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Week in Preview: Mosaic, Family Dollar Earnings and March Unemployment Rate

earnings expectationsThe calendar quarter winds down this week and quarterly reports are due from Apollo Group (APOL), CarMax (KMX), Global Payments (GPN), Krispy Kreme (KKD), Lennar (LEN) and McCormick (MKC). But analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters have high hopes for results from fertilizer and animal feed maker Mosaic (MOS), apparel maker Phillips Van Heusen (PVH) and discount retailer Family Dollar (FDO). So here's a look at what they anticipate from these three companies.

Mosaic

During its fiscal second quarter, Cargill agreed to distribute its stake in Mosaic, and Mosaic also said it would redeem senior notes. Analysts anticipate that the Minnesota-based potash producer will report per-share earnings of $1.07, a jump of 53.3% from the same quarter of last year. Mosaic also is expected to post revenue of $2.4 billion for the three months that ended in February. That's a 35.9% rise from a year earlier.

Continue reading Week in Preview: Mosaic, Family Dollar Earnings and March Unemployment Rate

McCormick Hit a 52-Week High -- Buy the Stock?

McCormick (MKC) logoMcCormick & Company, Inc. (MKC) is one strong stock. Today, it hit a new 52-week high of $42.85. The one-year chart looks very good. And the latest earnings report should make shareholders happy. What more could you ask for?

Well, you could certainly ask for a continuation of such success. No one knows what the future will bring, of course, but the situation seems pretty attractive. The distributor of various spices and seasonings made an adjusted 66 cents per share during the fiscal third quarter. TheFly says that this is seven pennies better than the analyst forecast.

Continue reading McCormick Hit a 52-Week High -- Buy the Stock?

McCormick Tops Bullish Volatility Skews, Bemis Tops the Bearish Ones

Option traders are pushing up call option prices in the Processed & Packaged Goods industry and are pushing up put option prices in the Packaging & Containers industry.

Any time the volatility skews above 1.00, it is an indication that calls are more expensive than puts. Typically, when calls are more expensive than puts, it means the demand for calls is greater than the demand for puts because investors believe the stock is going to rise in the future and they want to take advantage of that movement by buying calls.

The opposite is also true. Any time a volatility skews below 1.00, it is an indication that puts are more expensive than calls.

Continue reading McCormick Tops Bullish Volatility Skews, Bemis Tops the Bearish Ones

The Week in Preview: Eye on General Mills, Tiffany, Williams-Sonoma and more

The coming week will bring late-season earnings reports from Best Buy Inc. (BBY), ConAgra Foods Inc. (CAG), Oracle Corp. (ORCL) and Walgreen Co. (WAG), all of which are expected to post earnings and revenue growth, according to analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters. Below is a closer look at a few other companies reporting this week for which expectations are high.

In the three months that ended in January, Williams-Sonoma (WSM) saw strong holiday sales, declared a quarterly dividend, and announced the retirement of its CEO. Analysts expect the San Francisco-based home products retailer to report that fiscal fourth-quarter earnings more than doubled from the same period of last year to $0.74 per share. Revenue for the period is expected to be 6.2% higher to $1.1 billion. For the full year, the forecast calls for earnings of $0.81 per share (+56.8%) on $3.1 billion in revenue (-8.3%). Williams-Sonoma earnings results have been better than expected in recent quarters -- beating consensus estimates by more than 200% in the third quarter.

Continue reading The Week in Preview: Eye on General Mills, Tiffany, Williams-Sonoma and more

Bullish and Bearish Volatility Skews: SCG, NRGY, DNB, DT, MKC, WRB

Option traders took a bullish interest in the Diversified Utilities industry and bearish interest in the Wireless Communications industry today.

Bullish Volatility Skews

  • SCANA Corp. (SCG) -- part of the Diversified Utilities industry -- came in at the top with a volatility skew of 1.30. This may come as a surprise as SCG is down 4.47% for the past month.

Continue reading Bullish and Bearish Volatility Skews: SCG, NRGY, DNB, DT, MKC, WRB

The week in preview: Eye on AutoZone, ConAgra, KB Home, Research In Motion ...

Much of the focus this week will no doubt be on the FOMC meeting on interest rates and the subsequent decision, as well as on the G-20 meeting in Pittsburgh, were the agenda will include bonuses for bank executives among other things.

Things will be fairly quiet again on the earnings front as the next earnings season has yet to ramp up. However, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters do have high hopes for a handful of companies that will release results this week.

Continue reading The week in preview: Eye on AutoZone, ConAgra, KB Home, Research In Motion ...

Earnings highlights: Nike, Research in Motion, Lennar, GE and others

The quarter is winding down, and here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Also, are analysts' expectations for the the coming year too optimistic?

