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Cisco beats the analysts -- is this tech stock a recovery play?

Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) reported Q3 stats after the bell on Wednesday. How did the tech company that runs with the likes of Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR), and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU) fare? Very well, thank you.

Well, let me clarify that. Cisco saw a lot of declines in its numbers, but we all know what the most important thing to investors is: beating the Wall Street analysts. In this regard, Cisco's management did just fine. As I observed in my earnings preview piece, the call was for Cisco to do somewhere around 25 cents per share. Well, the company bested that figure by an awesome nickel on an adjusted basis.

Continue reading Cisco beats the analysts -- is this tech stock a recovery play?

Earnings preview: Will Cisco deliver the goods in Q3?

Tech investors will be looking forward to seeing how Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) made out in the third quarter. The networking entity, whose colleagues include Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR), and Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), will be reporting Q3 numbers on Wednesday, May 6, after the market closes. According to analysts, Cisco is not expected to grow the bottom line. The call is for 25 cents per share. If that figure is hit, then it will represent a drop of more than 30% on a year-over-year basis.

Here's the bright side, though. Cisco has beat the analysts at their game in recent times. Quite frankly, I think Cisco should be able to come ahead of estimates this week. I don't necessarily see why the trend will break. It's not like the stock has been telling the market that it will. Shares of Cisco have been doing well.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Will Cisco deliver the goods in Q3?

Juniper Networks (JNPR) gets cautious commentary

JNPR logoJuniper Networks, Inc. (NASADQ: JNPR) stock is relatively flat today after an analyst at Friedman, Billings, and Ramsey initiated coverage on the stock with a "Market Perform" rating, saying he expects modest growth for the company over the next few years. The analyst said profit forecasts by other analysts are realistic, but there is reason to be cautious on JNPR, since other vendors have noted increasing caution by customers. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on JNPR.

After hitting a one-year low of $19.86 last April, the stock hit a one-year high of $37.95 in October. This morning, JNPR opened at $24.30. So far today the stock has hit a low of $23.69 and a high of $24.39. As of 12:40, JNPR is trading at $24.39, up 1 cent (0.04%). The chart for JNPR looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $31 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.1% return in 3 and a half months as long as JNPR is below $31 at July expiration. Juniper would have to rise by more than 27% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

JNPR hasn't been above $31 since January and has shown resistance around $26 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 4/24) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance JNPR might find at its 200 day moving average, which is currently around $31.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in JNPR.

Juniper Networks (JNPR) trade idea after upgrade

JNPR logoJuniper Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ: JNPR) shares are trading higher today after RBC Capital Markets upgraded the stock to Sector Perform from Outperform as noted by our own Eric Buscemi. We always think what kind of trade might make sense in light of the news. If you think that the company's stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on JNPR.

After hitting a one-year low of $17.21 in March, the stock hit a one-year high of $37.95 in October. JNPR opened this morning at $26.91. So far today the stock has hit a low of $26.54 and a high of $27.36. As of 11:20, JNPR is trading at $27.16, up 97 cents (3.7%). The chart for JNPR looks bearish but improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an April bull-put credit spread below the $22.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade will make an 8.7% return in just two months as long as JNPR is above $22.50 at April expiration. Juniper would have to fall by more than 17% before we would start to lose money.

JNPR hasn't been below $22.50 since last May and has shown support around $25 recently. This trade could be risky if JNPR continues its recent downward slide, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock has found just below $25 over the past month.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in JNPR.

Tech to lead market higher in '08

Technology shares have been battered over the last three months, but I expect the group will lead the broader market to new highs later in the year. While everyone is worried about the economy, the earnings numbers and forecasts that tech companies are providing should make investors very bullish for '08.

The likes of Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR) and Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM) all beat the Street's estimates and raised guidance. What makes this even more interesting is that each company operates in different technology sectors, so it appears that corporate spending is still strong, and that should have a big impact on earnings going forward.

Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer has no positions in any stock mentioned as of 1/25/08

Microsoft rotates senior management

Microsoft's (NASDAQ: MSFT) business division is one of its most profitable operations. Stephen Elop, an executive at network equipment company Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR), will come to Redmond to head the part of the company that produces Office software applications. Jeff Raikes, who runs the business now, has been at the company since 1981.

It would be easy to assume that Mr. Raikes has made hundreds of millions of dollars at Microsoft, and would simply like to take his cash and have a little rest. But, as The Wall Street Journal points out, "a host of new competitors try to pick away at Office with Internet services." That list of competitors is lead by Google (NASDAQ: GOOG).

