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Buying Boeing requires bravery after Q3 loss

Boeing (NYSE: BA), an aerospace entity whose colleagues include Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) and Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), had a very tough earnings report today. Reading about it is not for the shareholder who cannot stand even the smallest amount of pain. According to this Bloomberg article, Boeing missed estimates and posted a woeful loss because of delays for a couple of jet products.

Boeing lost $2.23 per share in the third quarter. The comparison is pretty tough, because in the similar quarter last year, the company earned 96 cents per share. Boeing was expected to lose somewhere around $2.12 per share, according to Earnings.com. Unfortunately, the guidance for the full fiscal year is pretty bad, too. What once was a range between $4.70 per share and $5.00 per share has now dropped to one with a low of $1.35 per share and a high of $1.55 per share.

Continue reading Buying Boeing requires bravery after Q3 loss

Lockheed Martin (LMT) dips on slow growth forecast

LMT logoLockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT - option chain) is trading lower today after the company reported a third-quarter profit of $797 million, or $2.07 per share on revenue of $11.1 billion. Analysts had forecast a profit of $1.83 per share, but with revenue of $11.4 billion. Since expectations have been raised throughout the market, it seems that just beating estimates is no longer enough to satisfy traders. Weaker revenues plus a forecast of slowing growth in the coming years is dragging LMT down. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on LMT.

This morning, LMT opened at $72.72. So far today the stock has hit a high of $73.48 and a low of $72.10. As of 11:20, LMT is trading at $72.70, down $4.29 (-5.6%). The chart for LMT looks neutral and S&P gives LMT a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin (LMT) dips on slow growth forecast

Layoffs loom at Lockheed Martin after Marine One cancellation

Late last Friday, The Wall Street Journal reported that the Defense Department has ordered Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT) to cease work on a $13 billion contract to build helicopters for the White House.

The move was widely expected, since the Obama administration has previously pointed to the revamped copters as an example of excessive defense spending. However, the contract's cancellation will no doubt bring fresh job losses to Owego, NY, where the Marine One copter is being designed.

Continue reading Layoffs loom at Lockheed Martin after Marine One cancellation

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DNDN, ANDE, the auto sector, DGX, MTB, ADVS, ITG, MF and PCLN

Analyst upgrades:
  • Merriman upgraded Dendreon (NASDAQ: DNDN) to Buy from Neutral on expectations shares will react positively to the full IMPACT data release on April 28. The firm thinks Provenge could represent the first cancer immunotherapy approved in the U.S. and raised its valuation range on the stock to $33-$34 from $18-$19.
  • Piper Jaffray upgraded Andersons (NASDAQ: ANDE) as it believes the valuation is attractive, investor expectations are low, and the company's fertilizer and rail segments could recovery in FY10. The firm has a $19 target on shares. Goldman upgraded the auto sector to Neutral from Cautious and added Ford (NYSE: F) to its Conviction Buy list. The analyst does not believe Ford will have to declare bankruptcy and sees the company benefiting from Chrysler share declines and GM's (NYSE: GM) reduced product offerings. Ford's price target is $6
  • Banc of America/Merrill upgraded U.S. Airways (NYSE: LCC) to Buy from Underperform.
  • Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DNDN, ANDE, the auto sector, DGX, MTB, ADVS, ITG, MF and PCLN

Lockheed Martin hit with price-target cut on defense budget concerns

Analyst Douglas Harned of Sanford C. Bernstein chopped his price targets on several defense stocks today, including Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT). "Trends in the defense budget remain the most important driver of defense stocks, and the cash flow outlook is strong for the defense businesses," said Harned in a note to clients.

Harned cut LMT's price target from $104 to $96, but he reiterated an "outperform" rating on the stock. Lockheed Martin remains the analyst's top pick in the defense sector, thanks to its strong overall growth potential and support from its F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program. Despite his forecast for a reduction in supplemental defense budgets, Harned expects the F-35 program will remain fully funded.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin hit with price-target cut on defense budget concerns

Lockheed Martin rises on strong earnings

Shares of Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT) have moved strongly higher in today's action after the defense contractor put up better than expected numbers for its fourth quarter this morning.

Going into today's earnings release, analysts had been expecting to see the company show $1.92 per share, but the company came in well above those estimates, with a reported $2.05 a share for its quarter ending December 31.

