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Oracle (ORCL) reports strong results

Oracle logo Yup, that pretty much sums up Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ: ORCL)'s recently delivered quarterly results. Strong. So strong, one could forget there is a slowdown in economic activity. So strong, no one remembers now Oracle's previous quarter scare (that the weak economy indeed would affect it and tech stocks). So strong, it has surpassed International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) to become the second-largest software company in sales. It is no wonder then that the stock climbed 1.86% in after-hours trading to $22.97. It closed at $22.55.

By the numbers, Oracle's profit jumped 27% to $2.04 billion, or 39 cents a share, but excluding acquisition costs and some other expenses, profit rose to 47 cents a share. Revenue rose 24% to $7.28 billion. Oracle beat analysts' estimates on both counts. And this is just the tip of the iceberg; the results showed strength and improvement in many areas:

  • New software sales in the U.S. grew 22% and overall sales in the Americas, where the U.S. dominates, grew 18% after declining last quarter. Doesn't look like companies are cutting too much spending on software, does it? Keep in mind, growth in the region was indeed slower.
  • The segment that competes with SAP jumped 36% - a good example of Oracle's ability to bounce back.
  • Sales of new software licenses climbed 27% - it's amazing how Oracle managed to turn the trend on this number that concerned investors so much in the previous quarter. If that's not a good sign for future sales, what is? And if that doesn't give confidence in management and strategy, what does?
  • Operating margin for the quarter was 48% - better than Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT)'s, and that says it all.

The company, known for its acquisition strategy, closed its $8.5 billion purchase of BEA Systems Inc. in April. The acquisitions didn't just allow Oracle to grow to its second place, but gave it a diversity of products that helps it with sales and crossover sales.

One caveat: This quarter has always been known to be Oracle's best one. Still, the numbers don't lie, and this is one company that has been more than consistent.

Here is the Oracle's Earnings Transcript.

Early analyst calls (MOT) (JCP)

Deutsche Bank upgraded department store J.C. Penney (NYSE:JCP) to "buy" from "hold" according to MarketWatch.

Piper Jaffray downgraded Motorola (NYSE:MOT) to "sell" from "neutral", according to Briefing.com. The news service also reports that Lehman raised its price target on First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR) to $335 from $280.

IBM (NYSE: IBM) was raised to "outperform" at BMO Capital Markets, according to 24/7 Wall St.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Goldman is golden

Minyanville's Sean Udall dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

Earlier in the week, I noted that Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) was well positioned to capitalize on what's happening in the financial services space. And nowhere is that becoming more clear than in the advice it's offering and capital raises it's conducting for troubled institutions like Fifth Third Bankcorp (NASDAQ: FITB), Wachovia (NYSE: WB) and Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM).

Like looking to IBM (NYSE: IBM) for your office computer needs in the old days, Goldman is now the obvious choice if you're a bank CEO under siege.

But this may be a short-term benefit for Goldman, as the excessive concentration of business in one firm ultimately puts that firm's whole franchise at risk. If the Goldman brand is to maintain value with investors, it must become increasingly selective as to who it sponsors. But being choosy puts clients at risk.

Position in GS options

IBM: A 'focus list' favorite

In its mid-year forecast, Dow Theory Forecasts -- which has been published for 5 decades -- features its top current picks, including IBM (NYSE: IBM), which earns its top designation as a "Focus List Buy."

Editor Richard Moroney explains, "IBM has repeatedly forecast its goal of per-share earnings of $10 to $11 in 2010. The company is well on its way to achieving that goal. Software, in particular, is key to IBM's earnings target.

"The company completed its acquisition of Telelogic in April, three months after purchasing Cognos. IBM expects acquisitions to contribute 3% of its goal of 7% to 10% growth in software sales.

"From 2002 to 2007, mainframe sales averaged 6% growth, but sales fell in three of those years, including 2007. The March quarter showed no improvement, as sales in the division fell 7%. But, with energy prices up, IBM sees an opportunity with its new, energy-efficient Z-series mainframe.

"Server sales have been spotty, but IBM's sales force translates server revenue into two to three times as much in software and systems revenue. IBM, with the potential to reach $155 to $165 over the next 12 months, is a Focus List Buy and a Long-Term Buy."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Before the bell: BUD, XOM, F, LEH, PFE ...

Before the bell: Futures edge lower ahead of CPI

Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD) is holding preliminary talks with rival Grupo Modelo SAB (Corona maker), according to The Wall Street Journal, in an attempt to thwart the $46 billion unsolicited offer it received Belgian brewer InBev SA.

Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) said it plans to exit its U.S. retail gasoline business over the next few years, shedding the 820 service stations it still owns and operates and another 1,400 company-owned outlets operated by dealers of its branded fuels. Separately it also said it could spend more than $100 million for offshore oil exploration in the Philippines.

Tracinda Corp. on Friday said it will purchase 20 million shares of Ford's (NYSE: F) common stock in a tender offer at a purchase price of $8.50 per share, for a total purchase price of $170 million. That would increase billionaire Kirk Kerkorian, who controls Tracinda Corp., stake in Ford to 5.5%. Shares are up 2% in premarket trading.

Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH) shares may experience further volatility as there are reports Chief Executive Richard Fuld is looking for outside capital, possibly from a sovereign wealth fund or a U.S. investor. Meanwhile, speculation continues that after ousting CFO and COO Thursday, Fuld's days are numbered too. The Wall Street Journal says that Lehman "hopes to restore investor confidence by turning to a seasoned trading executive" such as new president McDade.

Continue reading Before the bell: BUD, XOM, F, LEH, PFE ...

Russia continues to one-up US in corruption

In the United States when one company wants to inflict pain on a competitor it commonly uses the law as its weapon of choice, enlisting an army of lawyers to bludgeon the rival with legal actions. Right or wrong one company can tie the other up in court for years, and if the competitor is smaller and weaker, put it out of business or inflict great hardship.

In Russia, they seem to be skipping the middle man -- not engaging the lawyers, but going straight to the government. According to the most recent issue of Business Week, companies are paying public officials to raid the offices of business rivals and subject them to criminal investigations.

Some 8,000 companies a year are targets of lawsuits or investigations at the behest of rivals seeking to put them out of business or take them over, the Russian Chamber of Commerce & Industry says. Russians call this process reiderstvo, or raiding.

In most cases, the raids are conducted by something similar to our SWAT teams, removing documents and computers and soon after bringing charges of tax evasion, fraud and conspiracy. It is reported that the police, civil servants and court system all play along for a price.

Continue reading Russia continues to one-up US in corruption

Korea's LG eyeing GE's appliance unit

Remember Goldstar, the inexpensive color televisions brand popular in the 1970s and '80s? Those televisions were manufactured by a South Korean firm called Lucky Goldstar, founded after WWII to make appliances and chemicals. Today, that company is known as LG, one of the largest conglomerates in the world, famous for its high quality phones and plasma televisions. And soon it may be the owner of General Electric's (NYSE: GE) appliance business.

GE announced two weeks ago that it might sell its appliance unit. BusinessWeek and The Wall Street Journal are reporting today that LG is watching the GE situation very carefully. GE wants to exit the appliance business due to intense price competition from manufacturers in Asia. The New York Times speculated that the transaction would be similar to IBM's sale of its computer brand to Lenovo a few years ago. The purchaser would have a few years to continue using the GE badge before going solo with its own brand.

Based in Kentucky with 13,000 employees, the appliance division is one of GE's oldest and a real piece of Americana. Founded in 1907, it invented a number of everyday products, including the room air-conditioner and the toaster oven. However, it suffers from low growth rates and contributed 'only' $7 billion to GE's revenue last year, out of $173 billion total. Analysts think it could bring in $5 billion in a sale.

GE has plenty of high growth businesses in transport, medical imaging and energy, so selling its appliance business makes sense in some calculations. But I don't know -- somehow buying a refrigerator or microwave won't be the same. Yet another chunk of American manufacturing muscle is being shipped overseas, and I wonder what the country will do when virtually all of its basic production capacity sits in other countries.

HP overtakes IBM in global server sales in 1Q 2008

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) has surged past IBM Corp. (NYSE: IBM) to become the world's largest seller of server computers, according to research firm Gartner released last week. It happened in the first quarter of 2008, where HP ended with nearly 30% of the server market ahead of IBM at just under 29% of the market.

2007 was a triumphant year for HP in many ways, from personal computer market share to service revenue, but overtaking IBM by increasing its server market share by nearly 10% over the year-ago period was a nice ending to the tale. HP's Mark Hurd continues to best many rivals in the PC and server arenas. The real test will be to see if HP can really remain on top of the tech world. It's now above IBM in total annual sales, but staying there won't be easy.

