Analyst Upgrades

• Philip Morris (PM) to conviction buy from buy at Goldman.
• Peet's Coffee (PEET) to neutral from sell at Janney Capital.
• Cephalon (CEPH) to equal weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
• StoneMor Partners (STON) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
• Tibco (TIBX) to buy from underperform at BofA/Merrill.
• Apollo Group (APOL) to outperform from market perform at BMO Capital.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: APOL, CEPH, DELL, GCI, GOLD, KSS, LEN, PEET, PM ...

Analyst Calls: APOL, CEPH, DELL, GCI, GOLD, KSS, LEN, PEET, PM ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 30 Mar 2011 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Lennar Down After Q1 Report: Watch the Price Action

Lennar Down After Q1 Report: Watch the Price Action originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 29 Mar 2011 17:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The calendar quarter winds down this week and quarterly reports are due from Apollo Group (APOL), CarMax (KMX), Global Payments (GPN), Krispy Kreme (KKD), Lennar (LEN) and McCormick (MKC). But analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters have high hopes for results from fertilizer and animal feed maker Mosaic (MOS), apparel maker Phillips Van Heusen (PVH) and discount retailer Family Dollar (FDO). So here's a look at what they anticipate from these three companies.

Mosaic

During its fiscal second quarter, Cargill agreed to distribute its stake in Mosaic, and Mosaic also said it would redeem senior notes. Analysts anticipate that the Minnesota-based potash producer will report per-share earnings of $1.07, a jump of 53.3% from the same quarter of last year. Mosaic also is expected to post revenue of $2.4 billion for the three months that ended in February. That's a 35.9% rise from a year earlier.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Mosaic, Family Dollar Earnings and March Unemployment Rate

Week in Preview: Mosaic, Family Dollar Earnings and March Unemployment Rate originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 27 Mar 2011 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Disney (DIS) to buy from hold at Wunderlich.
• Pike Electric (PIKE) to outperform from market perform at FBR Capital.
• Kindred Healthcare (KND) to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
• UBS (UBS) to hold from sell at Canaccord.
• Avery Dennison (AVY) and Take-Two (TTWO) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• Mercer (MERC) to outperform from market perform at Raymond James.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: AVY, CSUN, DIS, INTU, KBH, KEY, LEN, NVTL, UBS, USNA ...

Analyst Calls: AVY, CSUN, DIS, INTU, KBH, KEY, LEN, NVTL, UBS, USNA ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 09 Feb 2011 11:50:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Last time around, I was bearish on Lennar (LEN). This was following the company's third-quarter report. Well, now we've got the fourth-quarter report to consider. Should I change my opinion?

You know, I feel like I should. Yesterday's price action was somewhat compelling. The stock experienced an increase in value of 7%. The closing price was $20.24, not too far away from the 52-week high of $21.79. The 52-week low for the stock is $11.93, so the shares are comfortably above that level.

Continue reading Lennar Earnings: Time to Be Bullish?

Lennar Earnings: Time to Be Bullish? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 12 Jan 2011 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Lennar Corp. (LEN) just can't seem to win much respect on Wall Street. Despite well-known fundamental issues within the housing sector, LEN has tallied a year-to-date advance of roughly 35% -- easily topping the 11.4% gain collected by the S&P 500 Index (SPX).

Wall Street seems less than impressed by this technical outperformance, though. Earlier today, S&P Equity downgraded the stock to hold from strong buy, joining six other analysts who maintain a tepid rating on the shares.

Continue reading Outperforming Lennar Shrugs Off Downgrade

Outperforming Lennar Shrugs Off Downgrade originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 17 Dec 2010 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

"Home Prices Are About to Bottom" was the headline for the Barron's cover story the week of July 14, 2008. The story explained that the housing market should level off in many areas of the country by the end of the year.

I have made some equally unfortunate prognostications in my tenure at BloggingStocks, so my purpose is not to poke fun at Barron's but to point out that here we are, over two years later, and it is still debatable whether the housing market has bottomed out.

Continue reading Chasing Value: "Home Prices Are About to Bottom"

Chasing Value: "Home Prices Are About to Bottom" originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 15 Nov 2010 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Homebuilder Lennar (LEN) had a great session on Monday. It closed at a price of $15.14, which represents a gain of over 8%. Volume was quite active, implying conviction in the move.

