California based home builder KB Home (NYSE: KBH) will have its turn to impress Wall Street Friday morning when it reports its third quarter earnings numbers.

The last time that KB Home reported earnings was back on June 26 when it missed analyst estimates miserably. Analysts had been expecting to see the company show a loss of 64 cents per share for its second quarter, but the actual earning were much worse, with a loss of $1.03.

The nation's fifth largest home builder, KB Home (NYSE: KBH), had its chance to impress Wall Street this morning when it reported first quarter earnings, and it did not disappoint, easily beating out analyst estimates.

As we discussed in our earnings preview, the company had been expected to show a net loss of 81 cents for the quarter. The actual loss for the quarter was less than expected, with a reported loss of only 75 cents per share.

We will see earnings from one of the major home builders in the morning, as KB Home (NYSE: KBH) gets its chance to impress Wall Street when it reports its first quarter numbers prior to the market open.

The company, which last year ranked the 5th largest home builder in the country, is expected to show a loss for the quarter of $0.81 per share. Should the company be able to match these estimates, it would be a great improvement over its fourth quarter loss of $3.96 per share. When looking back at the same period last year, KBH showed a loss of $3.47 per share for its first quarter last year.

Los Angeles-based builder KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is scheduled to report its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings this Friday, Jan. 9, before the market opens. Analysts are expecting KBH to swallow a loss of $1.19 per share, which would represent a marked improvement from the homebuilder's year-ago loss of $9.99 per share.

However, if history is any indication, there's a good chance KB Home's results will fall short of the Street's predictions. The company has disappointed analysts in each of the previous five quarters by reporting wider-than-expected losses.

On the plus side, it doesn't seem that many players on Wall Street are betting on an upside surprise. During the past 10 days, traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) have bought to open nearly 3 times more puts than calls on KBH. The stock's 10-day ISE put/call ratio of 2.78 ranks higher than 65% of comparable readings taken in the past year, which suggests that bearish sentiment is ramping up ahead of earnings.

Mosaic (NYSE: MOS) plans to issue its Q2 earnings on January 5. MOS is hosting an analyst meeting on January 13, 2009. January option implied volatility of 96 is below a level of 121 in mid December and above its 26-week average of 90, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing movement compared to a two-weeks ago.

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) closed at $71.55 Monday. CVX is expected to report Q4 EPS on January 8. Crude oil futures are recently down 1.67% to $39.35 according to Bloomberg. CVX January option implied volatility of 44 is below a level of 60 from two-weeks ago and near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement compared to two weeks ago.

KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is scheduled to report Q4 EPS before the open on January 9. KBH January option implied volatility of 105 is below a level of 131 from two weeks and near its 26-week average of 100 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement compared to two weeks ago.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

KB Home (NYSE: KBH), whose colleagues include D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE: DHI) and Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN), reported earnings for the third quarter on Friday, and as one might have expected, they weren't the stuff of Wall Street dreams. This article gives a nice summary of the release. The loss per share worsened like crazy during the quarter compared to the year-ago data. The loss this year was $1.87 per share, and that was about four times the amount lost in the year-ago period. One thing to keep in mind, however, is that, on a non-GAAP basis in the previous year, the loss was $6.19 per share. The disparity here was caused by the addition of gains from discontinued operations in Q3 2007. No matter, expectations were for $1.22 per share for the current quarter, so KB Home nevertheless missed by a wide margin.

What fascinates me about KB Home is how the stock rebounded from its intraday low. I expected to see the shares in the dumps as I began to write this piece. Interestingly enough, as of this writing, shares are actually up over 1%! I wasn't the only one to notice this phenomenon. Dividend.com also mentioned how interesting the strong price action has been. In fact, at the time of this writing, AOL Finance says that KB Home's stock is up over 16% for the three-month period and up over 20% for the one-month period. What is this telling me? Does this mean I should buy the stock? I also should point out that the stock is not languishing at the 52-week low, either.

Well, it would have been pretty scary to buy KB Home at the 52-week low. But, I say it is kind of scary to buy KB Home now. If you think there is strength with this stock, then I say, at the very least, you've got to wait until it comes down before even thinking of buying. I just can't get myself to consider this homebuilder after seeing it miss estimates. Plus, we aren't out of the bad housing slump yet. The price action does give me pause, and I concede that you have to consider the effect of the discontinued operations on last year's earnings number. Still, it is my opinion that staying away from KB Home is best for now. The final decision, however, is yours.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

KB Home (NYSE: KBH) shares are trading higher after a report that hedge fund manager Edward Lampert has bought "small stakes" in homebuilders Centex (NYSE: CTX) and KBH, thinking that the housing market may be poised for a recovery. Investors are taking this news as a good sign for KBH. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on KBH.

After hitting a one-year high of $44.51 last June, the stock hit a one-year low of $15.76 in January. KBH opened this morning at $18.21. So far today the stock has hit a low of $18.15 and a high of $19.07. As of 12:00, KBH is trading at $18.87, up 1.00 (5.6%). The chart for KBH looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $15 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in just five weeks as long as KBH is above $15 at July expiration. KBH would have to fall by more than 20% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

KBH hasn't been below $15 at all in the past year and has shown support around $17.50 recently. This trade could be risky if the financial sector continues to tumble or if the Fed makes its first interest rate hike in a while, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find around $16 where it put in a bottom in January.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in KBH.

KB Home (NYSE: KBH) shares are rising with other homebuilders after US Senators from both political parties agreed to draft legislation that could deliver billions of dollars to homeowners facing foreclosure. The Senators hope to bring a bill to the floor as early as this afternoon. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on KBH.