HP's upped numbers were due to a "continued build-outs of large web data centers and emerging-market growth," according to Gartner. Gartner also noted that HP's push to market its blade servers and other products as energy efficient helped win marker share. Combine that with pricing and cost advantages over the competition and HP came out swinging in 2007 and into 2008 with a powerful punch not easily digested by its larger and smaller competitors. For example, smaller rival Dell, Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) commanded only 12% of server sales in the first quarter.

Analyst initiations: IBM, ENTR and FARO

MOST NOTEWORTHY: IBM, Entropic Comm and FARO Tech were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • BMO Capital is positive on IBM (NYSE: IBM) given the company's reduced pension and stock buyback, opportunity to increase the mix of software, new mainframe cycle, and the company's diverse revenue stream. Shares were initiated with an Outperform rating and $138 target.
  • Merriman views Entropic Comm (NASDAQ: ENTR) as a core holding for investors seeking exposure to the rapidly growing home networking market and finds the current valuation attractive; the firm started shares with a Buy rating.
  • Friedman Billings assumed FARO Tech (NASDAQ: FARO) with an Outperform rating and $42 target. The firm expects FARO's secular growth to drive sales as the company's products meet the needs of the largest emerging market for software-based manufacturing measurement systems.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Oppenheimer initiated MedAssets (NASDAQ: MDAS) with a Perform rating and $20 target.
  • Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM) was initiated at Baird with a Neutral rating and $29 target.
  • LoopNet (NASDAQ: LOOP) was assumed with an Equal Weight rating and $15 target at Stephens.

Hewlett-Packard boots up a quarter of earnings and cash-flow growth

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), an arch competitor of Dell (NASDAQ: DELL), reported Q2 earnings on Tuesday. Looking through the release, I see quite a few things to like about the H-P story.

Revenues increased 11% to $28.3 billion. This increase was aided by international sales and the weak dollar. On an adjusted basis, earnings per share increased 24% to 87 cents. Furthermore, the adjusted operating margin increased 100 basis points to 10%. Cash generated from operations was $4.8 billion during the quarter, which the release categorized as a record statistic. Cash flow is one of my favorite metrics, and I love it when it is doing well. In fact, according to the transcript of the conference call at Seeking Alpha, the six-month operational cash-flow figure had increased 92% over the comparable time frame one year ago, and free cash flow had more than doubled for the same period.

Honestly, it seems like H-P is managing itself very skillfully, leveraging its various brands in the PC sector to great effect. Guidance calls for adjusted earnings of $3.54 and $3.58. This means that, in my opinion, H-P's stock isn't too expensive. It's also trading away from the 52-week high, which is another positive. Of course, the big story surrounding the company at the moment is its announced acquisition of Electronic Data Systems (NYSE: EDS). As Tom Taulli has observed, the EDS buy is logical. Combining H-P's expertise at providing technologies to the PC world with the services portfolio provided by EDS will most likely make HP an even bigger force, and it could give a behemoth like IBM (NYSE: IBM) new challenges.

Continue reading Hewlett-Packard boots up a quarter of earnings and cash-flow growth

Five stocks to love from CNNMoney

It has been a rocky year for Wall Street, but even amid the uncertain market conditions there are some companies that are playing with a lot of cash. In addition, they know how to wisely use their funds, which makes them strong enough to beat any challenge.

One important factor that determines the stability of a company is its corporate cash flow. CNNMoney is looking at stocks with both healthy cash flow and a surplus of cash, which helps them avoid tough situations where they may need to raise their capital (check out its slideshow of these five picks). Another element that CNNMoney takes into account when picking companies is their ability to reinvest cash in ways that assure them a nice profitability.

Let's look at some of the companies that CNNMoney likes:

Continue reading Five stocks to love from CNNMoney

Nuance Communications matched expectations for Q2: Is the stock a buy?

Nuance Communications (NASDAQ: NUAN), a business devoted to speech recognition technologies and document solutions, reported Q2 earnings earlier this week. Those of you who own this stock know that the company oftentimes puts forth a complicated earnings release, full of GAAP and non-GAAP stats. This is due, in part, to the company's acquisition strategy (not long ago, I wrote about Nuance's purchase of eScription). So, on a GAAP basis, don't expect much. Net loss per diluted share expanded to $0.13 versus a net loss per diluted share of $0.01 in last year's second fiscal quarter (there was a significant non-cash-stock-based compensation charge included in the current quarter). Top-line revenue did well on a GAAP basis, however, rising 54%. Again, though, this growth was due to acquisitions.