The one-year chart appears to be a volatile one, but it's in the context of a narrow range. The 52-week low is $11.56, and the 52-week high is $21.79. Does the stock have what it takes to break out of recent resistance levels? Can we infer positive things from yesterday's price change?

Continue reading Lennar Earnings Improve in Q3, but Is It Time to Buy?

Lennar Earnings Improve in Q3, but Is It Time to Buy? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 21 Sep 2010 09:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Housing steps into the spotlight again this coming week. The release of the National Association of Homebuilders Housing Market Index starts out the week on Monday morning. Then on Tuesday morning, look for housing starts data from August. Release of the July FHFA House Price Index is scheduled for Wednesday. And numbers for existing home sales and for new home sales in August are due out Thursday and Friday, respectively. Overall, the housing market is expected to have continued to lose momentum in August, but less dramatically than in July.

Also on the economic calendar this week: Tuesday's FOMC meeting on interest rates, the Conference Board's Leading Economic Indicators Index for August on Thursday, initial jobless claims for last week, and durable goods orders data for August on Friday. No significant changes from the Fed are anticipated, but the leading economic indicators may rise a bit.

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Housing Data, Lennar's Earnings and More

The Week in Preview: Housing Data, Lennar's Earnings and More originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 19 Sep 2010 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analyst Upgrades

• Jefferies upgraded Computer Sciences (CSC) to buy from hold and raised its target to $53 from $47. The analyst said Computer Sciences' valuation has created one of the best LBO opportunities in several years and could provide a five year IRR of 25+%.
• Keefe Bruyette upgraded Comerica (CMA) to outperform from market perform, citing strength of the company's capital. The firm raised its target for shares to $44 from $43.
• RBC Capital upgraded Nokia (NOK) to outperform from sector perform and raised its price target to $14 from $12. The firm upgraded shares based on valuation, reduced execution risk on software development, and potential catalysts from new devices based on Symbian^3. RBS upgraded Nokia to buy from hold after the company named Stephen Elop as CEO.
• Allstate (ALL) was upgraded to buy from hold at Citigroup.
• Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE) was upgraded to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
• Moody's (MCO) was upgraded to overweight from neutral at Piper Jaffray.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BCR, BUD, CLX, CMA, CSC, CSCO, DELL, LEN, MCO, NOK, TRV ...

Analyst Calls: BCR, BUD, CLX, CMA, CSC, CSCO, DELL, LEN, MCO, NOK, TRV ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 10 Sep 2010 11:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

During an earnings season when most stocks have beaten their analyst estimates, Beazer Homes (BZH) came in woefully under expectations with a loss of $27.8 million, or 41 cents per share.

Normally, you would expect news like this, coupled with a housing market that looks shaky at best, to be a major deterrent to investors. But I don't think we should write Beazer off just yet. It could actually be an interesting longer-term buy opportunity. Here's why:

Continue reading Beazer Earnings Disappoint but Stock Could Be a Buy

Beazer Earnings Disappoint but Stock Could Be a Buy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 05 Aug 2010 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Goldman Sachs Slashes Ratings Across Entire Homebuilder's Industry

Goldman Sachs Slashes Ratings Across Entire Homebuilder's Industry originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 14 Jul 2010 14:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Cleveland fans are angry and still in denial, while South Florida is jumping for joy and celebrating the region's king catalyst for the housing market turnaround. On the evening of July 8th, LeBron James officially placed a catalyst for a potential bottom on the fledgling South Florida condo and housing market. Season tickets at American Airlines were already sold out in anticipation of the King James arrival to the city of Miami. In the words of Minyanville's Todd Harrison today, "Inspiration is a beautiful thing."

Nobody could be more excited and inspired with the King James confidence booster than the following employees of these six companies:

Continue reading Six Miami Companies Heating Up with LeBron James

Six Miami Companies Heating Up with LeBron James originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 09 Jul 2010 15:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Whether you want to believe it or not, more indicators pop up each week that point to improvements in the housing market. Either we're at the bottom now, or we will be soon.