This morning's good news was slightly balanced by the company's announcement that its upcoming full year 2009 profit was probably going to be lower than it had previously forecast, a result of increasing pension expenses. The market was tough on the company's pension plan in 2008, and drove the plan's value down by 28%. The resulting increase in pension expenses forced Lockheed Martin to lower its full year 2009 profit guidance down to between $7.05 and $7.25 from a previous estimate of between $7.65 and $7.90 per share.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin rises on strong earnings

What to invest in now that Obama has taken office

At long last -- to this Democrat's view anyway -- Barack Obama is the president of the United States. Now, it's time to gaze into our crystal ball.

Obama has many things on his plate, including fixing the economy. Lots of people are trying to pick the winners and losers. Here are my guesses. Keep in mind that it may take several years for the impact of Obama's policies to be felt.

Defense: Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE: LMT), Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA), Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE: NOC) and Raytheon Co. (NYSE: RTN) will benefit from the spending needed to replace worn-out military equipment from the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and Obama's push to improve health care technology. The defense contractors over the past few years have become huge government IT contractors and are experts at systems integration. Each have plunged by double-digits over the past year.

Healthy living: Call me an optimist but I expect the Obama administration to push healthier living and for greater control of health care. Hain Celestial Group Inc. (NASDAQ: HAIN), the largest provider of organic food, seems a likely beneficiary. Also, it's hard to see how he is going to be able to digitize health care records without the involvement of health insurers such as Cigna Corp. (NYSE: CI). Hain is down 42% over the past 52 weeks, while Cigna has plunged more than 70%.

Continue reading What to invest in now that Obama has taken office

Defensive trio: Lockheed, Raytheon and L-3

"As my high school football coach always quipped, 'Offense may win fans, but defense wins games,'" says leading growth stock expert Louis Basenese.

Here, the Oxford Club associate investment director takes a look at his three favorite defense stocks, noting, "When it comes to investing in the current environment, I'm convinced that you can't go wrong with this trio of companies."

"In my view, this sector willl never fall out of favor. The recent development with Russia serves to underscore another point I've been making for years. We always have to be prepared.

"Or, put another way, there will never be a good time for defense cuts, lest we want to leave our country vulnerable.Add it all up, and we can expect defense companies to enjoy steady demand. Even in the face of a recession.

"As the CEO of Rockwell notes, there has been absolutely no fallout in the defense industry as a result of the worldwide credit meltdown or other economic woes. So here's a quick run-down on the three defense companies we prefer for investors.

Continue reading Defensive trio: Lockheed, Raytheon and L-3

'Autopilot' portfolio: 10 stocks for long-term investors

"I've always been a big fan of putting into the market on a regular basis regardless of what is happening in the overall market," explains Chuck Carlson, long considered one of the advisory industry's leading experts on dividend reinvestment plans.

Here, the editor of The DRIP Investor offers a 10-stock "autopilot" portfolio that is diversified among 10 high quality dividend-paying stocks and requiring a monthly investment of under $500.

Carlson says, "If I've learned anything in the more than a quarter of a century of following the markets, it is this fact - buying stocks when you know you should (i.e. during sharp down moves) is really difficult. Our heads says we should; after all, substantial market downturns create the best values.

"But our emotions usually take control, thus making it very difficult to pull the trigger and put money into the market when stocks are falling.

"That's why I've always been a big fan of 401(k) plans. With these investment vehicles, investment programs are put on 'autopilot,' with dollars being put into the market on a regular basis (usually each paycheck) regardless of what is happening in the overall market.

"Fortunately, investors can duplicate the autopilot feature of 401(k) plans with their DRIP investments by taking advantage of automatic monthly investment features provided by most DRIPs.

Continue reading 'Autopilot' portfolio: 10 stocks for long-term investors

A look at Lockheed (LMT): More than defense

"Partial insulation from the economic slowdown, coupled with new military-aircraft programs, give Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) attractive capital-gains potential over the next several years," says Richard Moroney.

In his blue chip oriented Dow Theory Forecasts, the advisor explains, "A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. The stock is a Focus List Buy."

"Lockheed seems well-positioned with regards to the U.S. defense budget, with very little exposure to Iraq. The company is capable of growing pro? ts even if the new U.S. president pulls troops out of the country.

"While defense-spending growth is likely to slow in coming years, ongoing security threats and the need to replace aging equipment should keep the baseline defense budget, which excludes war-related costs, growing through at least 2012.

"A diversified business mix provides investors a measure of safety in a dif?cult economic climate. After the Air Force, Lockheed's next-largest end market is civil government and homeland security, accounting for 26% of revenue.

"The U.S. Navy accounts for 20% of sales and the Army 10%. About 13% of sales are international, and the U.S. communications industry accounts for 3%.

