In a sign of the oh-so-like- the-Great-Depression times, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE: KKD) franchises in Seattle, Washington and Portland, Oregon, along with other related franchisees in the Pacific Northwest and Hawaii, are selling coffee for five cents. The one-per-customer-per-visit bargain is being named the Krispy Kreme New Deal.
I love the concept. Dunkin Donuts has been offering lattes and breakfast sandwiches for 99 cents in the afternoons to boost traffic in the slow time; and Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) is about to roll out a "gold card" good for 10% discounts on all products. The card, which carries a $25 annual membership fee, is not a credit card but is a parallel program with the regular Starbucks gift card, which allow you to receive bonuses (a free flavoring or other upgrade for your latte beverage, for instance).
Unfortunately, the two simultaneous and mutually exclusive card programs are confusing and a scant benefit. Customers used to buy 10, get one free punch cards at independent coffee houses will see quickly that paying for a 10% discount is hardly a great deal.
Last week's preview raised the question of whether consumers were turning to comfort foods in these uncertain times, specifically in terms of second quarter earnings of Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB) and Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD). Campbell's strong earnings growth topped expectations, while Krispy Kreme narrowed its loss, though it fell short of estimates.
This coming week should bring reports from more food-related companies, from cereal maker General Mills and food packager CongAgra to grocery chain Kroger, to the parent companies of restaurants Cracker Barrel, Olive Garden, Red Lobster, Carl's Jr., and Hardees. Also look for reports from tech-related companies such as Oracle, Adobe, and Palm, as well as from financials Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, and from economic bellwether FedEx.
Here's what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are expecting from some of the companies reporting earnings this week, as compared to their results from the same period of last year:
In last week's preview we took a peek at expectations for Campbell Soup earnings, but now the company is scheduled to report fiscal fourth quarter results this coming Thursday. With Krispy Kreme also among the handful of companies scheduled to report this week, we may yet see whether consumers are turning to comfort foods in these uncertain times.
Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB), the world's biggest soup maker, is still expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to post net income of 25 cents per share (up 44.0% from a year ago) on revenue of $1.7 billion (up 7.4%). The Camden, N.J.-based company has just missed earnings estimates in the past few quarters. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 7.9%, which is less than the industry average, but about the same as rivals Kraft Foods (NYSE: KFT) and HJ Heinz (NYSE: HNZ). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Campbell.
Hip, Canadian apparel retailer Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) is also anticipated to be a big earnings gainer when it reports this week. Net income is expected to come in at 13 cents per share (up 46.2% from a year ago) on revenue of $88.2 million (up 50.3%). Lululemon met expectations when it reported 12 cents per share in the previous quarter. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is a healthy 40.2%, which is better than the industry average and that of rival Under Armour Inc. (NYSE: UA). The analysts' consensus recommendation is currently to buy Lululemon.
A private equity group unfamiliar to the stock market world claims to have made a bid to acquire struggling donut makerKrispy Kreme (NYSE:KKD). According to The Winston-Salem Journal, MGL Asset Management Group has offered $7.25 a share for the company, a premium of almost $2 a share over its closing price Monday.
The mystery surrounding MGL, its assets, ownership and ambitions have caused some to meet the proposal with skepticism. The company provides almost no information on its web site, and its spokesperson told the Journal that the bid was legit, but declined to elaborate.
The skepticism about this offer seems to stem from the wisdom and timing of such an acquisition. Although KKD just reported its first profitable quarter in over three years, overall, since selling in the $50 range before the carb craze, it has waffled ever since below the $10 mark, bottoming out at $2.50 a share just last November.
At a shareholder meeting recently, the CEO of Krispy Kreme reiterated the company's plans to build international business and increase the range of snack foods sold in convenience stores. Neither option, in my opinion, is likely to have a strong impact on the company's bottom line in the near future, if at all. One profitable quarter after three and a half years of losses in a company with a tired brand doesn't whet my appetite.
I wonder what drives MGL's interest? Perhaps they're looking at the hole picture, with a glazed look in their eyes.
Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Inc. (NYSE: KKD) which has struggled recently with allegations of mismanagement, healthier eating trends, bankruptcy filings by franchisees, and increased competition, said on Monday that it swung to a profit in the first quarter. Also on Monday, Pall Corp. (NYSE: PLL), which makes filters and purifiers, said fiscal third-quarter profit rose, boosted by favorable foreign currency translation and increased sales.
For the quarter that ended May 4, Krispy Kreme reported a profit of $4 million, or 6 cents per share, compared with a loss of $7.4 million, or 12 cents per share in the prior year quarter, when results were cut into by refinancing and litigation charges.
However, revenue fell 7% to $103.6 million from a year ago. The Winston-Salem-based doughnut retailer said same-store sales fell 3.9% overall, but rose 1.2% at company-owned stores.
Krispy Kreme shares rose 48 cents on Monday, or 14%, to $3.90, but slipped in after-hours trading. Shares have risen 23.4% year to date, but are still well off their 52-week high of $9.50.
This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.