On a non-GAAP basis, things look much brighter. Revenues rose 63%, and net income per diluted share increased 50% to $0.18. According to Reuters, this figure matched analyst expectations (I would have liked to have seen Nuance beat expectations, but it is what it is). Of course, Nuance stimulates a classic bull-bear discussion in terms of when GAAP profitability becomes more of an issue than non-GAAP success. As a Nuance shareholder, I definitely would like to see GAAP profits on a consistent basis, but I am well aware that management intends to gamble on acquisitions as a method for creating shareholder value, and for now, I am willing to be patient and watch how the company proceeds.

Nuance could be considered a risky, speculative stock in many ways, but I think it has a good chance of doing well over time with its technologies. You'd probably sleep better with competitors Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and IBM (NYSE: IBM) in your portfolio, but since I own it from around $9 per share, I'm willing to wait and see how the share price moves from this point forward (admittedly, I was considering booking profits recently, but decided against such action). Anyone thinking of getting in now might want to perform a lot of due diligence and wait for the proverbial pullback.

Disclosure: I own shares in Nuance Communications; positions can change at any time.

HP bets the ranch

For the past year, Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) posted revenues of $107 billion. So, to grow just 5%, the company will need to essentially create another Fortune 500 company.

That's something HP's CEO, Mark Hurd, definitely has mentioned on various occasions. Basically, how can a behemoth continue to grow?

Perhaps a smart strategy is to make big acquisitions?

Well, today HP has announced a hefty $13.9 billion buyout deal for EDS (NYSE: EDS), an information technology (IT) consulting operator. Over the past year, EDS posted about $22 billion in revenues.

But Hurd is not just concerned about the top-line. If anything, he's highly disciplined with generating profits. In fact, since he has come on board HP (back in 2005), Hurd has been masterful in finding efficiencies – while still pushing revenue growth.

While the history of transformative M&A is filled with failures, with the HP-Compaq combination a prime example of what can go wrong, the strategic rationale for the EDS deal makes sense. In today's global environment, customers want strong technologies but also sophisticated services. Actually, companies are increasingly outsourcing services to players like EDS.

Moreover, with much more heft, HP and EDS will become a formidable alternative to IBM (NYSE: IBM), which has proven the technology/services model.

Finally, I'm sure that Hurd will take out his cost-cutting knife. It's something that hasn't been emphasized but I'm sure it will be a big part of the deal.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Can HP compete against IBM in services?

The Wall Street Journal reports that Hewlett Packard (NASDAQ: HPQ) will spend $12.8 billion to buy Electronic Data Systems (NYSE: EDS). While this combination would make HP the second largest, behind International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) in computer services, this may not be a good way to spend $12.8 billion.

That's because EDS and HP would under perform in services when it comes to profitability. EDS's bigger business earned a 1% net profit margin in the first quarter. But HP's services business generated a far higher 9% estimated net margin. Unfortunately -- for reasons described below -- the combined company will probably have lower margins.

Meanwhile, IBM's profit lagged HP's slightly -- it made an estimated 7% net margin in the first quarter in its services business. But IBM is and will remain a much bigger player. Combined, EDS and HP's services business will control 5.3% -- lagging IBM. That's because IBM controlled 7.2% of the tech-services market in 2007 while EDS was a distant second at 3% and HP was fifth, with a 2.3% share.

Continue reading Can HP compete against IBM in services?

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Fluor shows the power of execution

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says this report highlighted where the success lies in this market: energy and petroleum.

Fluor's (NYSE: FLR) (Cramer's Take) a monster. It shows you that what has hurt the other companies, particularly Chicago Bridge & Iron (NYSE: CBI) (Cramer's Take), is pure execution.

This gigantic beat also serves to remind us of the big dichotomy. You are either in the energy and petroleum products game or you are in a lot of games that don't work.

It's not easy for these companies, some of which have lived off the duress of state and local governments, including Shaw (NYSE: SGR) (Cramer's Take) and to a certain extent Aecom (NYSE: ACM) (Cramer's Take) and URS (NYSE: URS) (Cramer's Take), to become oil-and-gas plays.

The only ones that have transcended it beside Fluor are Foster Wheeler (NASDAQ: FWLT) (Cramer's Take) and Jacobs Engineering (NYSE: JEC) (Cramer's Take), and the only reason you would really know that is longevity. I remember in the early 1980s when FLR and then FWC would compete directly for all of the huge projects after the second oil shock.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Fluor shows the power of execution

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Last updated: July 09, 2008: 12:45 PM

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