U.S. stock futures once again were lower this morning, albeit more moderately, pointing to another lower start and possibly another down day following Wednesday's declines. Investors concern over the economy remained unabated, especially in light of recent and future corporate profits. This morning, weekly initial jobless claims will be released an hour ahead of the opening bell, and the numbers are expected to show yet another increase. Meanwhile, investors will continue to eye oil prices, which rebounded from a 16-month low to above $67, and foreclosures, which grew by 71% in the third quarter compared with the same period in 2007.
Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE) drastically lowered profit and sales forecasts for the fiscal year Thursday, blaming weaker electronics sales and the stronger yen. Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is joining many other companies recently announcing layoffs as it also plans to cut about 3,260 jobs, representing about 10% of its total staff.
Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) reported a 48% climb in profit in the third quarter on strong sales of electronics, beating analyst estimates. But the company reduced its full-year profit outlook. AMZN shares traded down 14% in after-hours action.
Baird upgraded Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) to Outperform from Neutral citing valuation and long-term earnings power.
Keefe Bruyette upgraded shares of Nationwide Financial (NYSE: NFS) to Outperform from Market Perform as it believes the deal is not at risk and will close at the agreed upon $52.25 price.
Friedman Billings upgraded American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) to Outperform from Market Perform citing valuation.
Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Natixis.
W.W. Grainger (NYSE: GWW) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at RW Baird.
Fidelity National (NYSE: FIS) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at SunTrust.
Analyst downgrades:
Credit Suisse downgraded Eli Lilly NYSE:(LLY) to Neutral from Outperform citing the increased risk profile from the ImClone (IMCL) deal.
Soleil downgraded Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) to Hold from Buy as it believes Google's cost management may lag revenue weakness and that the falling stock price implies employee defections. The firm lowered its target to $350 from $580.
Piper downgraded shares of Orbitz (NYSE:OWW) to Sell from Neutral to reflect deteriorating travel industry fundamentals and the company's levered balance sheet.
US Steel (NYSE:X) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.
Bidz.com (NASDAQ:BIDZ) was initiated with a Hold at Stamford, as the firm does not want to recommend a company that has never been tested during difficult economic times, but is positive on BIDZ's growth potential.
American Superconductor (NASDAQ:AMSC) was initiated with a Hold at Stanford, as the firm believes the Euro decline and global market turmoil are near-term risks.
Union Bankshares (NASDAQ:UBSH) was initiated with an Underperform at RBC Capital, as the firm views shares as overvalued.
Regis Corp (NYSE:RGS) was initiated with a Neutral at RW Baird.
CommVault's (NASDAQ:CVLT) coverage was resumed with a Neutral at Merrill Lynch.
U.S. stock futures fell Monday morning, indicating a sharply lower open on Wall Street as the world's financial crisis rather than get a boost from the $700 billion rescue plan, seemed to have deepened in Europe. This as well as economic fears depressed world markets. Most major global markets plunged at least over 4%.
Wachovia Corp. (NYSE: WB) -- After a lower court decided in favor of Citigroup (NYSE: C), a state appeals court blocked the ruling late Sunday night, thus tilting the battle over Wachovia in favor of Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC). Both banks want Wachovia for its deposits and branches. Despite that, WB shares are down about 18% in pre-market trade, WFC's down 2.7% and C's down 3.7%.
Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) -- a subsidiary has agreed to modify loans to tens of thousands of borrowers -- previously Countrywide Financial clients -- in 11 states that would enable them to keep their homes, or even help them move to a new home. If all 50 states were to join, the settlement could provide $8.7 billion in relief to 400,000 borrowers. BAC shares are down 4.3% in pre-market action.
National City Corp. (NYSE: NCC) shares are down over 22% in pre-market action as its debt was downgraded by Fitch Ratings.
U.S. stock futures were flat to lower Thursday morning following the senate approval of its version of the $700 billion bailout package. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve said it was considering a rate cut. Following all the economic data released Wednesday indicating the U.S. is in a recession, this isn't surprising. The ECB is also meeting today to consider its move. Today, the Labor Department will report weekly initial jobless claims and the Commerce Department will release August factory orders. Regulators also extended the ban on short-selling shares of some 800 financial companies.
UBS (NYSE: UBS), which has been hard hit by the credit crisis, said Thursday it expects to return to profit in the third quarter after four quarters of losses. The bank has substantially reduced its exposure to U.S. commercial and residential mortgages. The bank wrote down more than $40 billion and raised close to $30 billion.
Mosaic (NYSE: MOS) shares are down about 20% in pre-market trading after it missed analyst estimates when it reported its fiscal first-quarter earnings.
Marriott International (NYSE: MAR) was expected to report earnings of 32 cents a share in the third quarter. The company reported 34 centsearnings per share excluding an 8 cents adjustment.