After hitting a one-year high of $48.67 in May, the stock hit a one-year low of $15.76 in January. KBH opened this morning at $26.74. So far today the stock has hit a low of $26.50 and a high of $28.86. As of 12:30, KBH is trading at $28.48, up $1.55 (5.8%). The chart for KBH looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a May bull-put credit spread below the $17.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just 7 weeks as long as KBH is above $17.50 at May expiration. KBH would have to fall by more than 38% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

Shares of home builder KB Home (NYSE: KBH) have been tumbling in early trading after the company announced this morning it swung to a first quarter loss. The company's quarterly numbers were dragged down by higher write-downs related to lower home prices. Unlike its competitor Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN), KB Home was not able to beat analysts' expectations, sending its shares down over 5% this morning.

Including a charge of $223.9 million in write-downs, the residential home builder posted a quarterly loss of $268.2 million, or $3.47 per share, hurt by lower new home deliveries and orders. The company's quarterly numbers were also hurt by higher impairment charges. Analysts expected KB Home to show a quarterly loss of "only" $1.17 per share.

The global crisis in the credit market put pressure on the home builder's revenue, which plunged 43% to $794.2 million. For this period, the slumping housing market and credit crisis came with a plunge of 75% for new home orders and with a drop of 57% for new home deliveries. Analysts, on average, predicted sales of $805.7 million in the quarter, according to Thomson Financial.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Suntech Power, Premier Exhibitions and the Homebuilders Sector were today's noteworthy initiations:

• Citigroup named Suntech Power Holding (NYSE: STP) their top pick for China solar due to its leading scale and technology roadmap for higher cell efficiency, initiating shares with a Buy rating and $55 target.
  
• Merriman believes Premier Exhibitions (NASDAQ: PRXI) can move to the $14.50-$17.00 through the continued monetization of the company's current tours, the launching of additional tours and the value of the Titanic artifacts on hand. The firm started shares with a Buy rating.
  
• Lehman initiated D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI), Ryland Group (NYSE: RYL), Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) with Overweight ratings and an $18 target, $31 target and $27 target; KB Home (NYSE: KBH) with an Equal Weight rating and $24 target; and Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE: HOV) with an Underweight rating and $8 target.

OTHER INITIATIONS:

• Citigroup initiated Yingli Green Energy (NYSE: YGE) with a Hold rating and $24 target.
  
• UBS initiated Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) with a Neutral rating and $38 target.
  
• JP Morgan initiated Biodel (NASDAQ: BIOD) with an Overweight rating.

Economists are assuming the December housing numbers will be bad enough to make 2007 the worst year in the housing industry since 1980.

According to Bloomberg, "Builders in the U.S. broke ground on fewer houses in December, making the year's decline in homebuilding the worst in almost three decades, economists said before a report today."

Nothing new here, but the news will be more disturbing if early readings on January show the same thing. Some experts believe that housing prices could drop another 10% this year.

For investors this means that one or more of the weaker homebuilders may not make it to the end of the year. Firms like KB Home (NYSE: KBH) may have trouble with balance sheets. It is hard to imagine that everyone in the industry gets out alive.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

KB Home (NYSE: KBH) announced before the opening bell today that it posted a fourth-quarter loss of $772.7 million, or $9.99 a share -- a much wider loss than analysts' predictions of $1.08 per share. The company cited write-downs related to the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the earnings report. KBH Chief Executive Jeffery Metzger blamed continued "challenging market conditions" for the losses. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on KBH.

After hitting a one-year high of $56.08 in February, the stock has hit a new one-year low today. This morning, KBH opened at $17.76. So far today the stock has hit a low of $16.67 and a high of $18.86. As of 2:00, KBH is trading at $17.53, down $0.95 (-5.1%). The chart for KBH looks bearish and improving slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.

No matter how one tries, there's virtually no way to sugar-coat KB Home's Q3 earnings report.

Los Angeles-based KB Home (NYSE: KBH) Thursday posted a Q3 EPS loss of $6.19 compared to the Reuters consensus estimate of a loss of 71 cents.

The company said Q3 revenue totaled $1.53B, down 33% from a year ago, and below the $1.59B Reuters consensus estimate.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Build-A-Bear Workshop Inc's (NYSE: BBW) stock has been in a nose dive for most of the year, failing to reach sales targets. If there's no bid soon, reported the Wall Street Journal, this holiday season will be a miserable one for same store sales. Mattel Inc (NYSE: MAT) and Children's Place Retail Stores Inc (NASDAQ: PLCE) are considered possible buyers, as well as private equity firms.
• Cisco Systems Inc (NASDAQ: CSCO) and Haier Group, China's largest manufacturer of appliances, have agreed to work together on home networking in China and international markets, according to the Wall Street Journal.
• "Disney (NYSE: DIS) inspired" homes will be offered by KB Home (NYSE: KBH) beginning in 2008, following their successful collaboration with Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia (NYSE: MSO) homes two years ago, reported the Wall Street Journal.

OTHER PAPERS:

• Credit Suisse Group (NYSE: CS) is laying off about 150 workers from its mortgage-backed securities unit, a source told the New York Times.
• The EE Times reported that Chinese silicon foundry provider Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (NYSE: SMI) has delayed the opening of its 300-mm wafer fab in Wuhan, China, according to an analyst.
• India's Wipro Limited (NYSE: WIT) has received a five year, $130M contract from British utility Thames Water to provide integrated IT services, reported the Economic Times.