Who wouldn't want to follow in the footsteps of this century's great investors? SmartMoney tries to give its reader that opportunity in its August cover story profiling the likes (and the stock picks) of Warren Buffett, Bill Miller, Chris Davis and others.
It's a fascinating read and one that left me chomping at the bit to go invest my spare cash. Sears Holdings (SHLD), Merck (MRK), and News Corp (NWS) were the names that caught my eye. If I had any spare cash I would probably be doing some buying rather than writing this blog post. But since I don't, I'll instead enumerate the reasons why it may not make sense to follow the stock picks of the pros:
- They bought back then, but would they buy now? You just don't know. Buffett bought ConocoPhillips, General Electric (GE) and United Parcel Service (UPS) in the past year. But has he held onto them? Did he buy for reasons that have nothing to do with his view on their long-term potential (that's always a possibility with Wall Street pros)? My guess is the answer is "no" to both those questions, but we just can't be sure what Buffett was thinking when he bought and if he'd do the same thing today.
- What if they are due for a cool streak? Bill Miller has been an investing phenomenon, beating the S&P year after year. Some academics would argue that it's pure luck. The article points out that his bets on United Health Group (UNH) and Aetna (AET)aren't looking so good and a couple of his August cover picks -- Yahoo and Dell -- have stumbled badly lately. But Sears Holdings (SHLD) sounds like a decent idea to me.
- Are they playing it safe? Christopher Davis picks Wal-Mart and Microsoft. Those sound like fine choices for the core of a portfolio, but I doubt they are really his best ideas. News Corp (NWS), his third idea sounds like the smartest to me. And the stock is doing terrific this year.
The article is well worth reading and if you are looking for some good ideas, this is a great place to start. But just as with any investing article, it should just be the starting point for further research.