Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY) reported Q1 earnings on Wednesday, and Trey Thoelcke highlighted the numbers in this earnings-recap piece. Shares rose substantially in the after-hours trading session yesterday, jumping over 8%, and as I reviewed various earnings reports last night, I found myself drawn to the retailer's stock performance. I haven't been a huge fan of Bed Bath & Beyond as of late, so I figured I should take a look at the earnings release to see if there's anything here that would change my opinion.
Unfortunately, there isn't. Sales may have grown 6%, and expectations may have been beaten by $0.03, but net income still dropped over 20% to $0.30 per diluted share. Cash flow from operations declined 44% to $65.8 million. And same-store sales were very anemic, rising only 0.8%.
I choose, in this case, to focus on those figures. I also consider the fact that Bed Bath & Beyond does not pay a dividend, and that we are in an awful economic environment, both from a consumer and stock-market standpoint. This is not the stock I'd want to face the recession with, and I don't necessarily find it to be a big value right now. When it comes to retail, I am more likely to look at Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Target (NYSE: TGT). I'd even consider a Home Depot (NYSE: HD) or a Lowe's (NYSE: LOW). All of these stocks pay dividends and have better brand equities and more attractive prospects. Bed Bath & Beyond certainly didn't deliver an earnings bomb, but I'm still not inclined to put money here.
Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) shares are falling today after the Commerce Department reported that May home construction fell 3.3%, signaling continued weakness in the housing market and bad news for home improvement stores. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on LOW.
After hitting a one-year high of $32.53 in September, the stock hit a one-year low of $19.94 in January. This morning, LOW opened at $24.15. So far today the stock has hit a low of $23.45 and a high of $24.23. As of 12:20, LOW is trading at $23.62, down $0.43 (-1.8%). The chart for LOW looks bullish but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bear-call credit spread above the $27.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 13.6% return in four months as long as LOW is below $27.50 at October expiration. Lowe's would have to rise by more than 16% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
In his Wall Street Strategies, the leading advisor -- and well-known panelist for Fox Business News -- explains, "The debate on which is a better investment, Home Depot or Lowe's, is now at a crossroads following the release of 1Q08 earnings results from each firm.
"As expected, both companies reported year on year earnings decreases as slowing home remodeling spend weighed on comparable store sales.
"Back in 2005-2007, Lowe's was hot the investment choice relative to Home Depot, with many citing its stronger operating margins and friendlier store shopping environment. Although Lowe's is still attracting higher income customers as a result of solid merchandise offerings and customer service, in our view one should crunch the numbers.
"When they do, it will become prevalent that Home Depot is the stronger investment in the niche at this time. The company has been ahead of the game with respect to Lowe's in drastically reducing capital expenditures and store operating outlays.
"Moreover, it has taken the fight back to its smaller rival in the area of customer service and product presentation. In our opinion, play the underdog card and look to invest in Home Depot in upcoming months given more attractive valuation."
Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers the latest market commentary and favorite investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.
Sometimes one company cannot be discussed without another entering the conversation. The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) reported a 66% drop in first-quarter profit Tuesday, largely due to a one-time charge and continued weakness in the housing market. Only a few days ago, Lowe's Co. (NYSE: LOW) reported sizable losses too.
"Weakness in the housing market" -- in many places that is a gross understatement, since there is no market and they are giving houses away. There are places where home sales have stabilized, and based on April figures it appears that home construction was up when including apartment development. But there are still millions of single family homes and condominiums available at fire sale prices.
Atlanta-based Home Depot said it earned $356 million, or 21 cents a share, in the three months ending May 4, compared to a profit of $1.05 billion, or 53 cents a share, a year earlier. It announced earlier this month that it was putting the brakes on some of its expansion plans and said it would do what was previously unthinkable -- close 15 of its flagship stores. The move, to be completed by July, affects 1,300 employees
Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) reported Q1 earnings on Monday, and I'm sure a lot of investors looked to this report to see if it indicated how the economy was doing. I hope not too many people were looking to link the economy with the company's numbers, however, because they weren't the greatest.
