How many days, months, quarters, etc. will this ugly bear market continue? It is just as bad as buying dips on Internet stocks in 2000. The FOMC minutes gave a lowered economic expectation for 2009, like we didn't know that was coming. Housing starts were the worst on record, and now inflation is coming down so hard that deflation is the new damnation of the markets. Does it really matter what gets said anymore? No, it doesn't. Gee, were you even surprised that the deterioration into the close only picked up steam and the Dow shed 5% to close below 8,000 as the S&P decided to close at a five-year low? Sorry there is no good news, but this market is no longer a market.
Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) is trading like it is no longer going to be around as its old self. This is truly ugly and unfair, but then again ... who has been rewarded for defending a financial stock? NO ONE. Shares were down 21% at $6.53 before the close.
E*TRADE Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: ETFC) gave pretty decent numbers considering the current climate, yet it is getting crushed every day along with anything and everything else financial. This one was down 17%at $1.03 right before the close.
The shares of Level 3 Communications (NASDAQ: LVLT) are sinking deeper into penny-stock territory this morning following a damaging price-target cut from analysts at Citigroup. The brokerage firm slashed its price target on LVLT from $2.00 to 50 cents, and reiterated its Sell rating on the stock.
After closing Monday at 94 cents, LVLT is slipping ever closer this morning to that hypothetical "support at zero." In fact, following yesterday's all-out bearish note on General Motors (NYSE: GM), one has to wonder if Deutsche Bank will soon be slapping another of its famous goose-egg targets on Level 3. The stock has closed seven out of the past 13 sessions south of the $1 level, and its descending 10-day and 20-day moving averages have provided stubborn resistance in recent months.
In fact, while many analysts have already denounced LVLT, there's still room for potential downgrades or price-target cuts. Zacks reports two Buy or better ratings from brokerage firms, and these bulls may soon be shamed into lowering their opinions (if so, they would join six analysts who consider the stock a Hold, and six who deem it a Sell or Strong Sell).
Meanwhile, Thomson Financial pegs the average 12-month price target at $1.68, a premium of 87% to the equity's closing price on Monday. While more negative notes could drag the shares lower, there is a bright side -- from their current level, the shares could only lose about 85 cents.
Wall Street's optimism in last week's preview about the earnings of tech stocks wasn't misplaced, as there were many more positive surprises than negative ones among the stocks we looked at. This week will bring plenty more data for investors in and watchers of the sector to mull over. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), for example, are expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to post modest earnings gains from a year ago, to $1.11 per share (on $8.1 billion in sales), $0.72 per share (on $31.3 billion in sales), and $0.47 per share (on $14.8 billion in sales) respectively. All three of these companies ended the week closer to their 52-week lows than highs, and analysts on average consider them each a buy.
Here's a look at some of the week's biggest expected earnings gainers and decliners in the sector:
Baidu.com Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU): $1.25 per share (+44.0%) on revenues of $134.7 million (+103.2%)
Broadcom Corp. (NASDAQ: BRCM): $0.44 per share (+38.6%) on revenues of $1.3 billion (+33.8%)
QLogic Corp. (NASDAQ: QLGC): $0.31 per share (+29.0%) on revenues of $170.0 million (+21.2%)
FLIR Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: FLIR): $0.32 per share (+28.1%) on revenues of $275.2 million (+44.0%)
Juniper Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: JNPR): $0.30 per share (+26.7%) on revenues of $927.4 million (+26.2%)
Waters Corp. (NYSE: WAT): $0.75 per share (+17.3%) on revenues of $391.6 million (+11.1%)
Oppenheimer downgraded Level 3 (NASDAQ:LVLT) from Market Perform to Underperform, according to Briefing.com. The news service also reports that Citigroup intiated KB Home (NYSE:KBH) with a Hold.
Petro-Canada (NYSE:PCZ) was cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank, according to24/7 Wall St. The financial news site also reports that Tween Brands (NYSE:TWB) Cut to Sell at Citigroup.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Texas Industries, TransGlobe Energy and Level 3 Communications were today's noteworthy downgrades:
Stephens downgraded shares of Texas Industries (NYSE: TXI) to Equal Weight from Overweight as it believes higher energy costs will affect the company's ability to achieve its guidance. The firm lowered its target to $68 from $83.
