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Options Update: Yamana Gold volatility at 60 on $1093 gold

Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY) closed at $11.79. Gold is recently up 0.40% to $1093.70 according to Bloomberg. AUY November option implied volatility is at 60; January is at 59; versus its 26-week average of 59, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Limited (NYSE: LTD) closed at $17.89. LTD reported comparable store sales decreased 2% for Q3. LTD is expected to report Q3 EPS on November 19. LTD November option implied volatility is at 60; December is at 56 above its 26-week average of 53, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AZN, AZO, BBBY, CAH, CPN, LLL, LTD ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • FBR Capital upgraded AutoZone (NYSE: AZO) to Market Perform from Underperform on valuation following the company's Q4 results but lowered its target on shares to $134 from $137.
  • Citigroup upgraded Calpine (NYSE: CPN) to Buy from Hold on valuation following Wednesday's sell-off. The firm believes Harbinger's share sale reflects an issue with the shareholders, not with the company, and raised its price target on the stock to $16.50 from $13.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Knight Transportation (NYSE: KNX) to Neutral from Underperform and raised its target to $17 from $16 based on valuation and the improved freight environment.
  • Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) was upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman.
  • Webster Financial (NYSE: WBS) was upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
  • Dr. Reddy's Labs (NYSE: RDY) was upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AZN, AZO, BBBY, CAH, CPN, LLL, LTD ...

Earnings highlights: B&N, Deere, Heinz, Home Depot, HP, Sears, Target ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: B&N, Deere, Heinz, Home Depot, HP, Sears, Target ...

Limited Brands: Buy or Sell after better-than-expected Q2?

Limited Brands (NYSE: LTD), whose colleagues include Gap (NYSE: GPS) and Hanesbrands (NYSE: HBI), is one sexy company. It operates the Victoria's Secret chain of stores among other concepts. However, it's been having trouble increasing sales and income during the recession -- like every other retailer out there, of course. But the stock has been strong, and the bulls have yet more evidence that their thesis on the business might be justified.

Limited Brands reported second quarter results Wednesday after the close. Its adjusted earnings were 19 cents per share versus 27 cents per share in the comparable period last year. Total sales dropped 9.5%, and same-store revenues collapsed 9%. With numbers like those, where do I get the idea that the bulls might have a case?

Continue reading Limited Brands: Buy or Sell after better-than-expected Q2?

Earnings highlights: HP, Gap, Saks, Hormel, Barnes & Noble and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: HP, Gap, Saks, Hormel, Barnes & Noble and more

Limited Brands sees a sexy profit in Q1

Limited Brands (NYSE: LTD), the retailer that runs stores such as Bath & Body Works, Pink, and the sexy Victoria's Secret, issued its Q1 numbers after the bell on Wednesday.

The bottom line didn't look bad. Not that it looked great, mind you. The company earned 1 cent per share. The fact that there was any profit at all was big news. According to analysts, a loss of 3 cents per share was more likely.

The revenue picture was not so pretty, however. Net sales dropped by 10%. And same-store sales decreased 7%. I guess buying lingerie isn't a top priority during a time when jobs are being cut and consumers look in terror upon their 401(k) balances.

Continue reading Limited Brands sees a sexy profit in Q1

The week in preview: Eye on Marvel, KBR, First Solar, Deckers and more

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected the parade of earnings declines to continue into the final week of February, with Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia Inc. (NYSE: MSO), Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN), Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD), Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN), Macy's Inc. (NYSE: M), DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. (NYSE: DWA), Limited Brands Inc. (NYSE: LTD), Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), Royal Bank Of Canada (NYSE: RY), Del Monte Foods Co. (NASDAQ: DLM), Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS), Washington Post Co. (NYSE: WPO), Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB), RadioShack Corp. (NYSE: RSH), and H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ) all expected to post lower earnings for the most recent quarter. Office Depot Inc. (NYSE: ODP), Saks Inc. (NYSE: SKS), and Cooper Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: CTB) are expect to have swung to a loss.

Continue reading The week in preview: Eye on Marvel, KBR, First Solar, Deckers and more

Stocks in the news: CSCO, BRK.A, V, F, TM, K, MA, WMT, DELL ...

Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) reported earnings Wednesday after close, beating estimates, but warning that incoming orders declined dramatically -- 20% -- in January. For the quarter, Cisco reported earnings of 32 cents per share excluding items, beating the average analyst estimate by 2 cents. CSCO shares declined 3.4% in premarket trading.

Swiss Reinsurance Co. will get a capital injection of $2.6 billion from Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) after warning investors it expects to lose $869 million for the full year. The investment will pay a 12% coupon and could convert into a stake of more than 20% in the company.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: CSCO, BRK.A, V, F, TM, K, MA, WMT, DELL ...

