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Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: SWHC, WFC ,CCE, GM, FCX

Analyst upgrades:
  • Merriman upgraded Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ:SWHC) to Buy from Neutral on valuation after channel checks indicated an increase in gun sales in October after an Obama win became apparent. The firm believes shares can trade up into the $4 to $5 range.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) to Outperform from Neutral citing the company's improved balance and potential earnings power following its $11B equity offering.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Coca-Cola Enerprises (NYSE:CCE) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation and easing commodity and labor costs.
  • Manulife (NYSE:MFC) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
  • SL Green Realty (NYSE:SLG) was upgraded at UBS to Buy from Neutral.
  • Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Barclays downgraded General Motors (NYSE:GM) to Underweight from Equal Weight on cash concerns and believes any assistance from the government would substantially dilute equity holders. Barclays set a $1 target on GM shares.
  • Stephens cut LandAmerica (NYSE:LFG) to Underweight from Equal Weight following the Fidelity National (NYSE:FNF) takeover as they expect no other bidders to emerge and believe shares could go back to under $5 if Fidelity National walks away.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded solar companies to reflect deteriorating fundamentals in the sector, an adequate supply of c-Si modules, the strengthening dollar and restricted access to capital. First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR), Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ), Energy Conversion (NASDAQ:ENER) and Sunpower (NASDAQ:SPWRA) were downgraded to Hold from Buy.
  • Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) and Aeropostale (NYSE:ARO) were downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.
  • FMC Technologies (NYSE:FTI) was lowered to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
Analyst initiations:
  • Freeport McMoRan, HLS Systems, and Kimberly Clark were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Banc of America expects Freeport McMoRan's (NYSE:FCX) earnings will decline sharply in 2009 and thinks the dividend could be at risk. Shares were initiated with a Neutral rating and $29 target.
  • Roth Capital initiated HLS Systems (NASDAQ:HOLI) with a Buy rating and $5 target. The firm is positive on the company's management team and the company's outlook for EPS growth.
  • Citigroup thinks Kimberly Clark's (NYSE:KMB) margins have bottomed and that the current valuation is too low. Shares were assumed with a Buy rating and $65 target.
  • Synaptics (NASDAQ:SYNA) and Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE) were initiated at Merrill Lynch with Neutral ratings.
  • Tim Hortons (NYSE:THI) was assumed with a Sell rating at Goldman.

Blockbuster (BBI) wants part of new Viacom (VIA) pay channel

Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI) must want to own a piece of everything. First, it made a bid for Circuit City (NYSE: CC) and now it is trying to get a piece of the new pay TV channel being launched by Viacom (NYSE: VIA).

Viacom says it will start a TV network with movies and other video content with contributions from MGM and Lions Gate (NYSE: LGF). The channel will compete with HBO and Showtime.

According to The Wall Street Journal, "As part of a deal being discussed, Blockbuster would get digital rights to the new channel's programming in return for an investment in the partnership."

How that makes sense is a mystery. The Viacom channel can sell DVDs though a number of outlets. Streaming content over the internet does not require help from Blockbuster. How does a company with rental stores and a DVD-by-Internet operation help a pay TV channel which will be distributed by satellite and cable?

Blockbuster has problems of its own. For starters, it just needs to stay in business. Its stock trades at $2.98, near a 52-week low, and down from more than $20 less than five years ago. Putting capital into new ventures or nutty M&A transactions is a waste of shareholder money.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com and author of the Ten Stocks Under $10 Letter.

Mortgage meltdown metastasizes

Contrary to the words of our economic cheerleaders -- Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson -- the subprime mortgage meltdown refuses to stay contained. This economic cancer has now spread to the lumber and title insurance industries.

Reuters reports that one of the biggest lumber companies, Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE: WY), will probably have to close plants and restrict operations because of weak market conditions. This should not come as a surprise since dropping home prices may crimp new home construction -- leading to less demand for lumber, roofing material, nails, concrete, and all the other materials and labor that go into building a house.

But the Wall Street Journal [subscription required] surprised me by reporting that the title insurance industry -- which issues policies that essentially guarantee a homebuyer is the rightful owner of a property -- also is taking a dive. The paper reports that claims against leading title insurers -- due, in part, to a rise in subcontractors who file a lien for unpaid work on a house -- have spiked 52%. Moreover, title insurance revenues are down which indicates a drop in new mortgages that require title searches to get approved.

Continue reading Mortgage meltdown metastasizes

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+73.0010,270.47
NASDAQ+18.862,167.88
S&P 500+6.241,093.48

Last updated: November 14, 2009: 04:42 PM

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