Jefferies assumed coverage and downgraded shares of TransGlobe Energy (NYSE:TGA) to Hold from Buy as it sees limited upside until the company completes its seismic activity and can better quantify its exploratory reserve potential. The firm lowered its target to $5.25 from $6.50.
Citigroup downgraded Level 3 (NASDAQ: LVLT) to Sell from Hold as it believes the pullback in telecom valuations increases downside risk for the stock. Citigroup lowered their target price to $2.50 from $3.
Today was a very mixed trading day on the economic and news front. Ben Bernanke said that inflation was far higher than he was comfortable with, but he also said he doesn't expect this scenario to become like the one in the 1970s. Oil also slid again to under $123.00 per barrel. Today may have looked better had it not been for some additional downgrade warnings from Moody's on bond insurers. These are the unofficial closing bell levels:
Lear Corp. (NYSE: LEA) was actually rather impressive today. Shares were up 1.2% in the final minutes at $25.05, despite the company issuing an earnings warning this morning.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ) was trading down about 1.1% at $36.9 in the final minutes on reports that it was going to pay some $27 billion to acquire Alltel and its 13+ million wireless subscribers from TPG and GSCP.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Salesforce.com, First Marblehead and The E.W. Scripps Co were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Jefferies upgraded shares of Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) to Buy from Hold following the company's Q1 results and recommends accumulating shares on any weakness from concerns around a slowdown in bookings. They believe that while bookings growth slowed in Q1, CRM's growth remains stellar and its market opportunity remains large.
Friedman Billings upgraded First Marblehead (NYSE:FMD) to Market Perform from Underperform. The firm believes most of the bad news is reflected in shares and that there are early indications of "thawing" within the private student loan ABS market.
Lehman upgraded the E.W. Scripps Co (NYSE:SSP) to Overweight from Underweight and expects the upcoming July 1st split of Scripps Networks Interactive from Scripps will give the company strategic opportunity by separating high growth cable from traditional newspapers and broadcasting.
Today was an odd day, and despite the mixed index levels it should be considered a win. Oil rose sharply and was over $127.00 at one point after the Saudi's said that demand didn't justify increasing production in oil; Goldman Sachs put oil's average target for the second half of 2008 above $140/barrel. To top it off, the controversial University of Michigan consumer confidence level came in at the lowest reading since 1980. Even housing saw strange information as the rise in building permits and housing starts came out much higher than expected: so much for house prices stabilizing.
DJIA 12,983.13 (-9.53; -0.07%) S&P500 1,425.06 (+1.49; +0.10%) NASDAQ 2,528.79 (-4.94; -0.19%) 10 Yr Bond 3.850% (+0.007%) 52-week lows TOP 10 ANALYST CALLS
Ascent Solar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASTI) saw a drop-off after it priced a 3.8 million share secondary offering at $14.00, well under yesterday's close. In the final minutes, shares were down 6% at $14.93.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: RF Micro Devices, QLT Inc and Everest RE Group were today's noteworthy upgrades:
Jefferies upgraded RF Micro (NASDAQ:RFMD) to Buy from Hold citing strong proprietary Asian channel checks. The firm believes RF Micro is past the worst of the inventory handset correction in Asia and that the MPG business is also recovering.
RBC Capital said QLT Inc's (NASDAQ:QLTI) risk/reward has improved and expects divestment announcements to start in late Q2. The firm raised shares to Outperform from Sector Perform.
Citigroup upgraded Everest RE (NYSE:RE) to Buy from Hold citing valuation, likely buybacks, the low risk of asbestos charges and the seasonal trade ahead.
Way back in early March I highlighted 10 horrifically downtrending stocks and said not to even think about buying them until they broke their nasty trendlines to the upside.