Oh, how the sugary have fallen. Ten years ago, even five, you and I both know how this would have come out. In the standoff between longtime national fried-dough pusher Dunkin' Donuts and upstart sweet freak Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE: KKD), Krispy reigned supreme. The chain was rolling out new franchises as fast as dough circles could parade around its restaurants on shiny metal racks, and each time it did local police stations did overtime directing traffic.
Somehow, the mighty fell after the considerable sugar high, largely connected to poorly-managed finances, badly-handled expansion, and a sudden national fear of carbohydrates. All the while, Dunkin' Donut managers everywhere continued to plod along, making the doughnuts, and quietly stirring a blue-collar breakfast revolution. One day America woke up and realized, hey, Dunkin' Donuts' coffee is good! Someone named it "Better than Starbucks" and it soon became clear that the product guys had realized something: we make a lotta money off of coffee. Actually, more than half of the company's revenue.
Say what you want about the tasty warmth of its fresh-from-the-fryers glazed confections, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE: KKD) hasn't been leading the sweet life of late. Beleaguered and beaten down in the midst of what CNN Money calls a "sputtering turnaround effort," the company remains challenged with an anemic share price, struggling sales, and folding franchise locations.
Today, Chief Executive Daryl Brewster, who took the reins in March 2006, announced plans to retire for personal reasons. Brewster will leave his post at the end of this month. The board quickly named James Morgan, board member since 2000 and chairman of the board since 2005, to take the vacated seat.
In other news, Krispy Kreme has followed the lead of many fast-food concerns to announce that all products sold in the U.S. are now free of trans fats. KKD officials said it has been introducing zero-grams trans fat products across the country during the past several months.
Investors are cheering this combination of news, as the stock has spiked 9.5% in today's trading. Of course, given the stock's current price (around the $3 level), this represents an absolute increase of 27 cents per share.
Shares of doughnut chain Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD) are surging today as the company reported its loss had narrowed to $798,000, or 1 cent a share, in the third quarter ended October 28, from $7.2 million, or 12 cents a share, a year earlier. For the last four years the Krispy Kreme stock has been as tasty for investors as a week-old doughnut lying around uncovered. After trading in the upper $40s a few years ago, the stock has been hit by healthier eating trends, mismanagement, and even bankruptcy by some of its franchisees.
For full disclosure, I try my best to help the stock, as I buy the doughnuts whenever possible, as I think they are awesome. For me, nothing's like a glazed Krispy Kreme.
Notwithstanding today's surge in the stock, the outlook for the company is murky at best. It said that there will be more store closures which will impact revenues. Its balance sheet is nothing to write home about either. As of October 28, the company had about $23 million in cash on its balance sheet, and $88 million in debt. It had about $11 million in additional debt capacity available under its credit facilities.
While I probably wouldn't get near the stock until we see continued evidence of a turnaround in their financials, I would jump at the chance of getting another dozen to eat while I write my next few posts! What's your favorite flavor?
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. Disclosure: Writer has no position in any stock mentioned as of 12/6/07.
Just when I thought flying couldn't become more unpleasant comes word that US Airways (NYSE:LCC) passengers will have to fly over New Mexico dry. Apparently, the airline is in a tiff with the state's alcohol regulators, who have refused to give them a permit to serve booze while in or over the state. Apparently, the state extends into orbit.
Stuck for what to bring to that Thanksgiving potluck? I'm thinking a cheesecake would be nice, but...I wish there was a way to make it a little more fattening. Thankfully, Lisa Robertson of North Carolina showed me the way with her award-winning Krispy Kremey White-Chocolate Raspberry-Filled Cheesecake, which uses Krispy Kreme (NYSE:KKD) donuts for its crust.
The Boston Globe reports that "For more than four years, a small team huddled in the Dunkin' Donuts research lab trying to crack the code for a doughnut without trans fats that tasted just like those on which the chain had built its reputation over the last half century."
And now, at last, they have done it. In a few weeks, Dunkin's 5,300 stores will introduce trans-fat free donuts. While they can hardly be considered a health food -- they still contain the same amount of total fat -- this has to be considered a major accomplishment. Just a few years ago, there was doubt about whether such a feat could be accomplished. Competitor (sort of like saying the Tampa Bay Devil Rays compete with the Yankees ...) Krispy Kreme Doughnuts (NYSE: KKD) is still working on a trans-fat free donut, and doesn't yet have anything ready to market.
What's next for these doughnut-engineers? How many years are we away from a truly healthy donut? Will fat-free, sugar-free ice cream ever taste like something other than opening the freezer and sticking your head in? All of this talk about healthy junk food reminds me a bit of alchemy, but researchers seem to be making progress.
But would a healthy donut even be fun? Or would it become to common-place to count as a treat, and lose its allure?
Brother, can you spare a nickel?
Last week's preview
In 
A private equity group unfamiliar to the stock market world claims to have made a 
This post is part of our 
Just when I thought flying couldn't become more unpleasant comes word that 
Before the bell: Wall Street headed higher; automakers, retailers in focus
Waiting for the other shoe to drop: The looming credit crisis
Bet on T&A with J&J (JNJ)