Continue reading A look at Lockheed (LMT): More than defense

Newspaper wrap-up: Lockheed expected to win $1.8B contract for navigation satellites

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT) is expected to beat out The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA) for an approximate $1.8B contract to from the U.S. Air Force to build a new generation of navigation satellites, the Wall Street Journal reported.
  • According to the Wall Street Journal, former American International Group Inc (NYSE: AIG) CEO Maurice R. "Hank" Greenberg is pressing the troubled insurer to turn the company around. He says that he and other major shareholders have "deep concern about the persistent and seemingly endless destruction of value at AIG."
  • Hybrid Capital Second, a Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) investment vehicle, increased its stake in internet start-up Livedoor to 18.15% from 12.76% in March, the Financial Times reported, superseding the company's founder, Takafumi Horie.
OTHER PAPERS:
  • After it incurred $3.2B of bad debts in the first three months of the year, the Telegraph reported that Knight Vinke, an HSBC Holdings Plc (NYSE: HBC) shareholder, has renewed calls for the bank to shed its U.S. consumer finance business.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) soars one day after earnings

LMT logoLockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE: LMT) shares are trading higher just one day after the stock dropped on its earnings announcement. This morning, competitor Boeing (NYSE: BA) reported a first-quarter profit of $1.62 per share, beating analysts' predictions of $1.13 per share. Boeing's earnings may be soothing to investors who thought that yesterday's LMT earnings might be a mirage. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on LMT.

After hitting a one-year low of $88.86 in August, the stock hit a one-year high of $113.74 in October. LMT opened this morning at $103.99. So far today the stock has hit a low of $103.79 and a high of $108.00. As of 12:45, LMT is trading at $107.08, up $3.29 (3.1%). The chart for LMT looks bearish but improving, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a June bull-put credit spread below the $95 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.4% return in just two months as long as LMT is above $95 at June expiration. Lockheed Martin would have to fall by more than 11% before we would start to lose money.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin (LMT) soars one day after earnings

Lockheed Martin (LMT) falls despite strong earnings

Defense contractor Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) posted strong earnings this morning for its first quarter of $1.75 per share, well ahead of the $1.63 analysts had been expecting.

Looking at the quarter's revenue figures, we see a nice year-over-year jump, climbing to
$9.98 billion from $9.28 billion. In addition, the company lifted its full-year earnings forecast by 10 cents to $7.15 to $7.35 per share.

The company had good earnings, and lifted full year estimates, so why is the stock falling in today's action? It could be in reaction to the fact that the company's biggest division, its jet business, showed a drop in sales in the period. During the quarter, this business fell since Lockheed is in the middle of a transition from its older fighter jets to newer models such as the
F-35 and F-22.

Continue reading Lockheed Martin (LMT) falls despite strong earnings

Market highlights for next week: HAL, T, LMT and MSFT reporting earnings

Monday, April 21
  • Mattel (NYSE:MAT) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 8:30am.
  • Halliburton (NYSE:HAL) reports Q1 earnings; conference call at 9:00am.
  • Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 9:30am.
  • Toronto-Dominion (NYSE:TD) t o hold conference call about the acquisition of Commerce Bancorp (CBH) at 11:00am.
Tuesday, April 22
  • Wyeth (NYSE:WYE) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 8:00am.
  • The Federal Reserve to host a meeting regarding the Countrywide Financial (NYSE:CFC) takeover by Bank of America at 9:30am.
  • AT&T (NYSE:T) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 10:00am.
  • Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 11:00am.
  • Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 5:00pm.
Wednesday, April 23
Thursday, April 24
  • Hershey (NYSE:HSY) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 8:30am.
  • Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) to report Q3 earnings; conference call at 5:30pm.
Friday, April 25
  • Wendy's (NYSE:WEN) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 9:00am.

Mars rover is over: LMT, RTN, billionaires please inquire

Scientists at NASA plan to put one of the twin Mars rovers to sleep and limit the activities of the other robot to fulfill a NASA order to cut $4 million from the program's budget, mission team members said Monday.

The project, which was originally supposed to run for three months, is now in its fourth year, successfully exploring the terrain of Mars. It costs NASA about $20 million to keep the project going, but due to budget cuts, the space agency is forced to put its child up for adoption, so to speak. As of yet, no billionaire has stepped up to the plate, but I am hoping that someone will soon.

For the cost of a few of your average modern missiles, we are abandoning a program that has been one of NASA's most visible and productive projects.

Continue reading Mars rover is over: LMT, RTN, billionaires please inquire

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Last updated: November 09, 2009: 09:06 AM

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