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What's with Steve & Barry's and why should we care?

As a sign of how disconnected one can be, I had to ask my 12-year old about Steve & Barry's. I had not heard of it and it is receiving way too many comments on our site to be ignored. My colleague Zac Bissonnette started blogging about it a month ago Steve & Barry's on the brink of bankruptcy? and the comments are still coming in strong as the story progressed.

Steve & Barry's filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on July 9, 2008, and information about its status and answers to frequently asked questions can be found here.

The company has been expanding rapidly and clearly hit a brick wall with consumer budgets severely strained and the economy facing uncertainty in the short term. However, this is supposed to be a discount chain. Perhaps the discounting amounted to selling dollars for ninety cents, and it could not make it up on volume.

This is a relatively small company, but clearly it matters to a lot of people. The number of comments we have received has surpassed most of our recent stories, even those of the Bear Stearns takeover (acquired by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM)) and the IndyMac (NYSE: IDMC) collapse.

Steve & Barry's might have had an IPO sometime in its future, but that is not likely in the current environment. What is it that makes this story so compelling to our readers? If it is because the stores are so great, what went wrong in your neighborhood?

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the principal for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. He writes the columns Chasing Value and Serious Money. Disclosure: I own shares of any of JPM.

Earnings highlights: Citigroup, eBay, IBM, Merrill Lynch, Microsoft and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

For more highlights from this week, see: Google, Intel, JPMorgan, Coca-Cola, Nokia and others

The earnings crunch continues next week. Among companies scheduled to report are Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Merck (NYSE: MRK), Texas Intruments (NYSE: TXN), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD), AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Boeing (NYSE: BA), Hershey (NYSE: HSY), and Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Fraud at IndyMac?

When Countrywide fell apart, the government moved in and began to examine the company's loan practices for fraud. Perhaps history is repeating itself. The FBI has set up an office at IndyMac (OTC: IDMC) to investigate whether its loan practices were above board.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "Failed lender IndyMac Bank is among nearly two dozen banks under scrutiny by the Federal Bureau of Investigation for possible mortgage fraud." Both the media and the bank were thin on details, very thin.

The matter, and questions at Countrywide, raise the issue of where regulators were when these firms operating as normal, standalone businesses making hundreds of thousand of home loans each year. Consumers are not terribly well-served if the FBI or any other government agency gets into the act once all of the damage has been done.

If the FBI finds any wrong-doing, what then? Is there a way to make reparations to people who may have lost their home or paid mortgage rates and additional fees which were much too high? Management at some of these lending operations may get into trouble, but the victims are unlikely to be helped.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Did Wells Fargo's earnings report signal a turnaround?

Yesterday's Major League All-Star Game went into extra innings (15 total) before the American League won 4 to 3, earning the home field advantage when the World Series rolls around in October. Yesterday was also the day I called the bottom of our economic woes (see Will Bush throw a change-up at Yankee Stadium?).

Calling the bottom should not be confused with the end of the pain. It could get worse but I see signs of the turn, and today the market, for the moment, is up. Oil prices are down, as I write, to $132 per barrel and I do not think we will be seeing $200 oil any time soon, as some have opined.

Today's Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) earnings report set things off in the right direction. Wells Fargo: Beating expectations by my colleague Steven Halpern will give you the details, but the highlights are lower earnings, a 10% increase in the dividend yield, and a tolerable and understandable charge for bad loans and to increase reserves.

If Bush's change-up marks the bottom, then WFC is the slugger that hit the ball back over the fence. Can one report from one bank make a difference? Yes it can, if people read it as a sign of things to come. At the same time, the capitulation I describe in IndyMac (IMB) turns to dust is another sign that we may be at the turning point.

Continue reading Did Wells Fargo's earnings report signal a turnaround?

IndyMac (IMB) turns to dust

Last Friday, June 11, 2007, the Feds basically put IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB) into receivership, even as they reminded customers that their deposits were insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) covering each individual account up to $100,000.

When I posted IndyMac (IMB) turns to stone on June 8, IMB had shut down lending. Now, as they have turned to dust from a shareholder perspective, customers are still lining up to withdraw their funds despite government assurances that there is nothing to worry about.

Some fret that this bailout will cost taxpayers money but most of the money will be coming from actual deposits as company assets are liquidated. However, while a majority of the costs are covered, the process will incur significant costs nevertheless, since this is only the tip of the iceberg and other banks are sure to fall into the abyss as well.

Continue reading IndyMac (IMB) turns to dust

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The breadth of the danger is staggering

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says our problems are so widespread, he sees lots more IndyMacs before we're out.