Of course, I just bought my first ever home in September of 2009 (a short-sale in Montgomery County, Md.) so perhaps I'm biased. But even in the worst markets there are signs of life in housing that should encourage investors and homebuyers alike.

Here are three top signs that the housing market has bottomed out.

Continue reading Three Signs Housing Has Bottomed

Three Signs Housing Has Bottomed originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 13 May 2010 12:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

It looks like John Paulson wants to get ahead of the crowd. He and other large homebuilders are buying prime building lots in states like Arizona, Colorado and Nevada.

The big players like Lennar Corp (LEN), Standard Pacific Corp. (SPF), KB Home (KBH), DR Horton (DHI) and Toll Brothers (TOL) are all grabbing lots at bargain basement prices.

Continue reading Hedge Fund Manager John Paulson Is Buying Prime Building Lots

Hedge Fund Manager John Paulson Is Buying Prime Building Lots originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 01 Mar 2010 18:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

The Federal Reserve's first Beige Book report of the year is due out this week. The report is a compilation of anecdotal information on current economic conditions from each of the 12 Federal Reserve Bank districts. The data comes from interviews with business contacts, economists, market experts, and other sources. The previous report, released in December, showed modest improvement in eight of the districts, while the October report confirmed that the economy was stabilizing after earlier declines.

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Fed's Beige Book; Alcoa, JPMorgan and Intel Earnings

The Week in Preview: Fed's Beige Book; Alcoa, JPMorgan and Intel Earnings originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 10 Jan 2010 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

• Ark Restaurants Corp. (ARKR) shares declined after Q4 earnings fell short of consensus expectations.
• Azz Inc. (AZZ) Q3 net income fell more than expected but the company reaffirmed its earnings outlook.
• Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (BBBY) reported strong Q3 results, sending shares to a new 52-week high.
• Best Buy Inc. (BBY) declined to lift its earnings forecast despite strong December sales, send shares lower.
• Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) lower Q3 earnings topped expectations and revenue declined as well.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Bed Bath & Beyond, Constellation Brands, Family Dollar, Lennar, Sonic ...

Earnings Highlights: Bed Bath & Beyond, Constellation Brands, Family Dollar, Lennar, Sonic ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sat, 09 Jan 2010 11:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Shares of Lennar Corp. (LEN) surged Thursday after the Miami-based homebuilder reported a surprise profit for the fourth-quarter of 2009, its first in two years.

For the three months that ended in November, Lennar posted earnings of $0.19 per share, compared with a year-ago loss of $5.12 a share. Fourth quarter results included $1.34 per share related to the reduction of a deferred tax asset valuation allowance primarily due to a NOL carryback, offset by a $0.58 per share charge related to valuation adjustments and other writeoffs, and a $0.31 per share charge related to valuation adjustments to land the builder intends to sell or has sold to third parties.

Continue reading Lennar Surges on Surprise Q4 Profit, Rise in New Orders

Lennar Surges on Surprise Q4 Profit, Rise in New Orders originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 07 Jan 2010 14:40:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect for-profit education provider Apollo Group Inc. (APOL) to start of the new year right when it reports fiscal first quarter 2010 results this week. During the three months that ended in November, Apollo's subsidiary, Apollo Global, saw management changes and its University of Phoenix was recertified to participate in Title IV programs.

Apollo Group is expected to report that earnings rose 22.8% from a year ago to $1.45 per share. Revenue for the quarter is expected to total $1.2 billion, which is 25.9% higher than a year ago. So far, the forecast is for similar year-over-year growth of EPS and revenue in the second quarter. This Phoenix-based company has topped earnings estimates in the past five quarters, by as much as 13 cents per share.

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Starting Off the Year on an Up Note: APOL, BBBY, FDO ...

The Week in Preview: Starting Off the Year on an Up Note: APOL, BBBY, FDO ... originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Sun, 03 Jan 2010 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Continue reading Closing Bell: A great day that may feel empty (AA, PEP, VG, LEN, RPRX, PLUG, MMM, WFC)

Closing Bell: A great day that may feel empty (AA, PEP, VG, LEN, RPRX, PLUG, MMM, WFC) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Thu, 08 Oct 2009 16:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.