The story of ImClone Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: IMCL) in its endeavor to sell itself surely feels by now like a never-ending saga, with twists, derisive comments from management and even a mystery. I guess that with Carl Icahn at the helm it's not surprising; he would always try to get the best price he could.
After Icahn announced nearly a month ago that ImClone has a mystery suitor that would pay $70 a share to Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY)'s offer of $60 a share, today the mystery was unraveled and the suitor revealed. (I must admit I was somewhat skeptical, almost thinking this was some sort of tactic by Icahn to get to BMY, but he was serious.) While Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE) has been the name most tossed around as the likely candidate, another name that's been cited -- Eli Lilly and Co. (NYSE: LLY) -- turned out to be the one.
As it was, after a rival buyer was revealed, Bristol indeed increased its bid for ImClone to $62 per share last week, but since Icahn insisted the unnamed large pharma company was willing to pay much more, he exchanged some very colorful comments with Bristol's chief.
The Wall Street Journal finally reported this afternoon it is Lilly that is in advanced talks to acquire ImClone for about $6.1 billion. There's no doubt Lilly would benefit from ImClone's one and only product, Erbitux -- a lucrative cancer drug. Also, as Lilly sees its drugs come off patent, and with its own poor pipeline of cancer drugs -- not to mention its recent troubles getting new drugs past the FDA -- this acquisition would make sense.
The deal's deadline is tonight. If Lilly indeed issues a formal offer, I bet Icahn hopes Bristol would increase its offer as not only does BMY already own about 17% of ImClone, it also co-markets Erbitux, and is simply seen by many as the natural buyer. I doubt we've seen the last of this story.
Stock futures dropped sharply Monday morning after the bailout plan was revealed Sunday and several banks in Europe were bailed out. U.S. investors are expected to react similar to stock markets around the word, which tumbled Monday following Washington's $700 billion bank bailout deal. The bailout may not be enough, and it will take a while to clean up the mess and restore confidence to financial markets. The economic reading due to be released today, August personal income and spending is not expected to affect markets much.
Three major banking bailouts were announced in Europe. 1) The Dutch-Belgian bank and insurance giant Fortis failed and was provided with a $16.4 billion lifeline by the governments of Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg. 2) The British government nationalized mortgage lender Bradford & Bingley -- the second British bank to be taken under government control this year. 3) A consortium of German banks and regulators bailed out Hypo Real Estate Holding AG, in a deal worth billions of dollars.
Wachovia Corp. (NYSE: WB) - after WaMu's failure, the focus has shifted to Wachovia and at least two major banks, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), were reportedly in talks Sunday to buy it. Wachovia shares are trading down 60% to $4 in pre-market action. C and WFC shares are down over 6.5% and 3.5% respectively in pre-market trade.
Merrill upgraded shares of General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Ford (NYSE: F) to Neutral from Underperform on expectations for fundamentals to improve in 2009.
Citigroup upgraded Chubb (NYSE: CB) and Travelers Group (NYSE: TRV) to Buy from Hold as they expect the company to benefit from the AIG (NYSE: AIG) fallout. The firm raised Chubb's target to $57 from $56 and Travelers Group's target to $51.50 from $49.50.
Credit Suisse upgraded shares of SAP AG (NYSE: SAP) to Outperform from Neutral as they believe margin expansion can drive higher profitability.
JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus.
NetLogic (NASDAQ: NETL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Piper.
Analyst downgrades:
JP Morgan downgraded Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) to Underweight from Neutral citing the company's early stage pipeline and generic competition.
Merrill downgraded Unilever (NYSE: UL) to Neutral from Buy as they believe the incoming CEO is unlikely to bring a major restructuring or split up the company.
Every time the FDA turns around, a few more people have died from the diabetes drug Byetta, a product developed and marketed by Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) and Amylin Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: AMLN). It has to make one wonder how the regulators spend their spare time.
According toThe Wall Street Journal,the two companies "disclosed the deaths of four patients taking the diabetes drug Byetta that had been previously reported to regulators but not yet made public." The drug has already killed two people previously, at least.
Lilly and Amylin said they were a bit slow coming forward with the news because they wanted to "provide context" and "avoid confusion" in the future. That is double talk for the two companies not wanting to say anything at all. Dead is dead and there is no way of getting around that.
Why the FDA has allowed the drug to stay on the market is anyone's guess.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
U.S. stock futures were lower this morning on fear Tropical Storm Gustav's path may pose a threat to refinery activity along the Gulf of Mexico coastline and some would have to shut down. Indeed, oil prices rose to above $117 a barrel Wednesday. Also in focus today is the upcoming durable goods order to be reported before the opening bell. Meanwhile, the FDIC is considering borrowing funds from the Treasury, amid an expected wave of bank failures. Nine banks have failed so far this year, and the number of troubled U.S. banks rose 30% to 117 in the second quarter. [Update: Futures turned positive after durable goods unexpectedly gained.]
Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), which stocks jumped big Tuesday, both had several ratings cut by Standard & Poor's. Still, both stocks seem to continue their climb in premarket with Fannie shares up 7.5% and Freddie's up 10%. At least two analysts, from Citigroup and Goldman said Tuesday the situation isn't as bad as it may seem.
From financials to toys: A federal jury awarded Mattel Inc. (NYSE: MAT) $100 million in damages on Tuesday in a federal copyright lawsuit against MGA Entertainment Inc., the maker of the saucy Bratz dolls.
Moving to pharmaceuticals, Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: AMLN) and Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) shares are down 10% and 1% respectively in premarket trading after four more patients taking their Byetta diabetes medication have died. Baird downgraded Amylin from Buy to Neutral and cut its price target from $37 to $27. Soleil downgraded AMLN from Hold to Sell.
JP Morgan upgraded O'Reilly (NASDAQ: ORLY) to Overweight from Neutral, citing increased demand and CSK acquisition synergies.
Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform by RBC Capital, based on valuation and the firm's expectation that gold will rally.
HSBC upgraded KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) to Overweight from Neutral with a $44 target.
Analyst downgrades:
Bernstein dropped DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH) to Underperform from Market Perform, citing continued weak operations, declining cash flow, and satellite sector headwinds, among other reasons.
Macy's (NYSE: M) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy by Goldman Sachs based on valuation.
Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) was also dropped to Neutral from Buy by Goldman based on valuation.
UBS downgraded Dr Pepper Snapple (NYSE: DPS) to Neutral from Buy based on valuation.
Analyst initiations:
Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM) was started with a Buy rating by Kaufman Bros., which believes the core on-demand CRM application market is nowhere close to full penetration.
Caris initiated Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) with a Below Average rating, citing the company's Zyprexa and Cymbalta patent expirations.
Leerink Swann assumed coverage of Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) with an Outperform, as the firm predicts that the company's denosumab will allow the company to substantially increase its earnings starting in 2010.
HSBC upgrades KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ: KLAC) to Overweight from Neutral, according toBriefing.com. The news services also reports that Caris initiates Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) with a Below Average rating.
Comverge (NASDAQ: COMV) was cut to Neutral at Broadpoint Capital, according to247wallst.com. DISH Network (NASDAQ: DISH) was cut to Market Perform at Bernstein.
When should the FDA pull a drug off the market? When one person dies from side-effects? How about two or three?
Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) and Amylin Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: AMLN) produce a highly successful diabetes drug called Byetta. According toThe Wall Street Journal, "The Food and Drug Administration on Monday said it has received six new reports of patients developing a dangerous form of pancreatitis while taking Byetta."
Two of the patients died.
The drug makers said that the poor results were very rare. The people who got sick probably view it a little differently.
There have been questions for some time about whether the FDA does an effective job of regulating drug companies. The problems with Byetta say that the answer is "no." A drug, which causes even one death, yet stays on the market speaks volumes about how the consumer's interests are cast aside.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Investors in shares of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) went wild on speculation today that the government would put new funds into the mortgage agencies and wipe out common shareholders. The market was dragged down over 200 points at some point on a ripple of concerns about the financial sector:
Early in the day, the chance of a hurricane moving into the Gulf of Mexico pushed oil up and knocked equities down. Once the storm moved over Florida and away from deep-water rigs, oil went back down.
The trading was so bleak and depressing that most traders probably went home to watch the last few events of the Olympics. Those who stayed saw a few notable moves:
UBS downgraded SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) to Neutral from Buy, according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that Citigroup upgraded Qwest (NYSE:Q) to Buy from Hold and Morgan Keegan upgraded Ciena (NASDAQ:CIEN) to Outperform from Market Perform.
Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) was raised to Neutral at HSBC, according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial site also reports that American Electric Power (NYSE:AEP) was cut to Neutral at JPMorgan.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says don't blame the currency, it's all about supply and demand.
The dollar.
How often do we hear that this currency as the culprit of the m.o. of everything that the "sophisticated" types think is happening. It is almost conspiratorial:
the Fed raises rates;
commodity prices come in because they are a hedge against the weak dollar;
oil fluctuates in price because of the dollar;
the dollar controls stocks and bonds.
I am not an unsophisticated player. I recognize that the dollar has some importance when investing in strong currency countries and when the translation to the dollar occurs, a la the amazing results in a company like a Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) (Cramer's Take) or a Schering-Plough (NYSE: SGP) (Cramer's Take) or a H.J. Heinz (NYSE: HNZ) (Cramer's Take).
But the dollar and oil? Okay, I hear the intellectuals, but how about the empiricals: oil went from $119 to $148 while the dollar was steady against the Euro. Do the facts matter? What happens if they get in the way of the intellectuals' stories.