You don't need me to tell you it's awful out there. You don't need me to tell you that there's no quick fix for any of these things. But what might help you understand why it feels so bad this time is that I have never, in my career, seen so many companies go off track at the same time. This is one unbelievable moment, and it is made more horrible by the day as companies' stocks just get pummeled, causing people to then question the very viability of the companies involved.

First, obviously, are Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) (Cramer's Take) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) (Cramer's Take). We don't know what will happen, but we do know that their futures are much darker than their pasts. Their best hope: a Democrat becomes president and shows the usual love to both. But as investments, they are pretty much perma-losers going forward. The losses are that heavy. Yes, it is true that two years from now they will be better, but will the government let them limp through to that? View them as calls on a Democratic win.

We all know that Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take), Wachovia (NYSE: WB) (Cramer's Take), Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) (Cramer's Take) and National City (NYSE: NCC) (Cramer's Take) are in trouble. Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) (Cramer's Take) says it isn't in trouble, but obviously the market doesn't believe management because the stock failed to rally when it said its dividend was safe. Any short-selling hedge fund could hire 30 actors and have them line up at a Washington Mutual or two and get a bank run going. Then we would have to hear about a "hasty" Treasury department plan to bail out WM. Hasty? How can these guys not see it coming?

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The breadth of the danger is staggering

Profiting from the 150 banks that will fail next?

Last week, the FDIC oversaw the second biggest bank failure in U.S. history -- $32 billion IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB). I thought more would be on the way and this morning's New York Times estimates that 150 of the 7,500 U.S. banks will fail in the next 12 to 18 months. The FDIC only has $53 billion in its fund to cover bank failures so it is going to be needing much more cash, which it may get from raising insurance rates. No doubt those of us with bank accounts will pay the price.

For those looking to profit from this failure, it's time to get a hold of the FDIC's problem bank list and start estimating the ones that are most likely to get taken over. Here are some hints: look at their mortgages as a percent of total loans, their cash flow, when they have to pay back their debt, and the increase in the rate of their bad loans. The Times mentions two that are probably already on the radar of short sellers:

Continue reading Profiting from the 150 banks that will fail next?

After IndyMac failure, another 150 banks?

Analysts believe that another 150 banks in the U.S. could fail over the near-term. According to The New York Times, "as many as 150 out of the 7,500 banks nationwide could fail over the next 12 to 18 months, analysts say. " The failure of IndyMac (NYSE: IMB) puts more focus on the problem

That puts investors in region banks in a tough spot. Shareholders in firms like NCC (NYSE: NCC) have watched the value of their stock drop from $33.54 to $4.42 over the last year as the bank cut its dividend and raised money. These holders can get out now because they fear an event which could take shares down to pennies. Or, they can hang on and hope that, once the financial crisis has passed, they may make some of their money back.

In many cases, the stock price is an excellent indication of what stockholders might want to do. IndyMac shares are down 99%. NCC's are down 85%, and its viewed by most as a bank that will "make it" because it has raised more money.

It would appear that the banks that the market is most worried about are off 90% to 96%. The institutions in that category probably carry the greatest risk of failure, if the stock market is an accurate indicator. The "if" part is the hard part.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Newspaper wrap-up: Santander nears agreement to acquire Alliance & Leicester

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • The Wall Street Journal reported that worries are deepening among regulators, executives and consumers about the U.S. banking industry following the federal government's seizure of IndyMac Bancorp Inc (NYSE: IMB).
  • According to a person familiar with the situation, the Wall Street Journal reported that Banco Santander SA (NYSE: STD) is nearing an agreement to buy Alliance & Leicester for around $2.38B.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) chairman Roy Bostock called Microsoft Corporation's (NASDAQ: MSFT) proposal "ludicrous". Bostock said that "while this type of erratic and unpredictable behavior is consistent with what we have come to expect from Microsoft, we will not be bludgeoned into a transaction that is not in the best interests of our stockholders." Yahoo reaffirmed that it is open to a sale of the company for $33 a share, the New York Times reported.
WEB SITES:
  • CNet reported that the price of the Xbox 360 Pro model with a 20GB hard drive was cut by Microsoft to $299 from $349. The company also introduced introduced a 60GB model to go on sale in the U.S. and Canada in August for $349.

Financials expected to post earnings declines, losses this week

After the implosion of IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB) and news of the deterioration of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) last week, there's bound to be a certain level of trepidation as the earnings crunch begins this coming week and many big financial companies report. Here's a look at what Wall Street was expecting (see The week in preview: Expectations as the earnings crunch begins for expectations of other reporting companies.)