Over the past few weeks, many have displayed solid sideways price action, but it wasn't until yesterday that the high volume breakouts occurred. I'm talking about those 50+ million shares traded, 10%+ price surges beautifully accomplished by such popular names like Sprint Nextel Corp (NYSE: S), Broadcom Corp (NASDAQ: BRCM) and Level 3 Communications Inc (NASDAQ: LVLT).
Unsurprisingly, several other stocks also showed similarly strong price action:
Goldman Sachs believes that the Q2 forecast from Citrix Systems (NASDAQ:CTXS) to push the share price down according to the AP.
Citigroup downgraded XM Satellite (NASDAQ:XMSR) from "buy" to "hold" according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that Merriman upgraded Level 3 (NASDAQ:LVLT) from "sell" to "neutral."
DIRECTV (NYSE:DTV) was downgraded to "market perform" at Bernstein according to24/7 Wall St. The financial site also reports that Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ:TTWO) was cut to "hold" from "buy at Citigroup
Shares closed mostly higher today, although this was more of a mixed day between the haves and the have-nots. Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) managed to keep earnings inline with estimates and were not bad considering the weak airline sector, so its 4.4% gain to $82.09 was a huge relief for the DJIA today. Below are the unofficial closing levels for major US index levels:
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: ABK) posted losses that were wider than expected. It showed losses of $1.7 billion and $11.69 per share and a $3.1 billion in subprime charges. The company sells insurance policies that repay bondholders if issuers default. The 52-week range is $4.50 - $96.10. Shares hit a new low today, and traded down over 40% at $3.45 in the final minutes of trading.
MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI) dropped dramatically after Ambac's worse-than-expected earnings report. The rivals are expected to be hit hard by the wave of defaults it insures due to the subprime credit crisis. The two have been struggling to raise capital to cover losses and have suffered downgrades to their credit ratings. MBI shares were down 32% at $9.00 in the final minutes today.
NASDAQ has released its short interest for the end of March, with a March 31, 2008 cut off date. Overall short interest fell by a rate of some 1.2% on NASDAQ for the two-week period to 9,657,092,223. Interestingly enough, there were a few standouts that saw some major gains in short selling.
The percentage terms on Level 3 are not that great, but the raw number of shares is significant.
These were not the only gainers out there, but the bets against some of these rising short interest stocks were staggering. You can check NASDAQ short interest on any of these stocks or others at the NASDAQ Trader site dedicated to short interest.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: GlaxoSmithKline, FreeSeas and SINA Corp were today's noteworthy initiations:
ING believes GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK) should benefit from the appointment of Andrew Witty as CEO and see limited downside risks. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating.
FreeSeas (NASDAQ: FREE) was started at Oppenheimer with an Outperform rating and $8 target, as they view FREE as an early stage growth company in the smaller dry-bulk vessel segment and finds the valuation attractive at current levels.
Kaufman Bros. initiated SINA Corp (NASDAQ: SINA) with a Buy rating and $4.50 target, and believes China represents a compelling long-term growth opportunity.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
Level 3 Comm (NASDAQ: LVLT) was initiated with a Underperform rating at Wachovia.
Jefferies assumed Savient Pharma (NASDAQ: SVNT) with a Buy rating and $30 target.
Lehman initiated Brown & Brown (NYSE: BRO) with an Underweight rating.
How many days, months, quarters, etc. will this ugly bear market continue? It is just as bad as buying dips on Internet stocks in 2000. The FOMC minutes gave a lowered economic expectation for 2009, like we didn't know that was coming. Housing starts were the worst on record, and now inflation is coming down so hard that deflation is the new damnation of the markets. Does it really matter what gets said anymore? No, it doesn't. Gee, were you even surprised that the deterioration into the close only picked up steam and the Dow shed 5% to close below 8,000 as the S&P decided to close at a five-year low? Sorry there is no good news, but this market is no longer a market. 
Wall Street's optimism in 
.gif){kind=logo}
.gif){kind=logo}
Here are some highlights from this past week's .gif){kind=logo}
Cramer on BloggingStocks: A troika of opportunity and trouble 
Before the bell: Wall Street headed higher; automakers, retailers in focus
Waiting for the other shoe to drop: The looming credit crisis