Upcoming quarterly reports include Circuit City (NYSE: CC), Walgreen (NYSE: WAG), Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG), Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ), Marriott International (NYSE: MAR), Family Dollar Stores (NYSE: FDO).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

McCormick (MKC) flat after beating earnings

MKC logoMcCormick (NYSE: MKC - option chain) shares are pretty much flat today after the company reported Q3 earnings that came in at 0.50, 2 cents higher than analyst estimates. Sales beat estimates as well, but the stock is not really moving since some of the EPS benefits were from the sale of one of their brands. Last night, CNBC analyst and BloggingStocks contributor Jim Cramer also mentioned this stock as a potential buy on his TV show if it gets depressed by losses in the broader market. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on MKC.

MKC opened this morning at $39.63. So far today the stock has hit a low of $38.16 and a high of $39.64. As of 12:10, MKC is trading at $38.71, up 21 cents(0.5%). The chart for MKC looks neutral and S&P gives MKC a 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a December covered call at the $40 level. A covered call is an options position that combines the purchase of stock with the sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 6.0% return in just 3 months if MCK is above $40 at December expiration. If it is below $40, then we picked up a free $1.10 per share by selling the call. Plus, MKC pays a small dividend that we will receive if we hold the stock on 10/01. McCormick would have to fall by more than 3% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

MKC hasn't been below $37.75 (our break-even point) since July and has shown support around $38 recently.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in MKC.

The week in preview: A bottom for the housing sector?

Earnings reports continue to dribble in as the quarter winds down. Much of the attention this week will be on homebuilders KB Home (NYSE: KBH) and Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN) as investors look for any sign that the housing sector has bottomed (home sales numbers are also due out this week; see below). Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial anticipate that both companies will report that they narrowed their losses in the most recent quarter.

KB Home's expected $1.25 per share loss, on revenue of $725.5 million, compares to the previous quarter loss of $3.30 and to a year-ago loss of $6.19. However, KB Home's losses in the past few quarters have been deeper than expected. The Los Angeles-based homebuilder's long-range earnings growth forecast is 10.5%, less than the S&P 500. Analysts continue to recommend holding KB Home, and have for at least 120 days. Shares, however, reached a new 52-week high of $31.69 on Friday, and they are up 10.5% year to date.

Lennar is expected to post a loss of 52 cents per share, on revenue of $1.1 billion. That compares to the previous quarter's per-share loss of 76 cents and to a year-ago loss of $3.25. While Lennar also has tended in the past few quarters to miss expectations, the Miami-based company managed a positive surprise in the first quarter of 2008. Lennar's long-range earnings growth forecast is 10.3%, about the same as KB Home's. Analysts also recommend holding Lennar. Friday, shares of Lennar also reached a 52-week high, $27.75, but they are down 6.4% year to date.

Continue reading The week in preview: A bottom for the housing sector?

Earnings highlights: McDonald's, Kraft, P&G, Verizon, MasterCard, 3M and others

The earnings crunch is in full swing, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

For additional BloggingStocks earnings highlights, see Yahoo!, Google, Amazon, Countrywide, Merck, UBS and others and Exxon, Boeing, Halliburton, Sony, UPS, Honda and others.

Continue reading Earnings highlights: McDonald's, Kraft, P&G, Verizon, MasterCard, 3M and others

McCormick spices up earnings report

Despite rising commodity, packaging and energy costs, spice manufacturer and distributor McCormick & Company (NYSE: MKC) posted good 4Q and FY2007 earnings results reported last week. Fourth sales increased 7%, with the bulk of that coming from international markets, especially China which posted 20% increase in sales. EPS increased 12% to $1.92, beyond the high end of the previous forecast, and the company raised its dividend 10%.

McCormick & Company is doing all it can to improve and solidify its financial position. Several years ago, the company instituted a restructuring and cost cutting initiative that has resulted in annual savings approaching $50 million. McCormick is simplifying its supply lines, reducing inventories and introducing a new gravity-fed merchandising systems for grocery store shelves.

McCormick is discontinuing lower profit margin products and making acquisitions with high margin potential. Recent acquisitions include Simply Asia Food and Lawry's. MicCormick is also growing its Hispanic spices product line and preparing to introduce a line of health and wellness products.

The only fly in the ointment is that McCormick increased tis debt level to buy back $157 million worth of stock and pay out $104 million individends. Given the slowdown in consumer spending, its unknown severity and duration, it makes little sense for a company to take on more debt. The stock currently trades in the mid-$30s.

McCormick (MKC) spices up earnings report

Spice and condiment manufacturer McCormick & Company (NYSE: MKC) continues to post spicy hot earnings in both its retail and wholesale divisions around the globe. 2Q 2007 sales increased 7% overall, on top of 1Q 2007 overall sales increase of 7%. Retail sales were up 6%, and wholesale sales of poultry and snack seasonings were up 9% for 2Q. EPS for the quarter was $0.31 compared with the EPS in the previous quarter of $0.33. CEO Robert Lawless is so confident in McCormick's continued cost cutting programs, as well as the company's continued organic growth, that he recently upped FY guidance for growth rate to 9-11% from previous guidance of 8-10%. Revised FY 2007 EPS is now in the $1.69-$1.73 range.

