Continue reading IMAX loses less money in Q4 -- should we be excited?

IMAX loses less money in Q4 -- should we be excited? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 12 Mar 2009 15:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

So, how will booksellers such as Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BKS), Borders Group (NYSE: BGP), and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) fare during the holiday season? It's an interesting question, one which is examined in an article at The New York Times. The piece talks about how the current recession seems to be affecting consumers and their desire to buy books. At the beginning of the article, two shoppers are browsing in a bookstore -- one buys, the other doesn't. Both have been affected by the bad economy. What are we to make of this?

I'll give you my take on things. Books, unfortunately, are simply not so glamorous these days. And I do think that booksellers are going to have a hard time this holiday season. With all the competition from video games and other media, the printed page just isn't that exciting to a lot of consumers. I don't think that books will be a top priority as the wallet continues to get squeezed and while job security remains an issue. Our attention spans have been cut so short these days, and they're only getting shorter. In an era of MTV quick-edits and PowerPoint presentations, 100,000-word diversions don't feel so diverting anymore.

Books are probably even less exciting to young people. Seriously, how many kids have books on their Christmas lists this year? They may want the latest Blu-ray cartoon from Disney (NYSE: DIS), or the latest Call of Duty game from Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI), but I'm not so sure they want the latest Stephen King novel (as for me, I picked up King's latest short-story collection Just After Sunset at my local Barnes & Noble). Many kids have been introduced to the joys of reading through the Harry Potter series, but I don't think Potter will be working his magic this season. If parents do cut back this year on presents, I figure they're going to err on the side of making sure that all the non-book gifts are acquired.

Is there anything the booksellers can do about this?

Continue reading Booksellers hope people read even during a recession (BKS, AMZN, BGP)

Booksellers hope people read even during a recession (BKS, AMZN, BGP) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 12 Nov 2008 14:35:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

J.K. Rowling wins Harry Potter encyclopedia lawsuit originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 09 Sep 2008 17:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Warner Bros. -- a division of Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) -- made the surprising announcement that it's delaying the release of the sixth installment in the Harry Potter saga: Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Price.

The release is being pushed back from November 11 of 2008 to July 17 of 2009. Warner Bros. President Alan Horn blamed the writers' strike, saying that "We agreed the best strategy was to move 'Half-Blood Prince' to July, where it perfectly fills the gap for a major tentpole release for mid-summer."

I'm not convinced -- isn't it a little close to the previously scheduled opening for the writers' strike that ended on February 12 to be the reason? Pali Research analyst Rich Greenfield wrote that "We believe TWX is shifting the film to help it achieve earnings expectations in 2008 (moving expensive P & A out of Q4 2008, at the same time that several successful films are set to hit DVD for Warner)."

If that's the case, investors should be concerned. Any time that a company starts messing with its operations in order to improve short-term earnings reports, you have a situation where long-term objectives could be neglected in favor of satisfying Wall Street expectations. In the long run, such a strategy will neither please Wall Street nor set the stage for long-term growth.

Harry Potter movie sequel delayed -- why? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 15 Aug 2008 15:34:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If you have children in elementary school, then you know Scholastic Corporation (NASDAQ: SCHL), operator of the annnual school book fair. Scholastic does an excellent job publishing high-quality children's literature and other educational materials. If only it could do so at a profit. Scholastic has been the U.S. publisher for the Harry Potter series these past few years. But even during the height of Pottermania, Scholastic did not turn much of a profit. This year is no exception. The company recently released 3Q 2008 results. Revenue increased $12 million to $458 million, yet losses continue to widen to $4.6 million for the quarter in which there was no Harry Potter release.

YTD 2008 figures show revenue increased 20% and net income more than doubled due to the last Harry Potter release in the previous quarter. Yet YTD net loss now totals $9.3 million or $0.24 per share compared to net income of $20.5 million in the previous year. To be fair, Scholastic has taken huge losses -- $82 million in Q3 2008 alone -- to exit its direct-to-home sales channel. This led to a $77.5 million net loss in Q3. But even with all business segments "performing solidly," according to CEO Richard Robinson, the company continues to bleed money.

Bloomsbury Publishing PLC, the British publisher of Harry Potter, recently reported robust sales and profit from Harry Potter books. Given that Scholastic also published this year's Caldecott Medal winner, Brain Selznick's The Invention of Hugo Cabret, why is the company still drownding in red ink? S&P Equity downgraded the comapny from Buy to Hold.

Scholastic (SCHL) not so bright originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 03 Apr 2008 15:18:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

As a former English teacher, I can't count the times that I had to listen to a student complain about the "relevance" of this book or that book. I usually tried to explain how literature affects culture and books change the world. I only wish that I'd thought to check out Scholastic Corporation's finances.

