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Options Update: La-Z-Boy March Volatility Flat into Earnings

La-Z-Boy (LZB) March put option implied volatility is at 67, July is at 58, according to Track Data, compared to its 26-week average of 64 into its release of Q3 results Tuesday after the bell, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Semiconductor Holders Trust (SMH) overall volatility at 21; 26-week average is 24.

Russell 2000 (IWM) overall implied volatility at 21; 26-week average is 26.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Weight Watchers Volatility Elevated, Shares at 33-Month High

Weight Watchers (WTW) overall option implied volatility is at 34, according to Track Data, above its 26-week average of 27 into its release of Q4 results on February 17. WTW rallied 2.5% after Jennifer Hudson appeared on Oprah Winfrey's show to discuss her weight loss using Weight Watchers' system.

Russell 2000 (IWM) overall implied volatility at 23; the 26-week average is 26.

Financial Select Sector (XLF) overall volatility at 22; the 26-week average is 25.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Options Update: Motorola Mobility Volatility at 41

Motorola Mobility Holdings (MMI), devoted to cell phones and set-top television boxes, has an overall option implied volatility of 41 according to Track Data.

Motorola Solutions (MSI), focused on two-way radios and computing devices used in public safety, has an overall option implied volatility of 30 according to Track Data.

Continue reading Options Update: Motorola Mobility Volatility at 41

Options Update: Volatilities at Low End of Range on Higher Trending Markets

SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) overall implied volatility at 20; 26-week average is 20.

NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) overall implied volatility at 19; 26-week average is 22.

Semiconductor Holders Trust (SMH) overall volatility at 23; 26-week average is 26.

Russell 2000 (IWM) overall implied volatility at 24; 26-week average is 27.

Continue reading Options Update: Volatilities at Low End of Range on Higher Trending Markets

Investment Bloggers Are Bullish and ETFs Are Hot

It comes as no surprise to me that current investment blogger consensus is bullish on the markets. They're not bullish by an extremely wide margin, but they are optimistic nonetheless.

An ongoing investment blogger survey, conducted weekly by Ticker Sense from Birinyi Associates Inc., indicates that nearly 54% of the investment writers it surveys are holding a bullish stance for the S&P 500 for the next 30 days. Meanwhile, just over 15% of the survey respondents are bearish on the S&P 500, and approximately 30% are declaring a neutral position.

Continue reading Investment Bloggers Are Bullish and ETFs Are Hot

Options Update: iShares MSCI Germany Volatility Near One Year Highs

iShares MSCI Germany (EWG) closed at $19.24. The DAX 30 is recently down 0.64% according to Bloomberg. EWG overall option implied of 50 is above its 26-week average of 29 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) overall implied volatility at 33; 26-week average is 24.

Russell 2000 (IWM) overall implied volatility at 38; 26-week average is 25.

Options Clearing Corp total equity put/call ratio on May 24 was 1.24.

Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Options Update: Option Volatility, VIX 'Fear Index' Suggest Increasing Risk

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) -- the so called fear index -- jumped nearly 29% to close at 45.79, the highest level since April 2009. 10-day moving average is 32.70, 50-day is 21.11, 200-day moving average is 22.52.

SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) overall implied volatility at 24; 26-week average is 23.

NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) overall implied volatility at 30; 26-week average is 24.

Semiconductor Holders Trust (SMH) overall volatility at 44; 26-week average is 27.

Continue reading Options Update: Option Volatility, VIX 'Fear Index' Suggest Increasing Risk

Options Update: Yahoo! Volatility Low; Icahn Lowers Stake

Yahoo! (YHOO) closed at $15.17. Carl Icahn lowered his stake in YHOO to 11.99 million shares from 62.9 million. YHOO overall option implied volatility of 32 is below its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

ISE Sentiment Index - ISEE closed at 91 on 2/12/10. ISEE 10-day moving average is 107.

NASDAQ 100 - QQQQ overall implied volatility at 24; 26-week average is 25.

Continue reading Options Update: Yahoo! Volatility Low; Icahn Lowers Stake

Options Update: Volatility Levels as of Dec. 31, 2009

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) at 21.68; 10-day moving average is 20.49.

SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) overall implied volatility at 24; 26-week average is 24.

NASDAQ 100 (QQQQ) overall implied volatility at 22; 26-week average is 26.

Semiconductor Holders Trust (SMH) overall volatility at 27; 26-week average is 30.

Continue reading Options Update: Volatility Levels as of Dec. 31, 2009

Options Update: UnitedHealth volatility at 16-month lows

UnitedHealth (UNH) closed at $29.08 Friday, near one-year high. UnitedHealth is hosting an investor meeting on December 2. December option implied volatility is at 40; January is at 42; below its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Semiconductor Holders Trust - SMH overall volatility at 29; 26-week average is 33.

Russell 2000 - IWM overall implied volatility at 27; 26-week average is 33.