Top-line sales declined about 1% to $12 billion. Net income dropped 15% to 41 cents per share. Perhaps worst of all, same-store sales plummeted 8.4%. So, with flat revenues and a declining bottom line, was there anything positive about the earnings release? Yes. According to Briefing.com, Lowe's beat expectations by a penny (it did miss on the net-sales number, though). Also, the cash-flow statement shows that the retailer is doing fine in terms of the green. Lowe's generated $2.5 billion from operations this quarter versus $2.1 billion in last year's comparable period. So all is not lost.
But make no mistake, this is a tough environment for Lowe's and its enemy, Home Depot (NYSE: HD). However, if you think you want to get in Lowe's at some point, now could be the time, assuming you are a long-term thinker. The company's shares have bounced off their lows of the year and are still off from their highs. As we all know, the economy will get better at some point, and Lowe's will ultimately benefit. Both Lowe's and Home Depot are not that expensive, in my opinion, and both are probably worth some due diligence.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
Earlier this week, Jim Cramer pondered whether the U.S. economy had reached bottom, given such recent signs as stronger-than-expected retail sales and investor interest in homebuilders. In particular, he said he's looking at next week's quarterly results from Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) and Home Depot (NYSE: HD) as a sign for the housing sector and for the potential market rally.
Lowe's is expected by analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial to report second-quarter earnings of 39 cents per share, down 18.8% from 48 cents per share in the same period in 2007, but up 28.2% from 28 cents per share in the previous quarter. The company has provided positive surprises in four of the past five quarters.
North Carolina-based Lowe's is the second-largest U.S. home improvement chain, behind rival Home Depot, and the second-largest appliance retailer after Sears (NYSE: SHLD). In the past year, the company's revenues were $48.2 billion and its net income totaled $2.8 billion. Its long-term EPS growth forecast is 12.7%, which is better than its industry average. The consensus recommendation of analysts remains to buy Lowe's.
The stock is up 9.9% since the beginning of the year, but has fallen 20.5% from a year ago. It trades at a P/E ratio of 13.38. Shares closed Friday at $24.89.
After hitting a one-year high of $33.19 in June, the stock hit a one-year low of $19.94 in January. This morning, LOW opened at $25.22. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.51 and a high of $25.24. As of 11:45, LOW is trading at $24.83, down 31 cents(-1.2%). The chart for LOW looks bullish but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a June bear-call credit spread above the $27.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in five weeks as long as LOW is below $27.50 at June expiration. Lowe's would have to rise by more than 10% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
LOW hasn't been above $27.50 since October and has shown resistance around $26 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 5/19) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance LOW might find at its 200 day moving average, which is currently around $26 and falling. Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investor's Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in LOW.
This post is part of our Battle of the Brands feature. Let us know which brand you prefer, and check out other Battle of the Brands posts.
There are many contrasts between The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) and Lowe's (NYSE: LOW), both of which sell a broad range of tools, fixtures, fittings, garden supplies, and construction materials to do-it-your selfers and professional contractors alike. Home Depot is the original big-box category killer of a hardware store that displaced many a mom-and-pop shop, as well as its predecessors, like Builders Emporium. Lowe's, the new kid on the block has been growing like mad with Home Depot's business in it's cross-hairs.
Both companies have been suffering mightily in the face of the housing slump and the crushing financial markets. Eventually, recession or not, both companies will see their revenues improve as the economy works through it's nightmarish problems.
UBS initiated Interpublic Group (NYSE: IPG) and Omnicom Group (NYSE:OMC) with Buy ratings and an $11 target and $62 target, respectively. The firm views valuation as attractive.
"Which is the better buy among the leading home retailing stocks -- 
Sometimes one company cannot be discussed without another entering the conversation. 
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