This week I received a long rant from Dan, one our very astute readers. I extracted the following from what he wrote:
Yesterday I received an offer to "Cut My Indebtedness" by shifting over to a bi-weekly mortgage payment, tied to my paydays. The "offer" goes on to show how much I will save over the term of the loan by enrolling in their plan. The kicker is (& here is a reference to an old Country song I remember from years ago, "The Large Print Giveth, What the Small Print Taketh Away") the small print. There is a $9.00 per month "participation fee". A fee to participate? ...my rant. THEY CAN"T STOP YOU FROM MAKING ADDITIONAL PRINCIPAL PAYMENTS.
This has happened to me as well, and if you have lived in your home for a few years or more, it is likely you received a similar offer. Dan raised many valid points in his longer version, but the three main points are that you should focus on the small print, there should not be a fee for paying down your loan, and finally if you have a loan that allows prepayments of the principal amount you can make interim principal payments any time you want.
One feature of bi-weekly payments that Dan overlooks or fails to distinguish, and that homeowners should recognize, is that they reduce the amount of interest you pay over the life of the loan without additional "monthly" principal contributions. That is a real savings, and the bank feels the service of processing this has a cost to them and a value to you. On most loans, the savings of many thousands of dollars would greatly exceed the fee, and the fee does not increase on larger loan amounts. Perhaps it is their presentation of the offer that appears deceitful.
Here is a detailed explanation of bi-weekly payments. The example they give you indicates a savings of almost $58,000 interest on a $75,000 loan. Fees or no fees it provides substantial benefit tothe borrower.
Happy Mothers Day
Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money.
"It's a time of hope," claims Ana Laura Pulido, a real estate broker in Mexico. While its northern neighbor remains in the depths of a housing meltdown, the Mexican real estate market has been booming.
Mexico has long found its economy overly sensitive to the happenings in the United States, so to see the country's real estate market thriving despite the turmoil in America is a very encouraging sign for our southern neighbor.
And don't think that American investors haven't started to notice this new trend.
According to Clark McKinley, the spokesman for the nation's largest pension fund, the California Public Employees Retirement System, his fund sees greater returns for its money in Mexico and has already decided to pump over $300 million into Mexican real estate funds.
In today's New York Times, Paul Krugman offers an explanation for the cause of the mortgage meltdown. While I think he comes close to the mark, he misses an important point: bankers will respond to incentives.
I would love to have the talent that warrants the platform Krugman has -- to opine on economic and political matters on the pages of the New York Times. Krugman uses that platform to suggest that the reason for the bad mortgage loans is that bankers "haven't been forced to give back any of the huge paychecks they received before the folly of their decisions became apparent."
My view differs from Krugman's. There is no way bankers will give back their paychecks after they've negotiated their contracts just because Krugman wants them to. In my view, the real issue is that bankers are like any other person and they will respond to incentives. If their pay was linked to both the costs and benefits of the loans they made, then they would care about the risk that the loan might not be repaid.
Although Countrywide Financial (NYSE: CFC) the bank, has gone on record as stating it is not in danger of going bankrupt and has plenty of liquidity to continue to operate and meet its current obligations, that could change. The bank is no doubt referring to the immediate future, like today or this week. Those who have expressed concern are thinking about next week, next month or six months out. I have no idea what the truth is, or if there are multiple truths, or if the company is dancing on the head of a pin.
"Countrywide Home Loans is expected to service debt maturities beyond 2008 without additional debt issuance," the company said. Earlier Tuesday, a Countrywide representative told The Wall Street Journal that speculation the company may file for bankruptcy is 'absolutely false.'"
The company stock started off the year around $45 per share -- shares now trade around $9 per share. Here is a point that may be lost on the average investor: Even if there was no problem whatsoever with subprime mortgages and even if not one single mortgage holder was foreclosed on, Countrywide's business is down perhaps 80% and it is losing money -- profits are not to be found.
If people are not buying homes and condos and are not seeking traditional loans or any other kind, then Countrywide has to move fast to shrink its enterprise to match the customer demand level (which it has indeed been doing), and then start growing when the market picks up again. That means it has to be lean and mean, which means in turn that the company has to have the wherewithal to survive in a tough market for several years, not just this month.
SLM Corporation (NYSE: SLM), a leading provider of saving and paying for college programs, is recently down $1.91 to $44.36.
SLM says that the J.C. Flowers, Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC), and JPMorgan Chase & Company (NYSE: JPM) buyers group does not expect to consummate the acquisition of SLM. SLM call option volume of 98,356 contracts compares to put volume of 68,654 contracts. SLM October option implied volatility was at 91 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movements.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Warren Buffett once said, "you don't know who's swimming naked until the tide goes out." In terms of investing and business, this quote represents the simple truth -- investors and businesses making extraordinary amounts of money at one point could very easily suffer greatly once the business cycle turns around. Buffett's quote is coming to truth in the entire subprime mortgage sector as of late. While many of these companies did extraordinarily well (and were subsequently touted on Jim Cramer's TV show for their low P/E ratios...) while the sector's fundamentals were hot, very recently the sector has turned down very hard. Investors in the sector are stuck with assets that no one wants to own.
One such company is H&R Block, Inc. (NYSE:HRB). While this company is typically thought of as a tax-preparation company, it also owns a lending company -- Option One. Although executives at H&R Block had hoped to sell the unit for $1.3 billion this month, due to the terrible turn in the entire sector and increasing losses for the quarter ($60.3 million during the most recent quarter), many are Wall Street are becoming very skeptical of this goal according to a recent New York Times article. Consequently, investors interested in H&R Block should look at the company's lending-business-related goals with an extreme eye of caution and avoid investing in the company unless they are very high on the tax-preparation business, a view I stuggle to subscribe to because of the increasing competition from the lower-cost options such as TurboTax Products (a product of Intuit Inc. (NASDAQ:INTU)).
H&R Block is only one example of a company that hadn't realized the risks of this business until times started getting tough. According to the cited article, General Motors Corporation (NYSE:GM), Lehman Brothers Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LEH), and Countrywide Financial Corporation (NYSE:CFC) are also suffering with their mortgage and lending businesses. In my opinion, I would be very careful investing in this sector and proceed with extreme caution, especially watching the situation in New Century Financial (OTC:NEWC) unfold.