For 2Q 2007, retail sales in North America increased 5%, 10% in Europe and 8% in Asia/Pacific, with the bulk of that gain coming in China which remains relatively untapped by McCormick. Double digit sales increases in China helped offset declining sales in Australia. Much the same story is true of McCormick's industrial sales which saw a 2% increase in North America, 26% increase in Europe (16% of which came from currency exchange rate fluctuations), and 34% increase in Asia/Pacific, with China again being the big producer.

Given two consecutive quarter's worth of good news, it is hard to see why the stock is trading down 8% from its price of $38.40 at the beginning of the year. The fundamentals are good. The company discontinued money losing or lower profit margin product lines. The recent acquisition of Simply Asia Foods continues to make important contributions to the bottom line. Everybody uses the company's products either directly as spices, or in products which use McCormick's seasonings. Additionally, the stock pays a respectable dividend of 2.1%. At its recent close of $35.65 the stock looks like a lower-risk bargain.

McCormick & Company: Seasoned players in the food game

There are only a few companies that make brands you are liable to find in the kitchen cupboard, no matter where in the country you look. A 118-year old outfit in Sparks, Maryland is one of them.

McCormick & Company (NYSE: MKC) is a specialty food firm, engaged in the manufacture, sale, and distribution of spices, herbs, seasoning blends and other flavors. The firm's Consumer unit offers products through such retail outlets as Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Safeway (NYSE: SWY) and Target (NYSE: TGT), under such brand names as McCormick, Zatarain, Simply Asia, Thai Kitchens, Club House and Schwartz. The Industrial segment markets to food manufacturers and the food service industry, through distributors. Unilever (NYSE: UL) is a major competitor.

The company pleased investors last week, when it reported Q2 EPS of 35 cents and revenues of $687.2 million. Analysts had been expecting 33 cents and $676.9 million. The CEO attributed the solid performance to increased international sales. Management also guided FY07 to $1.87-$1.91, versus $1.90 consensus. The share price popped on the news and has since been consolidating the gain in a bullish "flag" pattern. Prices frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling when they entered them. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Brokers recommend the issue with three "strong buys," four "buys" and six "holds." The MKC Price to Sales ratio (1.78), Return on Investment (11.62%) and Return on Equity (22.19%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions hold about 67% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $34.80 and $39.82. A stop-loss of $32.85 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.

Analyst upgrades 4-13-07: LLL, MRK, NLS and PSUN upgraded today

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Merck & Co (MRK), Intersil Corp (ISIL), Nautilus Group (NLS) and Pacific Sunwear (PSUN) were some of today's more noteworthy upgrades:
  • Merck & Co (NYSE: MRK ) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs to reflect the company's continued revenue strength and raised guidance. They believe strong execution continues.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Intersil Corp NASDAQ: ISIL) to Overweight from Neutral based on improving fundamentals.
  • Matrix USA upgraded shares of Nautilus Group (NYSE: NLS) to Hold from Strong Sell after this week's sell-off.
  • Pacific Sunwear of California (NASDAQ: PSUN) was added to Freidman Billing's Top Picks List, believing the turnaround is taking hold following strong March comps.
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Goldman added L-3 Communications Hlds (NYSE: LLL) to its Conviction Buy List and raised its target to $105 from $95.
  • McCormick Corp (NYSE: MKC) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wachovia citing core performance in both Industrial and Consumer, including a nominal boost in long-term growth outlook.
  • Bear Stearns upgraded shares of Ventana Medical Systems (NASDAQ: VMSI) to Outperform from Peer Perform, citing the company's solid base business outlook and Symphony potential.
  • Piper Jaffray upgraded Ocwen Financial (NYSE: OCN) to Outperform from Market Perform.
  • JP Morgan upgraded TJX Cos (NYSE: TJX) to Neutral from Underweight expecting merchandising initiatives and marketing spending to drive growth.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

McCormick adds some spice to 1Q earnings

Spice manufacturer McCormick & Co. (NYSE: MKC) recently reported record results for 1Q 2007 earnings. Sales increased 7% overall. Of that, sales to consumers were up 9%, and commercial sales were up 5%. Gross profit margins were up 1.3% to 40.5%. EPS rose to $0.33, compared with EPS of $0.11 for 1Q 2006. Good news all the way around. These increases were the result of cost-savings initiatives, as well as the acquisition of Simply Asia Foods in mid-2006.

Consumer sales rose 10% in America, 6% in Europe, and a whopping 14% in China, with local currency gain of 9%. McCormick has spent the last months reconfiguring its product mix, particularly traditional ethnic spices. McCormick has introduced a line of gourmet spices including smoked paprika. It has eliminated lower margin spices and products. It has also ceased operations in Finland and curtailed distribution in The Netherlands. McCormick expects to continue its cost-cutting initiatives by consolidating manufacturing facilities. This move is expected to generate $50 million in savings by 2008.

McCormick CEO Robert Lawless projects 8-10% increase in 2007 earnings so that EPS are forecast at $1.67 to $1.71.

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Last updated: February 10, 2012: 06:23 PM

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