November retail sales reveal one winner, mostly losers

Even though Black Friday sales were better than expected, most retailers saw their November sales plunge. As I posted in April, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT) would likely benefit from consumers' recession diet. That has proven to be a fairly safe bet, but the scary thing is that just about every other retailer is taking a hit.

A glimmer of good news is that for many of those that hurt, the results were not as bad as expected. Here are the actual results of five retailers (with expected results in parentheses):

An emerging theme is that expectations are so bad that retailers seem able to exceed them. However, there is no guarantee that such outcomes are likely to continue. If retailers do better than expected then forecasters may raise their estimates until retailers can't exceed them.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.

Stocks in the news: GM, F, WMT, MRK, ADBE, COF, C, DD, T, AMZN, AMAT (update)

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and Chrysler executives are returning to Congress for what many see as a crucial hearing as the automakers hope will persuade skeptical lawmakers to bail them out with a $34 billion in emergency aid. Still, a top Senate Democrat wants to hand their problem to the Federal Reserve. Automakers executives are also considering accepting a pre-arranged bankruptcy as the last-resort price of getting a multibillion-dollar government bailout, according to Bloomberg sources. GM and Ford shares are down 6.1% and 7.7% in premarket trade (8:10 am). As of 11:45, GM shares declined nearly7%, Ford's were flattish.

Wal-Mart Store Inc. (NYSE: WMT) November same-store sales were expected to fall 7% gain 2.1%, but rose 3.4%. WMT is trading 2.8% higher in premarket (8:10 am). WMT shares traded higher during the session.
Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ: COST) reported that November same-store sales fell 5%.
Limited Brands Inc. (NYSE: LTD) reported November same-store sales fell 12%.

Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) reported a loss of nearly $80 million, or 49 cents per share, including about $175 million in pre-tax writedowns. Without the charges, the company reported a profit of 23 cents per share. Revenue fell to $698.9 million from $1.17 billion a year ago. TOL beat analyst estimates of 46 cents per share on revenue of $681.4 million, according to Thomson Reuters. TOL decline to issue guidance for next year. As of 11:47, TOL shares were 9.5% higher.

Merck & Co. (NYSE: MRK) issued guidance, saying net income in 2009 may miss analysts' expectations as the drug maker trying to make up for falling sales of its top-selling cholesterol pills with cost cuts, including job reduction. Merck made no change in its forecast for 2008 earnings. MRK shares traded 3.6% lower in premarket (8:14 am). Shares of MRK traded down 3.6% by 11:47.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: GM, F, WMT, MRK, ADBE, COF, C, DD, T, AMZN, AMAT (update)

Stocks in the news: TM, AIG, DE, TIF, C, ALU, RTP, LIZ, LTD, BGP, TIVO, JCG (update)

Toyota Motor Co. (NYSE: TM) -- recently we've seen more and more signs that the slowdown in general and the auto industry troubles particularly have been hurting Toyota too. Today, Fitch Ratings cut Toyota's top-notch credit rating to "AA" from "AAA," as the carmaker was indeed hit by the world auto market slump, high material cost and from a surging yen. TM shares were down 3% by 11 am.

American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG) announced late Tuesday it has closed its $40 billion stock placement with the U.S. Treasury under the government's Troubled Assets Relief Program. The Treasury bought shares of AIG equaling 2% of the company on the date of the investment. AIG shares were up 0.5% by 11 am.

Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE) reported that fiscal fourth-quarter net income fell 18% to $345 million, or 81 cents a share, as sales rose 21% to $7.4 billion. Analysts expected earnings of 99 cents a share on sales of $5.2 billion according to FactSet Research. The guidance for fourth quarter was below estimates. DE shares were 6.3% lower in premarket trading (8:03 am). DE shares were down 9.6% by 11 am.

Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) reported that its third quarter earnings declined to $44 million, or 35 cents a share on lower sales of $618 million. This was above analyst estimates of 26 cents EPS and sales of $697 million, according to FactSet Research. Tiffany said it plans to reduce staff. TIF shares were 8.6% lower in premarket trading (8:03 am). TIF shares were down 4.1% by 11 am.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: TM, AIG, DE, TIF, C, ALU, RTP, LIZ, LTD, BGP, TIVO, JCG (update)

Earnings highlights: Target, Heinz, Barnes & Noble, Pepsi, Disney and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Target, Heinz, Barnes & Noble, Pepsi, Disney and others

Stocks in the news: DELL, GE, GM, LTD, PFE, PETM, BA, ABK, C, YHOO ... (update)

Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL), the personal computer maker, is due to report its financial results after the market close. The company is expected to post a 9% drop in earnings to 31 cents per share, according to Briefing.com. DELL shares were 1.5% higher in premarket trade (8:00 am). Dell shares were 2.7% lower about half an hour after the open.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) is seeking funds from China Investment Corp., Government of Singapore Investment Corp. and at least two other sovereign-wealth funds. GE shares have plunged some 60% this year as the company has lowered 2008 profit target twice. But GE also raised $3 billion last month as Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK) invested in the company. GE shares declined 8.3% around 9:55 am. The company said that while it is in talks with Asian investors about joint ventures, it has no intention of raising additional capital from sovereign-wealth funds.