Financial Select Sector - XLF overall volatility at 34; 26-week average is 40.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Contrarian turns bullish on market 'gloom'

"Gloom is thick enough to cut with a knife," says market historian and seasonal timing expert Sy Harding, whose timing system has just triggered a new intermediate-term buy signal on stocks. Here, in his Street Smart Report, the contrarian explains why he believes we are now near a market low.

He also looks at four new ETF index positions he has established in his portfolio. "The slowdown continues. Foreclosures soar. Debt problems are spreading to corporate and credit card loans. The housing collapse continues. The problems are affecting employment.

"And of course the credit crunch continues. Gasoline hit a record high $3.26 a gallon last week. Consumer confidence, and corporate CEO confidence is at multi-year lows regarding the economy.

"The gloom and doom has spread from financial publications to local newspapers and magazines, now featuring stories of layoffs and local plant closings, local small businesses suffering, comparisons to previous bad times, even occasionally to the Great Depression.

"Is the gloom thick enough? Are other conditions in place indicating we are near a market low? Here's why we think so:

Continue reading Contrarian turns bullish on market 'gloom'

ETF volumes have really taken off

Selected ETF Relative to NYSE Average Daily Volume After rising more or less in line with overall market volume for years, there has been a noticeable surge since the spring in the relative turnover of selected exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

For the SPDR Trust Series 1 ETF (AMEX: SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 index, the average daily volume (ADV) compared to New York Stock Exchange Composite ADV increased from 6.1% in April to 16.8% last month. For the PowerShares QQQ ETF (NASDAQ: QQQQ), which emulates the Nasdaq-100 index, the numbers went from 6.3% to 14.1%. For the iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund ETF (AMEX: IWM), which mirrors the small cap benchmark, relative turnover rose from 3.4% to 6.7%.

Although it's not clear whether the activity was related to hedging or outright position-taking -- or both -- the sharp increase in activity suggests that there has been an important change in the underlying dynamic of the U.S. equity market. If so, it raises some interesting questions.

Could this be a sign, for example, that the influence of hedge funds, proprietary trading desks, and other speculative operators is expanding dramatically? Are investors of all stripes becoming increasingly focused on ETFs as an investing vehicle? Does this emphasis on trading bundles of shares mean that more individual issues are "mispriced"?

Whatever the case, this is a trend worth paying attention to.

Michael Panzner is a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets and the author of Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes and The New Laws of the Stock Market Jungle.

Bullish double bottom in small cap shares

Small cap stocks have lagged the broader market for most of this year. Through early this morning, the Russell 2000 index -- which has an equivalent exchange-traded fund, the iShares Russell 2000 Index ETF (AMEX: IWM) -- has dropped by 4.3%, while the S&P 500 index has gained 1.7%.

Nonetheless, with investor optimism at multi-year lows, the prospect of another Fed rate cut at the next meeting on December 11th, and some reassuring news from the financial sector, share prices could be bolstered in the near term by some contrarian bargain-hunting.

Technically speaking, the Russell 2000 has formed a bullish double bottom on both the absolute and relative charts. Given that, small cap shares may be just the way to play a near-term corrective bounce.

Michael Panzner is a 25-year veteran of the global stock, bond, and currency markets and the author of Financial Armageddon: Protecting Your Future from Four Impending Catastrophes and The New Laws of the Stock Market Jungle.

Short interest ticking back up

The short interest for the NYSE is out for the second half of September. The NYSE Euronext (NYSE: NYX) actually showed a small increase in the total shares short on the NYSE: the September 28 settlement short interest was 11,878,834,897, above the 11,841,051,529 reading of September 14, 2007. This represents 3.1% of the total shares outstanding.

The raw truth is that this is actually a very small gain of only just over 37,000,000 shares. But it follows what was a large drop from mid-August to mid September as mid-August was in the midst of the market malaise with 12,466,511,521 shares listed as being short. Just at the end of last month I had noted that short selling Internet stocks showed mixed results. There had previously been a large drop in major banking stock short interest, but we also showed how housing and retail stocks had been under short selling pressure.

You can see the full list of the September 28 settlement date short stocks at the site, but here are the top 10 (with short interest):

Option update 7-26-07: Market volatilities spike to 12-month highs

Volatility Index S&P 500 Options - VIX up 3.61 to 21.67 10-day moving average is 16.98 according to Track Data.

Volatility Index NASDAQ 100 - VXN up 2.25 to 21.16; 10-day moving average is 17.80 according to Track Data.

NASDAQ 100 - QQQQ overall option Implied Volatility at 21: 26-week average is 19.

Semiconductor Holders Trust - SMH option implied Volatility 25; 26-week average is 22.

IShares Russell 2000
- IWM option implied volatility at 28, 26-week average is 19.

ISE Sentiment Index - ISEE 91 new Calls purchased for every new Put today. ISEE 10-day moving average is 150. ISEE 50-day moving average is 139.

August front month Equity Options expire; 8/17/07.

Daily Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-74.9212,454.83
NASDAQ-1.852,837.53
S&P 500-2.861,317.82

Last updated: May 27, 2012: 01:37 AM

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