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Chasing Value: Bank Popular (BPOP) should be very popular

Several stories have been written lately recommending large bank stocks like Citigroup (NYSE: C), Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC), JP Morgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM), and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC); all great companies, all good investments paying nice dividends. However, when I search for value I am still finding a preference for the smaller banks with greater organic growth opportunities and the ever-present potential of being a take-over target.

In my last few stock screens Popular Inc (NYSE: BPOP) popped up and I did not give it much thought since we are overweighted in financial stocks, but last week I took a deeper look at BPOP, and yesterday started writing this story. This morning a limit order came through so I must disclose that I am now writing about a stock I bought at $17and as a shareholder have a financial interest in it, not just as a writer. But then I rarely recommend investors consider acquiring a stock that I would not buy myself.

The following metrics will give you a brief overview of the value from a trailing 12-month perspective. The data comes from AOL Money & Finance. Popular is the bank holding company for Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, the largest bank on the island, with some 200 branches. On the U.S. mainland, subsidiary Banco Popular North America serves growing Hispanic communities in six states through more than 140 branches.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Bank Popular (BPOP) should be very popular

Serious Money: Whittling away at the Dow - IBM, JNJ, JPM, MCD & MRK: Part 5

After reviewing two thirds of the thirty Dow Jones Industrials, I am surprised to find as much opportunity as I have and as there appears to be. I did not start out expecting to find much value, if at all, in the Dow. Yet, out of the nineteen stocks I've covered in the first four parts, I've found six possibilities in total ... and I still have eleven stocks to go.

Here are the value plays so far: Alcoa Aluminum (NYSE: AA), American International Group (NYSE: AIG), Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT), Disney (Walt) Company (NYSE: DIS), and Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and Home Depot (NYSE: HD). You can link to Part 1 of this series, Part 2, Part 3 or Part 4 for your own review and comments. Stocks 20 through 24 follow.

International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) has been making some good moves lately and Wall Street has been reacting favorably. I have owned IBM shares several years ago and sold for a modest gain. The stock has been asleep for years and it looks fairly valued to me now. Very little of the data points I see stand out: IBM has an average P/E of 17.5, a lower than average yield of 1.5%. It does clear a good, not great, profit margin of 10.38%. The thing that looks most favorable about IBM, though, is its ROE, which is 30.25 (TTM) and far exceeds the P/E -- this has been a good indicator for me in the past. I would think most of its growth will be overseas but I do not see IBM moving at any faster rate than the index itself. There are many on Wall Street who disagree, pegging IBM as high as $175 per share in a few years based on its focus on higher margin software sales and service contracts, but I'd rather buy the index over the stock.

Continue reading Serious Money: Whittling away at the Dow - IBM, JNJ, JPM, MCD & MRK: Part 5

To my surprise the Dow still has room to rise

I have now completed reviewing half of the stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in search of value. To my surprise five of the first fifteen seem to be value propositions, five appear to be fairly valued but upside potential does remain and the last five -- who knows? Serious Money: Whittling away at the Dow -- MMM, AA, MO, AXP, & AIG: Part 1 was published this morning. Parts 2 through 7 will follow daily.

After months of rising stock prices and new Dow record highs being reached on a regular basis, I was not expecting to find that there was any value left. I have been relatively optimistic since last year posting DOW 14,000 here we come! but the rate of increase has accelerated beyond what I envisioned.

James Cramer of the TheStreet.com early in the year wildly projected that the Dow would reach 14,000 this year. A year ahead of my own more tempered view, and I definitely thought he was going out on a limb at the time. Now it would seem easily in reach and perhaps what I thought was sticking my neck out was too conservative.

Perhaps it was the years of stagnating stock prices for Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), J.P. Morgan Chase (NYSE: JPM), Citigroup (NYSE: C), General Electric (NYSE: GE), 3M Corp (NYSE: MMM) , International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) and others that finally built up a head of steam and came alive in the last six to eight months. That and global expansion that all the large cap stocks are able to capitalize on. Well, investors and the sun are shining on the Dow so enjoy the ride and be ever watchful.

Those of you who are new to BloggingStocks can check out my other stories and read Chasing Value or Serious Money to find more potential opportunities and verify my track record as well.

Sheldon Liber is the CEO of a small private investment company and the vice president for design and research at an architecture & planning firm. Check out his other posts for BloggingStocks here.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 12, 2012: 11:00 AM

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