Microsoft has demonstrated through recent M&A activity that it is willing to increase its revenue beyond its traditional software business in areas such as search and internet advertising. But for the next several years the company's cash flow is going to come from its traditional products like Windows and Office. These now operate using the processing power and storage of the computers where they sit. Google is putting products into the market that operate on the PC but use the company's servers to do much of the work.

Raikes may be leaving because you can't teach an old dog new tricks. With Google coming after it, Microsoft needs to hope that it can teach its new dogs new tricks.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Juniper Networks (JNPR) higher as technology rebounds

JNPR logoJuniper Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ: JNPR) shares are trading higher this morning as tech stocks are rebounding from recent losses. Some analysts felt the industry had a pull-back coming simply because those stocks had been safe havens throughout much of the financial sector's woes. Today, positive movement by Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT), Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) and Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) indicates that the mini-correction could be through. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on JNPR.

After hitting a one-year high of $37.95 in October, the stock has declined over the past month. JNPR opened this morning at $30.05. So far today the stock has hit a low of $29.78 and a high of $30.35. As of 11:05, JNPR is trading at $30.19, up $0.50 (1.7%). The chart for JNPR looks neutral and deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell rating.

Continue reading Juniper Networks (JNPR) higher as technology rebounds

Juniper Networks' earnings not good enough

JNPR logoJuniper Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ: JNPR) is sinking after the company's earnings release yesterday evening. JNPR reported a 46% jump in quarterly profit, but only beat EPS estimates by a penny, far less than what many optimistic investors, who drove the stock up 3.5% yesterday prior to the earnings release, had expected. A Morgan Keegan analyst cautioned that Q3 expenses grew too much, and there is some worry that the company's expenses aren't under sufficient control. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on JNPR.

The stock has climbed steadily over the past seven months, reaching a 52-week high of $37.95 earlier this month. This morning, JNPR opened at $35.17. So far today the stock has hit a low of $33.43 and a high of $35.17. As of 10:40, JNPR is trading at $33.95, down $3.19 (-8.6%). The chart for JNPR looks bullish but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a December bear-call credit spread above the $40 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in two months as long as JNPR is below $40 at December expiration. Juniper would have to rise by more than 17% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Continue reading Juniper Networks' earnings not good enough

Juniper Networks: Specialists in computer network infrastructures

Whether it's over the Internet, or through the office network, getting the right computer signal to the right place is a matter most of us liken to magic. One of the world's best known performers of such legerdemain is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

Juniper Networks (NASDAQ: JNPR) is engaged in the design, development and sale of Internet Protocol routers. These enable service providers and other network-intensive businesses to support and deliver services and applications on an integrated network. Other offerings include network traffic management software, virtual private network appliances, application acceleration platforms and firewall devices. Customers include wireline, wireless, and cable operators; Internet content providers; general businesses; and public agencies. McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) and Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) are among the firm's enterprise customers. Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) and Nortel Networks (NYSE: NT) are competitors.

The company pleased investors last week, when it reported Q2 EPS of 20 cents and revenues of $664.9 million. Analysts had been expecting 20 cents and $649.5 million. Management also guided Q3 EPS to 21 cents (21 cent consensus), Q3 revenues to $695-715 million ($674.56M consensus), FY07 EPS to 82-83 cents (81 cent consensus) and FY07 revenues to $2.73-$2.76 billion ($2.67B consensus).

Continue reading Juniper Networks: Specialists in computer network infrastructures

Analyst downgrades: 12-20: Kohl's downgraded to Neutral

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) and Juniper Networks (NASDAQ:JNPR) were today's most notable downgrades:
  • Kohl's was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W Baird due to difficult comps, less benefit from key 2006 drivers and warmer weather.
  • Juniper Networks was downgraded to Sector Performer from Sector Outperformer at CIBC World Markets as there is limited share upside due to competition from the Redback Networks (NASDAQ:RBAK) /Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC) combination and a reduced possibility of an acquisition premium.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Panacos Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:PANC) was downgraded at Bear Stearns, Think Equities, RBC Capital Markets, Leerink Swann and Caris & Co. after the company released disappointing Phase II Bevirmat data.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+203.5210,226.94
NASDAQ+41.622,154.06
S&P 500+23.781,093.08

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 01:58 AM

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