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting the following of companies to report lower earnings when compared to the same period of the previous year.

Continue reading Financials expected to post earnings declines, losses this week

Barron's: Real estate poised for the giddy days again?

I've lived through the internet bubble (and have some scars) and tried to avoid the real estate bubble (it wasn't easy). But, bubbles have a way of being painful and longlasting.

So, no doubt, the real estate bubble has been painful (may be the worst market for at least the past 50 years). But, could this be a short-run thing?

Perhaps so. In fact, this is the view from the front-cover piece in this week's Barron's [a paid publication]. Actually, there may be the start of a real estate recovery by the end of this year.

This is certainly a controversial stand. Keep in mind that inventory levels are stubbornly high (helped by foreclosures) and housing prices seem to fall further and further. What's more, the credit crunch is still here and there are serious problems with major real estate operators, such as with the implosion of IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB), as well as the deterioration of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE).

OK, so why the optimism? Well, if you peel back some of the recent housing data, it appears that things are stabilizing in terms of home sales and inventories. Basically, market forces are making the necessary adjustments.

Continue reading Barron's: Real estate poised for the giddy days again?

IndyMac (IMB) turns to stone

No more home mortgages for the time being. The former number two originator of home mortgages in the United States, IndyMac Bancorp (NYSE: IMB), is shutting down its operations and laying off 3800 workers, more than half of its employees.

By halting its prime business, IMB might as well have announced they have turned to stone, as it seems its financial situation is frozen for now. Last quarter it announced continued losses and changed its outlook from being profitable in the fourth quarter to seeing nothing but losses through 2008.

It is always difficult to discuss one's failings, but nothing has been worse than my suggestion that IndyMac might be a screaming buy last year. The stock is down 97%. The sad truth is it was a screaming sell and my worst call since I have been writing for BloggingStocks.com. That will be a separate story.

Today, IndyMac is trading down 47% to $0.37. It will have to restructure once again and will be submitting a survival plan to the FDIC. The current market cap is about $37 million, while its losses over the last twelve months exceed $600 million.

Continue reading IndyMac (IMB) turns to stone

IndyMac (IMB) stops accepting loan applications and announces job cuts

IndyMac Bancorp Inc. (NYSE: IMB) is continuing to see problems with raising enough money to stay in business. In fact, the bank has ceased taking loan applications. In addition to not taking new lending business, the company will lay off more than half of its workforce, about 3,800 employees.

The problem is that IndyMac hasn't lined up any new financing or capital investment and doesn't expect to recover until the mortgage market begins recovering. In other words, the rest of 2008 is going to be pretty harsh for the once high-flying mortgage lender. CEO Michael Perry said that U.S. banking regulators have asked IndyMac to submit a business plan that will show how the struggling lender will get back on its feet.

The retail and wholesale loan divisions will be closed to new business as the company tries to build its reverse mortgage business while maintaining the existing loans in its portfolio. Perry went on to say that "These are the largest and most difficult staff reductions we have ever had to make" in reference to IndyMac's looming layoffs. He also requested that IndyMac's board cut his $1 million annual salary in half (no word on bonus cuts). At least one banking CEO has a conscience, right?

Before the bell: Futures lower ahead of Bernanke speech, Alcoa; Indymac plunges

U.S. stock futures were lower early Tuesday morning, the day when one of the worst earnings season in decades is about to kick off. Financials, credit market and economy jitters only compound the bearish sentiment out there.

On Monday, U.S. stocks ended lower despite starting the day with nice, solid gains as the price of oil dropped some $5 a barrel. But economic worries following a speech from a Federal Reserve official seeing more troubles to come, as well as worries about financial stocks and the credit market as capital concerns at Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) grew, brought in the bears. The Dow industrials ended dropping 56 points, or 0.5%, the Nasdaq Composite lost 2 points, or 0.09%, and the S&P 500 fell 10 points, or 0.84%. The S&P 500 is still slightly above bear market territory.

Today, much will depend on two speeches from Federal Reserve officials. First, at 8:30 a.m., Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is scheduled to speak at a mortgage lending forum hosted by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson is also slated to appear at the forum.
Also, Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker is scheduled to speak about the U.S. economic outlook in Washington.

The speeches could sway market in different directions, but also some economic data released today could have an impact, especially May pending home sales and wholesale inventories scheduled for release at 10:00 a.m. EDT.

Continue reading Before the bell: Futures lower ahead of Bernanke speech, Alcoa; Indymac plunges

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 07:46 PM

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