q2 price hike and strong international demand.
- Stifel upgraded Nvidia Corp (NASDAQ: NVDA) to Hold from Sell on valuation.
- JP Morgan upgraded Hansen Natural Corp (NASDAQ: HANS) to Overweight from Neutral citing valuation and recent positive developments.
- Soleil believes Take-Two Interactive Software Inc (NASDAQ: TTWO) could enjoy support from the success of the investor group in voting in 5 new board directors and replacing the current CEO.
- Lehman upgraded LG Philips LCD Co, Ltd (NYSE: LPL) to Equal-Weight from Underweight to reflect an earlier-than-expected turnaround for the LCD industry.
- RBC hiked Sonic Corp (NASDAQ: SONC) up to Peer Perform from Underperform with a $23 target.
- Credit Suisse believes Caterpillar Inc (NYSE: CAT) has the most attractive risk/reward in the construction and farm machinery sector and added the stock to its Focus List today.
- Stifel upgraded Broadcom Corp (NASDAQ: BRCM) To Buy from Hold with a $40 target.
- Matrix USA upgraded NetGear, Inc (NASDAQ: NTGR) to Buy from Hold on valuation.
Cramer calls Jones Soda 'the next Hansen'
He thinks this is a lot like HANS was back before its stock became popular (in the first half of 2006, the price more than doubled, although it's now stablized at about 75% above its 52-week low). He likes the company's premium sodas. JSDA has P/E ratio of 82x, and there are only two analysts that cover the company, both with a neutral rating. It has $0.12 earnings estimates for this year and he said that is 100% growth from 2006, but he didn't note the earnings multiples. According to Cramer, Jones is one of his regional-to-national plays that may really break out. He thinks the National Beverage win will really help it and noted briefly that the company was also a possible acquisition target.
The stock has doubled recently and Cramer was not allowed to discuss it before because the market cap was under $250M. He said you can't buy a lot of it because it is too small and you have to use big limit orders. He said buy the stock next week after the Cramer after-hours jokers can't take the pain anymore.
Analyst initiations 12-20: Hansen initiated with a Buy
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) and Hansen Natural (NASDAQ:HANS) were today's most notable initiations: - Research in Motion was initiated with a Neutral at Nollenberger Capital Partners based on valuation and a challenging competitive landscape.
- Hansen Natural was initiated with a Buy and a $42 target at Stifel Nicolaus & Co. based on an attractive valuation and the company's growing share in the alternative beverage market.
- Coach (NYSE:COH) was initiated with a Buy and a $57 target at Citigroup based on compelling growth and the opportunity for margin expansion.
- ValueClick (NASDAQ:VCLK) was initiated with an Average and a $23 target at Caris & Co. Although the firm believes the company has a deeper product portfolio than any other company in internet advertising, it notes that there is significant competition, including Google (NASDAQ:GOOG).
Analyst initiations 12-12-06: Hansen Natural and SAP
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Hansen Natural (HANS) and SAP AG (SAP) were the notable initiations today:
- JP Morgan initiated Hansen Natural Corp. (NASDAQ:HANS) with an Overweight rating and $44 target and was added to the Focus List; the firm believes Hansen is well-positioned to benefit in the rapid energy drink category, has an attractive business model and, based on its growth potential, could be an attractive acquisition target.
- Bank of America resumed their coverage of SAP AG (NYSE:SAP) with a Neutral rating and $55 target, seeing few catalysts to create an upside to consensus estimates.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
- Roth Capital initiated Kana Software Inc. (NASDAQ:KANA) with a Buy rating and $4 target, explaining that demand environment for the customer service segment of CRM is attractive, as many vendors targeting the segment are reporting strong results.
- First Albany initiated Dress Barn Inc. (NASDAQ:DBRN) with a Buy rating and $28 target, and is positive on the company's momentum, value pricing and marketing efforts.
- JP Morgan started Hain Celestial Group Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) with an Overweight rating; they expect high-teen annual EPS growth and believe shares will outperform the group.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).
Analyst upgrades 11-13-06: Intel, GE and Ericsson upgraded
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ericsson (ERIC), Intel (INTC) and General Electric (GE) top today's upgrade list.
- Ericsson Telephone Co. (NASDAQ:ERIC) was upgraded at RBC Capital Markets to Outperform from Sector Perform. The upgrade followed checks that indicated the mobile phone maker gained market share and improved its top-line metrics.
- Intel Corp. (NASDAQ:INTC) and General Electric Co. (NYSE:GE) were added to Citigroup's Recommended List.
OTHER UPGRADES:
- Cephalon, Inc. (NASDAQ:CEPH) was upgraded at CIBC to Sector Outperformer from Sector Performer citing expectations for strong Fentora and Provigil sales.
- Hansen Natural Corp. (NASDAQ:HANS) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord Adams and added to their Best Ideas List citing reduced Street expectations and valuation.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).
Analyst downgrades 11-10-06: Hansen Natural and CVS downgraded
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Hansen Natural (HANS), CVS Corp (CVS) and Career Education (CECO) top today's extensive list of downgrades.
- Hansen Natural Corp. (NASDAQ:HANS) was removed from Goldman Sachs Conviction Buy List due to the lack of near-term catalysts.
- CVS Corp (NYSE:CVS) was removed from the Focus List at Merrill Lynch.
- Career Education Corp. (NASDAQ:CECO) was downgraded to Hold from Strong Buy at Matrix USA due to the declining environment that is leading to slower sales growth.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- A.G. Edwards downgraded Westwood One, Inc (NYSE:WON) to Sell from Hold as fundamentals are not stabilizing. Deutsche Bank also downgraded the media programmer to Hold from Buy.
- Avaya, Inc. (NYSE:AV) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Morgan Keegan.
- Finally, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, Inc. (NYSE:POT) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS on valuation.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).
Cramer on Halloween: Avoid scary HANS and go to Brazil
Last night on MAD MONEY Cramer gave a stock to avoid as a scary stock on Halloween. He said that beverage maker Hansen Natural Corp. (NASDAQ:HANS) is that scary stock. He said that even after the sell-off, it is up 150% and it has nothing proprietary about it.
For a backgrounder with Cramer on HANS: On September 13, 2006 Cramer gave the same call saying its trajectory made it a broken stock. It closed at $29.76 back then, but a dueling analyst call with a big upgrade the next morning caused HANS to rise 10% immediately. Today, HANS shares closed up 1.3% at $31.75.
HANS will report earnings next week, but Cramer thinks you need to get out before the report. He reminded about the 20+% drop after last earnings. He also said that Budweiser took over its distribution. Cramer said that the medical profession may even turn on these companies because kids are using their products to get high.
Cramer also went over his Best of Breed picks in Brazil. Cramer says it is nirvana down there with high growth and decent inflation. A socialist who is becoming a great quiet capitalist was recently elected there. He said that the situation in Brazil merits that investors need to be there.
CVRD-Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (NYSE:RIO) just bought Inco, and this is a great company for Cramer. He said the stock was beaten up for the acquisition of Inco, but he thinks the it is highly accretive and it should have been bought instead of sold off. Cramer also likes the cost containment they are doing, and he thinks the estimates are too low for 2007.
He said BHP Billiton Ltd (NYSE:BHP) & Rio Tintoplc (NYSE:RTP) are the stocks that are popular now with money managers, but he thinks money managers will turn this into a core holding soon. He isn't calling it a double, and investors need to know that it already has a $61.8 Billion market cap. He thinks there may be 1 or 2 months before the Street switches its stance.