On Thursday, citing a tough economy, Scholastic Corporation stated that its expectations for the forthcoming year were somewhat dark. This, combined with a considerable quarterly loss, led to a 13.5% drop in its stock value, leaving it at $30.69 per share. Today, it dropped slightly more, and is currently at $30.25.

I have fond memories of reading Scholastic's books when I was a kid, and I certainly don't like to see the company in pain. However, as an author, I have to admit a certain amount of wondrous amazement at the situation currently unfolding. You see, Scholastic's dire predictions for 2008 center around the fact that it will not have a "Harry Potter" book to give its sales a shot of adrenalin.

Continue reading The magic is gone: Scholastic takes a nosedive, post-Potter

The magic is gone: Scholastic takes a nosedive, post-Potter originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 28 Mar 2008 18:13:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Seventh Harry Potter book to be split in two for film originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 13 Mar 2008 16:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

All movie studios want to find their own Lord of the Rings/Harry Potter franchise. Disney (NYSE: DIS), for example, seems to be headed on the right track with its Narnia brand. Viacom (NYSE: VIA) made a solid effort this past weekend by releasing The Spiderwick Chronicles to the mass multiplex marketplace -- unfortunately, things didn't turn out so well, at least as I'm seeing it.

According to Boxofficemojo, Spiderwick is in a battle with Disney's Step Up 2 the Streets for second place. The latter is right now estimated to have grossed $19.7 million for the three-day weekend of February 15 through February 17; the former has just over $19 million to its credit. So, Spiderwick could exit its current third-place showing and move up in the rankings, but it won't catch up to the big winner, News Corp.'s (NYSE: NWS) Jumper. I'll tell you, I had no idea this one was going to "jump" -- what a horrible, horrible pun, huh? -- to the top of the box office charts this weekend with a $27 million take.

Final numbers will be coming later today, and we'll get a better indication of how all the movies did once Monday's holiday figures are added; also, the second weekend is always the ultimate tell. But, as of now, I don't think Viacom's Spiderwick fantasy -- which is distributed by Paramount and is co-branded with Nickelodeon Movies -- will approach the economic prestige of Time Warner's (NYSE: TWX) Potter property. Better luck next time.

Disclosure: I own shares in Disney.

'Spiderwick Chronicles' not such a great fantasy for Viacom originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 18 Feb 2008 14:21:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Harry Potter book sells for $4 million to benefit disadvantaged children originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 14 Dec 2007 13:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

If you have a child younger than high-school age, then you know about Scholastic Corporation (NASDAQ: SCHL), the world's largest publisher of children's literature and educational material, and the sponsor of the annual school book fair.

Not incidentally, Scholastic also is Harry Potter's publisher, which one would think would be a fairly lucrative revenue stream. Apparently not. Ellie Berger has been named President of Trade for Scholastic in part to figure out how to turn over a new (and hopefully profitable) leaf for Scholastic. Despite record-setting revenue in 1Q FY 2008, which included the release of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Scholastic still managed to post a loss. On revenues of $587 million, a 75% increase, Scholastic posted a net loss of $2.8 million for the quarter. But this loss is a huge improvement over the $47 million net loss a year earlier.

Continue reading Scholastic (SCHL) gets new president, but still no magic

Scholastic (SCHL) gets new president, but still no magic originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 10 Oct 2007 12:09:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading 'Transformers' and 'Shrek' flex muscles: A review of the summer blockbusters

'Transformers' and 'Shrek' flex muscles: A review of the summer blockbusters originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 25 Sep 2007 17:46:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Bookseller Borders Group Inc. (NYSE: BGP) continues to bleed money even with the release of the latest Harry Potter volume. If anything, the losses, already substantial, are getting bigger. Despite the fact that consolidated sales as reported in 2Q 2007 results were up 10% to $945 million, the company still posted a net loss of $25 million, or $0.43 per share, a 25% bigger loss than Wall Street had anticipated. Things have gotten so bad that CEO George Jones remarked he was encouraged by flat sales at Waldenbooks. For the last 7 quarters, Waldenbooks' same-store sales have fallen.

Borders stores posted a total sales increase of 9.7%. Excluding Harry Potter, organic sales growth -- a misleading term in this instance -- was less than half of 1%. This is an expensive business model that is not working. In an effort to lure customers into stores, Harry Potter was sold at a large discount to match prices at discount chains. Administrative expenses increased a bit, but debt increased by almost $200 million, to $663 million. No wonder Borders is now negotiating to amend its credit agreement with its banks and considering the possibility of selling its Borders International segment, which still somehow posted a $10 million operating loss even while total sales increased 31% to $170 million.

Waldenbooks is in an even worse situation. Total sales declined 7.7% and operating losses were the same as one year ago, meaning the chain has made made no improvements to its bottom line situation. BGP shares began the year trading at $22.46, reached a high of $23.41 in late May and have been tanking ever since, closing at $14.66 on Thursday, down $0.28.