General Motors Corp (NYSE: GM), Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and Chrysler Llc returned empty-handed from Washington as the bailout plan for the automotive sector seems hanging by a thread. The sought after compromise couldn't be reached and the Senate canceled plans for a vote Wednesday. The Bush administration and congressional Republicans have rejected Democrats' plan to dip into the $700 billion Wall Street rescue fund for a $25 billion automotive sector bailout. Interestingly, some think no bailout will not send the stock market off a cliff. Meanwhile, Chrsyler still wants to merge with GM -- little wonder there.

However, GMAC Financial Services has applied to the Federal Reserve to become a bank holding company. If approved, it would allow GM's financing arm to be eligible for aid under the Treasury's $700 billion bank rescue plan, automotive bailout or not. Still, GM shares were down about 10% in premarket trade (8:05 am), just as Ford's were up 3.2% (8:05 am). GM shares were beaten down another 11.5% around 9:55 am, Ford's were down some 4.8%.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: DELL, GE, GM, LTD, PFE, PETM, BA, ABK, C, YHOO ... (update)

The week in preview: High hopes for solar, not so much for home improvement

Last week, JA Solar Holdings Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: JASO) posted a quarterly loss and lowered its guidance. But as interest in alternative energy continues to grow, analysts polled by Thomson Financial are still looking for good things from solar energy concerns scheduled to report earnings this week.

Strong growth at Trina Solar Ltd. (NYSE: TSL) in the third quarter prompted it to lift its guidance back in October. Analysts expect the Chinese company to post profits that are 76.3% higher than a year ago, or $1.18 per share on revenues of $268.4 million (+225.0%). Though Trina Solar missed estimates in the second quarter, analysts on average recommend buying TSL. Shares are down 81.4% from a year ago and trading near an all-time low.

Earnings of rival LDK Solar Co. Ltd. (NYSE: LDK) are expect to have risen 47.9% to $0.71 per share on revenues of $486.7 million (+206.6%). Also based in China, LDK has not missed estimates in recent quarters; in fact, it blew past expectations in the second quarter. Yet the consensus recommendation is to hold LDK. Like Trina Solar, LDK's shares are trading near an all-time low; the share price has fallen 50.0% in the past year.

Analysts anticipate third-quarter earnings for Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: CSIQ) to be a whopping 96.3% higher than a year ago, or $0.54 per share on revenues of $248.0 million (+154.5%). The company easily topped estimates in the previous quarter. ReneSola Ltd. (NYSE: SOL) and Suntech Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (NYSE: STP) are also expected to report earnings growth of 29.7% ($0.37 per share) and 23.8% ($0.42 per share), respectively. All three of these stocks reached 52-week lows last week, and all are considered buys.

Continue reading The week in preview: High hopes for solar, not so much for home improvement

The week in preview: Alcoa, GE kick off earnings season

Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) kicks off the new earnings seasons when it reports third quarter results on Tuesday. The Pittsburgh-based aluminum producer, which celebrated its 120th anniversary with the launch of its website, is expected to post a profit of 54 cents per share, down 15.6% from the same quarter of last year, on revenue of $7.2 billion, down 2.1%. While Alcoa has tended to fall short of estimates in recent quarters, in the second quarter it did offer a positive surprise of almost 3%. Its long-term earnings per share growth forecast is 14.8%, a little less than the S&P 500, and analysts polled by Thomson Financial on average recommend buying Alcoa, and have for more than 90 days. Shares reached a new 52-week low last week, and are down 48.9% from a year ago.

General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) is also expected to report a slip in earnings this week. Analysts anticipate that the conglomerate will post a third-quarter profit of 45 cents per share, down just 6.3% from a year ago, on revenue of $47.7 billion, which is up 12.1%. GE has tended to eke out small positive surprises in recent quarters, by less than 1% in the second quarter. GE's long-term earnings per share growth forecast is only 11.0%, which is less than the sector average and the S&P 500. The consensus recommendation has recently swung to hold GE, but Warren Buffett has bought in to the tune of $3 billion. GE also reached a new 52-week low last week as the markets tumbled. GE shares are down 48.1% from a year ago.

Continue reading The week in preview: Alcoa, GE kick off earnings season

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+17.4610,023.42
NASDAQ+7.122,112.44
S&P 500+2.671,069.30

Last updated: November 08, 2009: 10:33 PM

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