Even Harry Potter can't help Borders Group (BGP) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 30 Aug 2007 19:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Book seller Barnes & Noble Inc. (NYSE: BKS) pulled a rabbit out of its own hat and posted diluted EPS of $0.26 in 2Q 2007 last week. But there is always a catch. $0.12 of those earnings derived from a tax benefit and $0.03 derived from lower than expected costs related to closing a huge distribution warehouse. Net earnings for the quarter were just over $18 million or $0.12 per share. Total sales increased 7.6% to $1.2 billion. In-store sales were up 4.4% while online sales were up 18%. Enjoy these increases while they last. Almost all of the good news is a result of the release of the last Harry Potter installment. Barnes & Noble sold just over 2 million copies of the title as of early August. Without Harry Potter, sales increased barely 1%.

Bricks and mortar book stores are a mature business. Possibilities for growth are very hard to come by. CEO Steve Riggio admits as much even while trying to sound upbeat about 3Q releases planned by former President Clinton, former Fed Chair Greenspan and musician Eric Clapton. No offense to these gentlemen, but Harry Potter they ain't. 3Q store sales are forecast to be flat with a loss per share of $0.06-$0.10. Barnes & Noble also posted losses in 1Q, so an increase in FY guidance to $1.69-$1.87 from $1.49-$1.67 is puzzling. Perhaps management is expecting a huge 4Q surge in book buying for the December holidays. Guess they missed the recent report stating 25% of adults surveyed in the U.S. read ZERO books the previous year.

The company is still buying back its shares, adding 500,000 repurchased shares in 2Q to the 750,000 shares repurchased in 1Q. Barnes & Noble has budgeted $400 million for stock buy backs. The stock is surprisingly volatile. It began the year trading at $40.29, hit $42.88 in May, but closed at $35.80 on 27 August. By all means, shop at Barnes & Noble, but spend investment dollars elsewhere.

Barnes & Noble (BKS) profits from Harry Potter magic originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 28 Aug 2007 13:03:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Harry Potter Finance Quiz originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 09 Aug 2007 13:45:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading LIVE BLOGGING: Time Warner earnings conference call

LIVE BLOGGING: Time Warner earnings conference call originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 01 Aug 2007 10:37:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Earnings preview: Can Amazon.com do it again? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 24 Jul 2007 13:15:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

New York Times bestseller list leaves Harry Potter out originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 23 Jul 2007 19:44:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Harry Potter ending: A water cooler cheat sheet

Harry Potter ending: A water cooler cheat sheet originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 23 Jul 2007 17:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It might seem hard to imagine, but the success of the Harry Potter franchise over the past decade has done little to bolster the fortunes of its publisher, Scholastic (NASDAQ: SCHL). With a market cap of $1.4 billion, the company may not be worth much more than the book's author J.K. Rowling.

But with Harry Potter on the way out as a huge source of income (although residual sales will, of course, continue to be strong), Bloomberg believes that the company "may face an exodus of shareholders if the company doesn't consider selling itself."

The stock looks cheap at .66 times sales the Bloomberg piece quotes analyst Drew Crum saying that shares could be worth a 48% premium to their current price if the company is sold.

But that means nothing if management doesn't want to sell, and CEO Richard Robinson controls the company through his ownership of Class A shares.

The most appalling quote from the Bloomberg piece is here:

Robinson, whose father Maurice founded the company in 1920, ``is not a seller,'' Chief Financial Officer Maureen O'Connell said in an interview. Through its ownership of Class A shares, the Robinson family controls four-fifths of Scholastic's board.

``I don't think Dick's going anywhere,'' O'Connell said. ``He's having too much fun right now.''

If Mr. Robinson wants to run the company for fun rather than the benefit of minority shareholders, he should take the company private himself.

Keep a close on this stock. If Scholastic continues to stumble, Robinson could face pressure to do the right thing and enhance shareholder value.

More Harry Potter news

Tom Barlow: The Harry Potter Finance Quiz
Gary E. Sattler: New York Times bestseller list leaves Harry Potter out
Tom Barlow: Harry Potter ending: A water cooler cheat sheet
Tom Barlow: Rowling safeguards Potter empire
Zac Bissonnette: Is the last book the end of Potter mania?
Tom Barlow: Harry Potter and the Pots of Gold
Barry Summerlin: Harry Potter doesn't even need Muggle marketing
Julie Tilsner: Not even Harry can save bookstores from their fate
Peter Cohan: Harry Potter and the Pot of Gold
Tom Barlow: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Will Rowling kill off Harry?

With Harry Potter done, is it time for Scholastic to sell itself? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 23 Jul 2007 15:31:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Amazon lower after Harry Potter weekend originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 23 Jul 2007 11:22:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.